• Title/Summary/Keyword: 패널 단위근 검정

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Testing for Convergence in Carbon Dioxide Emissions : Using a Dynamic Panel Analysis and Panel Unit Root Test (이산화탄소 배출량의 수렴성 검정 : 다이나믹 패널 분석과 패널 단위근 검정을 이용하여)

  • Cho, Sungtaek;Cho, Yongsung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the existence of ${\beta}$-convergence of carbon dioxide emissions in 24 countries over the period 1971~2002. For that purpose, The model of economic growth developed by Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1995) is extended and conducted Dynamic panel analysis and unit root testing by employing the panel stationarity test of Levin et al. (2002) and 1m et al. (2003). A dynamic panel estimation is well known method including capacity to control for both the endogeneity problem and the unobserved country-specific effects problem. Dynamic panel estimation method has been widely used in similar empirical studies. therefore, we also used the dynamic panel estimation method in our estimation. The result show that evidence of ${\beta}$-convergence exists among both the Obligatory GHG reduction countries (Annex) and the Non-obligatory GHG reduction countries (Non-Annex). but China discharge amount of $CO_2$ gas more than any other country. This fact can cause some bias in overall test. and so we reexamined test of convergence for Non-annex countries excluding china. As expected, in the Non-annex countries excluding china, I couldn't find any evidence of convergence.

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주가수익비율의 안정성에 관한 실증 연구

  • Gang, Dae-Seok;O, Geun-Yeop
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.171-192
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문은 한국에서 상장기업의 주가와 주당순이익의 관계에 대한 계량분석이다. 특히, 주가나 주당순이익이 모두 비안정적 자료임에 착안하였고, 최근 개발되어 발전하고 있는 '패널자료에서의 단위근검정 및 공적분검정' 방법을 이용하였다. 분석결과, 주가 및 주당순이익은 모두 단위근을 갖고 있었으며, 주가수익비율인 PER도 개별단위근 검정에서는 단위근을 갖는 것으로 나왔다. 또한, 개별기업 차원에서는 주가와 주당순이익 사이에도 공적분관계가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 하지만, 패널 단위근방법을 이용하여 검정하였을 때는 PER이 안정적인 것으로 나타났으며, 패널공적분방법을 이용했을 때는 주가와 EPS사이에도 공적분관계가 있다는 결과를 얻었다. 이는, 우리나라의 주식시장에서도, 최소한 기업 전체적으로는, 주가가 주당순이익을 반영한다는 것을 의미한다. 본 논문에서는, PER이 어떤 일정한 수준으로부터 벗어나는 경우, 그 괴리가 반으로 줄어드는 데는 전체기업 평균적으로 볼 때 4개월$\sim$16개월 정도 걸리는 결과를 얻었다.

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The Long-Run Relationship between House Prices and Economic Fundamentals: Evidence from Korean Panel Data (주택가격과 기초경제여건의 장기 관계: 우리나라의 패널 자료를 이용하여)

  • Sim, Sunghoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2012
  • This paper adopts recently developed panel unit root test that is cross-sectionally robust. Cointegration test is also used to find whether regional house prices are in line with gross regional domestic production (GRDP) in the long run in Korea during 1989-2009. Based on the panel VECM and the panel ARDL models, we examine causal relationships among the variables and estimate the long-run elasticity. We find evidence of cointegration and bidirectional causal relationships between regional house prices and GRDP. The results of long-run estimates, using both fixed effect and ARDL models, show that house prices positively and significantly influence on the GRDP and vice versa. Together with these results, the findings of ARDL-ECM imply that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between house prices and regional economic variables even if there is a possibility of short-run deviation from its long-run path.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

Empirical Study on the Semi-Endogenous Growth Theory and Fully Endogenous Growth Theory in OECD Countries (OECD국가의 준 내생적 성장이론 및 완전한 내생적 성장이론에 대한 실증고찰)

  • Cho, Sang Sup;Yang, Youngseok;Kang, Shin-Won
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.153-169
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the recently empirical test for the two types of endogenous growth models, which one is more fitted to real data. We adopt the non-stationary panel data methodologies for seeking empirical implication by using productivity and R&D data in the OECD over the past two decades. The Empirical tests show that there is a robust relationship Total Factor Productivity and R&D variables implied by semi-endogenous growth model. The relationship suggested by fully endogenous growth theory, however, is sensitive to R&D variables. Therefore, the estimation results provide empirical evidence in favour of endogenous growth theory of R&D expenditure role for sustaining economic growth. The sustained Total Factor Productivity, however, is maintained by more increasing R&D inputs for overcoming diminishing return to R&D efforts.

Effects of Exchange Rate, GDP, ODI on Export to the East Asia: Application the Panel FMOLS Approach (환율, GDP, 해외직접투자가 한국의 대동아시아 수출에 미치는 영향: 패널 FMOLS기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.307-322
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine determinants of export to the East Asia region, using panel unit root, panel cointegration framework, panel VECM (vector error correction model), panel FMOLS (fully modified OLS). Different panel unit root tests confirm that the data series are integrated processes with unit roots. When applying cointegration tests to long-run effect for aggregate panel data, a primary concern is to construct the estimators in a way that does not constrain the transitional dynamics to be similar among different countries of the panel. The regression equations are estimated by various panel cointegration estimators. The panel data causality results reveal that exchange rates has unidirectional effects on export and GDP, and there exists bidirectional causality between export and GDP. Also, the results from the panel FMOLS tests overwhelmingly reject the null hypothesis of zero coefficient. The panel cointegrating vectors show that the export has positive relationship with the GDP and ODI (overseas direct investment).

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An Analysis of the Effects of Political and Economic Forces on the Export of Renewable Energy Technologies (재생에너지 기술의 수출에 대한 정치·경제요인의 영향 분석)

  • Sung, Bong-Suk;Nian, Liu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.209-233
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the question of how political and economic factors may affect the export of renewable energy technologies. The relationships are tested using panel data for 19 OECD member countries over the period 1992-2012. Before establishing the empirical model, the current study checks the characteristics of the panel data, which includes various panel framework analyses, such as tests for the presence of normality, structural breaks, first-order autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional dependence, panel unit-root. From the panel framework analyses, a dynamic panel model is established to test the relationship between the variables examined in this study. In order to reduce the bias of the estimation of the dynamic panel model and obtain efficient parameters, this study uses the bias-corrected least square dummy variable(LSDVC) estimator to estimate the empirical model. The results of this study show that governmental policies expressed as coercive pressure and market size positively affect the export growth of renewable energy technologies. However, public pressure and traditional energy industry have no significant effects on export performance. Policy implications are presented based on the results of this study.

R&D기반 성장모형의 실증분석

  • 조상섭;정동진;장송자
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2002
  • This paper extends the empirical analysis on R&D based growth model so that the nonstationary panel unit root testing methods can be used to distinguish the exogenous growth model and R&D based growth model for the 1981-1999 period with fourteen OECD economies including Korea. Our results show that first, using U.S. and Group mean as benchmarking, the stochastic R&D productivity convergence to benchmarking is not supported in our data set. Second, the empirical results for stochastic nonconvergence to the U.S. or group mean also are robustness to panel unit root methods. We, therefore, find strong support for the implications for R&D based growth model.

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The Study on the Impact of ODA on the Export of Korea: A Panel Data Analysis (공적개발원조가 한국의 수출에 미친 영향 연구: 패널 자료 분석)

  • Kang, Myeong-Joo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.217-240
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    • 2015
  • This paper uses the modified gravity model of international trade to examine the impact of ODA on the export of Korea to 28 aid recipients. In this perspective, the study includes recipient's economic size, trade openness, population, donor's scale of aid and distance between them as key determinants of the export of Korea by using panel data over the period of 2005-2012. To do this task, important econometric methods are fulfilled to test the model adequately, such as panel unit root and panel co-integration test. In addition, the study incorporated the panel OLS, panel GLM and panel EGLS methods. The empirical analysis clearly showed that an increase in Korea's ODA promotes its own exports. The coefficients of recipients's per capita GDP, population and trade openness have a positive impact on Korea's export respectively, while distance between them has a negative impact. Regarding regional dummy variables, aid for the region of Africa and America have a negative impact on Korea's export. Overall, the main implication of this study is that even if it emphasized Korea's economic interests as determinants of ODA disbursements, but it also suggests that an improvement of recipient's economic development, income distribution and educational environment can be an important concern in the future.

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