• Title/Summary/Keyword: 토지수요

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An Empirical Study on the Effect of Respondent Bias in PSM : Case in Apartment Pricing (PSM 가격평가 주체에 따른 아파트 가격결정 효용성 실증연구)

  • Cho, Han-Jin;Kim, Jong-Lim
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2016
  • PSM is widely used pricing tool in field by the reason of data collection convenience and analytical intuitiveness. However, In high involvement environment, strategic respondent bias influence in reducing the price. By using 3 empirical cases of LH apartment for sale, We found that latent consumers' recognition of the range of acceptable and the range of optimal price are lower than real estate agent representative respondents'. This phenomenon is considered loss aversion effect of prospect theory to reduce loss by reducing price, and more influenced in high involvement situation than latent consumer respondents'. Also we found PSM result using real estate representative data is more useful in real market than latent consumers data distorted by loss aversion effects. The meaning of this study is finding some limitation in PSM using consumer data generally used. In further study, development of PSM measurement tool to minimize the effect of strategic bias are need to be studied. Also some new approaches in reinterpretation of the range of acceptable price and the range of optimal price are need to be followed.

The Effect of Macroeconomic and Real Estate Policies on Seoul's Apartment Prices (거시경제와 부동산정책이 서울 아파트가격에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Bae, Jong-Chan;Chung, Jae-Ho
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.41-59
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    • 2021
  • This study reviews theoretical considerations and past studies about real estate prices, macroeconomic variables, and real estate policies. Monthly data from January 2003 to June 2021 are used, and a VEC model, the most widely used multivariate time series analysis method, is employed for analysis. Through the model, the effects of macroeconomic variables and real estate regulatory policies on real estate prices in Seoul are analyzed. Findings are summarized as follows. First, macroeconomic variables such as money supply and interest rates do not have a significant impact on Seoul's apartment prices. Due to the high demand for housing and insufficient supply, there is a demand for buying a home regardless of macroeconomic booms or recessions. Second, tax and financial regulatory policies have an initial impact on the rise in apartment prices in Seoul, and their influence diminishes over time. Third, anti-speculation zones are expected to decrease apartment prices through the suppression of demand. However, these zones cause a rise in apartment prices. This could be understood as a lock-in effect due to the strengthening of capital gains tax. Fourth, the price ceiling did not decrease apartment prices. These findings propose that, in Seoul, where demand is high and supply is insufficient, the supply of high-quality and sufficient housing should be prioritized over various regulations such as tax regulations, financial regulations, anti-speculation zones, and price caps. Moreover, the findings provide an implication that city-specific real estate policies should be implemented for Seoul rather than regulation-oriented approaches in public policy.

A Study on the Determinants of Land Price in a New Town (신도시 택지개발사업지역에서 토지가격 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Tae Yun
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the pricing factors of residential lands in new cities by estimating the pricing model of residential lands. For this purpose, hedonic equations for each quantile of the conditional distribution of land prices were estimated using quantile regression methods and the sale price date of Jangyu New Town in Gimhae. In this study, a quantile regression method that models the relation between a set of explanatory variables and each quantile of land price was adopted. As a result, the differences in the effects of the characteristics by price quantile were confirmed. The number of years that elapsed after the completion of land construction is the quadratic effect in the model because its impact may give rise to a non-linear price pattern. Age appears to decrease the price until certain years after the construction, and increases the price afterward. In the estimation of the quantile regression, land age appears to have a statistically significant impact on land price at the traditional level, and the turning point appears to be shorter for the low quantiles than for the higher quantiles. The positive effects of the use of land for commercial and residential purposes were found to be the biggest. Land demand is preferred if there are more than two roads on the ground. In this case, the amount of sunshine will improve. It appears that the shape of a square wave is preferred to a free-looking land. This is because the square land is favorable for development. The variables of the land used for commercial and residential purposes have a greater impact on low-priced residential lands. This is because such lands tend to be mostly used for rental housing and have different characteristics from residential houses. Residential land prices have different characteristics depending on the price level, and it is necessary to consider this in the evaluation of the collateral value and the drafting of real estate policy.

Groundwater Recharge to Daegu Area (대구지역의 지하수 함양량)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Ho;Bae, Sang-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.498-502
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    • 2007
  • 대구지역은 최근 30년간(1974년${\sim}$2003년)의 연평균 강수량이 1,065.3mm로 전국 평균의 1,305mm보다 상당히 적으며 특히 연강수량의 약 68%가 6월${\sim}$9월중에 집중되고 있다. 수자원 현황이 다른 지역에 비하여 열악하지만 용수수요량은 지속적으로 증가하고 있어 지표수의 이용만으로 용수수요를 만족하기에는 부족한 실정이며 지하수의 적절한 개발이 불가피한 실정이다. 용수수요의 충족을 위해서는 물공급 시스템의 중요한 요소로 평가되는 지하수의 체계적인 관리와 효율적인 운영이 필요하며 이를 위해서 대상지역에 대한 지하수함양량의 파악이 우선적으로 이루어져야 한다. 지하수함양량은 강수양상, 토양특성과 토지이용상태 등에 크게 영향을 받음으로 이에 의한 영향을 고려할 수 있는 NRCS-CN방법을 이용하여 1996${\sim}$2005년간의 최근 10년간의 지하수함양량을 산정하였다. 지하수함양량 산정결과 연평균 1,183.8mm의 강우량에 대하여 연평균 지하수함양량이 291.8mm, 연평균 함양률이 24.7%로 나타났다. 계절별 연평균 함양량과 함양률을 산정한 결과 여름철에는 평균 679mm의 강우량이 발생하였으며 동기간의 평균 지하수함양량이 186mm, 평균 함양률이 27%로 나타났다. 겨울철에는 평균 56mm의 강우량이 발생하였으며 평균 지하수함양량은 6mm, 평균 지하수함양률이 10%로 나타났다. 따라서 강수에 의한 지하수함양량은 유역특성 뿐만 아니라 강수특성에도 많은 영향을 받고 계절적 요인도 작용한다는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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주택경기전망

  • 한국주택협회
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.168
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    • pp.46-58
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    • 2004
  • >>> 시장여건 분석 $\blacktriangleright$ 주택수급 상황 $\cdot$ 신규입주물량은 46만호로 올해보다 크게 감소하나 아파트입주물량은 32만호로 증가. 특히, 주거용 오피스텔 입주가 본격화되면서 전체적으로 공급과잉구조로 전환 $\cdot$ 가수요는 물론 실수요도 위축되면서 미분양 증가, 입주후 공가가 주요이슈로 대두 $\blacktriangleright$주택정책 여건 $\cdot$양도세,재산세 중과, 주택거래신고제, 종합부동산세 등 10.29종합대책의 후속조치가 본격화되고, 토지거래허가대상 확대 및 개발이익환수 등 2차 대책 시행가능성 상존 $\cdot$ 분양원가 공개, 후분양제 도입, 신행정수도 이전계획의 향방에 따른 불안요인도 내재 $\blacktriangleright$거시경제 전망 $\cdot$ 경기회복으로 금리가 상승세로 돌아설 경우 투자수요 위축 불가피 $\cdot$ 경제성장률이 $5\%$대로 개선되고 시중유동성도 풍부하나, 가계부실과 실업 증가로 수요증가효과는 제한적 >>> 향후 시장전망 $\cdot$ 저금리기조와 각종 개발호재에 따른 시장불안요인은 상존하나 정부의 강력한 투기억제 의지를 감안할 때 단기 조정 후 추가 하락하는 전형적인 경기후퇴국면에 진입할 전망 $\cdot$매매가격은 서울아파트가격이 크게 하락하면서 전국평균-$2\%$ 내외의 하락률을 보이고, 전세가격도 국지적 불안 가능성은 있으나 $-1\%$ 내외의 하향안정세가 이얼질 전망. 분양시장은 청약률 둔화와 미분양 증가의 침제양상이 이어지면서 주택건설실적도 각종 사업여건 악화로 50만호 안팎에 머물 것으로 예상. 지가상상률은 투기대책과 주택시장 위축으로 올해보다는 소폭 낮아지나 각종 개발 호재에 힘입어 개발예정지역을 중심으로 $3\%$ 내외의 높은 상승세가 지속될 전망

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A Study on the Improvement of Sub-divided Land Cover Map Classification System - Based on the Land Cover Map by Ministry of Environment - (세분류 토지피복지도 분류체계 개선방안 연구 - 환경부 토지피복지도를 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Kwan-Young;Lee, Moung-Jin;No, Woo-Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the classification system of sub-divided land cover map among the land cover maps provided by the Ministry of Environment. To accomplish the purpose, first, the overseas country land cover map classification items were examined in priority. Second, the area ratio of each item established by applying the previous sub-divided classification system was analyzed. Third, the survey on the improvement of classification system targeting the users (experts and general public) who actually used the sub-divided land cover map was carried out. Fourth, a new classification system which improved the previous system by reclassifying 41 classification items into 33 items was finally established. Fifth, the established land cover classification items were applied on study area, and the land cover classification result according to the improvement method was compared with the previous classification system. Ilsan area in Goyang city where there are diverse geographic features with various land surface characteristics such as the urbanization area and agricultural land were distributed evenly were selected as the study area. The basic images used in this study were 0.25 m aerial ortho-photographs captured by the National Geographic Information Institute (NGII), and digital topographic map, detailed stock map plan, land registration map and administrative area map were used as the relevant reference data. As a result of applying the improved classification system into the study area, the area of culture-sports, leisure facilities was $1.84km^2$ which was approximately more than twice larger in comparison to the previous classification system. Other areas such as transportation and communication system and educational administration facilities were not classified. The result of this study has meaningful significance that it reflects the efficiency for the establishment and renewal of sub-divided land cover map in the future and actual users' needs.

Study on Shared E-scooter Usage Characteristics and Influencing Factors (공유 전동킥보드 이용 특성 및 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Su jae;Lee, Gyeong jae;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Sang hun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2021
  • Recently, shared dockless e-scooter usage has rapidly increased, rather than the station-based shared mobility service, because of convenience. This transition leads to new social problems in urban areas such as increased traffic accidents and hindrance of pedestrian environments. In this study, we analyze the usage characteristics of shared e-scooters in Seoul, and identify factors influencing demand for shared e-scooters by developing a negative binomial regression model. As a result, the usage characteristics show that the average trip distance, the average trip duration, and the average trip speed were 1.5km, 9.4min, and 10.3km/h, respectively. Demographic factor, transport facility factors, land use factors, and weather factors have statistically significant impacts on demand for shared e-scooters. The results of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting effective operation strategies for areas with higher shared e-scooter demand and for establishing transport policies for facilitating shared e-scooter usage.

An Analysis of Ecological Footprint of Yong-in City (용인시 생태발자국 지수의 분석과 고찰 - 음식, 건조환경, 산림, 에너지 부문을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Ji Young;Kim, Jin-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the change of environmental capacity in Yong-in City, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea through calculation of ecological footprint indices and analysis of their changes, and to suggest implications for urban development and planning. In this study, we analyzed ecological footprints of 1993, 2003, and 2013 to understand the patterns of land use changes and development in Yong-in City. We also compared the GIS land cover maps and ecological footprint indices to figure out land cover changes associated with resource consumption in Yong-in City. As a result, we found the following three lessons. First, the ecological footprint indices of Yong-in City are 3.20(gha) in 1993, 6.50(gha) in 2003, and 11.15(gha) in 2013. This implies that the ecological footprint of Yong-in City is much larger than 1.80(gha), the globally required ecological footprint per capita and 3.56(gha), the average ecological footprint of South Korea. Second, the forest ecological footprint of Yong-in City was calculated as the largest, followed by the ecological footprints of energy, food, and built environment. In particular, the forest ecological footprint was the most rapidly increased from 0.002(gha) in 1993 to 7.32(gha) in 2013, followed by energy ecological footprint from 0.87(gha) to 2.38(gha). This implies that the provision and consumption of timber are seriously unbalanced, and energy consumption is unsustainable because of the rapid increase of residential and commercial land development in the city. Third, our analysis of the rapid increase of forest ecological footprint indicates that the disturbed forest areas are concentrated in the increased built environment areas. We also observed that the increase of energy ecological footprint indices was caused largely by the increase of the commercial and road areas. This implies that Yong-in City should minimize forest disturbance and expand green areas for future in the city. In addition, this may provide a reasonable ground that the city should reduce the use of fossil fuels and facilitate the use of renewable energy.

Comparing Urban Development Systems of Four Countries for Overseas Development (해외 4개국의 도시개발제도 조사 및 비교 연구)

  • Jeong, Yeun-Woo;Seong, Jang-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2014
  • The expected launching countries are selected based on the state and strategy of businesses undertaking by LH, then the legal systems for urban development of those countries are investigated and analyzed to be used as basic data for advancing to oversea urban development. The results are showing as follows. First, on the basis of the advancing priority, and the level and obtaining possibility of legal system for urban developments, Bangladesh, Thailand, Dominican Republic, and Venezuela are selected to be investigated among the countries of Central and South America and Asia to where expected to be advanced. Second, most of the selected countries establish and promote the national housing policies by their own National Housing Authority. For example, First-Home Policy and National Housing Development Strategy, etc. are established in Thailand, and National Housing Authority takes charge of the housing development for low-income bracket. Third, the laws and project procedures are investigated, then compared to the similar laws of Korea. The common "Land Allocation Act" is legislate in Bangladesh and Thailand, for example, "Land Allocation Act" and "Town and City Planning Act" are enacted in Thailand. On the other hand, the laws for urban and housing developments vary from country to country those are located in Central and South America. Meanwhile, it is verified that "Act on Planning and Use of National Territory" of Korea is similar to the "Town and City Planning Act" of Thailand.

The Classification according to the Correlation between TOD Planning Factors and the Seoul Metropolitan Subway Influential Area by Using MDS Analysis (다차원척도법(MDS)을 활용한 지하철 역세권과 TOD계획요소의 연관성에 따른 유형분류)

  • Kim, Seong-Eun;Won, You-Ho
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2013
  • The City Complex Development and TOD originated from the Compact City are entrenched domestically. The New Urban Development such as these changes Structure of Urban space from the Automobile to the Public Transportation. Also, Transit-Oriented Development is drawing attention as sustainability because it has effects of Environment as Green growth. However, An empirical Study is insufficient about Influence Factors of Transit Oriented Development. Therefore This study sets up the Density spaced 1000m apart of Transit Oriented than the existing and did 7 Types considered of Accessibility, Complexity and Design Element according to the Factorial analysis. As a result, this study drew that (1) 'intraregional accessibility of public transit', (2) 'degree of development', 'pedestrian-friendly facility', (3) 'interzonal accessibility of public transit', (4) 'land-use of the city centre', 'complex using of rail station area', 'complementary public transit' are related 201 in number of the Subway stations according to the Multi-dimensional scaling.