• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평행비교 추정치

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Assessing Estimation Methods of the Expected Crashes using Panel Traffic Crash Data (패널교통사고자료 기반 기대교통사고건수 추정기법 평가)

  • Sin, Gang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2011
  • To evaluate highway safety countermeasures or identify high risk sites, the expected crashes for a site (or segment) have been estimated using the panel crash data. Past studies show that two different methods can be employed to estimate the expected crashes: observed crash based method and empirical Bayes (EB) method. This study conducts a simulation study to analyze how the estimation errors of the two estimates are affected by the different structures of the panel crash data and the presence of the change in safety over time. The results disclose that the estimation errors of the observed crash based estimates (i.e. the mean observed crash and comparative parallel estimate) are always greater than those of the EB estimates regardless of the structure of the panel crash data and the presence of the change in safety over time. Thus, it is highly recommended that the EB method be used in the study of traffic safety to obtain more reliable estimates for the expected crashes. In addition, this study corroborates that the estimation errors of the two estimates decrease as the analysis periods increase if safety does not change over time. Hence, it is also recommended that the 1-year analysis period used for identifying high risk sites in Korea be extended to produce more efficient estimates of the time-constant expected crashes.

A robust test for the parallelism of two regression lines (두 회귀직선의 평행성에 대한 로버스트 검정)

  • 남호수;송문섭;신봉섭
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 1995
  • For the problem of testing the parallelism of two regression lines, a robust procedure is proposed and examined. The proposed test statistic is based on the one-step GM-estimators of slope parameters proposed by Song et al. (1994b). These GM-estimators used the Least Trimmed Squares estimates as an initial values so as to obtain high breakdown point. Through a small-sample Monte Carlo simulation the empirical levels and powers of the proposed test are compared with other tests under various error distributions.

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Studies on Evaluation for Long-term Loading of Composite Wood-joint and Characteristics of Joint Strength (I) - The strength properties of mechanical joints of Pinus densiflora with drift pin and bolt - (목재 접합부의 강도특성 및 장기 내력 평가 (I) - 소나무재의 Bo1t 및 Drift pin 접합부 능력(耐力) 성능 평가 -)

  • Hong, Soon-Il;Hwang, Won-Jung;Kim, Eun-Sam;Jin, Kwang-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2001
  • This study was carried out to investigate the strength and stiffness of drift pinned and bolted joints with steel-plates by the tension-type lateral strength tests. Specimens were solid wood of Pinus densiflora. Bolt and drift pin were jointed with inserted steel plates. Tests were conducted with combinations of two loading directions (parallel to the grain : 0 degree, perpendicular to the grain : 90 degree) and three diameters of fasteners (d = 6 mm, 10 mm, 12 mm). The results obtained were as follow: 1. In the test of the parallel to the grain, maximum loads were increased with increasing of the diameter of bolt and drift pin in the same end distance. In the test of perpendicular to the grain with diameter 10 mm and 12 mm, specimens mostly were failed with horizontal splits in woods reaching the yield load of drift pinned and bolted joints. 2. The ratio of maximum load to the yield load determined by the so-called "5% offset method", was great in bolted joints in the parallel to the grain This trend become more remarkable as the slenderness ratio was increased. 3. The calculated yield strength was agreed well with the experimental results of drift pinned joint(0 degree).

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Groundwater flow Analysis Using MODFLOW in the Tunnel (MODFLOW를 이용한 터널의 지하수 유동해석)

  • Hue, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2003
  • In this study, the conduct of underground water flow system with 3 dimensions is interpreted in order to examine closely the actual condition regarding the flow of the underground water which is forecast from the tunnel segment and the interpretation result which selects the design and the construction technique of the tunnel segment was applied. Also, an obstacle to construct that relates with the underground water flow in construction duration in advance will be able to apply with information that is necessary in order to establish the countermeasure. The objective tunnel is the BEOPGI tunnel segment that is 2 parallel tunnels that are a one-way 2 lane and the parameters of the MODFLOW model executing the boring investigation and the permeability examination were presumed. The underground water flow of the excavation tunnel inside was interpreted by the MODFLOW model using the parameters which is presumed and two values which compared with calculated value and observed value are the same almost. Also, when the underground water discharge quantify that followed in tunnel excavation tries to compare, the underground water total discharge quantity from tunnel point of start until destination was presumed as 0.0269㎥/day/$m^2$.

Comparison of Geometrical Factors of Dielectric Resonators Prepared for the Surface Resistance of Superconductor Films: Field Analysis vs. Computer Simulation (초전도체 박막의 표면저항 측정용 유전체 공진기에 대한 Geometrical factor의 비교 : 전자기장 해석 대 시뮬레이션)

  • Yang, Woo-Il;Jung, Ho-Sang;Kim, Myung-Su;Cho, Man-Soon;Choo, Kee-Nam;Lee, Sang-Young
    • Progress in Superconductivity
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2011
  • In the dielectric resonator method, which has been widely used for measuring the microwave surface resistance of superconductors, accuracies in the geometrical factors (G-factors) affect the uncertainty in the measured surface resistance. We compare the G-factors of short-ended sapphire resonator as obtained by using field analysis with those by using computer simulations: The former is obtained by using the analytic expressions for the electric and the magnetic field components inside the resonator, and the latter by using computer software. The G-factors as obtained by using the latter appear to be closer to those obtained by using the former as the resonator space is divided into larger number of sub-space, i.e., a tighter mesh, with a difference of ~8 % observed for a mesh of 14400 sub-spaces reduced to ~2 % for 114996 sub-spaces. Variations in the relative uncertainty in the surface resistance of typical $YBa_2Cu_3O_{7-\delta}$ superconductor films with those in the G-factors are studied, which provides an upper limit of the relative uncertainty in the G-factors required for realizing the target uncertainty in the surface resistance. These results could be useful in estimating the optimum number of meshes for obtaining the G-factors through computer simulations.

재료 동적영향을 고려한 주냉각재 배관 LBB 적용시 Dynamic Strain Aging의 영향 분석

  • 양준석;박치용;정우태;유기완;김진원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1998.05b
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    • pp.305-311
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    • 1998
  • 최근들어 고려된 LBB(Leak Before Break) 적용요건중 동적파괴시힘 절차에는 울진 3&4호기 이후 파단전누설개념이 적용되는 배관이 탄소강으로 제작될 경우. 이 배관이 Dynamic Strain Aging (DSA)에 의해 파괴저항치가 감소되지 않는다는 것이 정량적으로 입증되지 않는 한, 동 배관의 파괴 물성치 결정시 DSA의 영향이 고려되어야 하며, DSA 영향을 평가하기 위해서는 동적과괴시험이 수행되어야 함을 요건화 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 DSA 효과에 의한 파괴저항(J-R) 특성의 저하가차세대원전 원자로냉각재배관 파단전누설개넘(LBB) 적용시 설계 안전여유도에 영향을 미치지 않는 정도임을 평가하는데 있다. 따라서 ASME Section III에서 탄소강으로 분류하고 있는 강종별 파괴인성 변화를 고찰하고, 차세대원전 주냉각재배관 재료인 SA508 Class la의 최대 파괴인성 감소치를 예측하여, 울진 3&4호기에서 측정된 엘보우용 SA516-Gr.70 강의 DSA 영향 평가 결과와 비교 분석하여 차세대원전 주냉각재배관의 DSA영향을 평가하였다. 도출된 결론으로는 DSA 영향을 고려한 SA508 Class la의 J 및 dJ/dA 값은 극히 보수적으로 추정할 때 50% 이상 감소하는 것으로 예측된다. 이러한 DSA 영향을 고려하였을 경우 배관재 모재의 파괴인성치는 Weld-SAW의 J/T 값 수준으로 감소하였다. 그러나 현 LRB 해석이 가장 낮은 J/T값을 갖는 Weld-SAW Auto의 균열길이 2a인 J/T선도에 의거하여 수행되고 있다는 점을 고려한다면 비록 DSA가 배관재에 영향을 주는 가장 보수적인 값(J 및 dJ/dA값을 50% 이상)을 사용한다고 하더라도 차세대원전 LBB 적용에 문제가 되지 않음을 알 수 있다. 즉 차세대원자로 주냉각재배관에 LBB를 적용하는데는 DSA 영향은 상대적으로 중요하지 않다는 결론을 얻었다. 표면에 수소화물이 농축되어 있는 hydride layer가 형성됨을 관찰하였으며 ~5,000ppm 이상의 경우에는 수소화물의 방향성이 random하였으며 특히, ZIRLO$^{TM}$ 시편의 경우에서는 원주방향으로 길게 이어진 수소화물과 기계적 성질에 치명적인 반경방향의 수소화물이 평행하게 배열된 것을 관찰하였다.하였을 때는 Li$_2$O의 첨가에 의해 치밀화가 주로 일어났고, 반면에 $N_2$-7vol.%H$_2$ 분위기에서 소결하면 Li$_2$O의 첨가에 의해 작은 기공은 소멸되고 큰 기공이 생성되었다.지나치게 모국어의 영향만 강조하고 다른 요인들에 대해서는 다분히 추상적인 언급으로 끝났지만 이 분석을 통 해서 배경어, 목표어, 특히 중간규칙의 역할이 괄목할 만한 것임을 가시적으로 관찰할 수 있 다. 이와 같은 오류분석 방법은 학습자의 모국어 및 관련 외국어의 음운규칙만 알면 어느 학습대상 외국어에라도 적용할 수 있는 보편성을 지니는 것으로 사료된다.없다. 그렇다면 겹의문사를 [-wh]의리를 지 닌 의문사의 병렬로 분석할 수 없다. 예를 들어 누구누구를 [주구-이-ν가] [누구누구-이- ν가]로부터 생성되었다고 볼 수 없다. 그러므로 [-wh] 겹의문사는 복수 의미를 지닐 수 없 다. 그러면 단수 의미는 어떻게 생성되는가\ulcorner 본 논문에서는 표면적 형태에도 불구하고 [-wh]의미의 겹의문사는 병렬적 관계의 합성어가 아니라 내부구조를 지니지 않은 단순한 단어(minimal $X^{0}$ elements)로 가정한다. 즉, [+wh] 의미의 겹의문사는 동일한 구성요 소를 지닌 병렬적 합성어([$[W1]_{XO-}$ $[W1]_{XO}$ ]$_{XO}$)로

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Experiments on the stability of the spatial autocorrelation method (SPAC) and linear array methods and on the imaginary part of the SPAC coefficients as an indicator of data quality (공간자기상관법 (SPAC)의 안정성과 선형 배열법과 자료 품질 지시자로 활용되는 SPAC 계수의 허수 성분에 대한 실험)

  • Margaryan, Sos;Yokoi, Toshiaki;Hayashi, Koichi
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2009
  • In recent years, microtremor array observations have been used for estimation of shear-wave velocity structures. One of the methods is the conventional spatial autocorrelation (SPAC) method, which requires simultaneous recording at least with three or four sensors. Modified SPAC methods such as 2sSPAC, and linear array methods, allow estimating shear-wave structures by using only two sensors, but suffer from instability of the spatial autocorrelation coefficient for frequency ranges higher than 1.0 Hz. Based on microtremor measurements from four different size triangular arrays and four same-size triangular and linear arrays, we have demonstrated the stability of SPAC coefficient for the frequency range from 2 to 4 or 5 Hz. The phase velocities, obtained by fitting the SPAC coefficients to the Bessel function, are also consistent up to the frequency 5 Hz. All data were processed by the SPAC method, with the exception of the spatial averaging for the linear array cases. The arrays were deployed sequentially at different times, near a site having existing Parallel Seismic (PS) borehole logging data. We also used the imaginary part of the SPAC coefficients as a data-quality indicator. Based on perturbations of the autocorrelation spectrum (and in some cases on visual examination of the record waveforms) we divided data into so-called 'reliable' and 'unreliable' categories. We then calculated the imaginary part of the SPAC spectrum for 'reliable', 'unreliable', and complete (i.e. 'reliable' and 'unreliable' datasets combined) datasets for each array, and compared the results. In the case of insufficient azimuthal distribution of the stations (the linear array) the imaginary curve shows some instability and can therefore be regarded as an indicator of insufficient spatial averaging. However, in the case of low coherency of the wavefield the imaginary curve does not show any significant instability.