• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.170-170
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• 2012

제주도는 최근 기후변화에 의한 태풍의 증가로 집중호우의 빈도가 지속적으로 증가하고 있는 추세이고 지난 태풍 나리로 인해 발생한 제주시에서의 극심한 재해로 태풍 시 홍수 유량 관측 및 저류지의 건설로 인한 저류효과의 분석에 많은 관심이 집중되고 있다. 제주대학교 주관의 제주도 물순환 해석 및 수자원 관리체계 구축 사업단은 제주도 환경에 적합한 유량조사기법을 적용 및 개발 중에 있으며 특히 집중 호우 시 유량 계측을 비롯한 제주 유량 자료 확보 방안에 대해 연구를 수행하고 있다. 제주도 연구단은 지난 여름 태풍 무이파 때 제주시 하천의 제 2동산교에서 다양한 계측 방식을 활용하여 유량관측을 성공적으로 수행하였다. 태풍 무이파는 강한 중형 태풍으로 제주도 산간 지역에 700mm 이상의 집중호우를 보여 제주 하천에 많은 양의 유출을 발생시키고 일부 재산 및 인명 피해를 발생시켰다. 홍수 유량의 계측은 지금까지도 최적화된 계측 방식이 확립되지 못했고 그 측정의 어려움과 계측기기의 한계로 봉부자 같은 전통적인 방식의 홍수유량 측정방식이 여전히 통용되고 있는 현실이다. 하지만 본 연구단은 최신 관측기법인 비접촉식의 표면영상유속계와 전자파표면유속계를 사용하여 전 강우 지속시간 동안 유량을 매 시간마다 관측하여 수문곡선을 완성하여 홍수 유량 계측의 효율성과 정확성을 높일 수 있었다. 계측 결과 홍수유출 시 한천 상류의 제 1,2 저류지가 가동되어 저류효과가 수문곡선에 반영되었음을 알 수 있었고 홍수 유출 시 나타나는 대표적인 특이 경향이 수위-유량곡선의 이격현상도 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 홍수 유출은 단순히 수위 자료만으로는 부족하고 유속자료를 동시에 관측해야 정확한 계측치를 확보할 수 있음을 알 수 있다. 또한 최신 계측기기인 표면영상유속계와 전자파표면유속계의 유속 관측값의 상호비교도 실시하여 관측기기의 효율성을 검증하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.6
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• pp.451-461
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• 2015

This study aimed to estimate the future design rainfall through a non-stationary frequency analysis using the rainfall separation technique. First, we classified rainfall in the Korean Peninsula into local downpour and TC-induced rainfall through rainfall separation technique based on the path and size of a typhoon. Furthermore, we performed the analysis of regional rainfall characteristics and trends. In addition, we estimated the future design rainfall through a non-stationary frequency analysis using Gumbel distribution and carried out its quantitative comparison and evaluation. The results of the analysis suggest that the increase and decrease rate of rainfall in the Korean Peninsula were different and the increasing and decreasing tendencies were mutually contradictory at some points. In addition, a non-stationary frequency analysis was carried out by using the rainfall separation technique. The outcome of this analysis suggests that a relatively reasonable future design rainfall can be estimated. Comparing total rainfall with the future design rainfall, differences were found in the southern and eastern regions of the Korean peninsula. This means that climate change may have a different effect on the typhoon and local downpour. Thus, in the future, individual assessment of climate change impacts needs to be done through moisture separation. The results presented here are applicable in future hydraulic structures design, flood control measures related to climate change, and policy establishment.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.25 no.7
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• pp.920-926
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• 2019

In this study, we analyzed the erosion variation of beach area at Haeundae Beach after coastal improvement project using video monitoring system operated by the Coastal Erosion Monitoring (Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries). Haeundae Beach was well maintained and stabilized following large scale nourishment through coastal improvement project despite of seasonal fluctuations. However, multiple typhoons over the last two years caused beach stabilization patterns and seasonal fluctuations to lost equilibrium, resulting in rapid erosion. In particular, the sandy beach was eroded by typhoon Solic and Kongray in 2018 and failed to recover beach area in winter by seasonal fluctuations. And due to multiple typhoons in 2019, the beach area was reduced 9.5 % (12,607 ㎡) year-on-year. According to analyze the observed wave and beach area data in Haeundae, the tendency of erosion and sedimentation was influenced by seasonal incident wave direction for each section(west, center and east part). Therefore, to identify the causes of decreasing seasonal fluctuation characteristics and continuous erosion, hereafter, more precise monitoring of different factors are needed, such as the crest heights of submerged breakwater and its loss of function, and sand leakage to the outside around submerged breakwater.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.36 no.5_3
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• pp.1037-1051
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• 2020

The accurate monitoring and forecasting of the intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) are able to effectively reduce the overall costs of disaster management. In this study, we proposed a multi-task learning (MTL) based deep learning model for real-time TC intensity estimation and forecasting with the lead time of 6-12 hours following the event, based on the fusion of geostationary satellite images and numerical forecast model output. A total of 142 TCs which developed in the Northwest Pacific from 2011 to 2016 were used in this study. The Communications system, the Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) Meteorological Imager (MI) data were used to extract the images of typhoons, and the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) provided by the National Center of Environmental Prediction (NCEP) was employed to extract air and ocean forecasting data. This study suggested two schemes with different input variables to the MTL models. Scheme 1 used only satellite-based input data while scheme 2 used both satellite images and numerical forecast modeling. As a result of real-time TC intensity estimation, Both schemes exhibited similar performance. For TC intensity forecasting with the lead time of 6 and 12 hours, scheme 2 improved the performance by 13% and 16%, respectively, in terms of the root mean squared error (RMSE) when compared to scheme 1. Relative root mean squared errors(rRMSE) for most intensity levels were lessthan 30%. The lower mean absolute error (MAE) and RMSE were found for the lower intensity levels of TCs. In the test results of the typhoon HALONG in 2014, scheme 1 tended to overestimate the intensity by about 20 kts at the early development stage. Scheme 2 slightly reduced the error, resulting in an overestimation by about 5 kts. The MTL models reduced the computational cost about 300% when compared to the single-tasking model, which suggested the feasibility of the rapid production of TC intensity forecasts.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.339-339
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• 2019

지구 온난화와 기후변화의 영향으로 태풍의 발생과 집중호우로 인한 홍수피해는 꾸준히 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이와 같이 홍수와 관련된 강수량은 기상인자 중에서 유역의 유출과 관계가 있고, 유역의 내수침수 등의 도시홍수를 일으키는 원인이 되고 있다. 그러나 본 연구에서는 자료의 경향성을 판단하기 위해 국내 연최대강우자료의 경향성을 분석하였으며, 또한 연최대강우자료의 시간적 특성을 나타내는 지표로써 스케일 지수에 대하여 경향성과 변동성을 분석하였다. 이를 위해 the block bootstrap-based MK (BBS-MK) 분석을 실시하였고, 연최대강우자료로부터 BBS-MK분석에 대한 경향성 분석 결과, 다수 지점의 연최대강우자료에서 경향성이 나타나지 않았으나, 큰 변동성을 확인하였고, 연별 스케일 지수의 변동성 보다 월별 스케일 지수의 변동성 중 우기에 해당하는 월 (6-10월)에 대한 변동성은 크게 나타났다. 스케일 지수의 경향성은 연최대강우자료의 경향성 분석 결과와는 반대로 많은 강우지점에서 경향성이 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 스케일 지수의 경향성 분석 결과, 해안 지역의 강우 관측소에서 감소 경향이 확인되었지만, 내륙 지역에서는 스케일 지수가 증가하는 경향을 확인할 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.578-591
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• 2003

To investigate the seasonal variation patterns of tidal flat sediments in semi-enclosed Hampyong and Kwangyang Bays, respectively west and south coasts of Korea, accumulation rate and grain-size in the sediments were monitored during 2${\sim}$4 years. The mud flats in the northern and eastern parts of Hampyong Bay were eroded in summer and deposited in winter, but mixed flats in the southern part of the bay show reversed seasonal variations to the mud flats. These variations are most likely connected with wave actions induced by monsoon and physiographic setting of the tidal flats in the bay. In contrast, the tidal flats of Kwangyang Bay were eroded in summer and deposited in other seasons except summer, different from the case of Hampyong Bay. The physiography of Kwangyang Bay are characterized by dominant flood tides and weak wave actions. However, in summer, the surface sediments were abruptly eroded by occasional typhoons and heavy rainfall. These weather conditions appear to be important factors to accelerate erosion on the tidal flat in semi-enclosed bays, south coast of Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.37-44
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• 2009

The characteristics of strong wind occurring over the southwestern part of the Korean peninsula are analyzed by using hourly mean wind data observed in Gusan, Mokpo, Yeosu and Wando from 1970 to 2008. The strong wind here is defined as wind speed of more than 13.9 m/s according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)'s strong wind advisory. The causes of strong wind are classified into typhoon, monsoonal (wintertime continent polar air mass) and frontal (cyclone) winds. Typhoon wind is characterized by abrupt change of its speed and direction after and before landfall of typhoon and monsoonal wind by periodicity of wind speed. And frontal wind tend to be changed from southwesterly to northwesterly at observation site with location of frontal surface. Strong winds are mainly occurred in Yeosu by typhoon, Gusan and Mokpo by monsoonal wind, and Mokpo and Yeosu by frontal wind. In particular, in case of frontal wind, the frequency of strong wind in Mokpo decreases while in Yeosu it increases. Monthly frequency of strong wind is high in August in Mokpo and September in Yeosu by typhoon, January in Gusan and December in Mokpo by monsoonal wind, and in April in Mokpo and Yeosu by frontal wind. The duration less than 1 hour of strong wind is prominent in all stations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.564-574
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• 2008

This study investigates a long-term variation of annual maximum surge heights(AMSH) and main characteristics of high surge events, which is influenced by the global warming and intensifying typhoons, using sea level data at Sokcho and Mukho tidal stations over 34 years ($1974{\sim}2007$). It is found that the there is a longterm uptrend of the AMSH at Sokcho (8.3 cm/34yrs) and at Mukho (8.7 cm/34yrs), which is significant within 95% confidence level based on the linear regression. The statistical analysis reveals that 53% of the AMSH occurs during typhoon's event in both tidal stations and the highest surge records are mostly produced by the typhoon. It is concluded that the uptrend in the AMSH is attributed by the increasing typhoon activities globally as well as locally in Korea due to the increased sea surface temperature in tropical oceans. The continuous efforts monitering and predicting the extreme surge events in the future warm environments are required to prevent the growing storm surge damage by the intensified typhoon.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.594-604
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• 2021

To evaluate the causes of beach erosion in Sinji-Myeongsasimni Beach, external forces, such as tides, tidal currents, and waves, were observed seasonally from March 2019 to March 2020, and the surface sediments were analyzed for this period. In addition, the shoreline positions and beach elevations were regularly surveyed with a VRS GPS and fixed-wing drone. From these field data, the speed of the tidal currents was noted to be insufficient, but the waves were observed to af ect the deformation of the beach. As the beach is open to the southern direction, waves of heights over 1 m were received in the S-SE direction during the spring, summer, and fall seasons. Large waves with heights over 2 m were observed during typhoons in summer and fall. Because of the absence of typhoons for the previous two years from July 2018, the beach area over datum level (DL) as of July 2018 was greater by 30,138m² compared with that of March 2019, and the beach area as of March 2020 decreased by 61,210m² compared with that of March 2019 because of four typhoon attacks after July 2018. The beach volume as of March 2019 decreased by 5.4% compared with that of July 2018 owing to two typhoons, and the beach volume as of September 2019 decreased by 7.3% because of two typhoons during the observation year. However, the volume recovered slightly by about 3% during fall and winter, when there were no high waves. According to the sediment transport vectors by GSTA, the sediments were weakly influxed from small streams located at the center of the beach; the movement vectors were not noticeable at the west beach site, but the westward sediment transport under the water and seaward vectors from the foreshore beach were prominently observed at the east beach site. These patterns of westward sediment vectors could be explained by the angle between the annual mean incident wave direction and beach opening direction. This angle was inclined 24° counterclockwise with the west-east direction. Therefore, the westward wave-induced currents developed strongly during the large-wave seasons. Hence, the sand content is high in the west-side beach but the east-side beach has been eroded seriously, where the pebbles are exposed and sand dune has decreased because of the lack of sand sources except for the soiled dunes. Therefore, it is proposed that efforts for creating new sediment sources, such as beach nourishment and reducing wave heights via submerged breakwaters, be undertaken for the eastside of the beach.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.236-236
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 강우의 시공간성을 파악할 수 있는 격자기반의 Average-point Tracking 프로그램을 이용하여 호우의 DAD(Depth-Area-Duration)를 분석하였다. IPCC 5차보고서에 따르면 1950년 이래로 다수의 극한 기상 및 기후 변화가 관측되었다. 그 중 일부는 인간의 활동과 관련된 것으로 많은 지역에서의 극한 호우 현상의 증가가 손꼽힌다. 이러한 극한 호우 현상 증가와 일부 저수지의 유출 증가 경향은 지역적 규모에서 홍수의 위험이 더 커졌음을 의미한다(Kim et al., 2016). 최근 이상기후 현상의 증가에 따른 강우양상의 변화로 게릴라성 집중 호우와 태풍의 빈도가 증가하고 있지만, 우리나라의 호우의 특성은 방위 및 진행방향에 따른 해석이 매우 복잡하여 강우를 정형화하기에 어려운 특징을 보인다. 또한 지속시간이 긴 호우의 경우에는 호우의 범위가 한반도 전체가 되는 특성 때문에 강우의 시 공간성과 관련된 관측 자료는 부족하며, 이러한 특성을 고려한 연구 또한 미진한 실정이다. 만약, 태풍과 같이 호우이동이 뚜렷한 경우, 기존의 적용되고 있는 유역중심의 DAD 분석 방법으로는 DAD 관계를 명확히 표현하기 어려우며 유역면적이 증가할수록 유역의 면적평균강우량의 오차도 증가하기 때문에 DAD 분석의 정확도는 낮아지게 된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 호우의 형태와 이동을 고려하기 위해 시간에 따른 호우를 격자로 나누어 격자를 증가시키면서 면적평균최대강우량을 산정할 수 있는 Average-point Tracking 방법을 이용하여 DAD 분석을 실시하였다.