• Title/Summary/Keyword: 포아송 분포의 평균비

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A Study on Randomized Response Regression Estimate from Quantitative Data (양적 확률화응답을 이용한 회귀추정에 관한 연구)

  • 최경호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.527-535
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    • 1999
  • 양적 확률응답을 이용한 민감사안에 대한 평균이나 분석의 추정시 보조정보를 활용한 회귀추정법에 대해서 언급하고, 유도된 회귀추정량과 Greenberg et al.의 추정량 그리고 비추정량과의 비교의 통하여 회귀추정량이 효율적일 수 있는 조건을 찾았다. 또한 각 질문에 대한 응답의 분포가 포아송 분포인 경우 회귀추정량의 효율이 증대될 수 있는 조건에 대해서도 논하였다.

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Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of Means of Two Poisson Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, Jeffrey's and reference priors are derived when the parameter of interest is the ratio of means of two in dependent Poisson distribution. To achieve the parameter orthogonality in the sense of Cox and Reid (1987), non-trivial orthogonal transformation is provided. The orthogonal transformation makes to find noninformative priors easy. Our simulation study indicates that the reference prior meet very well the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense. Using the real data, we compute Bayes estimator and MLE for the ratio of means based on the reference prior.

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A Study on the Reliability Attributes of the Software Reliability Model Following the Shape Parameter of Minimax Life Distribution (미니맥스 수명분포의 형상모수를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 신뢰속성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2018
  • This paper, following the shape parameters of the minimax distribution, describes the special form of the beta distribution, the Minimax distribution, as a function of the shape parameters for the software reliability model based on the non-homogeneous Poisson process. Characteristics and usefulness were discussed. As a result, the case of the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution than less than and greate in mean squared error is the smallest, in determination coefficient, appears to be high, the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution regard as an efficient model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model is estimated to be more than 95%, which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Through this study, software design and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient, and confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline.

The Comparative Study for NHPP of Truncated Pareto Software Reliability Growth Model (절단고정시간에 근거한 파레토 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2012
  • Due to the large scale application of software systems, software reliability plays an important role in software developments. In this paper, a software reliability growth model (SRGM) is proposed for testing time. The testing time on the right is truncated in this model. The intensity function, mean-value function, reliability of the software, estimation of parameters and the special applications of Pareto NHPP model are discussed. This paper, a numerical example of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection, depended on difference between predictions and actual values, were efficient using the mean square error and $R_{SQ}$.

Modeling and Evaluation of Wireless Communication System using CSMA inthe Distributed Packet Radio Network (분산 무선망에서 CSMA를 사용한 무선 통신 시스템의 모델링 및 성능 분석)

  • 조병록;최형진;박병철
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.1508-1517
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, we propose the modeling of a wireless communication system using CSMA protocol, present analytical evalution and simulation as a function of arrival rate and mean END-to-END delay in the distributed packet radio network. Asynchronous 1-persistent CSMA protocol is used in wireless communication system with half duplex. We assume that all terminals are to be in the close range of each other, suitably located in the local area. The traffic presented to a common channel is assumed to be poisson distribution. Analytical model is based on a M/D/1 with breakdown. In conclusion for wireless network model proposed in this paper is suitable for packet arrival rate of 2 packet/sec with mean packet delay time less than 2 times the packet transmission time.

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Evaluation on the Reliability Attributes of Finite Failure NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Pareto and Erlang Lifetime Distribution (파레토 및 어랑 수명분포에 근거한 유한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형의 신뢰도 속성에 관한 평가)

  • Min, Kyung-il
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2020
  • In the software development process, software reliability evaluation is a very important issue. In particular, finding the optimal development model that satisfies high reliability is the more important task for software developers. For this, in this study, Pareto and Erlang life distributions were applied to the finite failure NHPP model to evaluate the reliability attributes. For this purpose, parametric estimation is applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method, and nonlinear equations are calculated using the bisection method. As a result, the Erlang model showed better performance than the Pareto model in the evaluation of the strength function and the mean value function. Also, as a result of inputting future mission time and evaluating reliability, the Erlang model showed an effectively high trend together with the Pareto model, while the Goel-Okumoto basic model showed a decreasing trend. In conclusion, the Erlang model is the best model among the proposed models. Through this study, it is expected that software developers will be able to use it as a basic guideline for exploring and evaluating the optimal software reliability model.

Comparative Analysis on the Performance of NHPP Software Reliability Model with Exponential Distribution Characteristics (지수분포 특성을 갖는 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 성능 비교 분석)

  • Park, Seung-Kyu
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.641-648
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the performance of the NHPP software reliability model with exponential distribution (Exponential Basic, Inverse Exponential, Lindley, Rayleigh) characteristics was comparatively analyzed, and based on this, the optimal reliability model was also presented. To analyze the software failure phenomenon, the failure time data collected during system operation was used, and the parameter estimation was solved by applying the maximum likelihood estimation method (MLE). Through various comparative analysis (mean square error analysis, true value predictive power analysis of average value function, strength function evaluation, and reliability evaluation applied with mission time), it was found that the Lindley model was an efficient model with the best performance. Through this study, the reliability performance of the distribution with the characteristic of the exponential form, which has no existing research case, was newly identified, and through this, basic design data that software developers could use in the initial stage can be presented.

Impact of Heterogeneous Dispersion Parameter on the Expected Crash Frequency (이질적 과분산계수가 기대 교통사고건수 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.5585-5593
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    • 2014
  • This study tested the hypothesis that the significance of the heterogeneous dispersion parameter in safety performance function (SPF) used to estimate the expected crashes is affected by the endogenous heterogeneous prior distributions, and analyzed the impacts of the mis-specified dispersion parameter on the evaluation results for traffic safety countermeasures. In particular, this study simulated the Poisson means based on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters and estimated the SPFs using both the negative binomial (NB) model and the heterogeneous negative binomial (HNB) model for analyzing the impacts of the model mis-specification on the mean and dispersion functions in SPF. In addition, this study analyzed the characteristics of errors in the crash reduction factors (CRFs) obtained when the two models are used to estimate the posterior means and variances, which are essentially estimated through the estimated hyper-parameters in the heterogeneous prior distributions. The simulation study results showed that a mis-estimation on the heterogeneous dispersion parameters through the NB model does not affect the coefficient of the mean functions, but the variances of the prior distribution are seriously mis-estimated when the NB model is used to develop SPFs without considering the heterogeneity in dispersion. Consequently, when the NB model is used erroneously to estimate the prior distributions with heterogeneous dispersion parameters, the mis-estimated posterior mean can produce large errors in CRFs up to 120%.

The software quality measurement based on software reliability model (소프트웨어 신뢰성 모델링 기반 소프트웨어 품질 측정)

  • Jung, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2019
  • This study proposes a method to measure software reliability according to software reliability measurement model to measure software reliability. The model presented in this study uses the distribution of Non - Homogeneous Poisson Process and presents a measure of the software reliability of the presented model. As a method to select a suitable software reliability growth model according to the presented model, we have studied a method of proposing an appropriate software reliability function by calculating the mean square error according to the estimated value of the reliability function according to the software failure data. In this study, we propose a reliability function to measure the software quality and suggest a method to select the software reliability function from the viewpoint of minimizing the error of the estimation value by applying the failure data.

A Study for NHPP Software Reliability Model of Lomax Distribution Based on Shape Parameter (Lomax 분포의 형상모수에 근거한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.412-418
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    • 2015
  • NHPP software reliability models for failure analysis can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, infinite failures NHPP models that repairing software failure point in time reflects the situation, was presented for comparing property. Commonly used in business, economics, and actuarial modeling based on Lomax distribution, software reliability of infinite failures was presented for comparison problem. The result is that a relatively large shape parameter was effectively. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation was conducted and Model selection was performed using the mean square error and the coefficient of determination. In this research, software developers to identify software failure property follows shape parameter, some extent be able to help is considered.