• Title/Summary/Keyword: 투자자

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재벌기업(財閥企業)의 과잉투자(過剩投資) 및 그 원인(原因)에 관한 실증분석(實證分析)

  • Han, Jin-Hui
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.3-58
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    • 1999
  • 본고는 위기 이전 우리나라의 상위 재벌기업이 과연 정부의 암묵적 투자손실보전(implicit loss-protection)에 기인하여 위험이 큰 사업에 과다하게 투자하였는가를 실증적으로 규명하여 보고자 하였다. 본고는 먼저 이론적 모형을 통하여 한 경제에 투자손실보전에 대한 기대하에서 투자를 한 기업과 그렇지 않은 기업이 공존할 때, 전자는 후자에 비하여 1) 투자를 많이 하게 될 뿐 아니라, 2) 불확실성의 증가에 대하여 투자를 더욱 늘릴 유인이 존재한다는 것을 보여주었다. 본고는 실증분석에서는 우리나라 상장기업(제조업 및 전산업)의 투자함수를 1992년~97년 기간에 대해 매출액 가속도모형(sales accelerator model)을 이용하여 추정한 결과, 투자손실보전에 대한 기대가 투자결정시 가장 중요하게 작용하였을 것으로 선험적으로 판단되는 5대 재벌기업과 이러한 기대가 가장 작았을 것으로 판단되는 독립기업간에 이론적으로 예상되었던 차이가 관찰되었다. 먼저 전체표본기업에 대한 분석(pooled regressions)에서는 5대 재벌기업은 여타기업에 비하여 매출액의 시차분포와 같은 통상적인 투자의 결정요인으로 설명될 수 없는 높은 투자수준의 차이가 두 그룹간 미래 수익성 전망의 차이, 유동성제약의 정도에 있어서의 차이, 기업규모에서의 차이 등에 기인할 가능성은 작은 것으로 나타났다. 한편 그룹별 분석(regressions by group)에서 5대 재벌기업은 수익률의 불확실성이 증가할 때 오히려 투자를 늘리는 것으로 관찰되었는데, 이는 여타기업에서 불확실성의 계수가 유의하지는 않지만 음수로 추정된 것과는 대조적이었다. 위의 결과는 과거 우리나라의 상위 재벌기업들이 재벌의 부도를 정부가 정치 경제적으로 수용하기 어려울 것이라는 대마불사(大馬不死)의 기대하에 고위험사업에 과다하게 투자하였다는 주장을 뒷받침한다고 판단된다. 향후 유사한 문제의 재발 방지를 위해서는 투자결과에 대한 책임을 투자자인 기업이 져야 함을 철저히 인식하도록 제도 및 관행상 개선노력이 필요하다고 판단되며, 특히 부실기업정리과정에서 부실에 대한 책임을 투자자가 지는 선례(先例)를 확립해 나가는 것이 무엇보다 중요할 것이다.

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Forms of Governance and Firm Value in the Korean Logistics Industry (물류기업의 지배구조가 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Hyun-Jung;Sohn, Pan-Do
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2015
  • This paper investigates whether managerial ownership and foreign ownership have impacts on firm value, using a sample of logistics firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange between 2008 and 2014. In the Korean economy, family-controlled business groups, known as chaebol, constitute a unique governance system. To acquire investments from controlling shareholders, a logistics firm is likely to be included in family-controlled business groups. Since reform of the governance structure of logistics firms in the South Korea enables shareholder value to be maximized, we analyzed ownership effects on firm value using pooled ordinary least squares. Empirical results showed that there was a significant positive relation between managerial ownership and firm value. This study also found that there was a significant positive relation between foreign ownership and firm value. We thus show that both managerial ownership and foreign ownership can protect shareholders by positively affecting firm values.

KOSDAQ Firm's Cyber IR Activity and Stock Price Behavior (코스닥 기업의 사이버 IR과 주가행태)

  • Song, Myung-Gyu;Cho, Jun-Hee;Kim, Chan-Jung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.388-397
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    • 2012
  • Recently, KOSDAQ company's cyber IR activities has increased. Major advantages offered by the Internet include low cost and high accessibility the Internet is used as a strategic tool of many KOSDAQ companies in IR activity. Thus, this study tried to empirically analyze the overall impact of cyber IR. And this study examine the difference in impact of cyber IR activity on stock prices in the period before and after depending on ownership structure and venture or not. The main result of the study can be summarized as follows. First, IR activities have a positive impact on KOSDAQ firms stock price. This means that the investors are recognizing IR activity of KOSDAQ firm as a good news. Second, The lower stock ownership have great impact on stock prices. The act of reporting and monitoring system are performing effectively to lower stock ownership as compared with higher stock ownership. Third, The return rate of KOSDAQ venture firms with IR enforcement effect appears high than KOSDAQ firms with IR enforcement.

A Development of the Risk Factor Dictionary for the Private Finance Construction Project (민간투자 건설사업 위험요인사전 개발)

  • Kim, Seon-Gyoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.152-160
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    • 2007
  • Recently, the government is very active to secure the financial resources by inducement of the private investment in fulfilling an extension of the SOC facilities. One of the reasons that the private investors hesitate to put money into the private finance projects, however, is the lack of knowledges about various risks to be possibly incurred during the project execution. This research was performed as one of the preparation works in order for a A engineering company to act as a prime contractor of the project management service in the private finance project, and finally developed the risk factor dictionary as a new concept to satisfy the requirement of a A company and overcome a limit of the existing risk checklists. Although the risk factor dictionary looks like the only simplified table to be the risk factors identified in three dimensions, the impacts and response strategies expressed in narrative and multi-items, and the responsible parties indicated, it has great meanings to get a lot of direct and indirect accomplishments over the simplified table during the development process.

Finding the optimal frequency for trade and development of system trading strategies in futures market using dynamic time warping (선물시장의 시스템트레이딩에서 동적시간와핑 알고리즘을 이용한 최적매매빈도의 탐색 및 거래전략의 개발)

  • Lee, Suk-Jun;Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.255-267
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study is to utilize system trading for making investment decisions and use technical analysis and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) to determine similar patterns in the frequency of stock data and ascertain the optimal timing for trade. The study will examine some of the most common patterns in the futures market and use DTW in terms of their frequency (10, 30, 60 minutes, and daily) to discover similar patterns. The recognized similar patterns were verified by executing trade simulation after applying specific strategies to the technical indicators. The most profitable strategies among the set of strategies applied to common patterns were again applied to the similar patterns and the results from DTW pattern recognition were examined. The outcome produced useful information on determining the optimal timing for trade by using DTW pattern recognition through system trading, and by applying distinct strategies depending on data frequency.

An Empirical Study on the Validity of Strategic Trading Models with Concurrent Broker and Informed Trader (정보거래자와 브로커가 동시에 거래하는 전략적 모형의 타당성에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Tak
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.43-57
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    • 2005
  • This paper investigate to test the validity of the basic assumptions of strategic trading models with the broker and informed trader using daily closing data of KOSPI 200 stock index futures for the year 2001-2003. Major results are summarized as follows: (i) For these years, while foreign investors and brokerage companies traded for the directions consistent with the model, brokerage companies and individual investors traded for inconsistent directions. (ii) Cross correlation function (CCF) analysis shows no systematic dependency in the trading between all three participants(foreign investor, brokerage companies and individual investors) for these years. (iii) Chi-square validity test for the 30 days of the largest unexpected trading volume shows some systematic dependency in the trading between three participants for these years. Finally, some limitations of this paper and direction for further research were suggested.

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Evaluation of Influence Factors in order to introduce Share-styled Apartment House Successfully (지분형 주택분양제도의 성공적인 도입을 위한 영향요인 분석)

  • Lee, Hyun-Chul;Lim, So-Yean;Go, Seong-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to find decisive factors affecting Share-styled Apartment house Lee Myung-bak announced for the homeless masses in February 2008. This policy tried to add up defects from Half-priced Apartment house enforced in 2007. Seoul is ranked as the highest PIR(Price Income Rate) city in the world, as far as the difficulties in getting own house is concerned. Korean government has announced a lot of policies to control the price of real-estate, especially housing bubble phenomenon, since the convalescence from IMF financial crisis. By making questionnaires to get an important factor and taking counsel with related specialists, this thesis found what kind of roles the objects including government, institutions and people should play or focus on.

An Effect of Personality Type on Cognitive, Behavioral Investment Disposition (성격유형이 인지·행동적 투자성향에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Seung Jo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to investigate the association between MBTI personality types of potential investors and their cognitive behavioral investment disposition. Three questionnaires related with MBTI, cognitive investment disposition, and behavioral one from 400 subjects were collected and analyzed. Based on both cognitive and behavioral investment disposition scores, potential investors having E(Extroversion), S(Sensing), and F(Feeling) types tend to put up with the risk resulting from their investment better than ones who having I(Introversion), N(Intuition), and T(Thinking) types. However, the difference between J(Judging) and P(Perceiving) types was not significant. Also investor group with ENF combination had the most aggressive investment disposition among other groups. On the contrary the group with ISF had an tendency to avoid the investment risk. In addition the correlation between cognitive and behavioral investment dispositions was 0.86. This study is expected to be used as basic data with which investment companies and banks recommend adequate financial instruments to consumers.

The determinants of family firm's debt structure (가족기업의 부채구조 결정요인 분석)

  • Gong, Jaisik;Kim, Choong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we examine the impact of family ownership mechanism on the firm's debt policy. Our results show that family firms tend to have a lower debt level, compared with non-family firms. Foreign investors are found to lead to a reduction in the firm's debt level through their monitoring incentives for dominating large shareholders. The firm's profitablily is related to a lower level of debt, whereas higher tangible assets and firm size are positively associated with high debt ratios due to the possibility of large collateral assets. Some implications are that foreign investors can reduce the agency costs of dominating large shareholders in family firms through monitoring activities, thus enhancing the efficiency of business decision-makings.

A Study on the Timing of Convertible Bonds Using the Machine Learning Model (기계학습 모형을 이용한 전환사채 행사 시점에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Jae Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2021
  • Convertible bonds are financial products that contain the nature of both bonds and shares, which are generally issued by companies with lower credit ratings to increase liquidity. Conversion bonds rely on qualitative judgment in the past, although decision-making on whether and when to exercise the right to convert is the most important issue. Therefore, this paper proposes to apply artificial neural network techniques to scientifically determine the exercise of conversion rights. We distinguish between a total of 1,800 learning data published in the past and 200 predictive experimental data and build an artificial neural network learning model. As a result, the parity performance in most groups was excellent, achieving an average excess of about 10% or more. In particular, groups 3-6 recorded an average excess of about 20% and group 6 recorded an average excess of about 37%. This paper is meaningful in that it focused on solving decision problems by converging and applying machine learning techniques, a representative technology of the fourth industry, to the financial sector.