• Title/Summary/Keyword: 패널분석모형

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Developing Traffic Accident Models Using Panel Data (Focused on the 50 intersections in Cheongju) (패널자료를 이용한 교통사고모형 개발 (청주시 교차로 50개 지점을 대상으로))

  • Kim, Jun-Yong;Na, Hui;Park, Min-Gyu;Park, Byeong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2011
  • This study proposes the accident estimation model developed based on the time-series cross-sectional data at 50 intersections in Cheongju. The data were collected repeatedly and accumulated from 2004 to 2007. This study focused on deriving the optimal among the various models including TSCSREG(Time Series Cross Section Regression). Four different models utilizing various elements affecting accidents were developed. Through a statistical test, it was found that the t values of independent variables of the fixed effect models were less than those of the random effect models. Two variables were then found to be positive to the accidents: the number of crosswalks at an intersection and the number of intersections.

The Role of Political Ideology in the 2012 Korean Presidential Election: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis (제18대 대통령 선거에서 이념의 영향: 패널 데이터 분석 결과)

  • Kim, Sung-Youn
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.147-177
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    • 2017
  • Although a number of empirical studies found that political ideology plays a significant role in Korean elections, they entirely rely on cross-sectional data analysis. In contrast to previous research, this study investigates the effects of ideology in the 2012 Korean presidential election through standard panel data analysis. Specifically, using "EAI Panel Study, 2012", the effects of ideology on both candidate evaluation and vote choice were examined via fixed effects, random effects, and pooled regression analysis. And the results from applying the two most popular models of ideological voting, the proximity model and the directional change model were also compared. The results show that candidate evaluations and vote choice during the election (April, 2012- December, 2012) were significantly influenced by the ideological difference between voters and candidates, independent from partisanship and other standard socio-demographic factors. And this ideological voting during the election seems better captured by the directional change model than by the proximity model.

Effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on Export via Gwangyang Port: Application of the Panel Gravity Model and Rolling Regression (한.ASEAN FTA가 광양항 수출에 미치는 영향: 패널중력모형과 전향적 이동회귀의 적용)

  • Park, Honggyun;Kim, Changbeom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2014
  • The paper uses a panel gravity model to analyse the determinants of export via Gwangyang port for the period from 2000-2012. The gravity model includes export via Gwangyang port, GDP and population of trading partners, the distances between Korea and its partners, and Korea-ASEAN FTA dummy. Hausman test shows up which one is exactly appropriate between random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation to use panel dataset. It depends on whether or not existence or nonexistence of the correlation between unobserved omitted factors and variables. Fixed effect estimation is suitable for this paper by the rejection of null hypothesis. An Empirical analysis of this paper shows GDP influences positive effects and distance influences negative effects to Gwangyang port trading partners. In addition, the results strongly supported the effects of Korea-ASEAN FTA on the growth of Gwangyang port export.

The Determinants of the Efficiency of Korean Ports - Using Panel Analysis and Heteroscedastic Tobit Model - (국내항만의 효율성 결정요소 - 패널분석과 이분산 토빗모형을 이용하여 -)

  • Mo, Su-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.349-361
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    • 2008
  • There has been abundant empirical research undertaken on the technical efficiency of Korean ports. Most studies have focused on the use of parametric and non-parametric techniques to analyse overall technical efficiency. This paper utilizes data for the period 2000-07 to offer a heterogeneous perspective on the overall efficiency of Korean ports. The framework assumes that ports use one input to produce one output; the output and input include port export(import) and regional export(import). This paper also employs panel analysis and heteroscedastic Tobit model to show the effect of the explanatory variables on the port efficiencies. The panel analysis shows that the regional export/total export has negative effect on the export efficiency while the regional import/total import has not any relations with the import efficiency. The heteroskedastic Tobit model shows that both regional export ratio and regional import ratio have negative effects on the efficiency while the gross regional domestic product has not any significant relations with the import efficiency.

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Prediction for Time Series Panel Data using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 시계열 패널자료의 예측)

  • Kim, In-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2012.01a
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    • pp.263-264
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문은 여러 개의 독립적인 시계열로 구성된 시계열 패널 자료를 이용하여 비선형 모형인 GRCA모형과 신경망을 이용하여 예측값을 구하여 서로 비교 분석하고자 한다. 먼저 GRCA모형에 대하여 연구하고 신경망의 구조와 예측값을 구하기 위한 여러 가지 변환함수를 유도한다. 단기 예측에서는 신경망 방법의 예측값이 더 좋았고, 장기예측에서는 비선형모형을 이용한 예측값이 더 좋은 것으로 나타났다.

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An Analysis of Panel Data on the Web-accessibility Policies of Local Governments in Korea (우리나라 웹 접근성 정책 영향요인 분석 - 16개 광역자치단체 패널데이터를 중심으로 -)

  • JIN, Sangki;HYUN, Joonho
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.42-58
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    • 2011
  • This paper starts from one question: what are the key factors of the web accessibility policy, which is significant for realizing equity in the web and enhancing human dignity in the information society. To find significant factors for complying with web accessibility, this paper analyzes panel data of 16 Korean local governments (for five years: 2004-2009) according to the research design which is based on the demand and supply balance model and consists of four variables : 'legal and institutional environment (including legal infrastructure)', 'financial foundation (fiscal self-reliance ratio)', 'policy inputs (amount of imformatization budget, employee of information experts)'and 'policy demand (internet usage rate, the number of disabled people and elderly people)'. From the results of this study, this paper can explain the mechanism and impact factors on the web accessibility policy of Korean local governments. Some factors are critical to improve web accessibility: (1) the importance of policy demand, (2) the importance of policy inputs, (3) the importance of legal and institutional environment. Finally, this paper concludes with some suggestions to enhance the web accessibility capacity for Korean local governments: (1) improve awareness on web accessibility, (2) develop a standard and invest R&D on web accessibility, (3) foster experts in web accessibility.

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Analysis of latent growth model using repeated measures ANOVA in the data from KYPS (청소년패널자료 분석에서의 반복측정분산분석을 활용한 잠재성장모형)

  • Lee, Hwa-Jung;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1409-1419
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    • 2013
  • We analyzed the data from KYPS using the latent growth model which has been widely studied as an analysis method of longitudinal data. In this study, we applied repeated measures ANOVA to unconditional model in order for faster decision of the unconditional model of the latent growth model. Also, we compared the six-type models, the quadratic model and the model of which repeated measures ANOVA is applied.

A Study on the Model Development and Empirical Application for Measuring the Radial and Non-radial Efficiencies of Investment in Domestic Seaports (국내항만투자의 방사.비방사적 효율성 측정을 위한 모형개발 및 실증적 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ro-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.185-212
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this paper is to show the empirical analysis way for measuring the seaport efficiency by using the previous radial model and the newly modified non-radial models( panel additive model, panel RAM model, and panel SBM model)with Spearman rank order correlation coefficient(SROCC) for 20 Korean ports during 11 years(1997-2007) for 1 inputs(port investment amount) and 4 outputs(Number of Ship Calls, Port Revenue, Customer Satisfaction Score for Port Service and Container Cargo Throughput). The main empirical results of this paper are as follows. First, consistency ratio of SROCC in terms of efficiency scores between radial and panel Additive model was over about 76% and overall consistency ratio was about 71.6%. Second, an efficiency of panel RAM model was higher than that of radial model with similarity. However, panel SBM model shows the very similar efficiency scores with panel radial model. Third, the slack size of radial model is smaller compared to non-radial model. Models' ranking orders in terms of efficiency scores, number of efficient ports are panel RAM model, panel SBM model, and radial model. The order from the minimum efficiency scores was the same order like just before. The policy implication to the Korean seaports and planner is that Korean seaports should introduce the new methods like non-radial models(panel additive model, panel RAM model, and panel SBM model) for measuring the port performance.

The Long-Run Relationship between House Prices and Economic Fundamentals: Evidence from Korean Panel Data (주택가격과 기초경제여건의 장기 관계: 우리나라의 패널 자료를 이용하여)

  • Sim, Sunghoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2012
  • This paper adopts recently developed panel unit root test that is cross-sectionally robust. Cointegration test is also used to find whether regional house prices are in line with gross regional domestic production (GRDP) in the long run in Korea during 1989-2009. Based on the panel VECM and the panel ARDL models, we examine causal relationships among the variables and estimate the long-run elasticity. We find evidence of cointegration and bidirectional causal relationships between regional house prices and GRDP. The results of long-run estimates, using both fixed effect and ARDL models, show that house prices positively and significantly influence on the GRDP and vice versa. Together with these results, the findings of ARDL-ECM imply that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between house prices and regional economic variables even if there is a possibility of short-run deviation from its long-run path.

Test of Homogeneity for Intermittent Panel AR(1) Processes and Application (간헐적인 패널 1차 자기회귀과정들의 동질성 검정과 적용)

  • Lee, Sung Duck;Kim, Sun Woo;Jo, Na Rae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.1163-1170
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    • 2014
  • The concepts and structure of intermittent panel time series data are introduced. We suggest a Wald test statistic for the test of homogeneity for intermittent panel first order autoregressive model and its limit distribution is derived. We consider the fitting the model with pooling data using sample mean at the time point if homogeneity for intermittent panel AR(1) is satisfied. We performed simulations to examine the limit distribution of the homogeneity test statistic for intermittent panel AR(1). In application, we fit the intermittent panel AR(1) for panel Mumps data and investigate the test of homogeneity.