• Title/Summary/Keyword: 탄소 균형

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Development of forest carbon optimization program using simulated annealing heuristic algorithm (Simulated Annealing 휴리스틱 기법을 이용한 임분탄소 최적화 프로그램의 개발)

  • Jeon, Eo-Jin;Kim, Young-Hwan;Park, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Man-Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we developed a program of optimizing stand-level carbon stock using a stand-level yield model and the Simulated Annealing (SA) heuristic method to derive a optimized forest treatment solution. The SA is one of the heuristic algorithms that can provide a desirable management solution when dealing with various management purposes. The SA heuristic algorithm applied 'thermal equilibrium test', a thresholds approach to solve the phenomenon that does not find an optimum solution and stays at a local optimum value during the process. We conducted a sensitivity test for the temperature reduction rate, the major parameter of the thermal equilibrium test, to analyze its influence on the objective function value and the total iteration of the optimization process. Using the developed program, three scenarios were compared: a common treatment in forestry (baseline), the optimized solution of maximizing the amount of harvest(alternative 1), and the optimized solution of maximizing the amount of carbon stocks(alternative 2). As the results, we found that the alternative 1 showed provide acceptable solutions for the objectives. From the sensitivity test, we found that the objective function value and the total iteration of the process can be significantly influenced by the temperature reduction rate. The developed program will be practically used for optimizing stand-level carbon stock and developing optimized treatment solutions.

New Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of the Effects of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Policies (새로운 연산가능일반균형모형을 이용한 온실가스 감축정책의 영향 분석)

  • Han, Minsoo;Moon, Jin-Young
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.169-205
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    • 2021
  • This study quantitatively analyzes the impact of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction policies on the global economy. To this end, we develop a multi-national and multi-industry static computational general equilibrium model that includes three components-GHG emissions from production, disutility due to GHG emissions, and governments' GHG emissions reduction policies. Then we calibrate the model with the relevant data and solve for the equlibrium using the most recent methodology (exact hat algebra). We find that the strengthening of unilateral GHG emissions reduction policies for each country reduces carbon emissions from domestic producers, but does not necessarily reduce global carbon emissions as production is relocated to other countries. On the other hand, we can reduce GHG emissions when all major countries simultaneously implement the strengthened reduction policies proposed by the OECD (2016). Our results imply that aligned reduction efforts of major countries are necessary to reduce global GHG emissions.

The impacts of CO2 tax on the regional economies in Korea (탄소세 도입이 지역경제에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Choi, Gyeong-Leob;Kim, Youngduk
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.123-159
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    • 2013
  • We use a multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model to explain an economic effect of $CO_2$ tax on the national and regional economy of Korea. First, we compare two $CO_2$ taxes: a region-specific $CO_2$ tax and a uniform $CO_2$ tax. In the region-specific tax, the $CO_2$ tax rate in the capital area and the south-eastern region is much greater than those in other regions. GDP loss resulting from the region-specific tax is bigger than that in the uniform tax. Second, we consider three options for tax recycling: consumption tax recycling, labor-income tax recycling, and corporate-income tax recycling. The corporate-income tax recycling has the least GDP-loss effect over the three options. These results support that it is more efficient to use a uniform $CO_2$ tax rate than a region-specific $CO_2$ tax rate and that the corporate-income tax recycling is more desirable in a sense of efficiency than the consumption and labor-income tax recycling options.

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Economic impacts of linking carbon markets among Korea, China and Japan (한중일 탄소시장 연계의 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Yong Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.809-850
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    • 2012
  • A linkage of emissions trading schemes among Korea, China and Japan demonstrates overall increase in gross domestic product (GDP). However, it also demonstrates reductions in household consumption, and the impact of integration could be very unbalanced between the countries. In particular, the reductions in domestic marginal costs are high in both Korea and Japan. Therefore, household consumptions in the two countries decrease despite increases in GDP because Korea and Japan will be purchasers of emissions rights. China, on the other hand, will experience the opposite. The unbalanced impacts on real household consumptions are intensified when emission credits are allocated via paid auctions instead of free allocation. This was demonstrated to be the case because the circumstances of three countries are intensified when using a paid emissions credit allocation scheme, and their differences could potentially hinder the cooperation between the three countries. Under the free allocation scheme, the emission trading schemes' unbalanced impacts on consumption could be mitigated, but unavoidable negative impacts of free allocation schemes are also serious. Based on the analysis results, Korea, China, and Japan will individually face complicated impacts if their carbon markets are integrated. Although the GDP of three countries will increase as a result of carbon market integration, the benefits of integration will surely be unbalanced, and the three countries will experience negative impacts in terms of actual consumption or employment. In particular, increases in income and consumption, reductions in employment, and energy dependence by credit purchasers (Japan and Korea) and production reduction and possibility of offshoring faced by revenue producing countries (China) could serve as a barrier to carbon market integration. To maximize the positive influences of carbon market integration while reducing the risks of negative side effects, the development and application of complimentary policy tools, such as import duties or discounts for emissions credits, are required.

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Is Carbon Neutral Policy Compatible with Sustainable Economic Growth? (탄소중립은 지속가능한 경제성장과 양립하는가?)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.347-364
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    • 2021
  • Carbon neutral policy in Korea pays limited attention to the concept of sustainable economic growth. This limitation can be compared with other countries' carbon neutral policies such as US, UK and China where the climate change policies are closely connected to economic policies to boost further economic growth. This paper adopts a Ramsey growth model to account for the impact of carbon neutral policy on long-term economic growth and the accumulation capital. The model incorporates the Hartwick rule to allow sustainability of economic growth by transforming resource input into other input factor for growth. The analysis provides a possibility of low accumulation of capital as a result of carbon neutral policy in the absence of effective transformation of fossil-fuel factor into growth-related productive capital. Such low capital stock can be more aggravated when there exists a rent-seeking behavior of various interest groups with voracity to exploit social capital.

온실가스 감축에 대한 기술진보와 탄소세수 환원의 경제적 파급효과

  • O, Jin-Gyu;Jo, Gyeong-Yeop
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.371-416
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    • 2012
  • This study has developed Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model reflecting endogenous growth economic theory, with the aim of analyzing double dividend hypothesis. This study analyzes possibility of economic growth and environmental improvement at the same time when government recycles the revenue of carbon tax to reduce existed taxes such as consumption tax, labor income tax, corporate tax. It also assesses the case of subsidy on R&D investment of renewable energy. With new and renewable generation technology adopted and disseminated, GDP loss would be lessened to a great degree. Tax recycling would provide economic gain by reducing distortion existed in the existing fiscal structure. The magnitude of economic gains from carbon tax recycling is biggest for recycling into corporate tax, and labor income tax, and then consumption tax in this order. It is also shown that double dividend effects occur in dynamic terms when government uses a carbon tax revenue to subsidize on R&D investment. At the end of the analysis period, emissions reduction would not result in GDP loss but in GDP gain. In particular, recycling into R&D increase would produce the largest and fastest GDP gain. Thus, implementing emissions reduction target would require careful consideration of economic effects by various policy instrument, including carbon tax.

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Study on the estimation of NVOC emission (자연 VOC 배출량 산정에 대한 연구)

  • 김조천;홍지형;장영기;주명칠;전의찬;조규탁;한진석;강창희;김득수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Air Pollution Research Association Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.360-361
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    • 2001
  • VOCs 배출원은 크게 인위적인 배출원과 자연적인 배출원으로 나눌 수 있다. 식물은 자연 발생적 VOCs(NVOCs)의 가장 주요한 배출원이며, 대기 중으로 유입되는 반응성이 강한 탄소의 주요한 배출원이다. 이소프린, terpene, 알콜, 카르보닐화합물, 에스테르 등은 식물에서 발생되는 대표적인 탄화수소화합물들이다. 이러한 물질들은 에어로졸의 형성 등 전지구적 대기화학반응, 광역적 광화학산화제 (특히 오존)의 형성, 탄소순환의 수지균형 비도시지역의 산성침적에 기여하는 유기산의 생성 등에 주요한 영향을 끼친다. (중략)

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Characterization of ITO surfaces treated by the remote plasma (원거리 플라즈마에 의해 처리된 ITO 표면 상태의 특징)

  • 김석훈;김양도;전형탁
    • Proceedings of the Materials Research Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.130-130
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    • 2003
  • 일반적으로 Indium tin oxide (ITO)는 유기EL 소자 제작 공정에서 필수 불가결한 물질로 알려져 있다. ITO는 정공 수송의 기능을 하게 되는데 정공 주입의 효율을 향상시키기 위해서는 ITO 표면의 저 저항화와 ITO/유기박막 접합계면의 일함수 값의 적절한 균형이 중요하다. 그리고 현재 플라즈마를 이용한 ITO 기판의 세정은 산소 래디칼을 이용하여 표면을 산화하는 방식인 산소 플라즈마를 이용한 세정 방법이 널리 이용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 ITO 표면의 탄소 오염물을 제거하여 저항특성을 향상시키기 위하여 원거리 산소와 수소 플라즈마 세정을 적용하였고, 그에 따른 탄소를 포함하는 오염물의 제거 효율과 산소와 수소 플라즈마로 처리된 ITO 표면의 특징을 기술하였다. 실험에 사용된 플라즈마 소스는 radio-frequency(RF) 플라즈마이고, 원거리 플라즈마 세정 시스템과 표면 분석 장비인 X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy(XPS)가 in-situ로 연결되어 있는 진공장비로 분석을 하였다 플라즈마 세정 전에 전처리 세정을 시행하지 알았으며, 세정 후 in-situ XPS에 의해서 화학 조성 및 결합 구조의 변화를 분석하였다. 또한 일함수와 면저항 값을 측정하고 그에 따른 표면의 저항 특성 및 표면 전위에 관하여 세정 효율과 연관지어 해석하였다. 원거리 산소/수소 플라즈마 세정 후 ITO 표면의 탄소오염물이 검출한계 이하로 효과적으로 제거된 것을 in-situ XPS 분석 결과로 확인하였고, 플라즈마 처리 순서 및 플라즈마 파워를 변화하여 그에 따른 표면의 결합 상태 및 화학 조성의 변화를 비교 분석하였다.

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The Economic and Environmental Impact of the Small Hydropower Development in Korea: A CGE Analysis (소수력 발전 확대의 경제.환경적 효과: 연산일반균형모형 분석)

  • Kim, Jae-Joon;Park, Sung-Je
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.106-106
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    • 2011
  • 소수력은 온실가스 배출량이 적은 친환경 청정에너지원이면서 지역의 분산전원에 기여할 수 있는 유용한 자원으로 평가되고 있다. 이러한 여건은 소수력발전 사업이 전력의 smart grid 구축 효과로 인해 가장 큰 효율성을 달성할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 국내 소수력발전은 1500Mw의 부존량을 가진 것으로 평가되고 있으나 계절적 편중으로 인한 가동률 부족, 경제성 부족 등으로 활발한 보급이 이루어지지 않고 있다. 특히 신재생에너지 확대 전략에도 불구하고 지원금 등 경제적 인센티브 부족으로 인해 민간부문의 참여는 상당히 저조하다. 그럼에도 불구하고 수력에너지는 환경친화적이고 잠재성이 큰 신재생에너지로 온실가스 저감과 에너지 확보에 기여할 수 있다. 특히 수력에너지는 민간투자의 어려움이 존재하므로 정부의 장기적인 기술개발투자 및 효율성 확대 정책이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 소수력 확대의 경제 환경적 효과를 평가해보기 위해 연산일반균형모형 (CGE :Computable General Equilibrium Model)을 구축한다. 본 연구는 다음과 같이 수행되었다. 첫째, 수력발전부문과 수도사업을 구분하고 사회회계행렬을 작성하였으며, 전력부문에서 수력발전을 포함한 다단계 생산구조를 가정하였다. 둘째, 일반균형모형 방정식 체계를 작성하고 모형의 파라미터 추정 등 보정(Calibration) 작업을 수행하였다. 셋째, 국가 중기 온실가스저감 시나리오를 적용한 전망을 수행하고 소수력 확대(투자지원) 시나리오를 구축한다. 본 연구는 저감수단으로 탄소세를 부과하였다. 끝으로, 소수력 발전 보급 확대의 경제적, 환경적 파급효과를 계산하였다. 분석결과, 소수력 발전 잠재 성장을 반영한 수력에너지 비중은 약 2020년에 약 4.5% 까지 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이로 인한 온실가스 저감 기여분은 약 3%에 이르는 것으로 계산 되었다. 또한 수도사업과 비에너지 제조업의 산업비중은 증가하였다. 이러한 결과는 소수력 발전 확대가 화석연료 대체를 통한 지속가능한 에너지 수요에 기여하고 지역개발과 물산업 발전 등 경제적 파급효과 등을 유발할 수 있음을 시사한다. 또한 본 연구에서 고려하지 못한 소수력 기술 개발은 에너지 대체 촉진으로 인한 온실가스 저감과 녹색성장에 기여할 것이다.

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A study on the impact of carbon tax on carbon dioxide emission, energy use and green growth: Focusing on Finland and 4 others (탄소세 도입이 탄소배출량과 에너지 사용 및 경제성장에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 핀란드 외 4개국을 중심으로)

  • Chung, Sang-Kuck;Kim, Seong-Ki
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.495-522
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a vector error correction model is considered to analyze the correlations among carbon emission, energy use and economic growth using countries adopted carbon tax such as Finland, Netherland, Newzealand, Sweden, and United Kingdom in the short-run dynamics. In order to examine the effect of a carbon tax on the carbon emission specifically for Finland, New zealand and Sweden in the cointegration coefficients among variables, the economic growth equation has the statistically significant negative value(positive values for Netherland and UK). This implies that in the case of the deviation from a long-run equilibrium all variables except carbon emission and energy use are adjusted toward decreasing. After introducing a carbon tax, all variables for Finland, New zealand and Sweden appear to be negative and positive values for the other countries. The evidence that the carbon emission and energy use have been decreased is very weak in the short-run for Finland, New zealand and Sweden but the economic growth is on the decrease after a carbon tax. However, the empirical results show that the increase in carbon emission leads to the decrease in production for Netherland and UK. This implies that for reducing the carbon emission, these countries need to provide more aggressive policies.