• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피해분석

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Analysis of extreme wind speed and precipitation using copula (코플라함수를 이용한 극단치 강풍과 강수 분석)

  • Kwon, Taeyong;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.797-810
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    • 2017
  • The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

Prediction System of Hydrodynamic Circulation and Freshwater Dispersion in Mokpo Coastal Zone (목포해역의 해수유동 및 담수확산 예측시스템)

  • Jung, Tae-Sung;Kim, Tae-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2008
  • In coastal region, eutrophication, Do deficit and red tide are frequently occurred by influx of fresh water. When the fresh water containing pollutants is discharged into the sea, the surrounding water is contaminated by dispersion of freshwater flowing into coastal waters. The prediction and analysis about the dispersion process of the discharged fresh water should be conducted. A modeling system using GUI was developed to simulate hydrodynamic flow and fresh water dispersion in coastal waters and to analyze the results efficiently. The modeling module of the system includes a tide model using a finite element method and a fresh water dispersion model using a particle-tracking method. This system was applied to predict the tidal currents and fresh water dispersion in Mokpo coastal zone. To verify accuracy of the hydrodynamic model, the simulation results were compared with observed sea level and time variations of tidal currents showing a good agreement. The fresh water dispersion was verified with observed salinity distribution. The dispersion model also was verified with analytic solutions with advection-diffusion problems in 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional simple domain. The system is operated on GUI environment, to ease the model handling such as inputting data and displaying results. Therefore, anyone can use the system conveniently and observe easily and accurately the simulation results by using graphic functions included in the system. This system can be used widely to decrease the environmental disaster induced by inflow of fresh water into coastal waters.

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Perception and Attitudes to Leftover Food at School Food Service -The Elementary School Students in Gwangju Area- (학교급식 잔반에 대한 인식 및 태도 - 광주지역 일부 초등학생을 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Mi-Sook;Jeon, Eun-Raye;Hwang, Kum-Hee;Jung, Lan-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated the perception and attitude to leftover food at school food service by the questionnaire survey of the elementary school students in Gwangju area. The school food service satisfaction was neutral and school food service cost and quality was satisfactory. The dissatisfaction of school food service was shown as unkind staffs and a shortage for fruit and beverage. The kinds of leftover food were seasoned vegetables and kimchi. The reasons for leftover food were unfavorite food and the frequency was shown as once or twice a week. For the order of eating food, the subject first ate food they had tried. The highest kind of an unbalanced diet was beans and minor grains. To reduce food waste, many students perceived that tasty food, education by a class teacher in class that it could pollute environment and do us damage, recycling as livestock feed, 'No Plate Waste Day' organized by school would be a feasible method to reduce food waste. The nutrient intake of eaten food was significantly higher for all nutrients in the group receiving food waste education than the control group (p<0.001).

Analysis on the Damage and Intensity of the 13 December 1996 Yeongweol Earthquake (1996년 12월 13일 영월지진의 피해 및 진도 분석)

  • 경재복;이기화
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.165-184
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    • 1996
  • The earthquake(M=4.5 by KMA), which occurred in the northeastern part of Yeongweol($37^{\circ}$ 15.75' N, $128^{\circ}$ 42.13' E) on December 13, 1996, shows shallow focal depth(about 8.0km) and relatively large felt area covering most of the southern peninsula. This is the first medium-size earthquake in inland region of the southern peninsula since 1978. It did not trigger foreshock but 13 aftershocks($M{\;}{\geq}{\;}2.5$) for a month. The intensity based on the felt area estimation of about 400 places shows MIMI III-VII in inland region, II on Cheju Island and I on ulreung Island. The isoseismal of MIMI VII shows an elongated circle in the direction of NE-SW and covers some parts of Jungdong-myon, Yeongweol-kun, Sindong-eup and Nam-myun, Jeongseon-kun. There occurred quite strong shaking, numerous cracks on the walls of buildings, falling and movement of slate and tiles on the roofs, falling of tiles from the wall and falling of materials from desks, rock falling from mountain and collapse of gravel layers on the river side. Mainshock and aftershocks occurred condensely between Yemi and Hwaam areas. The felt area due to the Yeongweol earthquake is Quite larger than those of similar size earthquakes in the Korean Peninsula.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Model Parameters used in a Coupled Dam-Break/FLO-2D Model to Simulate Flood Inundation (FLO-2D에서 댐붕괴 모형 매개변수의 침수 범위 민감도 분석)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha;Son, Myung-Ho;Kim, Sung-Wook;Yu, Soonyoung;Cho, Jin-Woo;Kim, Jin-Man;Jung, Jung-Kyu
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2014
  • Numerical modeling is commonly used to reproduce the physical phenomena of dam-break and to compile resulting flood hazard maps. The accuracy of a dam-break model depends on the physical structure that describes the volume of storage, breach formation and progress, input variables, and model parameters. Model input and parameters are subjective in that they are prescribed; hence, caution is needed when interpreting the results. This study focuses on three parameters (breach degree ${\theta}$, shape factor P, and collapse rate k) used when the dam-break model is coupled with FLO-2D (a two-dimensional flood simulation model) to estimate flood coverage and depth etc. The results show that the simulation is sensitive to the shape factor P and the collapse rate k but not to the breach degree ${\theta}$. This study will contribute to reducing flood damage from dam-break disasters in the future.

Time-dependent Performance-based Design of Caisson Breakwater Considering Climate Change Impacts (기후변화 효과를 고려한 케이슨 방파제의 시간 의존 성능설계)

  • Suh, Kyung-Duck;Kim, Seung-Woo;Mori, Nobuhito;Mase, Hajime
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.215-225
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    • 2011
  • During the past decade, the performance-based design method of caisson breakwaters has been developed, which allows a certain damage while maintaining the function of the structure. However, the existing method does not consider the changing coastal environment due to climate change impacts so that the stability of the structure is not guaranteed over the lifetime of the structure. In this paper, a time-dependent performance-based design method is developed, which is able to estimate the expected sliding distance and the probability of failure of a caisson breakwater considering the influence of sea level rise and wave height increase due to climate change. Especially, time-dependent probability of failure is calculated by considering the sea level rise and wave height increase as a function of time. The developed method was applied to the East Breakwater of the Hitachinaka Port which is located on the east coast of Japan. It was shown that the influence of wave height increase is much greater than that of sea level rise, because the magnitude of sea level rise is negligibly small compared with the water depth at the breakwater site. Moreover, investigation was made for the change of caisson width due to climate change impacts, which is the main concern of harbor engineers. The longer the structure lifetime, the greater was the increase of caisson width. The required increase of caisson width of the Hitachinaka breakwater whose width is 22 m at present was about 0.5 m and 1.5 m respectively for parabolic and linear wave height increase due to climate change.

Growth and Yield Responses of Soybean under Night Illumination at Different Growth Stages (콩의 생육단계별 야간조명에 따른 생육 및 수량 반응)

  • 김충국;서종호;조현숙;김시주;허일봉
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.478-482
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    • 2001
  • This experiment conducted to know physiological characteristics and stress effect on different growth stage of soybean by night illumination. Soybean variety, Shinpaldalkong 2, Keumjungkong and Muhankong were treated by night illumination with 20~30 Lux (0.05~0.08W m$^{-2}$ , 0.24~0.36 $\mu$㏖ S$^{-1}$ m$^{-2}$ ) for 15 days at six different growth stage, seedling, pre-floral initiation, post-floral initiation, pod filling and seed ripening stage. Night illumination delayed flowering to 2~8 days compared to control. Delay of flowering by night illumination severely effected at the pre-floral initiation stage. Stem length was increased all the night illumination treatments except the pod filling stage. Number of nodes in Shinpaldalkong 2 and Keumjungkong 1 were increased until before post-floral initiation stage but in Muhankong were increased until after post-floral initiation stage by night illumination treatments. Number of pods were decreased all the night illumination treatments except seedling stage compared with control. Yield decreased all the treatments and severe the loss rate degree showed the order of prefloral initiation, post-floral initiation, seedling and flowering stage.

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Modeling for the fate of Organic Chemicals in a Multi-media Environment Using MUSEM (다매체 환경 모델 MUSEM을 이용한 유해화학물질의 환경거동예측 모델링)

  • Roh, Kyong-Joon;Kim, Dong-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2007
  • Pollution by chemical substances such as POPs, EDCs and PBTs in the ecosystem has become more complex and varied, increasing the possibility of irreversible damage to human health or the ecosystem. It is necessary to have a exposure assessment in a multi-media environment for various chemical substances is required for efficient management. This study applied MUSEM(Multi-media Simplebox-systems Environmental Model), a multimedia environmental model that can simultaneously evaluate the possibility of exposure of hundreds of chemical substances in order to efficiently manage chemical substances that can have negative impact on human health or ecological environment through environmental contamination. MUSEM executed the modeling for Japan by setting all 47 prefectures of japan as the regional area for 62 chemical substances and the rest of the territory of japan, excluding regional area, as the continental area and made the estimation of concentration among environment media in each administrative area and made the sensitivity analysis on Tokyo area. The results of simulation for chemical distribution showed that most of the target chemicals located in water region. The result of sensitivity analysis for octanol-water partition rate showed that the concentration change of soil in urban/industrial area and sediment in freshwater was high. In the case of sensitivity analysis for degradation rate showed that the concentration change of freshwater, soil in urban/industrial area, and sediment in freshwater was high.

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A Research Study on Monitoring for Establishing Disaster Safety Villages in Rural Areas -Based on Disaster Prevention Experience Village in Garisan-ri, Inje-gun- (농촌지역 재난안전마을 구축을 위한 모니터링 조사 연구 -인제군 가리산리 방재체험마을 중심으로-)

  • Koo, Wonhoi;Baek, Minho
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.398-404
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the field investigation was carried out in an area damaged by flood, which recently occurred in Chungcheong region, in order to establish a disaster safety village in a rural area. In addition, the history and characteristics of a village in Garisan-ri, Inje-gun, Gangwon-do that experienced loss of life and property caused by flood in 2006 were analyzed through monitoring. The village was restored and has been operated as a disaster prevention experience village for the purpose of disaster prevention, and its structural and non-structural status was monitored during the analysis. Based on the results, application measures for establishing a disaster safety village in a rural area in future were examined. At the time of restoring food damage, the residents' participation was actively reflected in the process of establishing the disaster prevention experience village in Garisan-ri. The village has been currently operated until now as an example of disaster safety village in rural regions, and various activities including training and educational programs are carried out in order to reinforce the disaster prevention capability of residents. The findings of this study can be used for establishing a disaster safety village in a rural area based on such characteristics.

An Experimental Environment for Simulation of Stealthy Deception Attack in CPS Using PLCitM (PLC in the Middle) (중간자 PLC를 이용한 CPS 은닉형 공격 실험환경 구축 방안)

  • Chang, Yeop;Lee, Woomyo;shin, Hyeok-Ki;Kim, Sinkyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2018
  • Cyber-Physical System (CPS) is a system in which a physical system and a cyber system are strongly integrated. In order to operate the target physical system stably, the CPS constantly monitors the physical system through the sensor and performs control using the actuator according to the current state. If a malicious attacker performs a forgery attack on the measured values of the sensors in order to conceal their attacks, the cyber system operated based on the collected data can not recognize the current operation status of the physical system. This causes the delay of the response of the automation system and the operator, and then more damage will occur. To protect the CPS from increasingly sophisticated and targeted attacks, countermeasures must be developed that can detect stealthy deception attacks. However, in the CPS environment composed of various heterogeneous devices, the process of analyzing and demonstrating the vulnerability to actual field devices requires a lot of time. Therefore, in this study, we propose a method of constructing the experiment environment of the PLCitM (PLC in the middle) which can verify the performance of the techniques to detect the CPS stealthy deception attack and present the experimental results.