• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균제곱오차

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Design-Based Properties of Least Square Estimators of Panel Regression Coefficients Based on Complex Panel Data (복합패널 데이터에 기초한 최소제곱 패널회귀추정량의 설계기반 성질)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2010
  • We investigated design-based properties of the ordinary least square estimator(OLSE) and the weighted least square estimator(WLSE) in a panel regression model. Given a complex data we derive the magnitude of the design-based bias of two estimators and show that the bias of WLSE is smaller than that of OLSE. We also conducted a simulation study using Korean welfare panel data in order to compare design-based properties of two estimators numerically. In the study we found the followings. First, the relative bias of OLSE is nearly two times larger than that of WLSE and the bias ratio of OLSE is greater than that of WLSE. Also the relative bias of OLSE remains steady but that of WLSE becomes smaller as the sample size increases. Next, both the variance and mean square error(MSE) of two estimators decrease when the sample size increases. Also there is a tendency that the proportion of squared bias in MSE of OLSE increases as the sample size increase, but that of WLSE decreases. Finally, the variance of OLSE is smaller than that of WLSE in almost all cases and the MSE of OLSE is smaller in many cases. However, the number of cases of larger MSE of OLSE increases when the sample size increases.

A New Nonparametric Method for Prediction Based on Mean Squared Relative Errors (평균제곱상대오차에 기반한 비모수적 예측)

  • Jeong, Seok-Oh;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2008
  • It is common in practice to use mean squared error(MSE) for prediction. Recently, Park and Shin (2005) and Jones et al. (2007) studied prediction based on mean squared relative error(MSRE). We proposed a new nonparametric way of prediction based on MSRE substituting Jones et al. (2007) and provided a small simulation study which highly supports the proposed method.

Numerical Integration-based Performance Analysis of Amplitude-Comparison Monopulse System (진폭비교 모노펄스시스템의 수치적분 기반 성능분석)

  • Ham, Hyeong-Woo;Lim, Hee-Yun;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, estimation angle performance analysis of amplitude-comparison monopulse radar under additive noise effect is dealt with. When uncorrelated white noises are added to the squinted beams, the angle estimation performance is analyzed through the mean square error(MSE). The numerical integration-based mean square error result completely overlaps the Monte Carlo-based mean square error result, which corresponds to 99.8% of the Monte Carlo-based mean square error result. In addition, the mean square error analysis method based on numerical integration has a much faster operation time than the mean square error method based on Monte Carlo. the angle estimation performance of the amplitude comparison monopulse radar can be efficiently analyzed in various noise environments through the proposed numerical integration-based mean square error method.

A Weighted Mean Squared Error Approach to Multiple Response Surface Optimization (다중반응표면 최적화를 위한 가중평균제곱오차)

  • Jeong, In-Jun;Cho, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.625-633
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    • 2013
  • Multiple response surface optimization (MRSO) aims at finding a setting of input variables which simultaneously optimizes multiple responses. The minimization of mean squared error (MSE), which consists of the squared bias and variance terms, is an effective way to consider the location and dispersion effects of the responses in MRSO. This approach basically assumes that both the terms have an equal weight. However, they need to be weighted differently depending on a problem situation, for example, in case that they are not of the same importance. This paper proposes to use the weighted MSE (WMSE) criterion instead of the MSE criterion in MRSO to consider an unequal weight situation.

Design-based Properties of Least Square Estimators in Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 회귀계수 추정량의 설계기반 성질)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we investigate design-based properties of both the ordinary least square estimator and the weighted least square estimator for regression coefficients in panel regression model. We derive formulas of approximate bias, variance and mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator after linearization of least square estimators. Also we compare their magnitudes each other numerically through a simulation study. We consider a three years data of Korean Welfare Panel Study as a finite population and take household income as a dependent variable and choose 7 exploratory variables related household as independent variables in panel regression model. Then we calculate approximate bias, variance, mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator based on several sample sizes from 50 to 1,000 by 50. Through the simulation study we found some tendencies as follows. First, the mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is getting larger than the variance of the weighted least square estimator as sample sizes increase. Next, the magnitude of mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is depending on the magnitude of the bias of the estimator, which is large when the bias is large. Finally, with regard to approximate variance, variances of the ordinary least square estimator are smaller than those of the weighted least square estimator in many cases in the simulation.

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임의중단모형에서 신뢰도의 비모수적 통합형 추정량

  • 이재만;차영준;장덕준
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.685-694
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    • 1998
  • 임상실험이나 신뢰성공학 분야에서 임의 중단자료를 이용한 비모수적 신뢰도 추정량으로 Kaplan-Meier 추정량과 Nelson형 추정량이 많이 사용되고 있다. 그러나 Nelson형 추정량은 평균제곱오차의 관점에서 Kaplan-Meier 추정량보다 추정능력이 우수한 반면 편의는 신뢰도가 감소함에 따라 양의 방향으로 점증하는 소표본 특성을 갖는다. Nelson형 추정량의 이러한 특성 때문에 신뢰도의 함수로 표현되는 잔여수명 분위수함수 등의 추정시에는 평균제곱오차의 관점에서 Kaplan-Meier 추정량보다 추정능력이 떨어짐을 볼 수 있다. 이러한 점을 고려하여 이 두 추정량을 가중평균으로 통합한 새로운 비모수적 신뢰도 추정량을 제안하고 추정량의 특성을 비교 분석하였다.

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A Robust Design of Response Surface Methods (반응표면방법론에서의 강건한 실험계획)

  • 임용빈;오만숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2002
  • In the third phase of the response surface methods, the first-order model is assumed and the curvature of the response surface is checked with a fractional factorial design augmented by centre runs. We further assume that a true model is a quadratic polynomial. To choose an optimal design, Box and Draper(1959) suggested the use of an average mean squared error (AMSE), an average of MSE of y(x) over the region of interest R. The AMSE can be partitioned into the average prediction variance (APV) and average squared bias (ASB). Since AMSE is a function of design moments, region moments and a standardized vector of parameters, it is not possible to select the design that minimizes AMSE. As a practical alternative, Box and Draper(1959) proposed minimum bias design which minimize ASB and showed that factorial design points are shrunk toward the origin for a minimum bias design. In this paper we propose a robust AMSE design which maximizes the minimum efficiency of the design with respect to a standardized vector of parameters.

A Weighted Mean Squared Error Approach Based on the Tchebycheff Metric in Multiresponse Optimization (Tchebycheff Metric 기반 가중평균제곱오차 최소화법을 활용한 다중반응표면 최적화)

  • Jeong, In-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2015
  • Multiresponse optimization (MRO) seeks to find the setting of input variables, which optimizes the multiple responses simultaneously. The approach of weighted mean squared error (WMSE) minimization for MRO imposes a different weight on the squared bias and variance, which are the two components of the mean squared error (MSE). To date, a weighted sum-based method has been proposed for WMSE minimization. On the other hand, this method has a limitation in that it cannot find the most preferred solution located in a nonconvex region in objective function space. This paper proposes a Tchebycheff metric-based method to overcome the limitations of the weighted sum-based method.

The Comparison of the Performance for LMS Algorithm Family Using Asymptotic Relative Efficiency (점근상대효율을 이용한 최소평균제곱 계열 적응여파기의 성능 비교)

  • Sohn, Won
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2000
  • This paper examines the performance of adaptive filtering algorithms in relation to the asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of estimators. The adaptive filtering algorithms are Hybrid II and modified zero forcing (MZF) algorithms. The Hybrid II and MZF algorithms are simplified forms of the LMS algorithm, which use the polarity of the input signal, and polarities of the error and input signals, respectively. The ARE of estimators for each algorithm is analyzed under the condition of the same convergence speed. Computer simulations for adaptive equalization are performed to check the validity of the theory. The explicit expressions for the ARE values of the Hybrid II and MZF algorithms are derived, and its results have similar values to the results of computer simulation. It also revealed that the ARE values depend on the correlation coefficients between input signal and error signal.

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A Study on the Reliability Attributes of the Software Reliability Model Following the Shape Parameter of Minimax Life Distribution (미니맥스 수명분포의 형상모수를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 신뢰속성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2018
  • This paper, following the shape parameters of the minimax distribution, describes the special form of the beta distribution, the Minimax distribution, as a function of the shape parameters for the software reliability model based on the non-homogeneous Poisson process. Characteristics and usefulness were discussed. As a result, the case of the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution than less than and greate in mean squared error is the smallest, in determination coefficient, appears to be high, the shape parameter 1 of Minimax distribution regard as an efficient model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model is estimated to be more than 95%, which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Through this study, software design and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient, and confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline.