• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피해분석

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Utilization Evaluation of Water Level Data for Agricultural Reservoir Flood Analysis (저수지 홍수분석을 위한 저수위 자료의 활용성 평가)

  • Lee, Jaenam;Shin, Hyungjin;Lee, Jaeju;Kang, Munsung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.383-383
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라는 전국에 약 17,500여개의 크고 작은 농업용저수지가 있으며, 이 중 약 89%는 설치된 지 40년이 지나 노후화가 이뤄지고 있다. 최근에는 기후변화 영향으로 홍수피해가 대형화되고 있어 농촌지역의 홍수재해 발생시 저수지 하류부의 인명피해 및 농경지 침수피해는 증가될 것으로 예상된다. 한국농어촌공사는 농업용저수지의 효율적인 물관리 및 재해방지를 위해 자동수위계측기를 활용한 실시간 저수위 자료를 구축하고 있다. 기후변화에 따른 홍수피해를 신속하게 대응하기 위해서는 과거 홍수사상에 대한 저수지 모델링을 수행하고 그 결과를 농촌지역 풍수해 방지를 위한 의사결정 자료로 활용하게 된다. 기상예측정보의 활용에 앞서 농업용저수지의 홍수모의가 과거 수문사상을 현실적으로 재현하는지를 검토할 필요가 있어 본 연구에서는 저수지 홍수분석의 검정자료인 저수위 자료에 대한 활용성 평가를 수행하였다. 대상저수지는 ${{\circ}{\circ}}$농촌용수구역 내 위치한 ${{\circ}{\circ}}$저수지로 하고, 10분 단위의 저수위 자료를 활용하였다. 연도별 원시자료에 대한 결측, 불량자료, 이상치 등을 검토하고, 그 결과에 대한 유형분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구결과는 과거 홍수사상에 대한 농업용저수지 홍수모의 분석 및 검정을 통해 강우레이더 등 기상예측정보 기반의 농촌지역 홍수피해 산정결과의 신뢰도를 향상시킬 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Trend analysis of Mega Flood in the Han river basin (한강유역의 거대홍수 경향성 분석)

  • Kim, Bo Ran;Kim, Duck Hwan H;Han, Dae Gun;Hong, Seung Jin;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.153-153
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    • 2016
  • 최근 지구온난화 및 기후변화의 영향으로 수재해가 증가하고 있으며, 강우의 경향성이 변화하고 있다. 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 피해보다 장기간의 연속적인 강우의 발생으로 인한 피해가 더욱 크며, 기존 수공구조물의 설계기준은 연속적인 호우로 인한 피해를 고려하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 거대홍수란 집중호우, 태풍, 이상홍수 및 돌발홍수로 인한 홍수피해의 여파가 끝나기도 전에 또 다른 강우사상으로 인하여 거대한 홍수가 발생하는 시나리오적 상황을 의미한다. 본 연구에서는 기상청에서 제공하는 한강권역 30년 동안의 (1986 ${\infty}$ 2015년) 강우자료를 이용하여 거대홍수 발생횟수, 경향성, 설계기준을 초과하여 발생하는 거대홍수 초과빈도를 분석하였다. 최소 무강우 시간 정의(Inter Event Time Definition, IETD)를 이용하여 거대홍수를 산정하고, Mann-Kendall test 및 이중누가우량분석(double mass analysis)을 통하여 거대홍수의 경향성 분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기존 수공구조물의 설계기준의 취약점을 보완할 수 있을 것이라 판단되며, 태풍, 집중호우, 거대홍수 등으로 발생하는 홍수피해를 줄이기 위한 방재 사업의 우선순위 결정에 대한 근거 자료로 활용할 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

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A Study on the Damage Range According to Leakage Scenarios in Natural Gas Pipeline of LNG Fueled Ship (LNG 추진선의 천연가스 배관에서 누출 시나리오에 따른 피해범위에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yoon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2020
  • In this study, damages caused by flash fire, overpressure, and thermal radiation based on the sizes of leak holes were evaluated using the areal location of hazardous atmospheres when natural gas leaked owing to the damage of pipeline in a LNG fueled ship. In addition, environmental variables (wind speed, atmospheric temperature, and atmospheric stability) and process variables (pipe pressure and pipe length) were classified to analyze the damage impact ranges caused by various scenarios. From the results, the damage range caused by the environmental variables was the largest, followed by overpressure and thermal radiation. Additionally, for the process variables, regardless of the pressure, length, or size of the leak holes, the damage range attributed to flash fire was the most significant, and the damage range was high in the order of overpressure and thermal radiation, similar to the environmental variables. The larger the size of the leak holes, the higher the values of the environmental and process variables, and the higher the damage range caused by jet fire compared to the environmental variables.

Study on the Estimated Damage Cost of Private Properties Due to Natural Disaster (자연재해에 따른 사유재산 예상 피해액 산정방안 연구)

  • Jung, Woo-Young;Kim, Sung-Jun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.336-346
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    • 2012
  • In recent years, the number of unforeseen weather hazards increased significantly, and subsequent financial loss in public and private sector has increased as well. Research has been increasingly focused on the actual damage assessment in the event of a disaster through effective and comprehensive disaster countermeasures to deal with and improve a better anti-disaster strategy. Through investigation of existing domestic and foreign property loss related to current damage analysis, the comparison and analysis in terms of current estimated methodology of the full extent of the damage results is proposed. In this study, a more efficient damage index and natural disaster damage assessment is suggested and more specifically, the basic standards of declared disaster areas and the strength of private property damage index will be also be discussed.

Meta-Analysis Study on the Correlation Between School and Domestic Violence (가정폭력과 학교폭력 피해와의 상관관계 메타분석 연구)

  • Go, Eun Joo;Zang, Young Suk;Kim, Ko Eun
    • Korean Journal of Child Education & Care
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • Objective: This study aims to thoroughly analyze the correlation effect size between domestic violence and school violence by meta-analyzing previous studies on the correlation between school and domestic violence. Methods: For this purpose, meta-analysis was performed on the selected research material, which consists of national research data collected from various databases from 2001 to April, 2019. 16 thesis and 9 papers on the correlation between school and domestic violence were selected. A random effect model analysis based on the homogeneity examination results was performed on the selected data. Results: The results showed, just as Cohen (1977) proposed, that the correlation effect size between domestic and school violence was 0.25, which is moderate. This is a somewhat lower number than the previous studies on the same subject presented. Of the sub-categories of domestic violence, physical violence and psychological violence appeared to have a correlation effect size of 0.34 and 0.28, respectively, with physical violence showing the highest correlation effect size. Of the types of domestic violence, witnessing spouse violence and experiencing neglect appeared to have a moderate correlation size effect of 0.24. All of these results were statistically significant. Conclusion/Implications: This study utilized meta-analysis as a comprehensive and systematic method to analyze the correlation effect between domestic and school violence. The results presented may lead to discussions on the subject's social implications, limits, and propositions for future studies.

A Study on Improving the Quantitative Analysis Method for the Control Performance of Pine Wilt Disease (소나무재선충병 방제성과의 정량적 분석방법 개선 연구)

  • Cham Kim;Bum-Jin Park
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.113 no.2
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    • pp.259-270
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    • 2024
  • Since 2013, Korea has allocated significant budgets and manpower nationwide to prevent the spread of pine wilt disease and to reduce damage. As a result, the number of damaged trees decreased from 2.18 million in 2014 to 310,000 in 2021. However, the damage has increased again since then. Despite the overall decrease in the number of damaged trees, the scope of the damage continues to expand every year. Previous studies have develope In order to judge the control performance, a quantitative control performance analysis method to objectively evaluate control performance. This method takes into consideration two factors-quantity change and the change in the damage area, which is an area factor. This approach provides a more comprehensive assessment than the control guidelines that only suggest changes in damage grade based on the volume of damaged trees. The expansion of the damage range is also an important factor in analyzing control performance, but previous studies have not reflected this. Therefore, this study calculates the change in the distance of the pine wilt disease boundary area for Gyeongsangbuk-do, where changes in the damage range can easily be observed from year to year. The study then creates application criteria and coefficients and uses them to improves control performance index calculation formula. As a result, it was possible to calculate a quantitative analysis of the control performance, taking into account the changes in the damage range. When the improved formula was applied to 26 cities, counties, and districts in Gyeongsangbuk-do, it slightly decreased or increased compared to the existing calculation formula. This confirmed that the control performance index can change from a positive value (+), indicating increased damage, to a negative value (-), indicating reduced damage.

풍수재해 위험관리 대책

  • Kim, In-Tae
    • 방재와보험
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    • s.107
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    • pp.10-15
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    • 2005
  • 풍수재해 피해 증가를 예방하기 위해서는 사전 위험을 확인하고 분석하여 대비책을 강구하는 것이 중요하다. 재해예방을 위한 종합적 방재정책 마련으로 예방이 최우선되어야 하며, 신속한 대처를 통해 피해를 줄이고 불필요한 비용을 감소시켜야 피해당사자인 국민의 신회를 얻을 수 있다.

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Climate Change and Socioeconomic Change Effects on the Four Major Rivers: An Economic Appraisal (기후변화와 사회경제요인 변화에 따른 4대강의 물부족 피해 추정)

  • Lee, Yoon
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.107-130
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    • 2012
  • Economic analysis of climate change in the Korean peninsula has been conducted in the four major river basins. Although climate change impacts can vary in many terms, typically flood damages from the increase of precipitation and drought from rainless, this research only focused on effects of altering precipitation due to the lack of information and depth-damage functional form in Korea. This research also considered a gamma function of 5 % failure to deal with uncertainty issues in water resources. For the detailed analysis, time different discount rates have been used for short, mid, and long period, viz., 2.76%, 1.45%, and 0.62%, respectively. Over all effects of climate change on four major riverbasins can be summarized as no short period damage except the Han river basin. In the Han river basin, rapid increases of residential water use lead short term water shortage.

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Assessment of Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method for Early Detection of Frost Damage in Concrete (콘크리트의 초기동해 진단을 위한 초음파 속도법의 적용 가능성 평가)

  • Moon, Sohee;Lee, Taegyu;Choi, Heesup;Choi, Hyeonggil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2024
  • This research delves into the evaluation of the suitability of ultrasonic pulse velocity as a diagnostic tool for early detection of frost damage in concrete. The investigation involves the measurement of compressive strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity concerning the depth of freezing for individual mortar specimens, followed by an analysis of their microstructure and their interrelation. The findings indicate a consistent decrease in both compressive strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity with increasing freezing depth. Furthermore, a correlation between compressive strength and ultrasonic pulse velocity concerning the depth of early frost damage is established. Consequently, the study asserts the potential of utilizing the ultrasonic pulse velocity method for early detection of frost damage in concrete, with prospects for quantifying the depth of damage through further research endeavors.

Application of Empirical Life Loss method : Cheongju-si in Korea (경험적 인적피해 평가기법 적용 : 청주시를 대상으로)

  • Hong, Seung Jin;Kim, Gil Ho;Choi, Cheon Kyu;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.186-186
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    • 2019
  • 국내에서 자연재난의 대부분을 차지하는 홍수는 매년 반복되어 인명과 재산상의 막대한 손실을 유발하고 있다. 이러한 피해 중 인적피해를 최소화하기 위한 방재계획 및 정책수립이 우선되어야 하지만 적용성 측면에서 미진한 부분이 있는 것이 현실이다. 본 연구는 인적피해 평가를 지원하기 위해 피해실적에 근거한 경험적 인적피해 평가기법을 개발하였다. 또한, 해당기법의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 2017년 청주시 호우피해를 기준으로 적용성 검증을 실시하였다. 인적피해의 경우 인명과 이재민 피해를 동시에 고려하였으며, 인적피해를 위해 기본적으로 노출위험인구와 인적피해 발생확률을 기반으로 하였다. 노출위험인구의 경우 침수구역도와 집계구를 기준으로 계층화된 인구 인벤토리를 이용한 GIS 공간분석 결과로부터 결정된다. 그리고 인적피해 발생확률은 행정안전부의 국가재난관리시스템 내 피해이력, 재해연보 및 한국국토정보공사에서 제공받은 침수흔 적도를 토대로 침수등급과 인구계층을 구분하여 제시하였다. 본 연구를 통해 제시된 보다 효율적이고 정밀한 인적피해 평가 방법이 위험지구 결정, 자연재난 리스크 모델링, 방재사업 대안결정, 예산배분 등의 실무와 학술적 접근에 있어 활발히 활용되길 기대한다.

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