• Title/Summary/Keyword: 풍속 오차

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Improving usage of the Korea Meteorological Administration's Digital Forecasts in Agriculture: III. Correction for Advection Effect on Determination of Daily Maximum Temperature Over Sloped Surfaces (기상청 동네예보의 영농활용도 증진을 위한 방안: III. 사면 일 최고기온 결정에 미치는 이류효과 보정)

  • Kim, Soo-Ock;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.297-303
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    • 2014
  • The effect of solar irradiance has been used to estimate daily maximum temperature, which make it possible to reduce the error inherent to lapse-rate based elevation difference correction in mountainous terrain. Still, recent observations indicated that the effect of solar radiation would need correction for estimation of daily maximum temperature. It was attempted to examine what would cause the variability of solar irradiance effect in determination of daily maximum temperature under natural field conditions and to suggest improved methods for estimation of the temperature distribution over mountainous regions. Temperature at 1500 and the wind speed for 1100 to 1500 were obtained at 10 validation sites with various topographical features including slope and aspect within a mountainous $50km^2$ catchment for 2012-2013. Lapse-rate corrected temperature estimates on clear days were compared with these observations, which would represent the differential irradiance effect among sloped surfaces. Results indicated a negative correlation between the mean wind speed and the estimation error. A simple scheme was derived from relationship between wind speed and estimation error for daily temperature to correct the effect of solar radiation. This scheme was incorporated into an existing model to estimate daily maximum temperature based on the effect of solar radiation. At 10 validation sites on clear days, estimates of 1500 LST temperature with and without the correction scheme were compared. It was found that a substantial improvement was achieved when the correction scheme was applied in terms of bias correction as well as error size reduction at all sites.

A Statistical Correction of Point Time Series Data of the NCAM-LAMP Medium-range Prediction System Using Support Vector Machine (서포트 벡터 머신을 이용한 NCAM-LAMP 고해상도 중기예측시스템 지점 시계열 자료의 통계적 보정)

  • Kwon, Su-Young;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Man-Il
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.415-423
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    • 2021
  • Recently, an R-based point time series data validation system has been established for the statistical post processing and improvement of the National Center for AgroMeteorology-Land Atmosphere Modeling Package (NCAM-LAMP) medium-range prediction data. The time series verification system was used to compare the NCAM-LAMP with the AWS observations and GDAPS medium-range prediction model data operated by Korea Meteorological Administration. For this comparison, the model latitude and longitude data closest to the observation station were extracted and a total of nine points were selected. For each point, the characteristics of the model prediction error were obtained by comparing the daily average of the previous prediction data of air temperature, wind speed, and hourly precipitation, and then we tried to improve the next prediction data using Support Vector Machine( SVM) method. For three months from August to October 2017, the SVM method was used to calibrate the predicted time series data for each run. It was found that The SVM-based correction was promising and encouraging for wind speed and precipitation variables than for temperature variable. The correction effect was small in August but considerably increased in September and October. These results indicate that the SVM method can contribute to mitigate the gradual degradation of medium-range predictability as the model boundary data flows into the model interior.

Development of an Aerodynamic Simulation for Studying Microclimate of Plant Canopy in Greenhouse - (2) Development of CFD Model to Study the Effect of Tomato Plants on Internal Climate of Greenhouse - (공기유동해석을 통한 온실내 식물군 미기상 분석기술 개발 - (2)온실내 대기환경에 미치는 작물의 영향 분석을 위한 CFD 모델개발 -)

  • Lee In-Bok;Yun Nam-Kyu;Boulard Thierry;Roy Jean Claude;Lee Sung-Hyoun;Kim Gyoeng-Won;Hong Se-Woon;Sung Si-Heung
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.296-305
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    • 2006
  • The heterogeneity of crop transpiration is important to clearly understand the microclimate mechanisms and to efficiently handle the water resource in greenhouses. A computational fluid dynamic program (Fluent CFD version 6.2) was developed to study the internal climate and crop transpiration distributions of greenhouses. Additionally, the global solar radiation model and a crop heat exchange model were programmed together. Those models programmed using $C^{++}$ software were connected to the CFD main module using the user define function (UDF) technology. For the developed CFD validity, a field experiment was conducted at a $17{\times}6 m^2$ plastic-covered mechanically ventilated single-span greenhouse located at Pusan in Korea. The CFD internal distributions of air temperature, relative humidity, and air velocity at 1m height were validated against the experimental results. The CFD computed results were in close agreement with the measured distributions of the air temperature, relative humidity, and air velocity along the greenhouse. The averaged errors of their CFD computed results were 2.2%,2.1%, and 7.7%, respectively.

Local Wind Field Simulation over Coastal Areas Using Windprofiler Data (윈드프로파일러 자료를 이용한 연안 지역 국지 바람장 모의)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Park-Sa;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of windprofiler input data were investigated to generate three dimensional wind field. A logical diagnostic model CALMET with windprofiler data at ten sites and with weather forecasting model WRF output was evaluated by statistically comparing with the radiosonde data at eight sites. The horizontal wind speed from CALMET simulated with hourly windprofiler data is in good agreement with radiosonde observations within 1.5 m/s of the root mean square error, especially local circulation of wind such as sea breeze over the coastal region. The root mean square error of wind direction ranged $50^{\circ}{\sim}70^{\circ}$ is due to the wind direction error from the windprofiler polluted by ground clutters. Since the exact wind can be produced quickly and accurately in most of the altitude with windprofiler data on CALMET, we expect the method presented in this study to be useful for the monitoring of safe environment as well as weather in the coastal zone.

Assessing the Performance of CMIP5 GCMs for Various Climatic Elements and Indicators over the Southeast US (다양한 기후요소와 지표에 대한 CMIP5 GCMs 모델 성능 평가 -미국 남동부 지역을 대상으로-)

  • Hwang, Syewoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.11
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    • pp.1039-1050
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    • 2014
  • The goal of this study is to demonstrate the diversity of model performance for various climatic elements and indicators. We evaluated the skills of the most advanced 17 General Circulation Models (GCMs) i.e., CMIP5 (Climate Model Inter-comparison project, phase 5) climate models in reproducing retrospective climatology from 1950 to 2000 over the Southeast US for the key climatic elements important in the hydrological and agricultural perspectives (i.e., precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, and wind speed). The biases of raw CMIP5 GCMs were estimated for 16 different climatic indicators that imply mean climatology, temporal variability, extreme frequency, etc. using a grid-based observational dataset as reference. Based on the error (RMSE) and correlation (R) of GCM outputs, the error-based GCM ranks were assigned on average over the indicators. Overall, the GCMs showed much better accuracy in representing mean climatology of temperature comparing to other elements whereas few GCM showed acceptable skills for precipitation. It was also found that the model skills and ranks would be substantially different by the climatic elements, error statistics applied for evaluation, and indicators as well. This study presents significance of GCM uncertainty and the needs of considering rational strategies for climate model evaluation and selection.

L-band SAR-derived Sea Surface Wind Retrieval off the East Coast of Korea and Error Characteristics (L밴드 인공위성 SAR를 이용한 동해 연안 해상풍 산출 및 오차 특성)

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Park, Kyung-Ae;Choi, Won-Moon;Hong, Sungwook;Choi, Byoung-Cheol;Shin, Inchul;Kim, Kyung-Ryul
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.477-487
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    • 2012
  • Sea surface winds in the sea off the east coast of Korea were derived from L-band ALOS (Advanced Land Observing Satellite) PALSAR (Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar) data and their characteristics of errors were analyzed. We could retrieve high-resolution wind vectors off the east coast of Korea including the coastal region, which has been substantially unavailable from satellite scatterometers. Retrieved SAR-wind speeds showed a good agreement with in-situ buoy measurement by showing relatively small an root-mean-square (RMS) error of 0.67 m/s. Comparisons of the wind vectors from SAR and scatterometer presented RMS errors of 2.16 m/s and $19.24^{\circ}$, 3.62 m/s and $28.02^{\circ}$ for L-band GMF (Geophysical Model Function) algorithm 2009 and 2007, respectively, which tended to be somewhat higher than the expected limit of satellite scatterometer winds errors. L-band SAR-derived wind field exhibited the characteristic dependence on wind direction and incidence angle. The previous version (L-band GMF 2007) revealed large errors at small incidence angles of less than $21^{\circ}$. By contrast, the L-band GMF 2009, which improved the effect of incidence angle on the model function by considering a quadratic function instead of a linear relationship, greatly enhanced the quality of wind speed from 6.80 m/s to 1.14 m/s at small incident angles. This study addressed that the causes of wind retrieval errors should be intensively studied for diverse applications of L-band SAR-derived winds, especially in terms of the effects of wind direction and incidence angle, and other potential error sources.

Study on the flame height definition in Forest (낙엽층의 화염높이 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Tanaka, Takeyoshi;Lee, Myung-Bo;Kim, Kwanl-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.365-371
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    • 2009
  • 산불에 있어 화염높이 산정은 복사열전달에 의한 수평 또는 수직적 화염확산을 예측하는데 있어 매우 중요한 부분이다. 화염특성 중 화염높이는 빛을 수반하는 화염(the luminous flame)의 평균높이로 확인할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 외부 풍속과 경사 등으로 인한 화염 높이가 변화될 수 있는 조건을 제외한 산림 내 지표연소물질인 낙엽층(fuel bed)에 대한 화염높이 관측실험과 Cone calorimeter(ASTM-1354)을 이용하여Heat Release Rate 측정하였고 surface fuel에 대한 화염높이 산출식 $H_f=0.027{\dot{Q}}^{2/3}$을 도출하였다. 실험값과 개발 산정식, 기존 Heskestad(1998) 식과의 적용값 비교 결과, 소나무 낙엽의 경우, 실험값과 개발 산정식 적용값의 표준오차는 0.08, 실험값과 기존 Heskestad(1998)의 표준오차는 0.23으로 개발 산정식의 정확성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 앞으로 이 식을 이용하여 복사열전달에 의한 화염확산해석 및 화염의 높이에 따른 수관화 전이해석 등에 활용 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

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Validation of Satellite Scatterometer Sea-Surface Wind Vectors (MetOp-A/B ASCAT) in the Korean Coastal Region (한반도 연안해역에서 인공위성 산란계(MetOp-A/B ASCAT) 해상풍 검증)

  • Kwak, Byeong-Dae;Park, Kyung-Ae;Woo, Hye-Jin;Kim, Hee-Young;Hong, Sung-Eun;Sohn, Eun-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.536-555
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    • 2021
  • Sea-surface wind is an important variable in ocean-atmosphere interactions, leading to the changes in ocean surface currents and circulation, mixed layers, and heat flux. With the development of satellite technology, sea-surface winds data retrieved from scatterometer observation data have been used for various purposes. In a complex marine environment such as the Korean Peninsula coast, scatterometer-observed sea-surface wind is an important factor for analyzing ocean and atmospheric phenomena. Therefore, the validation results of wind accuracy can be used for diverse applications. In this study, the sea-surface winds derived from ASCAT (Advanced SCATterometer) mounted on MetOp-A/B (METeorological Operational Satellite-A/B) were validated compared to in-situ wind measurements at 16 marine buoy stations around the Korean Peninsula from January to December 2020. The buoy winds measured at a height of 4-5 m from the sea surface were converted to 10-m neutral winds using the LKB (Liu-Katsaros-Businger) model. The matchup procedure produced 5,544 and 10,051 collocation points for MetOp-A and MetOp-B, respectively. The root mean square errors (RMSE) were 1.36 and 1.28 m s-1, and bias errors amounted to 0.44 and 0.65 m s-1 for MetOp-A and MetOp-B, respectively. The wind directions of both scatterometers exhibited negative biases of -8.03° and -6.97° and RMSE values of 32.46° and 36.06° for MetOp-A and MetOp-B, respectively. These errors were likely associated with the stratification and dynamics of the marine-atmospheric boundary layer. In the seas around the Korean Peninsula, the sea-surface winds of the ASCAT tended to be more overestimated than the in-situ wind speeds, particularly at weak wind speeds. In addition, the closer the distance from the coast, the more the amplification of error. The present results could contribute to the development of a prediction model as improved input data and the understanding of air-sea interaction and impact of typhoons in the coastal regions around the Korean Peninsula.

Analysis of Clutter Effects in a Weather Radar (기상 레이다에서의 클러터 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jonggil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.1641-1648
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    • 2016
  • A weather radar estimates Doppler frequency and width of Doppler spectrum from the received weather signal which represents the return echoes from rain or dust particles in a corresponding area. These estimates are very important parameters since they are directly related to precipitation, wind velocity and degree of turbulence. Therefore, these estimated values should be highly reliable to obtain accurate weather information. However, the echoes of a weather radar include both the weather signal and the clutter which occurred from ground reflection or moving objects, etc. The existence of the clutter in the echoes may cause serious errors in the estimation of weather-related parameters. Therefore, in this paper, models are developed to represent the weather signal and the clutter for the purpose of analyzing estimation errors caused by the strong clutter echoes. Using these models, various return echoes according to the weather signal and clutter power are simulated to analyze the effects of the clutter.

Analysis of statistical models for ozone concentrations at the Paju city in Korea (경기도 파주시 오존농도의 통계모형 연구)

  • Lee, Hoon-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1085-1092
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    • 2009
  • The ozone data is one of the important environmental data for measurement of the atmospheric condition of the country. In this article, the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model and Neural Networks (NN) model have been considered for analyzing the ozone data at the northern part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Paju monitoring site in Korea. In the both ARE model and NN model, seven meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the explanatory variables for the ozone data set. The seven meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, rainfall, dew point temperature, steam pressure, and amount of cloud. The four air pollution explanatory variables are Sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$), Nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$), Cobalt (CO), and Promethium 10 (PM10). The result showed that the NN model is generally better suited for describing the ozone concentration than the ARE model. However, the ARE model will be expected also good when we add the explanatory variables in the model.

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