• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균 접근법

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A Measurement Way of Seaport Efficiency and Ranking Using Fuzzy DEA: Average Index Transformation Model Approach (퍼지DEA에 의한 항만의 효율성 및 순위 측정방법: 평균지수변환모형 접근)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.82-98
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to suggest the efficiency measurement way of Korean seaport by using Average Index Transformation model of fuzzy DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis). Two inputs[cargo handling capacity, and berthing capacity], and outputs[cargo handling amount, and the number of ship calls] are used in 1995 and 2004 for 26 Korean seaports. Empirical main results are as follows: First, Tongyung, Gohyun, Okpo, and Sogcho Ports are efficient, and Yeasu Port shows the high efficiency level over 95% under input oriented CCR model. Gohyun and Sogcho Ports showed the most efficient score under average index transformation model. Okpo and Yeasu Ports increased their efficiency scores as the lamda(λ) values are up. The empirical results of fuzzy DEA average index transformation model for Wando, Yeasu, and Seoguipo ports showed that if the lamda values are higher, the efficiency scores are also higher. The main policy implication based on the findings of this study is that the management manager of Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs in Korea should introduce the fuzzy DEA average index transformation model for deciding the size of inputs including the port investment amount and evaluating the port efficiency.

A Bayes Criterion for Selecting Variables in MDA (MDA에서 판별변수 선택을 위한 베이즈 기준)

  • 김혜중;유희경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.435-449
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    • 1998
  • In this article we have introduced a Bayes criterion for the variable selection in multiple discriminant analysis (MDA). The criterion is a default Bayes factor for the comparision of homo/heteroscadasticity of the multivariate normal means. The default Bayes factor is obtained from a development of the imaginary training sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). Based an the criterion, we also provided a test for additional discrimination in MDA. The advantage of the criterion is that it is not only applicable for the optimal subset selection method but for the stepwise method. More over, the criterion can be reduced to that for two-group discriminant analysis. Thus the criterion can be regarded as an unified alternative to variable selection criteria suggested by various sampling theory approaches. To illustrate the performance of the criterion, a numerical study has bean done via Monte Carlo experiment.

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Efficient Anomaly Detection Through Confidence Interval Estimation Based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석 기반 신뢰구간 추정을 통한 효율적인 이상감지)

  • Kim, Yeong-Ju;Heo, You-Kyung;Park, Jin-Gwan;Jeong, Min-A
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39C no.8
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    • pp.708-715
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we suggest a method of realtime confidence interval estimation to detect abnormal states of sensor data. For realtime confidence interval estimation, the mean square errors of the exponential smoothing method and moving average method, two of the time series analysis method, where compared, and the moving average method with less errors was applied. When the sensor data passes the bounds of the confidence interval estimation, the administrator is notified through alarming. As the suggested method is for realtime anomaly detection in a ship, an Android terminal was adopted for better communication between the wireless sensor network and users. For safe navigation, an administrator can make decisions promptly and accurately upon emergency situation in a ship by referring to the anomaly detection information through realtime confidence interval estimation.

A Study on the Travel Speed Estimation Using Bus Information (버스정보기반 통행속도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Bin, Mi-Young;Moon, Ju-Back;Lim, Seung-Kook
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • This study was conducted to investigate that bus information was used as an information of travel speed. To determine the travel speed on the road, bus information and the information collected from the point detector and the interval detection installed were compared. If bus information has the function of traffic information detector, can provide the travel speed information to road users. To this end, the model of recognizing the traffic patterns is necessary. This study used simple moving-average method, simple exponential smoothing method, Double moving average method, Double exponential smoothing method, ARIMA(Autoregressive integrated moving average model) as the existing methods rather than new approach methods. This study suggested the possibility to replace bus information system into other information collection system.

Study of Natural Convection of Magnetic Fluid in Cubic Cavity (정방형관 내에서 자성유체의 자연대류현상에 대한 수치적 연구)

  • Seo, Jae-Hyeong;Lee, Moo-Yeon;Seo, Lee-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.37 no.7
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    • pp.637-646
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to numerically investigate the natural convection characteristics of a magnetic fluid in a cubic cavity. The governing equations of the magnetic fluid are solved using the Generalized-Simplified Marker and Cell Method (GSMAC). The natural convection and heat transfer characteristics of the magnetic fluid were analyzed by varying the intensity and direction of the magnetic field. As a result, it was found that the natural convection characteristics were controlled by the intensity and direction of the magnetic field, and the mean Nusselt numbers were minimized at a vertical intensity of H=-4000 and horizontal intensity of H=12000 of the magnetic field. In addition, the mean Nusselt numbers increased with the intensities of the magnetic field, regardless of the direction of the magnetic field.

Reliability Based Design Optimization with Variation of Standard Deviation (표준편차의 변동을 고려한 신뢰성 최적설계)

  • Lim, O-Kaung;Kim, Hyung-Wook;Choi, Eun-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.413-419
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    • 2008
  • Deterministic design optimization (DO) does not explicitly deal with a variety of factors from inherent randomness and uncertainties. Reliability based design optimization(RBDO) is necessary to use in engineering systems in order to guarantee quality and performance of product. In this paper, design variables are considered as random variables. Standard deviation according to change of design variables have changed as much as coefficient of variation. And, if the standard deviation is error of manufacturing, standard deviation-mean relation is concave form. We obtain reliability index using advanced first order second moment method(AFOSM). This paper is examined by solving two examples and the results are compares with DO, RBDO and suggested RBDO.

Accuracy of the 24-hour diet recall method to determine energy intake in elderly women compared with the doubly labeled water method (에너지 섭취 조사를 위한 24시간 회상법의 정확도 평가: 여자노인을 대상으로 이중표식수법을 이용하여)

  • Park, Kye-Wol;Go, Na-Young;Jeon, Ji-Hye;Ndahimana, Didace;Ishikawa-Takata, Kazuko;Park, Jonghoon;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.476-487
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study evaluated the accuracy of the 24-hour diet recall method for estimating energy intakes in elderly women using the doubly labeled water (DLW) method. Methods: The subjects were 23 elderly women with a mean age of 70.3 ± 3.3 years and body mass index (BMI) of 23.9 ± 2.8 kg/㎡. The total energy expenditure (TEEDLW) was determined by using the DLW and used to validate the 24-hour diet recall method. The total energy intake (TEI) was calculated from the 24-hour diet recall method for three days. Results: TEI (1,489.6 ± 211.1 kcal/day) was significantly lower than TEEDLW (2,023.5 ± 234.9 kcal/day) and was largely under-reported by -533.9 ± 228.0 kcal/day (-25.9%). The accurate prediction rate of elderly women in this study was 8.7%. The Bland-Altman plot, which was used to evaluate the TEI and the TEEDLW, showed that the agreement between them was negatively skewed, ranging from -980.8 kcal/day to -86.9 kcal/day. Conclusion: This study showed that the energy intake of elderly women was underreported. Strategies to increase the accuracy of the 24-hour diet recall methods in the elderly women should be studied through analysis of factors that affect underreporting rate. Further studies will be needed to assess the validity of the 24-hour diet recall method in other population groups.

Arthroscopic Iliopsoas Tenotomy of Iliopsoas Impingement after Total Hip Arthroplasty (고관절 전치환술 후 발생한 장요건 충돌의 관절경하 장요건 절단술)

  • Huh, Soon Ho;Choi, Byeong Yeol;Han, Sang Roc;Chung, Woo Chull
    • Journal of the Korean Orthopaedic Association
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The clinical outcomes were investigated to determine if arthroscopic management is a useful method for 19 hips with iliopsoas tendon impingement (IPI) after total hip arthroplasty (THA). Materials and Methods: Eighteen patients (19 hips), who complained of groin pain and flexion pain that persisted after THA from September 2013 to December 2019, were the subjects of this investigation. The mean time to manifestation after THA was four months (range, 1-9 months) in patients of an average age of 60 years (range, 50-69 years). Thirteen out of 18 patients underwent THA using the direct anterior approach and five by the lateral approach. IPI was diagnosed by the medical history, physical examination, blood test, radiographic examination using X-ray and computed tomography, and topical injection therapy. All patients underwent arthroscopic treatment and a dynamic arthroscopic physical examination after exposure to the iliopsoas tendon revealed impingement. Tenotomy was then performed on the muscle portion through the total tendon portion. Symptoms and pain levels of preoperative, postoperative and follow-up period were investigated and compared. Results: The Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index score decreased from an average of 58.4 (range, 40-88) before surgery to an average of 35.0 (range, 15-76) after surgery. Similarly, the visual analogue scale decreased from an average of 4.0 (range, 2-6) before surgery to an average of 1.4 (range, 0-4) after surgery. Sixteen patients (88.9%) showed pain relief and improvement in the straight leg raise test, and two patients showed postoperative muscle weakness and sustained pain. In the follow-up period, muscle weakness improved. One patient underwent arthroscopic iliopsoas tenotomy at the lesser trochanteric level but the symptoms persisted. The clinical symptoms were improved after one more tenotomy at the joint level. Conclusion: Arthroscopic iliopsoas tenotomy performed in patients with IPI after THA showed good clinical results.

A Meteorological Analysis on High Rice Yield in 2015 in South Korea (2015년 쌀풍년 발생 조건에 대한 기상학적 분석)

  • Kim, Junhwan;Sang, Wangyu;Shin, Pyeong;Cho, Hyeounsuk;Seo, Myungchul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 2017
  • Rice yield of South Korea in 2015 was the highest in last 30 years. The future direction of food policy in South Korea can be determined depending on whether the historically highest yield in 2015 can be continued or just one-off event. Therefore, it is necessary to understand whether such a high yield as 2015 can be reoccurred and how often it can occur. This study used the yield monitoring data from National Institute of Crop Science, Rural Development Administration and the meteorological data provided by Korea Meteorological Administration to identify the weather conditions, which could cause high yield, and how often these conditions occurred in the past. Our results showed that significantly high yield in 2015 could occur only when the mean sunshine hours of July and the mean sunshine hours from the end of August to early September are 5.1 hours and 6 hours, respectively. The probability of satisfying these weather conditions was 8/35 (23%) over the past 35 years. And the probability of successive high yield for two years was 1/35 (2.9%). The probability of recurrence of high yield within the next 5 years or 10 years after high yield was 4/35 (11.4%).

Investigation of Water Leakage in Seosan A-Region Sea Wall using Integrated Analysis of Remote Sensing, Electrical Resistivity Survey, Electromagnetic Survey, and Borehole Survey (원격탐사, 전기탐사, 전자기탐사 및 시추공영상의 융합적 분석을 통한 서산지역 방조제 누수구역 판별)

  • Hong, Seong-In;Lee, Dongik;Baek, Gwanghyun;Yoo, Youngcheol;Lim, Kookmook;Yu, Jaehyung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.105-121
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    • 2013
  • This study introduces integrated approach on detection of a leakage in a sea wall based on remote sensing, electric resistivity survey, electromagnetic survey, and borehole survey for the Seosan A-Region sea wall. The satellite temperature distribution from Landsat ETM+ data identifies water leakage distribution and period by analyzing temperature mixing patterns between sea water and fresh water. Electric resistivity survey provides both horizontal and vertical anomaly distributions over the sea wall showing below average electric resistivity. Electromagnetic survey(electrical conductivity survey) reveals the potential possible leakage areas with minimal background impact by comparing electrical conductivity values between high and low tides. Borehole image processing system confirmed the locations of anomalies identified from the other survey methods and distributions of vertical fracture zones. The integrated approach identified 41.7% of the sea wall being the most probable area vulnerable to water leakage and effectively approximated both horizontal and vertical distribution of water leakage. The integrated analysis of remote sensing, electric resistivity survey, electromagnetic survey and borehole survey is considered to be an optimal method in identifying water leakage distribution, period, and extent of fractures knowledged from the boreholes.