• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계적 모델링

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A Study on Intra-Annual Variability of Parameters in Rainfall-Runoff Model (강우-유출모형 매개변수의 Intra-Annual Variability에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Kue-Bum;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.422-422
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    • 2015
  • 수문학적 모델링은 수자원계획에 있어 가장 핵심적인 도구 중에 하나이다. 강우-유출모형의 매개변수 추정시 장기간의 자료를 활용하는데 초점이 맞추어져 있으며, 일반적으로 5년 이상의 자료를 활용하여 매개변수를 추정하는 경년변동(inter-annual variability) 매개변수 추정 방법이 추천되고 있다. 수문학적 변동성 측면에서 볼 때 강우, 온도, 유역의 조건 등의 연내변동성(intra-annual variability)이 경년보다 크게 나타나고 있으나, 이러한 특성을 고려한 수문모형의 매개변수 추정은 이루어지고 있지 않다. 이러한 점에서 연내변동성으로 기인하는 비정상성을 고려한 매개변수 추정 방법의 도입이 필요할 것으로 판단되며, 본 연구에서는 계측유역을 대상으로 다양한 시간규모에서 매개변수 추정을 수행하고 최적의 시간규모를 도출하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 DDS(dynamically dimensioned search) 알고리즘을 도입하여 최적화를 수행하였으며, 다양한 시간 규모에서 모형의 적합특성을 평가하였다. 교차검증을 통하여 매개변수의 통계적 유의성을 확보하였으며, 전통적인 매개변수 추정 절차와 비교 검토를 수행하였다.

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IPSec Accelerator Performance Analysis Model for Gbps VPN (기가급 VPN을 위한 IPSec 가속기 성능분석 모델)

  • 윤연상;류광현;박진섭;김용대;한선경;유영갑
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes an IPSec accelerator performance analysis model based a queue model. It assumes Poison distribution as its input traffic load. The decoding delay is employed as a performance analysis measure. Simulation results based on the proposed model show around 15% differences with respect to actual measurements on field traffic for the BCM5820 accelerator device. The performance analysis model provides with reasonable hardware structure of network servers, and can be used to span design spaces statistically.

A Study of Policy Direction by City and Province through the Prediction of Household Loan Delinquency Rate (가계대출 연체율 예측을 통한 시도별 정책 방향성 연구)

  • Su-jin Lee;Jeong-in Won;Hee-yong Kang;In-seong Lee;Gun Kim;Jin Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.380-381
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    • 2023
  • 최근 경제침체로 인해 지속되는 연체율 상승의 원인을 지역별 및 시차별로 분석하였다. 독립변수를 가계대출변수, 부동산지수변수, 경제지표변수로 나누었고 통계적 모델링을 통해 총 19 가지 변수로 연체율을 예측하였다. 각 지역마다 상이한 결과가 도출되었는데 이를 바탕으로 지역별 연체율 감소 정책을 제안한다.

Utilizing Airborne LiDAR Data for Building Extraction and Superstructure Analysis for Modeling (항공 LiDAR 데이터를 이용한 건물추출과 상부구조물 특성분석 및 모델링)

  • Jung, Hyung-Sup;Lim, Sae-Bom;Lee, Dong-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.227-239
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    • 2008
  • Processing LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) data obtained from ALS (Airborne Laser Scanning) systems mainly involves organization and segmentation of the data for 3D object modeling and mapping purposes. The ALS systems are viable and becoming more mature technology in various applications. ALS technology requires complex integration of optics, opto-mechanics and electronics in the multi-sensor components, Le. data captured from GPS, INS and laser scanner. In this study, digital image processing techniques mainly were implemented to gray level coded image of the LiDAR data for building extraction and superstructures segmentation. One of the advantages to use gray level image is easy to apply various existing digital image processing algorithms. Gridding and quantization of the raw LiDAR data into limited gray level might introduce smoothing effect and loss of the detail information. However, smoothed surface data that are more suitable for surface patch segmentation and modeling could be obtained by the quantization of the height values. The building boundaries were precisely extracted by the robust edge detection operator and regularized with shape constraints. As for segmentation of the roof structures, basically region growing based and gap filling segmentation methods were implemented. The results present that various image processing methods are applicable to extract buildings and to segment surface patches of the superstructures on the roofs. Finally, conceptual methodology for extracting characteristic information to reconstruct roof shapes was proposed. Statistical and geometric properties were utilized to segment and model superstructures. The simulation results show that segmentation of the roof surface patches and modeling were possible with the proposed method.

Comparison between FFT and LSC Method for the Residual Geoid Height Modeling in Korea (한국의 잔여지오이드고 모델링을 위한 FFT 및 LSC 방법 비교)

  • Lee, Dong Ha;Yun, Hong Sic;Suh, Yong Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2D
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we performed the residual geoid modeling using the FFT and LSC methods in context of application of R-R (Remove and Restore) technique as a general technique for gravimetric geoid model in order to propose the effective way of geoid determination in Korea. For this, a number of data compiled for residual geoid modeling by the multi-band spherical FFT method with Stoke's formula and LSC method as known as statistical method. The geometric geoidal heights obtained from 503 GPS/Levelling data were used for inducing the various elements and proper computation process which should be considered for improving the accuracy of residual geoid modeling. Finally, we statistically compared the results of residual geoid heights between FFT and LSC methods and reviewed then the proper way of residual geoid modeling to the region of Korea. As the results of comparison, LSC method is not suitable for residual geoid modeling in Korea due to the noise and lack of gravity observations and the effects of local characteristics, while FFT method by applying Stokes' integral with proper cap size and modified kernel which provides the better accuracy of residual geoid heights up to 10 cm more than those of LSC method.

Efficient Prediction of Broadband Noise of a Centrifugal Fan Using U-FRPM Technique (U-FRPM 기법을 이용한 원심팬 광대역소음의 효율적 예측)

  • Heo, Seung;Cheong, Chulung
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2015
  • Recently, a lot of studies have been made about the methods used to generate turbulent velocity fields stochastically in order to effectively predict broadband flow noise. Among them, the FRPM (Fast Random Particle Mesh) method which generates turbulence with specific statistical properties using turbulence kinetic energy and dissipation obtained from the steady solution of the RANS (Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes) equations has been successfully applied. However, the FRPM method cannot be applied to the flow noise problems involving intrinsic unsteady characteristics such as centrifugal fan. In this paper, to effectively predict the broadband noise generated by centrifugal fan, U-FRPM (unsteady FRPM) method is developed by extending the FRPM method to be combined with the unsteady numerical solutions of the unsteady RANS equations to generate the turbulence considered as broadband noise sources. Firstly, an unsteady flow field is obtained from the unsteady RANS equations through CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics). Then, noise sources are generated using the U-FRPM method combined with acoustic analogy. Finally, the linear propagation model which is realized through BEM (Boundary Element Method) is combined with the generated sources to predict broadband noise at the listeners' position. The proposed technique is validated to compare its prediction result with the measured data.

Optimal Decisions on the Quantity and Locations of Ambulances for the Timely Response to Emergency Requests (출동 응답 향상을 위한 적정 구급차 수량 및 배치 위치 결정 연구)

  • Jeong, Yonghun;Jeong, Heena;Ko, Jeonghan
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2017
  • A sufficient number of ambulances are critical for preventing delayed vehicle dispatch for emergency patients. This study presents effective methodologies for evaluating the effects of ambulance quantities on availability. The statistical properties of the emergency requests and responses were analyzed for a city in Korea. The inter-request times were modeled by statistical distributions. The ambulance dispatch was modeled using simulation, reflecting the shared dispatch among the city districts. The simulation results revealed that the existing ambulance quantity could successfully meet the majority of the requests, but more vehicles were desirable for improvement. The locations of the additional vehicles were determined efficiently by simulations with a greedy approach. The simulations with added vehicles showed a significantly better coverage of the emergency calls. This research can help design improved emergency vehicle operations, and help save lives.

Statistical Voice Activity Detection Using Probabilistic Non-Negative Matrix Factorization (확률적 비음수 행렬 인수분해를 사용한 통계적 음성검출기법)

  • Kim, Dong Kook;Shin, Jong Won;Kwon, Kisoo;Kim, Nam Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.851-858
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a new statistical voice activity detection (VAD) based on the probabilistic interpretation of nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF). The objective function of the NMF using Kullback-Leibler divergence coincides with the negative log likelihood function of the data if the distribution of the data given the basis and encoding matrices is modeled as Poisson distributions. Based on this probabilistic NMF, the VAD is constructed using the likelihood ratio test assuming that speech and noise follow Poisson distributions. Experimental results show that the proposed approach outperformed the conventional Gaussian model-based and NMF-based methods at 0-15 dB signal-to-noise ratio simulation conditions.

Power Prediction of Mobile Processors based on Statistical Analysis of Performance Monitoring Events (성능 모니터링 이벤트들의 통계적 분석에 기반한 모바일 프로세서의 전력 예측)

  • Yun, Hee-Sung;Lee, Sang-Jeong
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.469-477
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    • 2009
  • In mobile systems, energy efficiency is critical to extend battery life. Therefore, power consumption should be taken into account to develop software in addition to performance, Efficient software design in power and performance is possible if accurate power prediction is accomplished during the execution of software, In this paper, power estimation model is developed using statistical analysis, The proposed model analyzes processor behavior Quantitatively using the data of performance monitoring events and power consumption collected by executing various benchmark programs, And then representative hardware events on power consumption are selected using hierarchical clustering, The power prediction model is established by regression analysis in which the selected events are independent variables and power is a response variable, The proposed model is applied to a PXA320 mobile processor based on Intel XScale architecture and shows average estimation error within 4% of the actual measured power consumption of the processor.

Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access with Statistical Channel Quality Measurements Part-II: Performance Analysis (통계적 채널 Quality 정보를 이용한 직교 주파수분할 다중접속(OFDMA) Part-II: 성능분석)

  • Yoon, Seo-Khyun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.2A
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2006
  • In part-I of the paper, two sub-channel structures, either contiguous or distributed, were considered. Modeling the SNR distribution over a sub-channel as Ricean in general, the statistical chracteristics were investigated. In this part of the paper, we develop a generalized two step channel/resource allocation algorithm, which incorporates the two statistical measurements, and analyze the spectral efficiency of OFDMA in terms of average frequency utilization for the two sub-channel structures. In OFDMA with distributed structure, the key design parameter would be the sub-channel bandwidth. To give an insight into the impact on this parameter, we show in the numerical results the frequency utilization as a function of sub-channel bandwidth normalized to coherence bandwidth. As confirmed by numerical results, for contiguous sub-channel structure, we obtain the nominal multiuser diversity gain when the sub-channel bandwidth is smaller than the coherence bandwidth and lose the gain as it is getting larger.