• Title/Summary/Keyword: 피격 확률

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A Method for Reliability Analysis of Armored Fighting Vehicle using RBD based on Integrated Hit Probabilities of Crews and Components (통합 피격 확률 분석을 이용한 RBD 기반의 전차 신뢰도 분석 방법)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.1040-1048
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the studies of integrated reliability analysis for combat systems are actively progressing. Especially, the research of integrated reliability analysis is emphasized to overcome limitations of the previous studies. In this paper, we propose a calculation technique for integrated hit probability based on front and side hit probabilities that analyzed in previous studies to improve the time-effectiveness. Also, we find out the integrated reliability of each component based on the integrated hit probability which is calculated, and we propose the method which applied the reliability block diagram technique to analyze the whole combat system of the reliability by function kills. For verifying the proposed method, we applied the proposed method to armored fighting vehicle model. The proposed method considers crew which does not considered the element in the previous study and expects to enhance the accuracy of reliability analysis and the time-effectiveness compared with the previous study.

A Development of Hit Probability-based Vulnerability Analysis System for Armored Fighting Vehicle using Fault Tree Analysis Technique (FTA 기법을 활용한 피격 확률 기반의 전차 취약성 분석 시스템 개발)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Yoo, Byeong-Gyu;Lee, Jae-Woong;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.1981-1989
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the development of reliability analysis system for combat system is required, because, necessities of integrated reliability analysis research are emphasized. In this paper, we develop a system which analyzes vulnerabilities for tank(or armored vehicle) based on the fault tree analysis(FTA) technique. The FTA is representative technique of reliability analysis to find cause of fault and calculate probability of fault. To do this, we propose a method to apply FTA technique into domain of vulnerability analysis for tank. Also, we develop the vulnerability analysis system using the proposed method. The system analyzes hit probabilities of components of tank based on multiple shot-lines, and calculates kill probabilities. The analyzed and calculated data support vulnerability analysis of tank.

A Study on Means of Compliance for Lightning Protection in the System and Structure of Air Vehicles (비행체 시스템과 구조물의 낙뢰 보호 적합성 입증방법에 관한 고찰)

  • Jeong, Duckyoung
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.spc
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2020
  • The average probability of a lightning strike to transport aircraft operating in airline service has been estimated to be approximately one strike in every year (or one strike per 1,000 through 20,000 flight hours). The important thing is not the probability of a lightning strike to aircraft, but the fact that aircraft is struck by lightning. Therefore, lightning protection design for aircraft should be qualified and compliance with airworthiness standards related to lightning protection must be substantiated in the process of certification. In this paper, I studied means of compliance for lightning protection through analysis of some test cases, including the KC-100 airplane that firstly obtained civil type certificate in Korea. Based on this paper, it will be also necessary to study on the effect of lightning for space launch vehicles.

A Feasibility Study on the Estimation of a Ship's Susceptibility Based on the Effectiveness of its Anti-Air Defense Systems (함정 대공방어시스템의 효과도를 활용한 피격성 추정 가능성 연구)

  • GeonHui Lee;SeokTae Yoon;YongJin Cho
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the increased use of anti-ship guided missiles, a weapon system that detects and attacks targets in naval engagement, has come to pose a major threat to the survivability of ships. In order to improve the survivability of ships in response to such anti-ship guided missiles, many studies of means to counteract them have been conducted in militarily advanced countries. The integrated survivability of a ship can be largely divided into susceptibility, vulnerability, and recoverability, and is expressed as the conditional probability, if the ship is hit, of damage and recovery. However, as research on susceptibility is a major military secret of each country, access to it is very limited and there are few publicly available data. Therefore, in this study, a possibility of estimating the susceptibility of ships using an anti-air defense system corresponding to anti-ship guided missiles was reviewed. To this, scenarios during engagement, weapon systems mounted to counter threats, and maximum detection/battle range according to the operational situation of the defense weapon system were defined. In addition, the effectiveness of the anti-air defense system and susceptibility was calculated based on the performance of the weapon system, the crew's ability to operate the weapon system, and the detection probability of the detection/defense system. To evaluate the susceptibility estimation feasibility, the sensitivity of the detailed variables was reviewed, and the usefulness of the established process was confirmed through sensitivity analysis.

A Development of Component Vulnerability Analysis Program for Armored Fighting Vehicle using Criticality based on FMECA (FMECA 기반 위험도를 활용한 전차의 구성 부품별 취약성 분석 프로그램의 개발)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.1973-1980
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    • 2015
  • The combat system has a different purpose depending on its mission. All functions of combat system are important, but, the components that related main functions for the purpose, are important than other components. Also, the hit probability of component is proportional to area of the component. Therefore, when we analyze vulnerability of combat system, to consider the importance and hit probability of component. Thus to improve reliability of combat system, we apply the analyzed result to design combat system. In this paper, we develop a vulnerability analysis program based on criticality which calculated from importance and hit probability of components by related researches. To do this, we propose a methodology to apply criticality of components, and define classification rates for calculating criticality based on FMECA. Additionally, we propose a technique of vulnerability analysis using criticality of components, and apply the proposed technique to develop and test the vulnerability analysis program for automation of analysis.

The consideration of the ESE technical development and background (광역피뢰침(ESE)의 기술개발과 배경의 고찰)

  • Moon, Byong-Joo;Park, Jang-Tae; Lee, Hyen-Hwa;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11d
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    • pp.14-17
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    • 2004
  • 낙뢰는 본적으로 "완벽한 보호"가 불가능하며 단지 낙뢰 피해의 가능성을 최대한으로 낮추는데 그 의미가 있다. 기술 선진국의 경우 보호반경이나 보호범위는 이 범주 안에서 완벽한 보호가 됨을 명시하는 것이 아니며 어떤 보호확률을 설정하고 그 설정된 보호확률(보호효율)을 보장하는 범위가 어떻게 되는가를 나타내는 것이 보호범위(보호반경)이며 보호확률(보호효율)이 되는 개념인 것이다. 미국의 경우 NFPA에 의거하여, 보호개념의 뇌격거리를 30,45m로 명시하는 것이며 프랑스 및 유럽의 다수 국가에서는 NF C에 의거한 20,45,60m의 피격거리에 의한 보호반경(보호범위)를 명시한 것이다. 어느 것이 더 우수하고 나쁘고의 차원이 아니며 낙뢰보호의 설계시 건축물의 중요도, 낙뢰빈도수, 낙뢰전류의 크기 등 다양한 변수를 고려한 보호확률을 선정하여 보호범위를 설계하여야 할 것이다. 본 논문에서는 자체 개발된 ESE피뢰침을 통해 얻은 기술의 기본적 개념과 기술의 배경을 고찰하였으며 이를 통해 건축물의 적용시 보다 안정되고 효율 높은 낙뢰 보호를 위한 설계, 감리의 초석이 되고자 한다.

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Development of a Vulnerability Assessment Model for Naval Ships on a Theater Engagement Analysis (전구급 교전분석을 위한 함정 취약성 평가모델 개발)

  • Lee, Sungkyun;Go, Jinyong;Kim, Changhwan;You, Seungki
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • In actual battlefield environment, the naval ships which have specific missions have to respond to the attack of hostile forces. Especially, in modern warfare, the importance of the survivability of naval ships are increasing due to the high lethality of armaments. Naval ship survivability is generally considered to encompass three constituents, susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability. Recently, among these three constituents, many researches on vulnerability have been conducted. However, for the vulnerability of naval ships, most of researches are aimed towards the detailed design stages where implementing changes is heavily constrained or even impractical. In this paper, vulnerability assessment model for naval ships on a theater engagement is developed by using M&S technique. By using this model, the characteristics of platform and armaments are reflected on the damage of naval ship. The basic logic of damage assessment is also considered in detail. The damage status of the naval ship is quantified by defining a representative state index of onboard equipment for each system.

A Method and Application of Vulnerability Analysis for Combat Systems Considering Threats and Defense Ability : Focused on PKM Model (위협의 특성과 장갑의 방호 성능을 고려한 전투 시스템의 취약성 분석 방법 및 활용 : 고속정 모델을 대상으로)

  • Hwang, Hun-Gyu;Kim, Bae-Sung;Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.1623-1631
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    • 2016
  • There are many researches which analyze vulnerability for combat systems, have been progressing, and apply the analyzed result to reflect on design phase. Recently, there have been requirements for integrating the previous module based researches which conducted independently. In this paper, we propose an integrated vulnerability analysis method for the combat system considering characteristics of threats and protection performance of armors through an analysis of the advanced research. In addition, by applying the proposed method improves the existing hit probability analysis program and we are verified based on scenarios for improving survivability of PKM (Petrol Killer Medium) for vulnerability analysis confirmed the results. The proposed method improves reliability of vulnerability analysis by considering threats and defense ability. Also it able to satisfied with the integration requirements. Furthermore, we became buildup for the development of applied system and the method and integrated vulnerability analysis method for combat systems.