• Title/Summary/Keyword: 학습경로 패턴

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Wind field prediction through generative adversarial network (GAN) under tropical cyclones (생성적 적대 신경망 (GAN)을 통한 태풍 바람장 예측)

  • Na, Byoungjoon;Son, Sangyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.370-370
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    • 2021
  • 태풍으로 인한 피해를 줄이기 위해 경로, 강도 및 폭풍해일의 사전 예측은 매우 중요하다. 이중, 태풍의 경로와는 달리 강도 및 폭풍해일의 예측에 있어서 바람장은 수치 모델의 초기 입력값으로 요구되기 때문에 정확한 바람장 정보는 필수적이다. 대기 바람장 예측 방법은 크게 해석적 모델링, 라디오존데 측정과 위성 사진을 통한 산출로 구분할 수 있다. Holland의 해석적 모델링은 비교적 적은 입력값이 필요하지만 정확도가 낮고, 라디오존데 측정은 정확도가 높지만 점 측정에 가깝기 때문에 이차원 바람장을 산출하기에 한계가 있다. 위성 사진을 통한 바람장 산출은 위성기술의 고도화로 관측 채널 수 및 시공간 해상도가 크게 증가하고 있기 때문에 다양한 기법들이 개발되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 생성적 적대 신경망 (Generative Adversarial Network, GAN)을 통해 일련의 연속된 과거 적외 채널 위성 사진 흐름의 패턴을 학습시켜 미래 위성 사진을 예측하고, 예측된 연속적인 위성 사진들의 교차상관 (cross-correlation)을 통해 바람장을 산출하였다. GAN을 적용함에 있어 2011년부터 2019년까지 한반도 근방에 접근했던 태풍 중에 4등급 이상인 68개의 태풍의 한 시간 간격으로 촬영된 총 15,683개의 위성 사진을 학습시켜 생성된 이미지들은 실측 위성 사진들과 매우 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 생성된 이미지들의 교차상관으로 얻어진 바람장 벡터들의 풍향, 풍속, 벡터 일관성 및 수치 모델과의 비교를 통해 각각의 벡터들의 품질 계수를 구하고 정확도가 높은 벡터들만 결과에 포함하였다. 마지막으로 국내 6개의 라디오존데 관측점에서의 실측 벡터와의 비교를 통해 본 연구 결과의 실효성을 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 확장하여, 이와 같이 AI 기법과 이미지 교차상관 기법을 사용하여 얻어진 바람장으로부터 태풍 강도예측에 필요한 요소인 태풍의 눈의 위치, 최고 속도와 태풍 반경을 직접적으로 산출할 수 있고. 이러한 위성 사진을 기반으로 한 바람장은 단순화된 해석적 바람장을 대체하여 폭풍 해일 모델링의 예측 성능 개선에 기여할 것으로 보여진다.

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Fake News Detection based on Convolutional Neural Network and Sentiment Analysis (합성곱신경망과 감성분석 기반의 가짜뉴스 탐지)

  • Lee, Tae Won;Yang, Yeongwook;Park, Ji Su;Shon, Jin Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.64-67
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    • 2021
  • 가짜뉴스는 뉴스 기사 형식을 갖는 날조된 정보를 의미하며, 최근 모바일 인터넷 장치의 보급과 소셜 네트워크 서비스의 대중화로 온라인 확산이 가속화되고 있다. 기존 연구는 가짜뉴스의 탐지를 위해 뉴스의 주제목, 부제목, 리드, 본문 등 뉴스 기사를 이루는 구성요소를 비롯하여 언론사, 기자, 날짜, 확산 경로 등의 메타 데이터를 대상으로 분석하였다. 그러나 뉴스의 제목과 본문 및 메타 데이터 등은 내용 수정이 쉬워, 다량의 데이터를 학습한 모델이라 하더라도 높은 정확도를 장기간 유지하기 어려울 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 논문은 합성곱 신경망을 이용해 문맥 정보를 분석하고 장단기 메모리 기반의 감성분석을 추가로 수행한다. 문맥 정보와 가짜뉴스 유포자가 쉽게 수정할 수 없는 감성 변화 패턴을 활용하여 성능이 개선된 가짜뉴스 탐지 모델을 제안한다.

Association Analysis for Detecting Abnormal in Graph Database Environment (그래프 데이터베이스 환경에서 이상징후 탐지를 위한 연관 관계 분석 기법)

  • Jeong, Woo-Cheol;Jun, Moon-Seog;Choi, Do-Hyeon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2020
  • The 4th industrial revolution and the rapid change in the data environment revealed technical limitations in the existing relational database(RDB). As a new analysis method for unstructured data in all fields such as IDC/finance/insurance, interest in graph database(GDB) technology is increasing. The graph database is an efficient technique for expressing interlocked data and analyzing associations in a wide range of networks. This study extended the existing RDB to the GDB model and applied machine learning algorithms (pattern recognition, clustering, path distance, core extraction) to detect new abnormal signs. As a result of the performance analysis, it was confirmed that the performance of abnormal behavior(about 180 times or more) was greatly improved, and that it was possible to extract an abnormal symptom pattern after 5 steps that could not be analyzed by RDB.

Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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Analysis and Prediction Methods of Marine Accident Patterns related to Vessel Traffic using Long Short-Term Memory Networks (장단기 기억 신경망을 활용한 선박교통 해양사고 패턴 분석 및 예측)

  • Jang, Da-Un;Kim, Joo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.780-790
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    • 2022
  • Quantitative risk levels must be presented by analyzing the causes and consequences of accidents and predicting the occurrence patterns of the accidents. For the analysis of marine accidents related to vessel traffic, research on the traffic such as collision risk analysis and navigational path finding has been mainly conducted. The analysis of the occurrence pattern of marine accidents has been presented according to the traditional statistical analysis. This study intends to present a marine accident prediction model using the statistics on marine accidents related to vessel traffic. Statistical data from 1998 to 2021, which can be accumulated by month and hourly data among the Korean domestic marine accidents, were converted into structured time series data. The predictive model was built using a long short-term memory network, which is a representative artificial intelligence model. As a result of verifying the performance of the proposed model through the validation data, the RMSEs were noted to be 52.5471 and 126.5893 in the initial neural network model, and as a result of the updated model with observed datasets, the RMSEs were improved to 31.3680 and 36.3967, respectively. Based on the proposed model, the occurrence pattern of marine accidents could be predicted by learning the features of various marine accidents. In further research, a quantitative presentation of the risk of marine accidents and the development of region-based hazard maps are required.

Reinforcement Mining Method for Anomaly Detection and Misuse Detection using Post-processing and Training Method (이상탐지(Anomaly Detection) 및 오용탐지(Misuse Detection) 분석의 정확도 향상을 위한 개선된 데이터마이닝 방법 연구)

  • Choi Yun-Jeong;Park Seung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.06b
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    • pp.238-240
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    • 2006
  • 네트워크상에서 발생하는 다양한 형태의 대량의 데이터를 정확하고 효율적으로 분석하기 위해 설계되고 있는 마이닝 시스템들은 목표지향적으로 훈련데이터들을 어떻게 구축하여 다룰 것인지에 대한 문제보다는 대부분 얼마나 많은 데이터 마이닝 기법을 지원하고 이를 적용할 수 있는지 등의 기법에 초점을 두고 있다. 따라서, 점점 더 에이전트화, 분산화, 자동화 및 은닉화 되는 최근의 보안공격기법을 정확하게 탐지하기 위한 방법은 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 유비쿼터스 환경 내에서 발생 가능한 문제 중 복잡하고 지능화된 침입패턴의 탐지를 위해 데이터 마이닝 기법과 결함허용방법을 이용하는 개선된 학습알고리즘과 후처리 방법에 의한 RTPID(Refinement Training and Post-processing for Intrusion Detection)시스템을 제안한다. 본 논문에서의 RTPID 시스템은 active learning과 post-processing을 이용하여, 네트워크 내에서 발생 가능한 침입형태들을 정확하고 효율적으로 다루어 분석하고 있다. 이는 기법에만 초점을 맞춘 기존의 데이터마이닝 분석을 개선하고 있으며, 특히 제안된 분석 프로세스를 진행하는 동안 능동학습방법의 장점을 수용하여 학습효과는 높이며 비용을 감소시킬 수 있는 자가학습방법(self learning)방법의 효과를 기대할 수 있다. 이는 관리자의 개입을 최소화하는 학습방법이면서 동시에 False Positive와 False Negative 의 오류를 매우 효율적으로 개선하는 방법으로 기대된다. 본 논문의 제안방법은 분석도구나 시스템에 의존하지 않기 때문에, 유사한 문제를 안고 있는 여러 분야의 네트웍 환경에 적용될 수 있다.더욱 높은성능을 가짐을 알 수 있다.의 각 노드의 전력이 위험할 때 에러 패킷을 발생하는 기법을 추가하였다. NS-2 시뮬레이터를 이용하여 실험을 한 결과, 제안한 기법이 AOMDV에 비해 경로 탐색 횟수가 최대 36.57% 까지 감소되었음을 알 수 있었다.의 작용보다 더 강력함을 시사하고 있다.TEX>로 최고값을 나타내었으며 그 후 감소하여 담금 10일에는 $1.61{\sim}2.34%$였다. 시험구간에는 KKR, SKR이 비교적 높은 값을 나타내었다. 무기질 함량은 발효기간이 경과할수록 증하였고 Ca는 $2.95{\sim}36.76$, Cu는 $0.01{\sim}0.14$, Fe는 $0.71{\sim}3.23$, K는 $110.89{\sim}517.33$, Mg는 $34.78{\sim}122.40$, Mn은 $0.56{\sim}5.98$, Na는 $0.19{\sim}14.36$, Zn은 $0.90{\sim}5.71ppm$을 나타내었으며, 시험구별로 보면 WNR, BNR구가 Na만 제외한 다른 무기성분 함량이 가장 높았다.O to reduce I/O cost by reusing data already present in the memory of other nodes. Finally, chunking and on-line compression mechanisms are included in both models. We demonstrate that we can obtain significantly high-performanc

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Development of The Freeway Operating Time Prediction Model Using Toll Collection System Data (고속도로 통행료수납자료를 이용한 통행시간 예측모형 개발)

  • 강정규;남궁성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2002
  • The object of this study is to develop an operating time prediction model for expressways using toll collection data. A Prediction model based on modular neural network model was developed and tested using real data. Two toll collection system(TCS) data set. Seoul-Suwon section for short range and Seoul-Daejeon section for long range, in Kyongbu expressway line were collected and analyzed. A time series analysis on TCS data indicated that operating times on both ranges are in reasonable prediction ranges. It was also found that prediction for the long section was more complex than that for the short section. However, a long term prediction for the short section turned out to be more difficult than that for the long section because of the higher sensitivity to initial condition. An application of the suggested model produced accurate prediction time. The features of suggested prediction model are in the requirement of minimum (3) input layers and in the ability of stable operating time prediction.

Long-term Prediction of Bus Travel Time Using Bus Information System Data (BIS 자료를 이용한 중장기 버스 통행시간 예측)

  • LEE, Jooyoung;Gu, Eunmo;KIM, Hyungjoo;JANG, Kitae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.348-359
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    • 2017
  • Recently, various public transportation activation policies are being implemented in order to mitigate traffic congestion in metropolitan areas. Especially in the metropolitan area, the bus information system has been introduced to provide information on the current location of the bus and the estimated arrival time. However, it is difficult to predict the travel time due to repetitive traffic congestion in buses passing through complex urban areas due to repetitive traffic congestion and bus bunching. The previous bus travel time study has difficulties in providing information on route travel time of bus users and information on long-term travel time due to short-term travel time prediction based on the data-driven method. In this study, the path based long-term bus travel time prediction methodology is studied. For this purpose, the training data is composed of 2015 bus travel information and the 2016 data are composed of verification data. We analyze bus travel information and factors affecting bus travel time were classified into departure time, day of week, and weather factors. These factors were used into clusters with similar patterns using self organizing map. Based on the derived clusters, the reference table for bus travel time by day and departure time for sunny and rainy days were constructed. The accuracy of bus travel time derived from this study was verified using the verification data. It is expected that the prediction algorithm of this paper could overcome the limitation of the existing intuitive and empirical approach, and it is possible to improve bus user satisfaction and to establish flexible public transportation policy by improving prediction accuracy.

A Machine Learning-Based Encryption Behavior Cognitive Technique for Ransomware Detection (랜섬웨어 탐지를 위한 머신러닝 기반 암호화 행위 감지 기법)

  • Yoon-Cheol Hwang
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2023
  • Recent ransomware attacks employ various techniques and pathways, posing significant challenges in early detection and defense. Consequently, the scale of damage is continually growing. This paper introduces a machine learning-based approach for effective ransomware detection by focusing on file encryption and encryption patterns, which are pivotal functionalities utilized by ransomware. Ransomware is identified by analyzing password behavior and encryption patterns, making it possible to detect specific ransomware variants and new types of ransomware, thereby mitigating ransomware attacks effectively. The proposed machine learning-based encryption behavior detection technique extracts encryption and encryption pattern characteristics and trains them using a machine learning classifier. The final outcome is an ensemble of results from two classifiers. The classifier plays a key role in determining the presence or absence of ransomware, leading to enhanced accuracy. The proposed technique is implemented using the numpy, pandas, and Python's Scikit-Learn library. Evaluation indicators reveal an average accuracy of 94%, precision of 95%, recall rate of 93%, and an F1 score of 95%. These performance results validate the feasibility of ransomware detection through encryption behavior analysis, and further research is encouraged to enhance the technique for proactive ransomware detection.

Multi-legged robot system enabled to decide route and recognize obstacle based on hand posture recognition (손모양 인식기반의 경로교사와 장애물 인식이 가능한 자율보행 다족로봇 시스템)

  • Kim, Min-Sung;Jeong, Woo-Won;Kwan, Bae-Guen;Kang, Dong-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.1925-1936
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, multi-legged robot was designed and produced using stable walking pattern algorithm. The robot had embedded camera and wireless communication function and it is possible to recognize both hand posture and obstacles. The algorithm decided moving paths, and recognized and avoided obstacles through Hough Transform using Edge Detection of inputed image from image sensor. The robot can be controlled by hand posture using Mahalanobis Distance and average value of skin's color pixel, which is previously learned in order to decide the destination. The developed system has shown obstacle detection rate of 96% and hand posture recognition rate of 94%.