• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피해분석

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Development of Measures to Reduce Forest Fire by Analyzing the Occurrence Frequency and the Ignition Point of Forest Fire (산림화재의 발생빈도와 발화장소 분석을 통한 산림화재 저감을 위한 방안 도출)

  • Lee, Jae-Young;Kim, Young-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.439-440
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    • 2022
  • 우리나라 건기에 해당하는 봄철에는 산불화재에 예방에 주의해야 한다. 그러나 안타깝게도 이 시기에는 다양한 언론매체를 통하여 산불화재 피해에 대한 소식을 전해 들어야만 하는 것이 사실이다. 2022년 울진군에서 발생한 산불화재는 국내에서 2000년 동해안 산불에 이어 역대 2번째로 피해 규모가 큰 산불화재이다. 산불화재은 건축화재와 달리 피해면적에 광범위하기에 더욱 주의를 기울여야만 하며, 언론매체를 통한 피해 규모를 살펴보면 산불의 위험성을 증대하는 것처럼 느껴진다. 본 연구에서는 국가화재통계를 이용하여 국내에서 발생하는 산불화재의 발생빈도와 발화장소에 대하여 살펴보았다. 이를 통하여 대규모 산불화재로 인한 피해를 예방하기 위한 방안으로서 화재안전대책 우선순위를 도출하고자 하였다.

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Risk Analysis for Cut Slope using Probabilistic Index of Landslide (사면파괴 가능성 지수를 이용한 절취사면 위험도 분석)

  • Jang, Hyun-Shic;Oh, Chan-Sung;Jang, Bo-An
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.2 s.52
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2007
  • Landslides which is one of the major natural hazard is defined as a mass movement of weathered material rock and debris due to gravity and can be triggered by complex mechanism. It causes enormous property damages and losses of human lift directly and indirectly. In order to mitigate landslide risk effectively, a new method is required to develope for better understanding of landslide risk based on the damaged cost produce, investment priority data, etc. In this study, we suggest a new evaluation method for slope stability using risk analysis. 30 slopes including 10 stable slopes, 10 slopes of possible failure and 10 failed slopes along the national and local roads are examined. Risk analysis comprises the hazard analysis and the consequence analysis. Risk scores evaluated by risk analysis show very clear boundaries for each category and are the highest for the failed slopes and the lowest for the stable slopes. The evaluation method for slope stability suggested by this research may define the condition and stability of slope more clearly than other methods suggested by others.

The Analysis of Volcanic-ash-deposition Damage using Spatial-information-based Volcanic Ash Damage Sector and Volcanic Ash Diffusion Simulation of Mt. Aso Volcano Eruption Scenario (공간정보 기반의 국내 화산재 피해 분야와 아소산 화산재 모의 확산 시나리오를 활용한 화산재 누적 피해 분석)

  • Baek, Won-Kyung;Kim, Miri;Han, Hyeon-gyeong;Jung, Hyung-Sup;Hwang, Eui-Hong;Lee, Haseong;Sun, Jongsun;Chang, Eun-Chul;Lee, Moungjin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_3
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    • pp.1221-1233
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    • 2019
  • Estimating damage in each sector that can be caused by volcanic ash deposition, is very important to prepare the volcanic ash disaster. In this study, we showed predicted-Korean-volcanic-ash damage of each sector by using volcanic ash diffusion simulation and spatial-data-based volcanic ash damage sector in previous study. To this end, volcanic ash related base maps were generated by collecting and processing spatial information data. Finally, we showed Korean-volcanic-ash-deposition damages by sector using the collected Mt. Aso volcanic ash scenarios via overlapping analysis. As a result, volcanic-ash-related damages were expected to occur in the 162 and 134 districts for each Aso volcanic ash scenarios, since those districts exceeds the minimum volcanic ash damage criterion of 0.01 mm. Finally, we compared possible volcanic ash damages by sectors using collected and processed spatial data, after selecting administrative districts(Scenario 190805- Kangwon-do, Kyungsangbuk-do; Scenario 190811-Chuncheon-si, Hongcheon-si) with the largest amount of volcanic ash deposition.

Studies on the Cause and Control for Non-Sprouting in the Mulberry Field of Kyung-pook Province (경북지방의 뽕밭에 발생한 발아불량현상의 원인 및 방제에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Geun-Seop;Kim, Gyu-Rae;Kim, Nak-Sang
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1986
  • This study was conducted to bring light on inducing factors for non-sprouting occured in the mulberry field of Kyungpook Province in 1983. The results are as follws ; 1. In spring, winter buds were suddenly died during germination, necrosis appeared in pholem and cortex of non-sprouting stem and measles at the bottom of non-sprouting stem. 2. The depth of available of soil was more shallow in the non-sproutiong field than in healthy field. 3. There was no signifioant difference between the healthy field and non-sprouting field in siol PH, the content of organic matter, available phosphorous and exchangeble cations. 4. Available boron content in soil was significantly more in healthy field than in non-sprouting field. 5. Boron content in leaf and bark was significantly lower in the non-sproutiong tree than in the healthy tree. 6. The non-sprouting fields were completely controlled by the application of 6kg/10a borax. 7. Cold tolerance of the mulberry tree was higher in the mulberry tree with boron than in the mulberry tree without boron. 8. Mulberry tree in Kyungpook Province in 1983 may absorb water earlier compared with the average year because of high temperature at the end of March, 1983 and they had been damaged by frost injuary due to the lowest temperature (-6.4$^{\circ}C$) on the grass at the beginning of April 1983. As the above results, non-sprouting bud in the mulberry fields of Kyungpook Province in 1983 had been occured by low temperature and boron deficiency and boron deficiency of mulberry trees accelerared the frost injury.

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An Automated Flood Risk Mapping Algorithm using GIS-based Techniques considering Characteristics of Jeju streams (제주하천 특성 고려 GIS 기반 홍수범람위험도 자동화 알로리즘)

  • Kim, Dongsu;Kim, Taeeun;Son, Geunsoo;You, Hojun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.634-634
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    • 2015
  • 최근 국지성 호우와 잦은 태풍으로 인한 돌발홍수가 빈번하게 발생하여 도심지에서의 호안유실과 범람으로 많은 외수침수의 피해가 발생하고 있다. 또한 기후변화에 따른 강우량의 증가와 집중호우로 인한 홍수 피해는 지속적으로 증가할 것으로 예상됨에 따라 대하천 유역을 중심으로 홍수범람예측 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있지만 대하천을 제외한 지방 중소하천의 연구가 미비한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지방 중소하천 중 태풍과 집중호우의 영향이 많은 제주지역의 주요 하천 중의 하나인 한천 유역을 테스트베드로 선정하여 연구를 진행하였다. 한천은 강우 시에만 유출이 발생하는 건천으로, 집중호우 시 암반하상 조건, 복개, 교각 등으로 수위가 국부적으로 급격히 상승하는 경우가 있었다. 그리고 한천 하류부에는 도심이 위치하고 있어 돌발홍수 발생 시 막대한 피해가 발생한다. 이에 따라 홍수 피해를 줄이기 위한 제도화, 정책결정 등의 구조적 해결방안과 홍수 피해의 규모와 원인을 분석하는 비구조적 해결방안에 대한 연구가 시급하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 홍수범람 등으로 인한 홍수 피해규모를 산정하여 각 정부부처 및 유관기관, 지자체에서 빠른 정책결정을 내릴 수 있는 자료를 제공하는 목적으로 제주도의 특성을 고려한 홍수범람위험도 산정 알고리즘을 개발하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 제주 한천유역의 단면 자료와 빈도별 홍수량 자료를 이용하여 HEC-RAS 모형으로 수리학적 흐름특성 모의를 실사하였다. 모의된 결과를 바탕으로 ArcGIS 소프트웨어인 ESRI사의 ArcMap을 이용하여 빈도별 홍수위 자료와 제주지역 수치표고모형 자료를 활용한 빈도별 홍수범람지도를 산정하고, 좌안과 우안의 제방고로부터 위험도를 산정하여 홍수범람위험도를 각각 구축하였다. 구축된 결과를 이용하여 분석하고자하는 해당 빈도의 홍수위와 홍수량이 발생할 때의 피해지역을 예측하였으며, 예측된 지역과 제주시의 공시지가 자료를 중첩하여 피해지역에 대한 피해액을 산정하였다. 본 연구의 알고리즘을 적용한 2007년 태풍 '나리' 사상의 경우와 비교한 결과, '나리' 사상의 침수 흔적도와 유사한 홍수범람지도를 획득 할 수 있었으며, 모의된 유역의 하천 복개구간을 중심으로 홍수범람이 발생한다는 점과 우안보다 좌안에서의 홍수범람위험도와 피해액이 더 크게 나타난 점 등의 홍수범람 특성을 파악할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제시된 기법을 이용할 경우, 홍수에 의한 취약지에 대한 제방 설계 강화, 하천의 보수 정비 등 정책적 결정에 사용될 수 있을 것이며, 실시간 자료제공, 재해정보시스템 등에 적용하여 홍수범람 피해를 줄일 수 있는 기반기술이 될 것으로 사료된다.

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Autoregressive Cross-lagged Effects Between the Experience of Bullying and Victimization: Multigroup Analysis by Gender (학교폭력 가해경험과 피해경험의 종단관계 검증: 자기회귀교차지연 모형을 통한 성별 간 다집단 분석)

  • Jisu Park;Yoonsun Han
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the persistent and dynamic association between bullying and victimization. Gender differences in patterns of school bullying was hypothesized based on the literature. Analysis were based on waves 3-6 of the Korea Children and Youth Panel Survey, a nationally representative data of primary and secondary school students in South Korea (N = 1,881). Autoregressive cross-lagged model was employed to identify the reciprocal association between bullying and victimization in longitudinal data. As hypothesized, regardless of gender, lagged effects were statistically significant between each time points such that current bullying caused future bullying and current victimization led to future victimization. However, there was no cross-lagged effects of current victimization on future bullying nor current perpetration on future victimization for both male and female youth. Findings from this study may have implications for designing policies against school bulling. Not only is short-term intervention for handling immediate psycho-social maladjustment important, but so are long-term plans that prevent youth from falling into continued perpetration and victimization in the system of school bullying.

Idea of Persecution and Psychological Factors Associated With Idea of Persecution in Patients With PTSD (PTSD 환자의 피해 사고 및 피해 사고에 기여하는 심리학적 요인)

  • Seungyun Lee;Young Kyung Moon;Sora Lee;Hayun Choi
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2023
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to identify the factors affecting ideas of persecution in post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) patients who underwent Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale (CAPS) and Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory-2 (MMPI-2). Methods : We retrospectively reviewed 116 patients who underwent CAPS and MMPI 2 between May 2013 and April 2020 at Veteran Health Service Medical Center. Based on the CAPS score, the patients were divided into the PTSD group (n=63, age: 58.16±17.84) and the trauma exposed without PTSD group (n=53, age: 67.34±12.05). After checking the correlation between Ideas of persecution, CAPS, and MMPI-2 scales, linear regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for clinically relevant symptoms. Results : The PTSD group showed significant differences in Schizophrenia, Ideas of persecution, Dysfunctional negative emotions, Aberrant Experiences, Psychoticism, Negative Emotionality/Neuroticism, Anxiety, Depression, and Anger scales compared to the trauma-exposed without PTSD group. When analyzing the correlation between Idea of persecution, CAPS and MMPI-2 scales, there was a strong association with most of the scales in MMPI-2 and Idea of persecution except Disconstraint. Multiple linear regression analysis performed in PTSD group identified that risk factors for Idea of persecution were Dysfunctional negative emotions and Anger scale. Conclusions : The PTSD group had increased idea of persecution compared to the trauma exposed without PTSD group. Dysfunctional negative emotions and anger may be risk factors for idea of persecution in trauma exposed population.

최근 주요 해킹 피해 동향과 대응 방안

  • 성재모;노봉남;안승호
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.80-84
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    • 2006
  • 최근의 홈페이지 해킹은 단순 홈페이지 변조뿐만 아니라 피싱에 악용하거나 해킹한 홈페이지를 이용하여 홈페이지 방문자의 게임 계정과 비밀번호 유출 및 개인금융정보를 유출하는 등 금전적 이득을 위한 범죄적인 성향으로 바뀌고 있다. 인터넷 상에서 고객의 개인정보를 지키고, 기관의 신뢰를 유지하기 위해서 기관을 대표하는 얼굴인 홈페이지 보안 관리에 관심을 가져야 할 것 같다. 본고에서는 최근 발생한 홈페이지 관련 해킹 피해 사례를 분석해 보고 피해 예방을 위한 대응 방안을 기술한다.

An exploration of the relationship between crime/victim characteristics and the victim's criminal damages: Variable selection based on random forest algorithm (범죄 및 피해자 특성과 범죄피해 내용의 관계 탐색: 랜덤포레스트 알고리즘에 기초한 변인선택)

  • Han, Yuhwa;Lee, Wooyeol
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.121-145
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    • 2022
  • The current study applied the random forest algorithm to Korean crime victim survey data collected biennially between 2010 and 2018 to explore the relationship between crime/victim characteristics and the victim's criminal damages. A total of 3,080 cases including gender, age (life cycle stage), type of crime, perpetrator acquisition, repeated victimization, psychological damage (depression, isolation, extreme fear, somatic symptoms, interpersonal problems, moving out to avoid people, suicidal impulses, suicide attempts), and emotional changes after victimization (changes in self-protection confidence, self-esteem, confidence in others, confidence in legal institutions, and respect for Korean legal system/law) were analyzed. Considering the features of data that are difficult to apply traditional statistical techniques, this study implemented random forest algorithms to predict crime and victim characteristics using the victim's criminal damages (psychological damage and emotional change) and selected good predictors using VSURF function in VSURF package for R. As a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that the relationship between the type of crime and depression, extreme fear, somatic symptoms, and interpersonal problems, between perpetrator acquisition and somatic symptoms and interpersonal problems, and between repeated victimization and changes in respect for Korean legal system/law. Gender and life cycle stage (youth/adult/elderly) were found to be related to extreme fear and changes in self-protection confidence, respectively. However, more empirical evidence should be aggregated to explain the results as meaningful. The results of this study suggest that it is necessary to enhance the experts' knowledge and educate them on cases about the relationship between crime/victim characteristics and criminal damage. Strengthening their interview strategy and knowledge about law/rules were also needed to increase the effectiveness of the Korean victim assessment system.

An Analysis of the Hail Damages to Korean Forests in 2017 by Meteorology, Species and Topography (2017년 우박에 의한 산림피해의 기상, 수종 및 지형 특성 분석)

  • Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Eunsook;Lee, Bora;Kim, Sunhee;Jang, Keunchang
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.280-292
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    • 2017
  • Hail is not a frequently occurring weather event, and there are even fewer reports of hail damages to forest stands. Since the 2000s, an increase in hail incidence has been documented in Europe and the United States. In Korea, severe hails occurred in Jeollanam-do province on May 31 and in Gyeongsangbuk-do province on June 1, 2017. Hail size was ranged from 0.5 to 5.0 cm in diameter in Jeollanam-do, and from 1.5 to 3.0 cm in Gyeongsangbuk-do. This study was aimed to analyze the hail damages to forests by species and topography based on damage-categorized maps created by using drones and aerial photographs, and to analyze relationships of the damages with meteorological factors. The total damaged forest area was 1,163.1ha in Jeollanam-do, and 2,942.3ha in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Among the 'severe' damaged area 326.7ha, 91% was distributed in Jeollanam-do, and concentrated in the city of Hwasun which covers 57.2% of the total 'severe' damaged area. The most heavily damaged species was Korean red pine(Pinus densiflora S. & Z.) followed by P. rigida. Most broad-leaved trees species including oaks were recovered without any dead trees found. Liliodendron tulipifera was the most severely damaged in terms of the rate of 'severe' degree individuals which are needed to be checked whether they will die or be recovered. Cause of the death of pines was considered as the combination of physical damage caused by the hail and long-lasting drought with high air temperature that occurred before and after the hail event. No pathogens and insects were found which might have affected to tree deaths. We suggested a dieback mechanism of the pine trees damaged by hail and drought.