• Title/Summary/Keyword: 코호트

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A Structural Model of Baby Boomers' Capital Dynamics and Quality of Life: Moderated by Birth Cohort (베이비부머의 자본역동과 삶의 질의 구조모형: 출생코호트의 조절효과)

  • Shin, Hak-Gene
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.429-437
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    • 2019
  • This study examined diverse capital dynamics and the effect of the dynamics on the quality of life of Korean baby boomers living in Jeonju. Also this study investigated the moderating effect of birth cohort. A structural equation modeling conducted with 303 baby boomers for verification. The results are as follows: First, the human capital of baby boomer directly or indirectly affected psychological, economic, social capital, and quality of life. Second, economic capital directly or indirectly affected psychological, social capital, and quality of life. Third, psychological capital directly or indirectly affected social capital and quality of life. Fourth, social capital affected the quality of life. Fifth, the birth cohort moderated the impacts of economic capital on psychological capital and quality of life. The results provided an understanding of the quality of life of baby boomer and the direction of intervention.

A comparative study of stochastic mortality models considering cohort effects (코호트 효과를 고려한 확률적 사망률 예측 모형의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.347-373
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    • 2021
  • Over the past 50 years, explorative research on the nation's mortality decline patterns has showed a decrease in age-specific mortality rates in all age groups, but there were different improvement patterns in specific mortality rates depending on ages and periods. Greater distinct improvement was observed in mortality rates among women than men, and there was a noticeable improvement in mortality rates in certain groups especially in the more recent decades, revealing a structural change in the overall trends regarding death periods. In this paper, we compare various stochastic mortality models considering cohort effects for mortality projection using Korean female mortality data and further explore the uncertainty related to projection. It also created age-specific mortality rates and life expectancy for women until 2067 based on the results of the analysis, and compared them with future age-specific mortality rates and life expectancy provided by the national statistical office (KOISIS). The best optimal model could vary depending on data usage periods. however, considering the overall fit and predictability, the PLAT model would be regarded to have appropriate predictability in terms of the mortality rates of women in South Korea.

Development of Fertility Assumptions for the Future Population Projection (장래인구추계를 위한 출산력 가정치의 설정)

  • Jun, Kwang-Hee
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.53-88
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    • 2006
  • The major aim of this paper is to develop a hypothetical set of age-specific fertility rates which are logically derived and reasonably accurate in the projection of future population. The first procedure is to select a generalized log-gamma distribution model, which includes Coale-McNeil nuptiality model, in order to estimate and project a set of age-specific fertility rates by birth cohort and birth order. The second is to apply the log-gamma model with an empirical adjustment to the actual data to estimate and project the future fertility rates for relatively young birth cohorts who did not complete their reproductive career. This study reconstructs or translates a set of cohort age-specific fertility rates into a set of period age-specific fertility rates which must be hypothesized in order to establish the broader framework of future population projection. For example, the fertility at age 20 in the year of 2020 is the fertility at age 20 for the cohort born in 1990, while the fertility at age 21 in the year of 2020 is the fertility at 21 for the cohort born in 1989. In turn, once a set of age-specific fertility rates for the cohorts who were born up to the year of 2010, it is possible for one to establish an hypothetical set of period age-specific fertility rates which will be needed to project the future population until the year of 2055. The difference in the hypothetical system of age-specific fertility rates between this study and the 2005 special population projection comes from the fact that the fertility estimation/projection model used in this study was skillfully exploited to reflect better actual trend of fertility decline caused by rise in marriage age and increasing proportion of those who remain single until their end of reproduction. In this regard, this paper argues that the set of age-specific fertility rates derived from this study is more logical and reasonably accurate than the set of those used for the 2005 special projection. In the population projection, however, the fundamental issue of the hypothetical setting of age-specific fertility rates in relation to the fertility estimation/projection model is about how skillfully one can handle the period effects. It is not easy for one to completely cope with the problem of period effects except for the a minor period adjustment based on recent actual data, along with the given framework of a cohort-based fertility estimation/projection model.

Dietary Survey Archive Creating System for Cohort Study (코호트 연구를 위한 식사조사기록 생성 시스템)

  • Lee, Myung-Joo;Park, So-Ra;Shin, Hyun-Doo;Sun, Dong-Han;Lee, Ji-Hoon;Hwang, Soo-Chan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2011.06c
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    • pp.98-101
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    • 2011
  • 코호트연구는 특정 집단을 계속 추적해 가면서 과거의 행동이 미래에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가에 대하여 알아보는 역학적 연구이다. 짧게는 2개월에서 길게는 수십 년에 걸쳐서 진행 된다. 일반적으로 식사조사 프로그램을 이용하여 연구대상자들에 대한 식사조사기록을 저장하게 되는데, 이러한 기록들은 수십 년에 해당하는 결과를 장기간 지속적으로 저장하고 보존하여야 한다. 하지만, 현존하는 식사조사 프로그램들은 대부분 운영체제 및 시스템에 종속적이기 때문에 운영체제가 변경되면 프로그램도 같이 변경되어야 하는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 이는, 장기간의 식사조사기록을 보관하여 연구를 하는 코호트연구에 있어서는 심각한 문제이다. 때문에, 장기보존을 위해서는 장기보존 시스템을 구축할 필요성이 존재하며, 각 식사조사 프로그램은 장기보존시스템과 연동 할 수 있는 식사조사 기록 생성 시스템이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 OAIS(Open Archival Information System) 참조 모델의 SIP와 METS(Metadata Encoding and Transmission Standard)를 이용하여 식사조사기록을 장기 보존 관리 하는 시스템에 적용할 수 있는 식사 조사기록 생성 시스템을 제안 한다. 제안한 시스템은 XML 패키지를 이용하여 식사조사기록을 생성하는 인터페이스를 제공한다.

The Use of Joint Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models: Application to Multivariate Longitudinal Data (결합 다단계 일반화 선형모형을 이용한 다변량 경시적 자료 분석)

  • Lee, Donghwan;Yoo, Jae Keun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.335-342
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    • 2015
  • Joint hierarchical generalized linear models proposed by Molas et al. (2013) extend the simple longitudinal model into multiple models fitted jointly. It can easily handle the correlation of multivariate longitudinal data. In this paper, we apply this method to analyze KoGES cohort dataset. Fixed unknown parameters, random effects and variance components are estimated based on a standard framework of h-likelihood theory. Furthermore, based on the conditional Akaike information criterion the correlated covariance structure of random-effect model is selected rather than an independent structure.

Patterns of Korean Women′s Life Course (한국 여성의 생애 유형: 저출산과 M자형 취업곡선에의 함의)

  • Park Keong-Suk;Kim Young Hye
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.63-90
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to discover patterns of Korean women's life course in terms of their life time sequence of family roles and economic activity. Primary factors for the change and diversity of family-work role sequence are also examined. Data used in this study is the Fourth Survey of Korean Women's Economic Activity which was conducted by Korean Institute of Women Development (KIWD) in 2002. According to the main results, five distinctive patterns of life course are to be disentangled for ever married women: First, doing simultaneously family and work roles with no maternal leave (13.7%); second, reentry into labor market after maternal leave (M type, 18.6%); third, no reentry into labor market after maternal leave (latent M type, 26.9%); fourth, first job entry after child rearing (23.5%); and finally, no work experience (17.3%). The relative composition of the respective life course has changed over marriage cohorts. M type including latent M type became a dominant life pattern among married women since marriage cohorts of 1980 and later. The share of married women who begin to work first after maternal role or have no work experience has declined with recent marriage cohorts. It is also noted that the share of women with simultaneous family and work roles has increased among marital cohorts of 1990 and later. Marriage cohort differences being controlled, life patterns significantly differ by women's educational level, existence of role model of working mother at growth, women's own and husbands' gender role attitude, and family economy. Finally, some policy concerns for gender role division of family and work are raised.

A Cohort Study on Risk Factors for Chronic Liver Disease: Analytic Strategies Excluding Potentially Incident Subjects (만성간질환 위험요인에 대한 코호트연구: 잠재적 발병자 집단을 감안한 분석전략)

  • Kim, Dae-Sung;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Bae, Jong-Myun;Shin, Myung-Hee;Ahn, Yoon-Ok;Lee, Moo-Song
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.452-458
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    • 1999
  • Objectives: The authors conducted the study to evaluate bias when potentially diseased subjects were included in cohort members while analyzing risk factors of chronic liver diseases. Methods: Total of 14,529 subjects were followed up for the incidence of liver diseases from January 1993 to June 1997. We have used databases of insurance company with medical records, cancer registry, and death certificate data to identify 102 incident cases. The cohort members were classified into potentially diseased group(n=2,217) when they were HBsAg positive, serum GPT levels higher than 40 units, or had or has liver diseases in baseline surveys. Cox's model were used for potentially diseased group, other members, and total subjects, respectively. Results: The risk factors profiles were similar for total and potentially diseased subjects: HBsAg positivity, history of acute liver disease, and recent quittance of smoking or drinking increased the risk. while intake of pork and coffee decreased it. For the potentially diseased, obesity showed marginally significant protective effect. Analysis of subjects excluding the potentially diseased showed distinct profiles: obesity increased the risk, while quitting smoking or drinking had no association. For these intake of raw liver or processed fish or soybean paste stew increased risk; HBsAg positivity, higher levels of liver enzymes and history of acute liver diseases increased the risk. Conclusions: The results suggested the potential bias in risk ratio estimates when potentially diseased subjects were included in cohort study on chronic liver diseases, especially for lifestyles possibly modified after disease onset. The analytic strategy excluding potentially diseased subjects was considered appropriate for identifying risk factors for chronic liver diseases.

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$H_2$ Receptor Antagonists and Gastric Cancer in the Elderly: A Nested Case-Control Study (노인 인구에서 $H_2$ Receptor Antagonist와 위암과의 관련성: 코호트 내 환자-대조군 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon-I;Heo, Dae-Seog;Lee, Seung-Mi;Youn, Kyoung-Eun;Koo, Hye-Won;Bae, Jong-Myon;Park, Byoung-Joo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2002
  • Objective : To test if the intake of $H_2$ receptor antagonists ($H_2$-RAs) increases the risk of gastric cancer in the elderly. Methods : The source population for this study was drawn from the responders to a questionnaire survey administered to the Korea Elderly Pharmacoepidemiological Cohort (KEPEC), who were beneficiaries of the Korean Medical Insurance Corporation, were at least 65 years old, and residing in Busan in 1999. The information on $H_2$-RAs exposure was obtained from a drug prescription database compiled between inn. 1993 and Dec. 1994. The cases consisted of 76 gastric cancer patients, as confirmed from the KMIC claims data, the National Cancer Registry and the Busan Cancer Registry. The follow-up period was from Jan. 1993 to Dec. 1998. Cancer free controls were randomly selected by 1:4 individual matching, which took in to consideration the year of birth and gender. Information on confounders was collected by a mail questionnaire survey. The odds ratios, and their 95% confidence intervals, were calculated using a conditional logistic regression model. Results : After adjusting for a history of gastric ulcer symptoms, medication history, and body mass index, the adjusted OR (aOR) was 4.6 (95% CI=1.72-12.49). The odds ratio of long term use (more than 7 days) was 2.3 (95% CI=1.07-4.82). The odds ratio of short term use was 4.6 (95% CI=1.26-16.50). The odds ratio of parenteral use was 4.4 195% CI=1.16-17.05) and combination use between the oral and parenteral routes (aOR, 16.8; 95% CI=1.21-233.24) had the high risk of gastric cancer. The aOR of cimetidine was 1.7 (95% CI=1.04-2.95). The aOR of ranitidine was 2.0 (95% CI=1.21-3.40). The aOR of famotidine was 1.7 (95% CI=0.98-2.80). Conclusion : The intake of $H_2$-RAs might increase the risk of gastric cancer through achlorhydria in the elderly.