• Title/Summary/Keyword: 축차분석

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Economic and Environmental Impact of the Bioplastics Industry: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Approach (바이오플라스틱산업의 경제적·환경적 파급효과: 축차동태 연산가능일반균형모형 적용)

  • Son, Wonik;Hong, Jong Ho
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.269-297
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    • 2021
  • Bioplastics are attracting attention as a substitute for conventional petroleum-based plastics because they are carbon neutral and can be biodegradable. This study estimated economic and environmental impact of regulating the petroleum-based plastics industry and fostering the bioplastics industry using a Recursive Dynamic CGE Model of the Korean Economy. Results show that the regulation of the conventional plastics industry exhibits a positive environmental impact by reducing greenhouse gases and plastic waste and a negative economic impact with a decrease in GDP. Meanwhile, fostering the bioplastics industry with regulation on conventional plastics industry has similar levels of greenhouse gas and waste reduction effects when there is only regulation on the conventional plastics industry. It is also shown that expanding the production of bioplastics industry offsets existing economic losses as a form of increased GDP. If petroleum-based plastics are replaced through the expansion of bioplastics production, it can contribute to the decoupling of greenhouse gas emissions and plastic waste from economic growth.

Climate Change, Agricultural Productivity, and their General Equilibrium Impacts: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis (기후변화에 따른 농업생산성 변화의 일반균형효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Lee, Hanbin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.947-980
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the long-run impacts of climate change on Korean agriculture and economy. We estimate the impacts of climate change on the productivities of major agricultural products including rice, dairy and livestock using both a simulation approach and a semiparametric econometric model. The former predicts a decline in productivity while the latter predicts an increase in productivity due to climate change, especially for rice. A recursive dynamic CGE model is used to analyze the general equilibrium impacts of productivity change under the two different scenarios, derived from the two productivity analysis approaches. The loss of GDP in 2050 is 0.2% or 0.02% of total GDP depending on the scenario. It is shown that the losses in dairy and livestock sectors are larger than that in rice sector, although the losses in those two non-rice sectors have been ignored by most existing works.

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Sequential separation of 90Sr, 241Am, 239,240Pu and 238Pu by radioanalytical techniques (방사능 분석기술을 이용한 90Sr, 239,240Pu, 238Pu, 241Am 축차분리)

  • Lee, Myung Ho;Park, Kyoung Kyun;Kim, Jong-Yun;Park, Yeong Jae;Kim, Won Ho
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.469-474
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a quantitative method of sequential separation of $^{90}Sr$, $^{241}Am$ and Pu radionuclides with an anion exchange resin and a Sr-Spec resin. The Pu isotopes were purified with an anion exchange resin. The americium and strontium fractions were separated from the matrix elements with an oxalate co-precipitation method. Americium fraction was separated from the strontium fraction with iron co-precipitation method and purified from lanthanides with anion exchange resin. Strontium-90 was purified from other hindrance elements with the Sr-Spec resin after oxalate co-precipitation. The measurement of Pu and Am isotopes was carried out by an ${\alpha}$-spectrometer. Strontium-90 was measured by a liquid scintillation counter. The radiochemical procedure of $^{90}Sr$, $^{241}Am$ and Pu radionuclides investigated in this study has been validated by application to IAEA-Reference soils.

Quasi-Steady Model of Newton-Raphson Form for Natural Rivers (자연하천에 대한 Newton-Raphson 형태의 준정상류 계산모형)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo;Jun, Kyung-Soo;Yoon, Byung-Man;Woo, Hyo-Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.640-644
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    • 2008
  • 하상경사가 커서 동수역학적 부정류 계산모형을 안정적으로 적용하기 어렵고, 홍수파의 감쇄효과가 적은 중소하천에 적합한 준정상류 계산모형을 개발하였다. 수립된 모형은 매 시각 유량에 대하여 1차원 하천 부등류 지배방정식인 단면 평균된 1차원 에너지 방정식을 풀도록 구성되어 있으며, 수치해법으로는 Newton-Raphson 방법을 적용한 표준축차법을 사용하였다. Newton-Raphson 방법을 적용하기 위해서는 통수면적, 하폭, 윤변, 동수반경 및 수위에 대한 윤변의 변화율 등의 변수들이 필요하다. 이와 같은 변수들은 각 계산점에서 수위를 계산하기에 앞서 단면자료를 사용하여 0.1 m 간격으로 모든 수위에 대하여 그 값들을 미리 구한 후, 반복 계산 단계에서 사용되는 수위에 대하여 필요한 변수들을 앞서 계산된 변수들과 선형 보간하여 사용하도록 하였다. 하천 구간내에 보가 존재하는 경우에는 보가 위치한 상 하류 간의 지배방정식으로 에너지 방정식 대신에 월류 유량 관계식을 사용하였으며, 이때의 수치해법 역시 Newton-Raphson 방법을 사용하였다. 수립된 모형을 한탄강 하류 구간에 적용하여 HEC-RAS 모형과 모의 결과를 비교한 결과, 두 모형의 계산결과가 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 에너지 경사항의 근사 방법에 따른 민감도 분석을 실시하였다.

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Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments with An Application to Quality Improvement (품질 향상에 적용되는 전산 실험의 계획과 분석)

  • Jung Wook Sim;Jeong Soo Park;Jong Sung Bae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.83-102
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    • 1994
  • Some optimal designs and data analysis methods based on a Gaussian spatial linear model for computer simulation experiments are considered. For designs of computer experiments, Latin-hypercube designs and some optimal designs are combined. A two-stage computational (2-points exchange and Newton-type) algorithm for finding the optimal Latin-hypercube design is presented. The spatial prediction model which was discussed by Sacks, Welch, Mitchell and Wynn(1989) for computer experiments, is used for analysis of the simulated data. Moreover, a method of contructing sequential (optimal) Latin-hypercube designs is considered. An application of this approach to the quality improvement and optimization of the integrated circuit design via the main-effects plot and the sequential experimental strategy is presented.

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An Empirical Study on the long-term Relationship between House Prices and Inflation in the U.S. (주택가격과 물가의 장기관련성에 관한 실증연구 : 미국을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Young Soo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.246-263
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    • 2010
  • This study examines how the long-run relations between housing price and inflation in the United Sates have changed since the year of 2000. Johansen co-integration test, estimation of long-run equilibrium equation, and Granger causality tests are conducted, based on the VECM. Data covers the period from the first quarter of 1975 to the second quarter of 2010. I adopt the recursive estimation method in which the final period of the estimation is expanded by one quarter, starting from the first quarter of 2000. The empirical results are as follows: (1) In spite of the sharp increase of housing price, the long-run relationship of house prices and inflation has been remained stable until 2007, showing that house prices are a stable inflation hedge in the long run. (2) The housing price plunge since 1997 does not seem to be related to the restore of the long-run relationship between housing prices and inflation. (3) Granger causality test results support the hypothesis that inflation granger-causes housing prices with 10% significance level, but reject the hypothesis that housing price granger-causes inflation.

Undrained Behavior of Weathered Granite Soil of Heating-Cooling Repeated Acts Using Temperature Control Triaxial Test (온도변화 삼축압축 실험을 이용한 Heating-Cooling 반복 작용시 화강풍화토의 비배수 거동)

  • Shin, Seung-Min;Sin, Chun-Won;Yoo, Chung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the impact of sand and weathered granite soil is analyzed by changing the internal temperature from $20^{\circ}C{\sim}70^{\circ}C$C by installing a heating coil inside the triaxial cell. To check the effect on weathered granite soil due to increase of temperature and number of heating-coiling cycles are analyzed by measuring the temperature by using thermometer installed inside the triaxial cell and due to that deviator stress also occurred during the consolidated undrained test. To analyze the effect of weathered granite soil with change of temperature during undrained testing. The deviator stress and pore pressure is measured. As a result, pore pressure increases and the deviator stress decreases with rise of temperature.

Updating algorithms in statistical computations (통계계산에서의 갱신 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 전홍석
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.283-292
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    • 1992
  • Updating algorithms are studied for the basic statistics (mean, variance). For a linear model, a recursive formulae for least squares estimators of regression coefficients, residual sum of squares and variance-covariance matrix are also studied. Hotelling's $T^2$ statistics can be calculated recursively using the recursive formulae of mean vector and variance-covariance matrix without computing the sample variance-covariance matrix at each stage.

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Development of Sequential Sampling Plan for Bacterial Leaf Blight of Garlic by Cluster Sampling (클러스터 조사에 의한 마늘 세균점무늬병의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • Song, Jeong Heub;Yang, Cheol Joon;Yang, Young Taek;Shim, Hong Sik;Jwa, Chang Sook
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2015
  • Bacterial leaf blight caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. porri is one of the major bacterial diseases of garlic (Allium sativum). In South Korea, the disease has only been observed in garlic-growing regions of Jeju island. The spatial distribution pattern of the disease was analyzed by binary power law, in which the natural logarithm of the observed variance is regressed on the natural logarithm of the binomial variance. The estimated slope (b=1.361) of the regression was greater than 1 which meant that the diseased plants were aggregated. The sequential sampling plans were developed for estimating the mean incidence rate ($p_m$) and classifying the mean incidence as being below or above the critical incidence rate ($p_t$). These results could be used on more efficient and higher precisive sampling for bacterial blight of garlic compared to fixed sample sized sampling.

A Solution Algorithm for Elastic Demand Traffic Assignment Model Based on Dynamic Process (동적과정을 이용한 가변수요 통행배정모형의 알고리듬 개발)

  • Im, Yong-Taek;Kim, Hyeon-Myeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2006
  • Traffic assignment has been used both for predicting travel demands and for evaluating the tools for alleviating congestion on road network in advance. Some assignment models have been proposed such as equivalent mathematical minimization method, variational inequality problem, nonlinear complementary problem and fixed point method, in following the principle of Wardrop (1952) that no driver can not Improve his travel cost by unilaterally changing his route. Recently Jin(2005a) presented a traffic assignment model based on dynamic process. This paper proposes a solution algorithm for the model of Jin and assesses the performances. Compared to the Frank-Wolfe method, which has been wildly used for solving the existing assignment models, the proposed algorithm is expected to be more efficient because it does not need to evaluate the objective function. Two numerical examples are used for assessing the algorithm, and they show that the algorithm converges to user equilibrium of Wardrop.