• Title/Summary/Keyword: 탄소가격

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An Empirical Study on Price discovery between Emission Spot and Futures Markets in EU ETS Emission Markets (EU ETS 탄소시장에서 EUA 선물의 가격발견에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-Kyung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates price discovery between BlueNext spot and futures in EU ETS carbon emission markets using vector error correction model, GG and Hasbruck information ratio. Especially EUA is European Union Allowances traded on the Emissions Trading Scheme. This emission asset attracts and increasing attention among operators, investors and brokers on emission markets. In this study, we found BlueNext spot and EUA futures market are cointegrated. Following the preceding studies, we judged that EUA futures market contribute to the price discovery process than BlueNext spot market when this GG and Hasbrouck information ratio for BlueNext market are larger than 0.5. In other words, the futures market of EUA plays a more dominant role in price discovery than the spot market.

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Comparison of Efficiency between Two Auction Designs for CO2 Emission Allowances : Uniform Pricing vs. Multiple Pricing (탄소배출권 경매할당의 방법론에 대한 효율성 비교: 단일가격 결정방식 vs. 복수가격 결정방식)

  • Kim, Hyo-Sun;Yoo, Sang Hee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.23-43
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    • 2010
  • This article compares two different auction designs for $CO_2$ emission allowances, namely uniform pricing and multiple pricing, in view of market efficiency. Experimental economic method of Buckley et al. (2004) is applied in this analysis. As a result of this analysis as expected, multiple pricing method brings out Winner's curse. It means that uniform pricing method is more efficient than multiple pricing method.

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The Law of One Price and Dynamic Relationship between EU ETS and Nord Pool Carbon Prices (국제 탄소배출권 가격의 일물일가 검정 및 동태적 분석)

  • Mo, Jung-Youn;Yang, Seung-Ryong;Cho, Yong-Sung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.569-593
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    • 2005
  • This study tests for the law of one price and Grander Causality between the EU ETS and Nord Pool $CO_2$ allowance prices. The Johansen cointegration test shows that there exists a long run equilibrium between EU ETS and Nord Pool prices and support the law of one price. The Granger casuality test suggests that the EU ETS leads Nord Pool for all vintages traded. The test results imply that the EU ETS can be regarded as the representative carbon market in the EU where many exchanges just started competing for the newly rising market for carbon.

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Estimating the Investment Value of Fuel Cell Power Plant Under Dual Price Uncertainties Based on Real Options Methodology (이중 가격 불확실성하에서 실물옵션 모형기반 연료전지 발전소 경제적 가치 분석)

  • Sunho Kim;Wooyoung Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.645-668
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    • 2022
  • Hydrogen energy is emerging as an important means of carbon neutrality in the various sectors including power, transportation, storage, and industrial processes. Fuel cell power plants are the fastest spreading in the hydrogen ecosystem and are one of the key power sources among means of implementing carbon neutrality in 2050. However, high volatility in system marginal price (SMP) and renewable energy certificate (REC) prices, which affect the profits of fuel cell power plants, delay the investment timing and deployment. This study applied the real option methodology to analyze how the dual uncertainties in both SMP and REC prices affect the investment trigger price level in the irreversible investment decision of fuel cell power plants. The analysis is summarized into the following three. First, under the current Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), dual price uncertainties passed on to plant owners has significantly increased the investment trigger price relative to one under the deterministic price case. Second, reducing the volatility of REC price by half of the current level caused a significant drop in investment trigger prices and its investment trigger price is similar to one caused by offering one additional REC multiplier. Third, investment trigger price based on gray hydrogen and green hydrogen were analyzed along with the existing byproduct hydrogen-based fuel cells, and in the case of gray hydrogen, economic feasibility were narrowed significantly with green hydrogen when carbon costs were applied. The results of this study suggest that the current RPS system works as an obstacle to the deployment of fuel cell power plants, and policy that provides more stable revenue to plants is needed to build a more cost-effective and stable hydrogen ecosystem.

A Test on Price Volatility of CO2 Emission Trading Permits focusing on ECX and CCX (탄소배출권 가격변동성의 가설검정 - ECX와 CCX를 중심으로)

  • Lho, Sangwhan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.45-60
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    • 2011
  • An aim of this paper is to test four hypotheses on price volatility in the $CO_2$ emission markets focusing on European Climate Exchange(ECX) in the EU Emission Trading Schemes(EU ETS) and Chicago Climate Exchange(CCX). I expect that, due to an influx of market information, a differently designed exchange market would bring a different price volatility, and various types of emission permits in the same exchange market would result in the same effects on the price volatility. Major findings are that the price volatility is same regardless of the types of emission exchange markets and emission permits comparing the rate of returns. However, comparing the GARCH variance, the volatility between ECX EUAs and CCX-CFIs and the volatility between EUAs(CERs) futures and daily futures are different with the exception of the volatility between EUAs futures and CERs futures. In conclusion, the price volatility depends on the types of exchanges and the types of emission permits.

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The Comparison of Certified Emission Reductions Forecasting Model Using Price of Certified Emission Reductions and Related Search Keywords (탄소배출권 가격과 연관검색어를 활용한 탄소배출권 가격 예측 방법론 비교)

  • Kim, Hyeonho;Im, Giseong;Kim, Yujin;Lee, Minwoo;Han, Seungwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.44-45
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    • 2020
  • Korea has the fourth highest CO2 emission among OECD countries in 2018, As of 2019, total greenhouse gas emissions per capita increased by about 98.2% in comparison to 1990. Korea has promised a 37% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in 2030 from the projected Paris Climate Change Accord. Currently, many countries use the emissions trading system(ETS) for international carbon management. In 2015, ETS has been implemented in Korea, and the importance of calculating CO2 emissions from construction machinery has increased. So, we require an accurate calculation of the environmental charges through the allocated CERs. Using the CER price and related search keywords, this paper derive about prediction models of CER price and compare and focus on more accurate prediction about CER price. By this method, the budget needed to establish the initial construction process plan can be calculated based on more accurate predicted CER price.

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기획연재 - '친환경인쇄' 피할 수 없는 이슈 - 흐름읽고 적극 대처해야 -

  • 대한인쇄문화협회
    • 프린팅코리아
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.68-77
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    • 2010
  • 201X년, 환경인증을 획득하지 못하고 친환경 인쇄공정 관리기술도 보유하지 못한 인쇄업체 A사는 더 이상 주문을 받지 못하고 있다. 더욱이 오랜 고객사이던 C사로부터 친환경 인쇄공정 기술을 보유하지 못했기 때문에 더 이상 인쇄물을 발주할 수 없다는 "통보"를 받았다. 또한 탄소배출권을 확보하지 못했기 때문에 이를 구매하기 위한 비용이 증가해 생산비용의 증가로 가격경쟁력이 악화되어 어려움이 가중되고 있다. 이에 비해 서울 근교의 다른 인쇄사인 B사는 계속되는 인쇄물 발주에 응하느라 바쁘다. 귀찮기는 했어도 친환경인쇄 공정기술을 획득한데 이어 환경인증도 일찌감치 받아 놓았기 때문이다. 또한 다른 업체들에 앞서 한발 빠르게 탄소배출권을 충분히 확보해 가격경쟁력에서도 앞서고 있다.

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에너지/탄소세 부과가 한국산업구조에 미치는 영향분석

  • Gang, Myeong-Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.225-251
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    • 1996
  • 본 연구는 기후변화협약이 한국의 산어구조에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해서 투입산출모형을 이용하였다. 가장 실현가능성이 많은 에너지/탄소세 부과 시나리오별로 에너지수요에 대한 가격탄력성을 고려하여 가격효과를 살펴보고, 이것을 이용하여 궁극적으로 한국산업구조에 어떠한 영향이 미치는 가를 분석하였다. 또한 이러한 결과들을 바탕으로 한국산업구조의 특수성을 감안하면서 중 장기적으로 합리적인 산업구조조정을 수행하는데 필요한 성장산업과 사양산업을 구분할 기준이 되는 지수를 개발하였다.

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A Study on the Fuel Mix Change Considering the Certified Emission Reduction (탄소배출권을 고려한 전원구성변화에 대한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hui-Won;Ku, Bon-Hui;Cha, Jun-Min
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.481-482
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    • 2015
  • 2015년부터 우리나라는 온실가스 배출량 감소를 위해 교토의정서에서 제시한 메커니즘 중 탄소배출권 거래 제도를 도입하였다. 시장개념이 기본인 탄소배출권 거래 제도를 도입함으로써 온실가스 배출량을 더욱 경제적이고 효율적으로 감축할 것으로 기대되고 있다. 이미 선진국들은 온실가스 배출량을 감소시키기 위한 여러 움직임들을 보이고 있으며 특히 배출권 거래 제도는 유럽을 중심으로 활성화 되었다. 이와 동시에 신재생에너지의 보급을 통하여 전력 발전부문에서 큰 감축효과를 얻게 되었다. 하지만 2008년 서유럽으로부터 시작된 유럽지역 경제악화는 배출권 제도의 예상치 못한 단점을 보여주는 사례가 되었다. 이와 다르게 미국의 경우 배출권 제도가 아닌 전원구성변화를 통해 비교적 안정적으로 온실가스 배출량을 줄였다. 기존 기저 발전원을 담당하던 원전과 석탄화력 발전을 대체하기 위하여 가스발전의 활성화를 도입하였고, 온실가스의 배출량을 8년 사이에 약 16억톤을 감소시켰다. 이에 본문에서는 탄소배출권 거래 제도의 도입과 동시에 전원구성변화가 이루어졌다고 가정하여 탄소 배출권 가격을 고려하였을 때 계통운영비용에 어떠한 영향이 있는지 탄소 배출량에 따른 가격을 통하여 알아보았다.

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An Empirical Study on the effects of volatility of carbon market on stock price volatility : Focusing on Europe iron and cement sector (탄소시장의 변동성이 주가변동성에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구 : 유럽의 철강산업과 시멘트산업을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dong-Woo;Kim, Young-Duk
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.223-245
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    • 2017
  • This study is examined interaction between carbon market with stock market using a multivariate GARCH(DCC) model. Carbon market is EU ETS EUA price, stock market is the iron and cement stock price which has relatively energy intensive and massive carbon emissions sector in the industrial sector. It also analyzed changes in the correlation between the markets through an analysis of correlation coefficients. Moreover, it checked whether there was marketability expansion(or expansion of carbon emissions reduction) through the analysis above. As a result of empirical tests, it showed that the price spillover effect was insignificant. In addition, it represented that there was a weak correlation between the two markets since the volatility spillover effect disappeared in the second phase by an external shock(a financial crisis). Moreover, it was revealed that there were no significant changes although there was a weak upward trend in terms of the correlation between the carbon market and the stock market. This implies that emission rights could not expand marketability to financial market as a commodity(or did not play its natural role of the reduction of carbon emission).