• Title/Summary/Keyword: 편차지수

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Climatological Study of 1994's Summer Droughts in Korea (한국에 있어서 1994년 하계한발의 기후학적 연구)

  • Yang, Jin-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 1996
  • The Korean Peninsula is located on the east coast of monsoon Asia of the midlatitude, where the Pacific polar front moves. As a result variations of spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation occur. A great variation of precipitation during the summer months created frequent droughts and floods. The purpose of this study is to identify distributional characteristics and to analyze synopic characteristics of summer droughts in Korea. The research methods used are ; (1) to identify droughts based on the anomaly of monthly precipitation during summer of 1994. (2) to analyze correlations between drought and weather systems by using the calender of rain days. (3) to compare a synoptic mechanism of summer droughts with that of typical normal summer. The characteristics of summer droughts of 1994 may be summarized as follows ; 1) While most regions were affected by the droughts some regions displayed specific characteristics. The southern part of the Korean Peninsula was severely affected during the month of June. August droughts severely affected east part of the Sobek Mountains, thus showing that the droughts of June and August are highly localized. 2) In the pressure anomaly of surface field. the positive anomaly appears in June around Korean Peninsula, but in July when all parts of the South Korea were under severe droughts, the anomaly changes and becomes negative. 3) Extracyclones occurred less frequently in the summer of 1994. Those that did occur were located in areas far off the Korean Peninsula having little consequences on the drought patterns. 4) The trough of westerly wave at 500hPa height patterns in June is located far from the eastern sea of Korean Peninsula, but in July and August Korean Peninsula belongs to ridge of westerly wave. 5) In June the positive height anomaly at 500hPa surface appears zonally from Siberia to the western Parts of North Pacific Ocean, and in July and August, the strong positive anomaly appears around Korean Peninsula. As a result the zonal index of westerlies at during each month of summer in Korean sector has a large value, which in turn implies that drought will prevails when zonal flow is strong.

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Diagnosis of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation using the Western North Pacific Subtropical High Index (북서태평양 아열대고기압 지수를 이용한 북동아시아 여름철 강수의 진단)

  • Kwon, MinHo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.102-106
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    • 2013
  • The intensity of the East Asian summer monsoon has a negative correlation with that of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. Based on the relationship, we suggest the potential predictability of Northeast Asian summer precipitation by using the relationship. The western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH) properly represents the intensity of the western North Pacific summer monsoon. It also dominates climate anomalies in the western North Pacific-East Asian region in summertime. The estimates of the Northeast Asian summer rainfall anomalies using WNPSH variability have a greater benefit than those using the western North Pacific monsoon index.

Spatiotemporal patterns of the extreme 2022 drought event in Southern region using remote sensing based drought index (위성영상 기반 가뭄지수를 활용한 2022년 남부지역의 가뭄 분석)

  • Gwang-Su Park;Won-Ho Nam;Hee-Jin Lee;Young-Sik Mun;Min-Gi Jeon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.202-202
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    • 2023
  • 전 세계적으로 지구 온난화로 인해 발생한 가뭄은 사회적, 경제적, 환경적으로 막대한 피해를 야기하고 있다. 국내의 경우, 2022년부터 현재까지 지속되고 있는 가뭄 상황은 강수의 지역적 편차로 인해 남부 지역 중심으로 극심한 피해가 발생하였다. 남부 지역의 주요 용수공급원인 영산강, 섬진강권역의 용수 공급율은 예년의 57%(3.8억 톤)에 불과하며, 일부 도서·산간 지역은 용수공급이 제한되는 현상까지 발생하였다. 이러한 가뭄 피해를 대비하기 위해 초기에 모니터링을 통한 선제적 대응 방안을 구축해야 한다. 가뭄 모니터링의 경우 미계측 지역에 대한 모니터링 방법으로 주기적이고 균질한 자료를 제공 받을 수 있는 위성영상을 활용한 연구가 수행되고 있다. 가뭄을 정량적으로 분석하고 판단하기 위해 가뭄지수를 활용하고 있으며, 대표적인 가뭄지수는 지상 관측강수량자료를 활용한 확률분포 기반의 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와 강수 및 기온의 변동성이 포함된 표준강수증발산지수 (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI)가 있으며, 위성영상 자료를 활용한 가뭄지수인 증발스트레스지수(Evaporative Stress Index, ESI) 등이 있다. 본 연구에서는 강수와 기온을 고려한 가뭄지수인SPEI와 위성영상 기반의 가뭄지수인 ESI를 활용하여 2022년 남부 지역의 가뭄 사상을 중심으로 지표별 시공간적 변화를 분석하고자 한다. SPEI의 경우 기상관측소 지점자료의 기온과 강수량을 활용하였으며, Terra 위성의 MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) 센서에서 제공되는 위성영상자료를 활용한 ESI는 미계측 지역에 대한 가뭄 판단을 위해 시·군별로 세분화하여 산정하였다.

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Evaluation model for scientific research performance based on journal articles (연구성과의 질 제고를 위한 논문평가 모형개발)

  • Lee, Hyuck-Jai;Yeo, Woon-Dong;Lee, Sang-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.538-557
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    • 2006
  • The interest in performance evaluation of public R&D has been dramatically increased. Many tries have been made to measure and to evaluate the quality of research performance. Quantitative indicators are considered increasingly important for this purpose. The most widely used are the number of research articles, citations and Impact Factors. However, such indicators are strongly discipline-dependent, and hence they should be used with careful attention. In this study we tried to provide quantitative evidence on the latent problems of discipline-dependent indicators. We also tried to provide a set of quantitative indicators for evaluating publications as a result of research activities. We put our focus on the quantitative indicators reflecting the characteristics on disciplines and provided several indicators with guideline on their usage.

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Deviation of Heavy-Weight Floor Impact Sound Levels According to Measurement Positions (마이크로폰의 위치에 따른 중량 바닥충격음레벨의 편차)

  • Oh Yang-Ki;Joo Moon-Ki;Park Jong-Young;Kim Ha-Geun;Yang Kwan-Seop
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2006
  • Measurement of impact sound insulation of floor, by current Korean Standard KS F 2810-2. is to be made with peak levels over 4 point in a receiving room. But it is often the case that there is inconsistency in results at various receiving points in the receiving room. Such variations obviously have effects on the repeatability and reproducibility of measured data. The result shows that there are even 10 dB deviations in 63Hz octave band frequency range and relatively less variations are occurred in other low frequency ranges. Such variations seems to be coming from modal overlaps of the receiving room. According to current rating method of floor impact sound. KS F 2863-2, that may affect on the single number latins scheme. From the result of tests in this study, there are 2dB to 6dB differences in the sin91e number with the combination of measurement points. This means that the reduction of measurement variations from the microphone positions is needed for a better credibility of measurement results.

Prediction of future drought in Korea using dynamic Bayesian classifier and bivariate drought frequency analysis (동적 베이지안 분류기와 이변량 가뭄빈도분석을 통한 우리나라 미래 가뭄 전망)

  • Hyeok Kim;Min Ji Kim;Tae-Woong Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.193-193
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    • 2023
  • 여러 기후변화 시나리오에 의하면 기상재해의 발생빈도 및 강도가 증가할 것으로 예상된다. 그중 가뭄은 강수량 부족, 하천유량 감소, 토양 함수량 감소, 용수 수요량 증가 등의 다양한 요인으로 인해 발생하며, 한 가지 형태뿐만 아니라 복합적인 형태로 발생할 수 있다. 또한, 우리나라는 지역마다 기후 특성의 편차가 있어 기후변화에 따른 가뭄 취약성과 대응 능력이 지역마다 다르게 나타난다. 따라서 가뭄에 대응하기 위해서는 다양한 요인을 고려한 통합가뭄지수를 활용해야 하며, 미래의 기후변화를 고려하여 종합적으로 가뭄을 평가해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 동적 베이지안 분류기(DNBC) 기반의 통합가뭄지수를 활용하여 우리나라 전국에 대해 수문학적 위험도를 분석하고 미래 가뭄을 전망하였다. 기상학적, 수문학적, 농업적 및 사회경제적 요인을 고려한 통합가뭄지수를 산정하기 위하여 DNBC 분류기의 인자로 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 기상학적 가뭄지수 SPI, 수문학적 가뭄지수 SDI, 농업적 가뭄지수 ESI와 사회경제적 가뭄지수 WSCI를 활용하였다. 산정된 통합가뭄지수의 시계열을 기반으로 심도와 지속기간을 추출하고, 코플라 함수를 활용한 이변량 가뭄빈도분석을 수행하였다. 이후, 이변량 가뭄빈도분석에 의해 산정된 재현기간을 활용하여 수문학적 위험도를 산정하였다. 그 결과, P1(2021~2040) 기간이 수문학적 위험도 R=0.588로 가장 높은 위험도를 나타냈으며, 이후 P2(2041~2070) 기간까지 감소하였다가 P3(2071~2099) 기간에 다시 증가하는 추세를 보였다. P1(2021~2040) 기간과 P3(2071~2099) 기간은 영산강 유역이 각각 R=0.625(P1), R=0.550(P3)으로 가장 높은 위험도를 나타냈으나, P2(2041~2070) 기간은 금강 유역이 수문학적 위험도 R=0.482로 가장 높게 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 향후 미래 가뭄에 대한 가뭄계획 수립 시에 기초자료로서 활용성이 높을 것으로 기대된다.

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Statistical Characterization of UWB channel in Office Environments (초광대역 통신시스템의 통계학적 채널모델링)

  • Choi Jin-Won;Kang Noh-Gyoung;Kim Jeong-Wook;Kim Seong-Cheol
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.7A
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    • pp.702-708
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에는 초광대역 통신시스템을 위한 주파수 영역의 통계학적 채널 모델을 서술하고 있다. 채널 모렐링은 3개의 사무실 환경, 46개의 송, 수신 위치에서 얻어진 23,000개의 채널응답함수로 부터 얻어졌다. 측정실험을 통해 얻어진 데이터를 바탕으로 주파수 변화에 따른 경로감쇄지수 변화에 대해 서술한 후 전파환경과 가시경로의 존재여부에 따른 수신신호의 확률분포모델을 연구하였다. 마지막으로는 수신된 주파수 톤에 해당하는 수신파워의 표준편차와 같은 통계적 특성들을 고찰하였는데, 가시경로가 존재하는 경우에는 송, 수신기 사이의 거리가 멀어지면서 표준편차 값이 커지고 그에 따라 수신 주파수 톤의 파워가 평균 수신파워에서 일정한 범위 안에 들어올 확률이 떨어지는 것을 알 수 있었다.

Application of Bibliotherapy to Enhance the Happiness of University Students (대학생 행복지수 제고를 위한 독서치료 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Chae
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.391-408
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of a new bibliotherapy program on the happiness index of University students. The results were as follows: Firstly, we can raise the happiness index through the new bibliotherapy program. More specifically, we can reduce negative emotions to a great extent, and raising the level of satisfaction with life is effective. But increasing positive emotions is not easy. Secondly, Effect of bibliotherapy program on the factors of Happiness is different by various situations. Thirdly, reaction of participants of bibliotherapy program to religeous and spiritual media is different.

The Mean-VaR Framework and the Optimal Portfolio Choice (평균-VaR 기준과 최적 포트폴리오 선택)

  • Ku, Bon-Il;Eom, Young-Ho;Choo, Youn-Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.165-188
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    • 2009
  • This paper has suggested the methodology for the frontier portfolios and the optimal portfolio under the mean-VaR framework, not assuming the normal distribution and considering the investor's preferences for the higher moments of return distributions. It suggested the grid and rank approach which did not need an assumption about return distributions to find the frontier portfolios. And the optimal portfolio was selected using the utility function that considered the 3rd and the 4th moments. For the application of the methodology, weekly returns of the developed countries index, the emerging market index and the KOSPI index were used. After the frontier portfolios of the mean-variance framework and the mean-VaR framework were selected, the optimal portfolios of each framework were compared. This application compared not only the difference of the standard deviation but also the difference of the utility level and the certainty equivalent expressed by weekly expected returns. In order to verify statistical significances about the differences between the mean-VaR and the mean-variance, this paper presented the statistics which were obtained by the historical simulation method using the bootstrapping. The results showed that an investor under the mean-VaR framework had a tendency to select the optimal portfolio which has bigger standard deviation, comparing to an investor under the mean-variance framework. In addition, the more risk averse an investor is, the bigger utility level and certainty equivalent he achieves under the mean-VaR framework. However, the difference between the two frameworks were not significant in statistical as well as economic criterion.

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Synoptic Climatological Characteristics of Distribution of Precipitation in Korea in Early Autumn (한국의 초가을 강수분포의 종관기후학적 특성)

  • Yang, Jin-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 1999
  • This study is a comparative analysis of sea level and 500hPa surfaces between dry year and wet year, which are selected by variability of precipitation and standardized anomalies in Korea in early autumn. While the amount of precipitation of early autumn decreases, the variability of precipitation increases rapidly reflecting the strength and weakness of Kaul Changma front and the occurrences of the typhoonic precipitation. The regional distribution of the variability of precipitation shows west-high, east-low pattern in which the east coast and the southeastern coast shows low, but high in the southwestern coast. In the anomalies distribution of sea-level and 500hPa surfaces, during dry year, the northern part of Siberia and the core area of North Pacific high shows negative anomalies, on the contrary, there were positive anomalies in wet year at the same areas. In addition, at the 500hPa level, while the Korean peninsula was located at the west of deep trough with low zonal index in dry year, the peninsula was influenced by weak trough with high zonal index showing strong zonal flow in wet year. During dry year the height of 500hPa surface is low at the north of $40^{\circ}N$, but high in wet year. In consequences, this study identified that the occurrences of dry year and wet year were influenced by the seasonal variations of the strength and the weakness of North Pacific high and Siberian high.

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