• Title/Summary/Keyword: 한국시스템다이내믹스 학회지

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시스템 다이내믹스 접근법과 원자력 부문

  • Kim, Seong-Ho;Song, In-Jin;Choe, Gwang-Sik;Choe, Yeong-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2007
  • 최근에, 에너지 부문의 지속가능성을 달성하는 하나의 패러다임으로 전체론적 접근법(holistic approach)이 국내외적으로 관심의 대상이 되고 있다. 에너지 부문에서, 특히 원자력 시설과 같이 복잡 시스템은 전체론적 접근법 대신에 주로 결정론적 방법이나 확률론적 방법과 같은 기존의 분석적 접근법으로 다뤄지고 있다. 하지만, 시스템 다이내믹스와 같은 전체론적 접근법으로 문제들을 다루는 경우, 기존 접근법으로 얻을 수 없는 다양한 정보를 얻을 수 있다. 이 작업의 목적은 한국원자력 부문에 시스템 다이내믹스가 어떻게 적용되고 있는 지 그 현황을 소개하고, 앞으로 이러한 방법론이 활용될 수 있는 가능성을 논의하고자 한다. 이를 통해, 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론과 분석적 방법론의 융합에 기반한 정보와 기술력의 시너지 효과를 기대해 본다.

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Co-author Network Characteristics of Korean System Dynamics Review (한국시스템다이내믹스 학회지 공저자 네트워크 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Duck;Sin, Cheol;Jung, Hyung-Ki;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 2016
  • This study examines the basic conditions of joint authorship research activities in the Korean System Dynamics Review and points out the structural co-author network characteristics among co-authored papers based on the social network analysis(SNA) techniques. In specific, this study identifies the cooperative relationship of research papers in the Korean System Dynamics Review, knowledge formation, and knowledge propagation paths. The study results imply that Korean System Dynamics Review has exhibited the typical 'Steven's power law,' which is repeatedly observed among complex systems, and that knowledge structure centered upon and propagated around couples of researchers. Additionally, the study results present that there have been active personal exchanges among major researchers. In contrast, personal contacts among research groups and within groups seem relatively weak.

A Study on the Establishment of Korean Regional Nuclear Safety Offices (원자력안전 지역사무소 설치 타당성 평가 : 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법)

  • Kim, Seong-Ho;Song, I.J.;Choi, Y.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라에서 원자력 시설의 안전 확보를 위한 현장 규제는 원전 부지내에 설치되어 운용되고 있는 주재관실과 방사능 재난 발생에 대응하기 위한 현장방사능방재지휘센터 등으로 분산되어 있다. 원유 고유가, 에너지 안보, 및 기후 변화 협약 등에 대한 대응책으로, 신규 원자력 시설의 건설이 진행 중에 있으며, 이에 따라 원자력 규제 대상이 증가하고 있다. 지역주민이 신뢰하는 원자력 시설의 안전 규제의 필요성에 따라 현장 규제의 업무량도 증가하고 현장 규제 요건도 강화되고 있는 추세이다. 분산되어 있는 원자력 안전규제 시스템을 통합적인 체계로 전환하기 위한 방안들 가운데, 이 연구에서는 규제의 효율성/효과성을 향상시키기 위해 원자력 안전 지역사무소의 설치가 고려되었다. 이 연구의 주요 목적은 시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 지역사무소 설치의 타당성 모델을 제시하는 것이다. 이 SD 모델을 통해 지역사무소 설치가 규제 효과성을 포함한 다른 변수들에 미치는 영향을 전체론적 (holistic) 관점에서 평가할 수 있다. 이 SD 모델에서 이해관계자 (예: 중앙행정기관, 규제기관, 지방자지단체, NGO, 국민 등) 각각의 우선적인 목표는 갈등적 다중목표가 된다. 이러한 다중목표는 원자력 안전 규제의 의사결정 단계에서 거버넌스(governance) 체제 (예: 규제 기관, 사업자, 지역주민 등이 참여하는 체제)의 구축, 원자력 관련 민원 해결을 통해 성취될 수 있다. 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법의 주요 변수 정의 단계에서는 다양한 관점의 상호영향을 고려하면서 지역사무소 설치에 필요한 기본 개념이 도출되었다. 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법의 모델링 단계에서는 이들 기본 개념에서부터 지역사무소 설치 타당성 정책의 인과 지도(causal map)가 작성되었다. 이러한 인과 지도들로부터 지역사무소의 설치 타당성으로 이끄는 다양한 자기-강화 (self-reinforcing) 루프들이 발견되었다.

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Causal Loop Diagrams Model of IT Professionals' Happiness : Through System Dynamics Analysis Approach (IT 전문가 행복 인과관계 다이어그램 모형 : 시스템 다이내믹스 분석 접근법으로)

  • Chang, Yun Hi
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2016
  • The following research investigates core factors required for IT professionals to achieve and remain happy on their jobs through dynamic and structural CLD and suggests personal, organizational, and government level (happiness) promoting factors. Researcher adopted the system dynamics methodology which is qualitative research techniques pursue behavior probability by using CLD. It spotlights 6 CLD: job satisfaction, organizational commitment, positive sensitivity, negative sensitivity, amicable relationship, job sustainment intention, in addition to numerous factors that affect them from an integrative perspective. It differentiates itself from one-way relationship focused qualitative research to an advanced mutual and realistic perspective exploratory research.

Relevance Verification of Staff Organizations using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 참모부 조직편성 적절성 검증)

  • Lee, Cheong-Su;Kim, Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2018
  • Since warfare surroundings getting complex and diverse in the future, it is not simple to make appropriate structures and organizations for military groups along the phenomenon. Therefore, this study proposes a methodology of verification for army staff's structure and organization by units in the future using System Dynamics(SD). The procedure of using SD for the verification is a calculation of database(DB), the design of causal loop diagram, and the simulation and analysis. First, DB such as individuals' workload and time is calculated through observation after a real group of staff. Second, the causal loop diagram is considered by a flow of task, and it is modeled. Third, the DB is entered into the model and simulated for analyzing of appropriacy. This study used Powersim program for designing the SD model. One of the weaknesses of the methodology of this study is possibilities of a different result by the DB by observers and perspectives by analysts. As supplementation for the weakness, this study includes research analysis and surveys for the total analysis. The meaning of this study is that it suggests a methodology of warfighting experimentation to analyze structure and organization of military groups with quantifying suitability in the scientific method.

Forecasting Economic Impacts of Construction R&D Investment: A Quantitative System Dynamics Forecast Model Using Qualitative Data (건설 분야 정부 R&D 투자의 사업별 경제적 파급효과 분석 - 정성적 자료 기반의 시스템다이내믹스 예측모형 개발 -)

  • Hwang, Sungjoo;Park, Moonseo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Jang, Youjin;Moon, Myung-Gi;Moon, Yeji
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2013
  • Econometric forecast models based on past time-series data have been applied to a wide variety of applications due to their advantages in short-term point estimating. These models are particularly used in predicting the impact of governmental research and development (R&D) programs because program managers should assert their feasibility due to R&D program's huge amount of budget. The construction governmental R&D programs, however, separately make an investment by dividing total budget into five sub-business area. It make R&D program managers difficult to understand how R&D programs affect the whole system including economy because they are restricted with regard to many dependent and dynamic variables. In this regard, system dynamics (SD) model provides an analytic solution for complex, nonlinear, and dynamic systems such as the impacts of R&D programs by focusing on interactions among variables and understanding their structures. This research, therefore, developed SD model to capture the different impacts of five construction R&D sub-business by considering different characteristics of sub-business area. To overcome the SD's disadvantages in point estimating, this research also proposed the method for constructing quantitative forecasting model using qualitative data. Understanding the different characteristics of each construction R&D sub-business can support R&D program managers to demonstrate their feasibility of capital investment.

Development of System Dynamics Model and Integrated Tool for Safety Culture Diagnosis of a Combined-Cycle Power Plant (복합발전 플랜트 안전문화 진단을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링 및 통합도구 개발 연구)

  • Choi, Jaewoo;Um, Sungin;Hong, Inki
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2017
  • Although various methods have been tried to measure the safety culture of firms, they are limited to derive the qualitative analysis results according to the subjective criteria that are not formalized according to the evaluation method. We developed a questionnaire that can be applied to a combined power plant, quantified the evaluation results using the system dynamics model based on the results, and conducted simulation through various scenarios. And to present the criteria for safety cultural policy.

A Study of Decision-making Support Method based on System Dynamics for Reservoir Risk Judgment (시스템 다이내믹스 기반의 저수지 위험판단 의사결정지원 방안 연구)

  • Duckgil Kim;Jiseong You;Hayoung Jang;Daewon Jang
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.279-284
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of torential rains caused by climate change are increasing, and the damage to reservoir collapse in local governments continues to occur. Most local government reservoirs are aged reservoirs that have been built for more than 50 years, and there is a high risk of collapse due to recent heavy rainfall. In order to prevent reservoir collapse or overflow caused by heavy rainfall, a decision-making support system that can judge risks due to changes in storage capacity is needed. In this study, a reservoir discharge simulation model was constructed using a system dynamics technique that can dynamically represent causal relationships between various variables. Through discharge simulation, the change in storage capacity due to rainfall was analyzed, and the operation time and termination time of the discharge facility to prevent overflow of the reservoir were analyzed. Using the results of this study, it is possible to determine the timing of the overflow of the reservoir due to torrential rain, and also the capacity and operation timing of the discharge facility to prevent overflow can be known. hrough this, it is expected that local governments will be able to judge the risk of damage to reservoirs and establish a preliminary response plan to prevent damage.

Development of Dynamic Manpower Supply and Demand Model in Software Industry (소프트웨어 산업 동태적 인력수급 모델 개발)

  • Jaerim Jung
    • Journal of Advanced Technology Convergence
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2023
  • The most important thing in digital transformation is SW technology. However, many companies are having difficulty securing SW technology and manpower. In particular, it is reported that the shortage of SW manpower will increase further. The government is carrying out manpower training policies and many support projects to resolve SW manpower supply and demand policies, but accurate predictions of demand and supply of the software industry are essential for these policies to be effectively established. Therefore, this study developed a simulation using a system dynamics methodology that can perform dynamic structural analysis to resolve the supply and demand imbalance in the software industry. System dynamics is appropriate to find the cause and policy alternatives from a dynamic perspective on the imbalance in manpower supply and demand in the software industry. In detail, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) methodology was used to develop a prediction model for manpower demand and supply in the software industry, and scenario analysis was performed to derive policy implications.

Development of a Simulation Model to Decide the Proper Target Inventory Level for TOC Replenishment Inventory Management using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 TOC 재보충방식의 적정재고 관리를 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Jung-Sook;Jang, Seong-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2012
  • Ptak & Smith published ORLICKY'S Material Requirement Planning Third Edition in 2011 to correspond the rapidly changed market demand by improving the original MRP based on Theory of Constraints(TOC) replenishment inventory management. This study is to develop the simulation model to decide the proper target inventory level for TOC replenishment inventory management using system dynamics Vensim software. This study shows that the proper target replenishment level is how much significant to manage the inventory by the random sample data simulation. This simulation model will be extended to compare the results of the TOC replenishment inventory management planning with the results of the old MRP planning by the enterprise actual inventory data.