• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.259-263
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• 2008

최근 기후변화로 인해 집중호우, 태풍, 폭설 등 악기상 발생이 빈번해지고 있으며, 특히 태풍은 단일 기상현상 가운데 가장 강력하며, 태풍으로 인하여 집중호우 폭풍 및 해일 등 부차적 악기상이 함께 발생하여 인명 및 경제 사회적인 피해 또한 막대하지만, 태풍으로 인한 강수량 측정은 다른 현상에 비해 정확한 측정이 어렵다. 이것은 태풍이 발생에서 소멸까지 일생의 대부분을 해상에서 보내, 육상 관측으로는 정확한 강수량 측정이 어렵기 때문이다. 그러나 위성자료를 활용하면 해상에서의 태풍 구름에 의한 강수분포를 추정할 수 있으며, 특히 구름을 투과하여 아래 내부구조 파악이 가능한 마이크로파 영역의 적외복사에너지를 이용하면 좀더 정확한 강수량 자료를 얻을 수 있을 것이다. 그러나 관측영역 확대를 위해서는 가능한 마이크로파위성자료를 합성처리하여 활용하는 것이 효과를 얻을 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구에서는 현재 기상청에서 수신하고 있는 Aqua/AMSR-E, SSM/I, TMI, QuilSCAT 등에서 산출되는 강수량을 상호 검증기법을 이용하여 합성처리 하였다. 위성자료마다 정확도와 해상도가 다른 것에 대해서는 높은 정확도에 가중치를 주고, 고해상도 자료에 맞추어 픽셀 크기를 맞추었다. 사용한 자료는 2005년$\sim$2007년 간 발생한 태풍 중에서 우리나라에 영향을 준 나비, 나리, 에위니아 등 3개 사례이며, 검증은 자동관측자료(AWS : Automatic Weather Station)자료와 일본 AWS자료(AMEDAS : Automatic Measurement Data Aquisition System) 및 미해군 연구소 발표자료를 이용하여, 시계열오차 분석 및 산포도를 분석하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.26 no.7
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• pp.892-903
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• 2020

The rapid and accurate prediction of storm-surge height during typhoon attacks is essential in responding to coastal disasters. Most methods used for predicting typhoon data are based on numerical modeling, but numerical modeling takes significant computing resources and time. Recently, various studies on the expeditious production of predictive data based on artificial intelligence have been conducted, and in this study, artificial intelligence-based storm-surge height prediction was performed. Several learning data were needed for artificial intelligence training. Because the number of previous typhoons was limited, many synthesized typhoons were created using the tropical cyclone risk model, and the storm-surge height was also generated using the storm surge model. The comparison of the storm-surge height predicted using artificial intelligence with the actual typhoon, showed that the root-mean-square error was 0.09 ~ 0.30 m, the correlation coefficient was 0.65 ~ 0.94, and the absolute relative error of the maximum height was 1.0 ~ 52.5%. Although errors appeared to be somewhat large at certain typhoons and points, future studies are expected to improve accuracy through learning-data optimization.

• The Science & Technology
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• v.35 no.5 s.396
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• pp.47-50
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• 2002

황사 - 학술적으로는 '모래/먼지 폭풍'이라 불리우는 황사구름이 한반도를 덮쳤다. 그것도 한반도에서 황사를 관측한 이래 최악의 농도를 가진 인체에 유해한 상태였다. 정부는 전국에 황사 비상령까지 내렸고 초등학교는 휴교까지 했다. '황사태풍' 또는 '모래/먼지 폭탄'이라고 불리웠던 지난 3~4월의 황사에 대해 인공위성으로 추적하는데 성공한 대기환경연구실 정용승박사에게 듣는다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.292-299
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• 2014

Since most of the researches on the coastal inundation due to typhoons have considered only storm surges, an additional inundation due to rainfall has been neglected. In general, typhoons are natural disasters being accompanied by the rainfall. Thus, it is essential to consider the effect of rainfall in the numerical simulation of coastal inundation due to storm surges. Because the rainwater is discharged to the sea through the storm sewer system, it should be included in the numerical simulation of storm surges to obtain reasonable results. In this study an algorithm that can deal with the effects of rainfall and sewer system is developed and combined with a conventional storm surge numerical model. To test the present numerical model various numerical simulations are conducted using the simplified topography for the cases including the inundation due to rainfall, the drainage of rainwater, the backflow of sea water, and the increase of sea water level due to drainage of rainwater. As a result, it is confirmed that the basic performance of the present model is satisfactory for various flow situations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.446-457
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• 2020

Crescentic sand bar in the coastal zone of eastern Korea is a common morphological feature and the rhythmic patterns exist constantly except for high wave energy events. However, four consecutive typhoons that directly and indirectly affected the East Sea of Korea from September to October in 2019 impacted the formation of longshore uniform sand bar and overall shoreline retreats (approx. 2 m) although repetitive erosion and accretion patterns exist near the shoreline. Widely used XBeach to predict storm erosions in the beach is utilized to investigate the morphological response to a series of storms and each storm impact (NE-E wave incidence). Several calibration processes for improved XBeach modeling are conducted by recently reported calibration methods and the optimal calibration set obtained is applied to the numerical simulation. Using observed wave, tide, and pre & post-storm bathymetries data with optimal calibration set for XBeach input, XBeach successfully reproduces erosion and accretion patterns near MSL (BSS = 0.77 (Erosion profile), 0.87 (Accretion profile)) and observed the formation of the longshore uniform sandbar. As a result of analysis of simulated total sediment transport vectors and bed level changes at each storm peak Hs, the incident wave direction contributes considerable impact to the behavior of crescentic sandbar. Moreover, not only the wave height but also storm duration affects the magnitude of the sediment transport. However, model results suggest that additional calibration processes are needed to predict the exact crest position of bar and bed level changes across the inner surfzone.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.373-383
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• 2020

In this study we established an operational storm-surge system for the northwestern pacific ocean, based on the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean). The system consists of the tide and the surge models. For more accurate storm surge prediction, it can be completed not only by applying more precise depth data, but also by optimal parameterization at the boundaries of the atmosphere and ocean. To this end, we conducted several sensitivity experiments related to the application of available bathymetry data, ocean bottom friction coefficient, and wind stress and air pressure on the ocean surface during August~September 2018 and the case of typhoon SOULIK. The results of comparison and verification are presented here, and they are compared with POM (Princeton Ocean Model) based Regional Tide Surge forecasting Model (RTSM). The results showed that the RTSM_NEMO model had a 29% and 20% decrease in Bias and RMSE respectively compared to the RTSM_POM model, and that the RTSM_NEMO model had a lower overall error than the RTSM_POM model for the case of typhoon SOULIK.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.216-216
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• 2011

목포는 지형 특성상 도시기반이 낮게 조성되어 있어 폭풍해일에 의한 영향이 그리 크지 않더라도 조위가 크게 상승하는 대조기에 해안 저지대에서는 침수범람이 빈번하게 발생하는 지역이다. 특히 1997년 8월 태풍 WINNIE(9713)와 2004년 7월 태풍 MINDULLE(0407)의 간접영향시기가 대조기 고조와 중첩됨에 따라 목포 내항 및 북항 일대에 해수범람 피해가 발생한 바 있으며, 이러한 피해에 대응하여 목포 해안시설물 표고는 1997년 이전의 D.L.(+)480~500cm(목포지방해양수산청, 1998)를 D.L.(+)550cm로 증고한 상태이다. 태풍이 발생하여 내습하는 시기에 해당하는 2010년 7월~9월까지 목포지역 조석예보표(www.khoa.go.kr)에 따르면 거의 매달 500cm 이상의 조위가 예측(최고 511cm, 2010년 8월 11일)되었고, 2004년 범람이 발생한 7월과 8월에는 5.2m 이상의 조위가 3회 이상 예측된 바 있다. 또한 2000년 이후 목포지역의 태풍에 의한 해일고가 매년 50cm 내외로 기록(최고 59 cm, 태풍 RUSA(0215)됨을 고려할 때 D.L.(+)550cm의 목포 해안시설물 표고는 범람피해로부터 안전을 확보하기에는 어려움이 있을 것으로 우려된다. 특히, 최근 2년 동안은 우리나라에 직접 영향을 미친 태풍이 없었으나, 올해 8월 중순에는 대조기에 태풍 DIANMU(1004)가 내습하여 남해안 일대에 피해가 발생하였고, 올해 9월 초에 서해안으로 상륙한 태풍 KOMPASU(1007)는 강한 세력을 유지하면서 북상하여 서해안 일대 및 수도권에 큰 피해가 발생하였다. 만약 태풍 KOMPASU(1007)가 태풍 DIANMU(1004)가 내습했던 대조기 또는 9월 중순의 대조기에 내습했다고 가정한다면, 목포와 같은 서남해안의 저지대는 물론 많은 해안지역에 엄청난 피해가 발생했을 것으로 사료된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 관련연구와 자료분석을 통해 목포해역의 침수범람 위험성을 파악하고, 올해 발생한 태풍의 수치모의 적용을 통해 위험성을 검토하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bio-Environment Control Conference
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• 1999.11a
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• pp.174-178
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• 1999

현재 농가에 많이 보급되어 있는 플라스틱피복 파이프 온실은 폭설이나 돌풍을 비롯한 강풍하에 놓이게 되면, 피복재의 파손이나 구조적인 붕괴현상으로 인하여 온실내 재배작물이 치명적인 피해를 입는 경우가 발생하게 된다. 실예로 1994년 2월 12일의 폭설과 1995년 7월 23일의 태풍 등 최근 2년을 연속하여 폭풍이나 강풍으로 막대한 피해를 경험한 바 있으며, 1997년 11월 12일의 나주 돌풍, 1998년 1월 8일 서부 경남지역의 강풍을 동반한 폭설, 1999년 8월 3일에 상륙한 태풍 올가 등은 온실과 같은 경량구조물의 안전을 크게 위협하고 있다. (중략)

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.37-43
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• 2018

The storm surge is caused by an typhoons and it is not easy to predict the location, strength, route of the storm. Therefore, research using a scenario for storms occurrence has been conducted. In Korea, hazard maps for various scenarios were produced using the storm surge numerical simulation. Such a method has a disadvantage in that it is difficult to predict when other scenario occurs, and it is difficult to cope with in real time because the simulation time is long. In order to compensate for this, we developed a method to predict the storm surge damage by using research database. The risk grade prediction for the storm surge was performed predominantly in the study area of the East coast. In order to estimate the equation, COMSOL developed by COMSOL AB Corporation was utilized. Using some assumptions and limitations, the form of the basic equation was derived. the constants and coefficients in the equation were estimated by the trial and error method. Compared with the results, the spatial distribution of risk grade was similar except for the upper part of the map. In the case of the upper part of the map, it was shown that the resistance coefficient, k was calculated due to absence of elevation data. The SIND model is a method for real-time disaster prediction model and it is expected that it will be able to respond quickly to disasters caused by abnormal weather.

• Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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• v.20 no.3 s.70
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• pp.37-44
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• 2006

Each year, the coast of Busan is badly damaged, due to storm surge. The damages are greatly dependent upon the local peculiarities of the region in which the storm surge occurs. So, in order to prevent/reduce recurrence of the disaster due to the storm surge, it is very important to investigate the fluctuation characteristics of the storm surge height, related to the local peculiarities at each coastal area in which the occurrence of the disaster is expected. In this paper, using the numerical model, the storm surge was simulated to examine its fluctuation characteristics at the coast of Busan Typhoons of Sarah (5914), Thelma (8705) and Maemi (0314), which caused terrible damage to the coastal areas alongthe coast of Busan in the past, were taken as an object of the storm surge simulations. Moreover, the storm surge due to virtual typhoons, which were combined with the characteristics of each proposed typhoon (Maemi, Sarah, Thelma), compared to the travel routes of other typhoons, was predicted. As expected, the results revealed that the storm surge heights are enhanced at the coastal region with the concavity like a long-shaped bay. Also, the storm surge heights, due to each typhoon, were compared and discussed at major points along the coast of Busan, related to the local peculiarities, as well as the characteristics and the travel route of the typhoon.