• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계 오류

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Effect of Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) for Perinatal Depression: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (산전우울 임부를 위한 인지행동치료 프로그램의 효과: 체계적 문헌고찰 및 메타분석)

  • Shin, Hyeon-Hee;Shin, Yeong-Hee;Kim, Ga-Eun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.271-284
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    • 2016
  • This study was carried out to evaluate the efficacy of CBT for perinatal depression through systematic literature review and meta-analysis. The following databases were used to search the literature: CINAHL, PubMed, EMBASE, Koreamed, Library of Korean Congress, KISS, and Korean Academic Publication Database. Keywords included 'perinatal depression,' 'pregnant women,' and 'cognitive behavioral therapy,' and the evaluated articles were published up to May 2016. Using the R program, the effect size of perinatal depression and anxiety were calculated by random-effects model. The heterogeneity of the effect size was analyzed by data moderator analysis using the meta-ANOVA. Furthermore, the funnel plot, Egger's regression test, fail-safe N, trim-and-fill test, and publication bias analysis were conducted and used to verify the results. Out of the 180 selected articles, 16 clinical trial studies were meta-analyzed. Each articles were evaluated for the risk of bias by the checklist of SIGN; the overall risk of bias was low. The effect size of CBT for perinatal depression was Hedges' g=-0.55 (95% CI: -0.76~-0.33), which was a moderate level, while for anxiety reduction, Hedges' g=-0.20 (95% CI: -0.48~-0.08) and it was not statistically significant. Heterogeneity or risk of publication bias were low. This meta-analytic study found that CBT is moderately effective in reducing perinatal depression in pregnant women.

An indicator for managing the regional variations in approval rates of long-term care (LTC) service (지역별 장기요양 인정의 차이 관리지표 개발)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Lee, JungSuk;Park, Seyoung;Jang, Soomok;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.391-401
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    • 2017
  • This study develops an indicator to manage regional variations of approval rates for long-term care (LTC) service. We used LTC insurance data for grade assessment that include 433,155 applicants from 227 LTC centers across Korea in 2015. The approval rate for each center was defined as the proportion of the numbers of approved applicants out of all applicants. We assumed that the approval rates depended on the characteristics of applicants. We estimated the 'standard' approval rates from a multiple linear regression analysis using the characteristics of applicants as independent variables. The difference between the observed and the standard rates was then defined as an indicator for deviation. A center having a large difference could be considered as a center with a potential error in grade assessment. We also examined if the characteristics of investigators affected the approval rates. We found that the socio-demographic characteristics of applicants and reapplication rate for LTC grade were independent factors affecting the approval rates. Centers having the management indicator values falling outside the middle 95% of the distribution were identified as centers with an error in grading. We expect that this study will contribute to enhancing reliability and equity in LTC grading.

A study on solar radiation prediction using medium-range weather forecasts (중기예보를 이용한 태양광 일사량 예측 연구)

  • Sujin Park;Hyojeoung Kim;Sahm Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2023
  • Solar energy, which is rapidly increasing in proportion, is being continuously developed and invested. As the installation of new and renewable energy policy green new deal and home solar panels increases, the supply of solar energy in Korea is gradually expanding, and research on accurate demand prediction of power generation is actively underway. In addition, the importance of solar radiation prediction was identified in that solar radiation prediction is acting as a factor that most influences power generation demand prediction. In addition, this study can confirm the biggest difference in that it attempted to predict solar radiation using medium-term forecast weather data not used in previous studies. In this paper, we combined the multi-linear regression model, KNN, random fores, and SVR model and the clustering technique, K-means, to predict solar radiation by hour, by calculating the probability density function for each cluster. Before using medium-term forecast data, mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) were used as indicators to compare model prediction results. The data were converted into daily data according to the medium-term forecast data format from March 1, 2017 to February 28, 2022. As a result of comparing the predictive performance of the model, the method showed the best performance by predicting daily solar radiation with random forest, classifying dates with similar climate factors, and calculating the probability density function of solar radiation by cluster. In addition, when the prediction results were checked after fitting the model to the medium-term forecast data using this methodology, it was confirmed that the prediction error increased by date. This seems to be due to a prediction error in the mid-term forecast weather data. In future studies, among the weather factors that can be used in the mid-term forecast data, studies that add exogenous variables such as precipitation or apply time series clustering techniques should be conducted.

Distance Identification for Maximum Change in Ship Collision Risk through a Coast Guard Patrol Ship Experiment (해양경찰 함정 실험을 통한 선박충돌 위험도의 변화가 최대인 거리 식별에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Yim, Jung Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2017
  • Using two large coast guard ships at sea, we created four encounter situations ($000^{\circ}$, $045^{\circ}$, $090^{\circ}$, $135^{\circ}$) with high possibility of collision, from 3 NM up to 0.25 NM. As relative distance was gradually decreased, the subjects were measured at 0.25 NM intervals and perceived ship collision risk (PSCR) was determined by looking at the opponent ship. Characteristics were statistically analyzed using the obtained data. The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of collision risk values obtained from twelve intervals, from 3 NM to 0.25 NM relative to encounter situations by curve fitting with appropriate polynomials, to determine the distance from which the change in perceived collision risk is greatest. As a result, an optimal regression equation for each distance interval was derived from each analysis direction. The greatest variation in average collision risk value was over the range 1.25 ~ 1 NM, and the collision risk value was largest at 1 NM. The maximum change in perceived collision risk was at 1 NM. These results can contribute to preventive guidelines to minimize human error in close proximity situations with a high probability of ship collision.

Pre-service Teachers' Perception on Peer Feedback in English Writing (영작문 활동 중 동료 피드백에 대한 예비교사들의 인식)

  • Kim, Heejung;Lee, Je-Young;Jang, So Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.513-523
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the perception of pre-service secondary English teachers on peer feedback in English composition. For this purpose, a total of 37 students who took the English composition class for 15 weeks participated in the survey. After completing the survey, data were analyzed to find out the students' perception on peer feedback performed in their English composition class through frequency analysis and descriptive statistics. The findings of this study are as follows: First, the students showed positive attitudes towards on peer feedback activities. Second, the participants had received considerable help in the content, ideas and organization of their composition. Third, noticing that they all have made similar mistakes in their writing, the subjects were relieved to know that they are not falling behind their other colleagues. Fourth, the subjects did not trust the feedback contents among the peers, which were found in both the feedback giver and receiver. In particular, feedback from peers who had low English proficiency was rarely helpful. Fifth, the students were afraid that their relationship might become uncomfortable with peers when they pointed out peer's writing errors or made specific suggestions about their peer's writing. Finally, pedagogical implications were discussed based on the research findings.

A Study on the Effects of Perceived Risk Factors of RPA on Acceptance Conflict and Acceptance Intention: RPA Experience, Gender, and ICT Industry as Control Variables (RPA의 지각된 위험요인이 수용갈등 및 수용의도에 미치는 영향: RPA경험, 성별, ICT업종을 통제변수로)

  • Song, Sun-Jung;You, Yen-Yoo;Kim, Sang-Bong
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2022
  • The use of RPA (Robotic Process Automation) has been recently reviewed in various industries, but it seems that it is not being applied to companies faster than ever expected. In this study, three perceived risk factors affecting the acceptance conflict and acceptance intention of RPA technology were proposed and the effects of RPA on acceptance conflict and acceptance intention were investigated using RPA experienced people, gender and ICT industries as control variables. For the research, online survey was conducted targeting office workers and analyzed the results by using SPSS 22.0 and AMOS 22.0. As a result, it was found that among the three perceived risk factors, concern about introduction failure, employment insecurity, and execution errors, employment insecurity and execution errors did not affect the acceptance conflict and acceptance intention of RPA. This research shows that concerns over the introduction failure affected the acceptance conflict and acceptance intention. In addition, the acceptance conflict was judged as a factor of the mediation effect of the acceptance intention. From the perspective of companies that want to apply RPA, the theoretical and practical implications of business management are meaningful in that they can identify and respond to particularly important factors among perceived risks.

Developing the speech screening test for 4-year-old children and application of Korean speech sound analysis tool (KSAT) (4세 말소리발달 선별검사 개발과 한국어말소리분석도구(Korean Speech Sound Analysis Tool, KSAT)의 활용)

  • Soo-Jin Kim;Ki-Wan Jang;Moon-Soo Chang
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to develop a three-sentence speech screening test to evaluate speech development in 4-year-old children and provide standards for comparison with peers. Screening tests were conducted on 24 children each in the first and second halves of 4 years old. The screening test results showed a correlation of .7 with the existing speech disorder evaluation test results. We compared whether there was a difference between the two groups of 4-year-old in the phonological development indicators and error patterns obtained through the screening test. The developmental indicators of the children in the second half were high, but there were no statistically significant differences. The Korean Speech Sound Analysis Tool (KSAT) was used for all analyses, and the automatic analysis results and contents of the clinician's manual analysis were compared. The degree of agreement between the automatic and manual error pattern analyses was 93.63%. The significance of this study is that the standard of speech of a 4-year-old child of the speech screening test according to three sentences at the level of elicited sentences, and the applicability of the KSAT were reviewed in both clinical and research fields.

A Study on Status of Landscape Architecture Industry with National Statistics (국가통계자료를 활용한 조경산업 현황 연구)

  • Choi, Ja-Ho;Yoon, Young-Kwan;Koo, Bon-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2022
  • This study carried out to provide the methodology and basic status material of using Korean national statistics needed to find the actual state of the landscape architecture industry. The landscape architecture industry was classified into 'Design', 'Construction Management', 'construction', 'Maintenance & Management', 'Materials', 'Research', 'Education', and 'Administration' areas. In each field, business types were systemized and associated in accordance with Korean standard industrial classification and legislations pertinent to construction. Among them, the business types directly defined in the construction related legislations under the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport were focused on, and the establishment, association, integration, distribution, duplication, and omission of national statistics were analyzed. As a result, the business types of statistical analysis were selected. In order for commonality of statistical items and minimized error of interpretation, semantic analysis was conducted. Finally, the number of registered business types, the number of workers, and sales were selected. Based on them, the analysis framework applicable to fundamental analysis and evaluation of the actual state of the industry was proposed. Actual national statical data were applied for analysis and evaluation. In 2019, the number of registered business types related to the landscape architecture industry was 12,160, the number of workers by business type was 106,296, and the sales by business type were 8,308.5 billion KRW. The number of registered business types and the number of workers had been on the rise from 2017, whereas the sales had been on the decrease. It is required to come up with a plan for industrial development. This study was conducted with the national statistics established by multiple public institutions, so that there are limitations in securing consistency and reliability. Therefore, it is necessary to establish systematic and consistent national statistics in accordance with 「Landscaping Promotion Act」. In the future, it will planned to research application and development plans of national statistics according to subjects including park and green.

Comparison of Single Imputation Methods in 2×2 Cross-Over Design with Missing Observations (2×2 교차계획법에서 결측치가 있을 때의 결측치 처리 방법 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Bobae;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.529-540
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    • 2015
  • A cross-over design is frequently used in clinical trials (especially in bioequivalence tests with a parametric method) for the comparison of two treatments. Missing values frequently take place in cross-over designs in the second period. Usually, subjects that have missing values are removed and analyzed. However, it can be unsuitable in clinical trials with a small sample size. In this paper, we compare single imputation methods in a $2{\times}2$ cross-over design when missing values exist in the second period. Additionally, parametric and nonparametric methods are compared after applying single imputation methods. A Monte-Carlo simulation study compares type I error and the power of methods.

An Approximate Unconditional Test of Non-Inferiority for Two Proportions Based on Odds Ratio (두 모비율의 비열등성 시험에서 오즈비를 이용한 근사 무조건적 검정)

  • Seo, Young-Yeol;Kim, Dong-Jae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.793-804
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    • 2009
  • The hypotheses of difference, ratio and odds ratio between two proportions are used for the non-inferiority trial. The approximate unconditional test suggested by Kang and Chen (2000) based on difference and ratio have the potential problem against the failure rate. When the sample size is small, the type I errors of the asymptotic test using the normal approximation suggested by Chen et al. (2000) tends to exceed the nominal level. Therefore, we propose the approximate unconditional test based on odds ratio and compare the test with the asymptotic test. And we compare the three hypotheses used in the approximate unconditional tests of two proportions with respect to the type I errors and power.