• Title/Summary/Keyword: 폭발확률

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A Study on Methodology of Assessment for Hydrogen Explosion in Hydrogen Production Facility (수소생산시설에서의 수소폭발의 안전성평가 방법론 연구)

  • Jae, Moo-Sung;Jun, Gun-Hyo;Lee, Hyun-Woo;Lee, Won-Jae;Han, Seok-Jung
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2008
  • Hydrogen production facility using very high temperature gas cooled reactor lies in situation of high temperature and corrosion which makes hydrogen release easily. In that case of hydrogen release, there lies a danger of explosion. However, from the point of thermal-hydraulics view, the long distance of them makes lower efficiency result. In this study, therefore, outlines of hydrogen production using nuclear energy are researched. Several methods for analyzing the effects of hydrogen explosion upon high temperature gas cooled reactor are reviewed. Reliability physics model which is appropriate for assessment is used. Using this model, leakage probability, rupture probability and structure failure probability of very high temperature gas cooled reactor are evaluated and classified by detonation volume and distance. Also based on standard safety criteria which is value of $1{\times}10^{-6}$, safety distance between the very high temperature gas cooled reactor and the hydrogen production facility is calculated.

A Study on the Risk Management Information System of the Underground Space - focused on Fire Growth Risk Assessment System- (지하공간의 위험관리정보시스템에 관한 연구 -화재확산평가시스템 중심으로-)

  • 박종근;노삼규
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2002
  • A large number of accidents at an underground place have been happening, including the gas explosion under construction of subway; the fires of underground utility and underground shopping malls, and other explosion, at home and abroad recently. These accidents make the function of a city ineffective due to the paralyses of electricity and communications net as well as the loss of property and cause people to feel unsecured with accompaniment of a heavy of toll of lives. This research will show evaluation methods of a numerical value of expected average loss space of combustion with the use of probability in order to present potential risk of combustion growth that underground space might cause, and how designer decides a system that enables us to compare and evaluate relatively the effectiveness of measures for preventing burning by calculating the expansion route and the damage size of burning in case of fire.

Probabilistic Calibration of Computer Model and Application to Reliability Analysis of Elasto-Plastic Insertion Problem (컴퓨터모델의 확률적 보정 및 탄소성 압착문제의 신뢰도분석 응용)

  • Yoo, Min Young;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.9
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    • pp.1133-1140
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    • 2013
  • A computer model is a useful tool that provides solution via physical modeling instead of expensive testing. In reality, however, it often does not agree with the experimental data owing to simplifying assumption and unknown or uncertain input parameters. In this study, a Bayesian approach is proposed to calibrate the computer model in a probabilistic manner using the measured data. The elasto-plastic analysis of a pyrotechnically actuated device (PAD) is employed to demonstrate this approach, which is a component that delivers high power in remote environments by the combustion of a self-contained energy source. A simple mathematical model that quickly evaluates the performance is developed. Unknown input parameters are calibrated conditional on the experimental data using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which is a modern computational statistics method. Finally, the results are applied to determine the reliability of the PAD.

Study on Fire.Explosion Accidents Prediction Model Development of LPG Vaporizer (LPG 기화기의 화재.폭발사고 예측모델개발에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jae-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2010
  • We have garnered 3,593 data of gas accidents reported for 12 years from 1995, and then analyzed the LPG vaporizer accidents according to their types and causes based on the classified database. According to the results the gas rupture has been the most common accident followed by the release, explosion and then fire accidents, the most frequent accident-occurring sub-cause is LPG check floater faults. In addition, we have applied the Poisson Probability Functions to predict the most-likely probabilities of fire, explosion, release and rupture with the LPG vaporizer in the upcoming 5 years. In compliance with Poisson Probability Functions results, in the item which occurs below 3 "LPG-Vaporizer-Fire", in the item which occurs below 5 "LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults-Check Floater" and the item which occurs below 10 appeared with "LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults". From this research we have assured the successive database updating will highly improve the anticipating probability accuracy and thus it will play a key role as a significant safety- securing guideline against the gas disasters.

Interactions Between a Propagating Flame and Rectangular Wall Obstacles in a Rectangular Confinement (직사각형 폭발 챔버에서 화염전파와 직사각형 장애물의 상관관계)

  • Park, Dal-Jae;Lee, Tae-Sung;Lee, Young-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2008
  • Experimental studies have been performed to examine the influences of wall obstructions in a rectangular confinement. Three wall obstacles with blockage ratios ranging from 10 to 30% were used. Temporally resolved flame front images were recorded by a high-speed video camera to investigate the interaction between a propagating flame and the obstacle. The local flame displacement speed and its probability density functions(PDFs) were obtained for the wall obstructions. During the interaction with the sharp-edges of the wall obstacles, the local propagation speed increased. The increase of local speed became larger as the obstruction ratio increased. However, the averaged flame displacement speeds with different blockage ratios were not significantly different within the chamber as shown in the paper of Park et al. The flame front interaction investigated in this work was less dependent of the obstacle obstructions compared to that published in the literature for large L/D.

Hazardous and Noxious Substances(HNS) Risk Assessment and Accident Prevention Measures on Domestic Marine Transportation (국내 위험·유해물질(HNS) 해상운송사고 위험도 분석 및 사고 저감방안 연구)

  • Cho, Sim-Jung;Kim, Dong-Jin;Choi, Kang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2013
  • HNS, including crude oil and products, shipments have increased. The risk analysis of HNS has assumed the importance, especially in maritime transportation area. There are various forms and kinds of HNS and the consequences of an accident are serious. In order to provide practical measures for preventing accidents, this study analyses the potential risks of HNS on maritime transportation accidents at domestic sea by using Event Tree Analysis. This study carries out risk assessment with F-N curve and risk matrix focusing on liquid cargo carriers (Oil and Products Tanker, Chemical Tanker, LPG/LNG Tanker, etc.). Explosion and sinking, suffocation indicate high consequence when on collision represent high probability. Improving human errors should be the main factor to mitigate risk on human lives.

ANALYSTS OF DAMAGE PROBABILITY FOR COLLISION BETWEEN SPACE DEBRIS AND A SATELLITE IN LOW-EARTH ORBIT (우주파편에 의한 저궤도 위성의 손상확률 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Eun;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Young-Rok;Choi, Kyu-Hong;Kim, Eung-Hyun;Kim, Gyu-Sun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2007
  • Space environment becomes more hazardous for satellite because of increasing number of space debris. This research is to analyze collision hazards between KOMPSAT 3 in low-earth orbit and space debris generated by the explosion of FengYun satellite on the January 11, 2007. Based on the observed data of the space debris from FengYun satellite, the mass and number distribution of the debris are estimated including undetectable debris from the explosion of FengYun satellite. The spatial density and flux for the space debris can be calculated according to size. This study also brings out the analysis for the assessment of collision probability and damage probability. The algorithm developed in the current paper can be used to estimate the level of risk due to space debris for the satellites that will be launched in the future.

Development of FCEV accident scenario and analysis study on dangerous distance in road tunnel (도로터널에서 수소차 사고시나리오 개발 및 위험거리에 대한 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Hu-Yeong;Ryu, Ji-Oh
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.659-677
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    • 2022
  • Hydrogen is emerging as a next-generation energy source and development and supply of FCEV (hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle) is expected to occur rapidly. Accordingly, measures to respond to hydrogen car accidents are required and researches on the safety of hydrogen cars are being actively conducted. In this study, In this study, we developed a hydrogen car accident scenarios suitable for domestic conditions for the safety evaluation of hydrogen car in road tunnels through analysis of existing experiments and research data and analyzed and presented the hazard distance according to the accident results of the hydrogen car accident scenarios. The accident results according to the hydrogen car accident scenario were classified into minor accidents, general fires, jet flames and explosions. The probability of occurrence of each accident results are predicted to be 93.06%, 1.83%, 2.25%, and 2.31%. In the case of applying the hydrogen tank specifications of FCEV developed in Korea, the hazard distance for explosion pressure (based on 16.5 kPa) is about 17.6 m, about 6 m for jet fire, up to 35 m for fireball in road tunnel with a standard cross section (72 m2).

Probabilistic Structure Safety Assessment Method on the Explosion of Power Facilities (발전시설물 폭발에 대한 확률적 구조물 안전성평가 방안)

  • Kim, Jung Hoon;Kim, Young Gu;Kang, Seung Kyu
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.317-317
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    • 2014
  • The structure performance of a sealed power facilities and the explosion simulation contains significant amounts of scatter, and variability has been characterized in material properties of the structure, a sealed space density, combustible gas volume, gas concentrativeness, ignition site, and gas volume. In order to deal with such uncertainties, structural reliability analysis calculates the failure probability and the reliability index relevant to selected limit states providing quantitative measures of these uncertainties. In this study, structure safety assessment method on the explosion of a sealed power facilities was proposed by using the response surface method (RSM).

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Measurement of fluorecence decay times of single molecules in solution (용액내 단분자의 형광소멸시간 계측)

  • 고동섭
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 1999
  • A confocal microscope system was used to study the bursts of fluorescence photons from single dye molecules excited at 638 nm by a short-pulsed diode laser with a repetition rate of 17 MHz. A red dye, JA22, in ethylene glycol solution was used as a sample. The fluorescence decay curves of single molecules were acquired using a time-correlated single photon counting and analyzed by a maximum likelihood estimator. It was possible to measure the fluorescence decay times with an error probability of 21% at photon number of more than 40 per dye molecule.

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