• Title/Summary/Keyword: 패널 공적분 분석

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The Test of Stochastic Convergence of Environment Emission and Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Asian Developing Countries (아시아 국가들 환경오염배출량의 확률수렴성과 환경쿠즈네츠곡선가설 검정)

  • Kim, Ji Uk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.571-595
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    • 2010
  • This research applies an panel data stationarity and stochastic convergence test developed by Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005), which has the advantage of considering multiple structural breaks and the presence of cross-section dependence in order to investigate the hypothesis that relative emission $CO_2$ per capita stochastically converge for 11 Asian countries from 1971~2007. We find that relative emission $CO_2$ per capita is stationary after the structural breaks and cross-section dependence are introduced into the model. We also investigate whether Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis exists in 11 Asian countries. For EKC test, using the panel cointegration tests of Banerjee and Carrion-i-Silvestre (2006) and Westerlund and Edgerton(2007), we find that relative emission $CO_2$ per capita and relative GDP per capita are cointegrated. However EKC hypothesis in 11 Asian countries is not supported.

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The Study on the Impact of ODA on the Export of Korea: A Panel Data Analysis (공적개발원조가 한국의 수출에 미친 영향 연구: 패널 자료 분석)

  • Kang, Myeong-Joo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.217-240
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    • 2015
  • This paper uses the modified gravity model of international trade to examine the impact of ODA on the export of Korea to 28 aid recipients. In this perspective, the study includes recipient's economic size, trade openness, population, donor's scale of aid and distance between them as key determinants of the export of Korea by using panel data over the period of 2005-2012. To do this task, important econometric methods are fulfilled to test the model adequately, such as panel unit root and panel co-integration test. In addition, the study incorporated the panel OLS, panel GLM and panel EGLS methods. The empirical analysis clearly showed that an increase in Korea's ODA promotes its own exports. The coefficients of recipients's per capita GDP, population and trade openness have a positive impact on Korea's export respectively, while distance between them has a negative impact. Regarding regional dummy variables, aid for the region of Africa and America have a negative impact on Korea's export. Overall, the main implication of this study is that even if it emphasized Korea's economic interests as determinants of ODA disbursements, but it also suggests that an improvement of recipient's economic development, income distribution and educational environment can be an important concern in the future.

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Knowledge Production Function in South Korea : An Empirical Analysis (우리나라 지식생산함수 : 실증분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Sup;Jung, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.383-405
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    • 2007
  • In this paper we estimate knowledge production function for 15 South Korean industry sectors using panel data. To accommodate the influence of inter-sectoral interactions on the creation of knowledge, we estimate parameters for related knowledge production functions using the Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Regression(DSUR) model proposed by Mark et al. (2005). We find the elasticity of knowledge production with respect to the size of research staff to be 0.25 and that with respect to the existing stock of knowledge to be 0.35. The fact that the elasticity of new knowledge creation with regard to the existing knowledge stock is below 1 in South Korea corroborates the view that the rate of long-term growth of her economy is chiefly determined by the elasticity related to production functions of goods and services and the rate of population growth, and that her government policy, to ensure a continued growth for the Korean economy, must shift the focus of R&D policies from the current direct intervention-centered model to one consisting of indirect measures, namely supporting knowledge management and diffusion and the creation of a knowledge sharing system. In terms of R&D policy implications it could be consider that the national knowledge production system should strengthen the cumulative process of knowledge accumulation and population for research and development. Our country R&D policy, also, need to adopt a global approach to increase knowledge stock at the highest levels of a country.

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Effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on Export via Gwangyang Port: Application of the Panel Gravity Model and Rolling Regression (한.ASEAN FTA가 광양항 수출에 미치는 영향: 패널중력모형과 전향적 이동회귀의 적용)

  • Park, Honggyun;Kim, Changbeom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2014
  • The paper uses a panel gravity model to analyse the determinants of export via Gwangyang port for the period from 2000-2012. The gravity model includes export via Gwangyang port, GDP and population of trading partners, the distances between Korea and its partners, and Korea-ASEAN FTA dummy. Hausman test shows up which one is exactly appropriate between random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation to use panel dataset. It depends on whether or not existence or nonexistence of the correlation between unobserved omitted factors and variables. Fixed effect estimation is suitable for this paper by the rejection of null hypothesis. An Empirical analysis of this paper shows GDP influences positive effects and distance influences negative effects to Gwangyang port trading partners. In addition, the results strongly supported the effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on the growth of Gwangyang port export.

The Role of Information Communication Capital Stock to the increase of Productivity (정보통신자본의 생산성증가에 관한 고찰)

  • Jung, Dong-Jin;Cho, Sang-Up
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.606-625
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    • 2006
  • This Study is to show the impact of IT capital stock accumulation on the total factor productivity in 9 industries during 1980 through 2000. We construct the If capital stock using input and output table provided by Bank of Korea (2000). Using sequence testing methodologies, we investigate the nonstationary characteristics of the relevant data and test the cointegration relationship between total factor productivity and IT capital stock. Over the past two decades, IT capital stock contributed between 0.19 to 0.07 percentage point per IT capital stock on total factor productivity. Our empirical results, therefore, do not support Solow's IT paradox in using the long period panel data case in Korea.

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The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Korea's Exports of Machinery Intermediate Goods to East Asian Countries: Around the Global Financial Crisis (환율변동성이 동아시아 국가에 대한 한국의 기계류 중간재 수출에 미치는 영향: 글로벌 금융위기 전후를 중심으로)

  • Jung, Moon-Hyun
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.169-198
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on the export of Korean machinery intermediate goods to East Asian countries using the export demand model. In order to secure the validity of the estimation of the exchange rate volatility for the export of machinery intermediate goods, various methods of volatility measurement are used including the GARCH model, the moving average standard deviation and the 12-month fixed average standard deviation. The long-term relationship between variables was analyzed by applying the panel cointegration tests and DOLS & FMOLS panel estimations. Analysis results found that prior to the global financial crisis in 2008, the total exports of machinery and exchange rate volatility positively affect the exports of intermediate goods such as general machinery, electronic machinery and transportation equipment, but did not affect the exports of precision machinery intermediate goods. After the global financial crisis, however, exchange rate volatility negatively affected total exports and the exports of all machinery intermediate goods. When analyzing the period before and after the global financial crisis, it had a positive impact on exports of precision machinery intermediate goods and a negative effect on total exports and the exports of other machinery intermediate goods.

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Long-run Relationship between R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth (공적분 관계를 고려한 연구개발과 경제성장의 상호관계 연구)

  • Han, Woongyong;Jeon, Yongil
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2016
  • We empirically examine the validity of second generation endogenous growth theory suing 21 OECD countries' panel data(1981~2011). Due to non-stationarity in all variables, we test the cointegrated relationships strongly supporting the semi-endogenous growth model. In the estimation of total factor productivity growth function, the growth of domestic and foreign R&D investment levels statistically significantly affect total factor productivity growth. R&D intensity, however, has significant impacts on the total factor productivity growth only in a few models, and international technology gap also has positive impacts on GDP growth. Thus the semi-endogenous growth model is relatively supported while fully endogenous growth model is weakly and occasionally supported in OECD countries. The policy implication of supporting the semi-endogenous growth model is that the sustaining growth requires increasing R&D expenditures.

An Empirical Research on Relation between FDI and Technology Diffusion: Using Nonstationary Panel Data (외국인 직접투자의 기술확산 효과에 대한 실증분석 : 비안정적 패널자료를 이용하여)

  • Kim Hong-Kee;Kim Jong-Woon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1225-1249
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    • 2005
  • This study aims at investigating whether foreign direct investment plays a role as a channel of international technology diffusion. We used the annual panel data from 1980 to 2002. The nonstationary panel techniques, in particular group mean panel FMOLS(fully modified OLS) was exploited as an empirical methodology in order to tackle the heterogeneity between members and low frequency. The empirical results show that inflow direct investments lead to an increase in total factor productivity and economic growth. Also outflow direct investments contribute to an higher total factor productivity and economic growth. These results confirms that both inflow and outflow direct investments are important channels for international technology diffusion or spillover.

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Export Behavior Analysis of Busan Port using Constant Market Share Analysis (CMS 분석을 이용한 부산항 수출행태분석)

  • Mo, Soowon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.239-253
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    • 2013
  • Changes of a port's market share in the exports of domestic ports result from many interrelated factors. Therefore, the analysis of the export performance of a port should be put in perspective by analysing long periods to identify trends. This paper aims to show the development of competitiveness, product and geographical structure of the Busan Port's merchandise exports from 1995 to 2012 using constant-market shares (CMS) analysis. This article is relevant for Busan port because its export market shares have been showing disappointing path. The dynamic consideration of the CMS analysis, which the static indicators have been replaced by time series, helps to track all changes in the export structure and competitiveness of the Busan port over time. The long-term trend of the indicators suggests that it may be very hard for the Busan port to maintain its market share in the global environment. The advantage in competitiveness of the Busan port has vanished and the product and geographical structure effects show negative trends after 1995, pointing to vulnerability in the Busan port's exports.

Bilataral Trade Balance between Korea and Her Trading Partners: Using Panel Approach (한국의 무역상대국간 무역수지와 환율간의 장기관계분석: 패널분석의 적용)

  • Kim, Joung-Gu
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2010
  • While it is often assumed that a country's trade balance will improve in the long-run if its currency is allowed to depreciate, this is not necessarily the case for specific industry. This paper is to examine the long-run relationships between trade balance and real exchange rate using bilateral data of SITC 10 Industry Classification for Korea vis-${\grave{a}}$-vis her trading partners Indonesia, India, China, Japan on a quarterly basis over the period of 1999Q1 to 2008Q4. I applied the recent panel cointegration technique to reduce the small sample problems and improving power performance of the relevant estimation and inference procedures. The results reveal evidence of the Marshall-Lerner Condition in Indonesia 2 industries, India 5 industries, Japanese 4 industries, Chinese 6 industries. Whole group's cointegration statistic of India, China, Japan was supported Marshall-Lerner Condition but Indonesia was rejected.