• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정량거리

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A Knowledge-based Approach for the Estimation of Effective Sampling Station Frequencies in Benthic Ecological Assessments (지식기반적 방법을 활용한 저서생태계 평가의 유효 조사정점 개수 산정)

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Kim, Chang-Soo;Jung, Hoe-In;Lee, Yong-Woo;Lee, Man-Woo;Lee, Chang-Gun;Jin, Sung-Ju;Maeng, Jun-Ho;Hong, Jae-Sang
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2011
  • Decision making in Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and Consultation on the Coastal Area Utilization (CCAU) is footing on the survey reports, thus requires concrete and accurate information on the natural habitats. In spite of the importance of reporting the ecological quality and status of habitats, the accumulated knowledge and recent techniques in ecology such as the use of investigated cases and indicators/indices have not been utilized in evaluation processes. Even the EIA report does not contain sufficient information required in a decision making process for conservation and development. In addition, for CCAU, sampling efforts were so limited that only two or a few stations were set in most study cases. This hampers transferring key ecological information to both specialist review and decision making processes. Hence, setting the effective number of sampling stations can be said as a prior step for better assessment. We introduced a few statistical techniques to determine the number of sampling stations in macrobenthos surveys. However, the application of the techniques requires a preliminary study that cannot be performed under the current assessment frame. An analysis of the spatial configuration of sampling stations from 19 previous studies was carried out as an alternative approach, based on the assumption that those configurations reported in scientific journal contribute to successful understanding of the ecological phenomena. The distance between stations and number of sampling stations in a $4{\times}4$ km unit area were calculated, and the medians of each parameter were 2.3 km, and 3, respectively. For each study, approximated survey area (ASA, $km^2$) was obtained by using the number of sampling stations in a unit area (NSSU) and total number of sampling stations (TNSS). To predict either appropriate ASA or NSSU/TNSS, we found and suggested statistically significant functional relationship among ASA, survey purpose and NSSU. This empirical approach will contribute to increasing sampling effort in a field survey and communicating with reasonable data and information in EIA and CCAU.

자녀양육비의 추정

  • 김원년
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 1987
  • This paper was set out to study the structure of the career occupational mobility in the early and rapid phase of industrialization in Korea. By analyzing the individual life histories regarding occupational mobility and achievement, I propose a model of yearly career mobility of Korean men and Women during the period of 30 years between 1954 and 1983. With the occupational classification scheme of 5 groups - Upper Nonmanual, Lower Nonmanual, Self Employed, Manual, Farm - the mobility pattern in the person-year mobility table analyzed can be characterized primarily by the strong influence of immobility. The degree of immobility, however, is different by the occupational groups. The absolute amount of immobility can be summarized as being U-shaped. Overall, the pattern of mobility can be explained best by the concept of occupational distance. I then propose a model of relative career occupational mobility pattern that combines the conceptual and theoretical basis and the methodological rigor. The model is based on the notion of the reproduction of inequality, the labor market context, and the life history perspective. The model encompasses the 6 conceptual explanatory factors such as persistence effect, ceiling effect, traditional sector effect, nonmanual occupation effect, alternative mobility channel effect, and occupational distance effect, as well as the effects of both origin and destination occupations. The relative pattern of career mobiliity in Korea can be characterized by the following six findings. First, the persistence effect on the diagonal cells of the mobility table is dominant. Second, a clear evidence of the negative effect of occupational distance between nonmanual occupations and manual and farm occupations is found. Third, the out-mobility from farming took place regardless of the destination occupations. Fourth, the internal mobility within the nonmanual occupation block is high and bi-directional, and is exclusive against other occupations. Fifth, the 'self employed' occupation is serving a peculiar function in both inflow and outflow pattern. Last, the relative pattern of career occupation mobility is asymmetrical in terms of the upward and downward mobility.

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Mixed-effects zero-inflated Poisson regression for analyzing the spread of COVID-19 in Daejeon (혼합효과 영과잉 포아송 회귀모형을 이용한 대전광역시 코로나 발생 동향 분석)

  • Kim, Gwanghee;Lee, Eunjee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.375-388
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 by analyzing confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Daejeon. A high volume of visitors, downtown areas, and psychological fatigue with prolonged social distancing were considered as risk factors associated with the spread of COVID-19. We considered the weekly confirmed cases in each administrative district as a response variable. Explanatory variables were the number of passengers getting off at a bus station in each administrative district and the elapsed time since the Korean government had imposed distancing in daily life. We employed a mixed-effects zero-inflated Poisson regression model because the number of cases was repeatedly measured with excess zero-count data. We conducted k-means clustering to identify three groups of administrative districts having different characteristics in terms of the number of bars, the population size, and the distance to the closest college. Considering that the number of confirmed cases might vary depending on districts' characteristics, the clustering information was incorporated as a categorical explanatory variable. We found that Covid-19 was more prevalent as population size increased and a district is downtown. As the number of passengers getting off at a downtown district increased, the confirmed cases significantly increased.

GMI Microwave Sea Surface Temperature Validation and Environmental Factors in the Seas around Korean Peninsula (한반도 주변해 GMI 마이크로파 해수면온도 검증과 환경적 요인)

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, Kyung-Ae;Kwak, Byeong-Dae;Joo, Hui-Tae;Lee, Joon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.604-617
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    • 2022
  • Sea surface temperature (SST) is a key variable that can be used to understand ocean-atmosphere phenomena and predict climate change. Satellite microwave remote sensing enables the measurement of SST despite the presence of clouds and precipitation in the sensor path. Therefore, considering the high utilization of microwave SST, it is necessary to continuously verify its accuracy and analyze its error characteristics. In this study, the validation of the microwave global precision measurement (GPM)/GPM microwave imager (GMI) SST around the Northwest Pacific and Korean Peninsula was conducted using surface drifter temperature data for approximately eight years from March 2014 to December 2021. The GMI SST showed a bias of 0.09K and an average root mean square error of 0.97K compared to the actual SST, which was slightly higher than that observed in previous studies. In addition, the error characteristics of the GMI SST were related to environmental factors, such as latitude, distance from the coast, sea wind, and water vapor volume. Errors tended to increase in areas close to coastal areas within 300 km of land and in high-latitude areas. In addition, relatively high errors were found in the range of weak wind speeds (<6 m s-1) during the day and strong wind speeds (>10 m s-1) at night. Atmospheric water vapor contributed to high SST differences in very low ranges of <30 mm and in very high ranges of >60 mm. These errors are consistent with those observed in previous studies, in which GMI data were less accurate at low SST and were estimated to be due to differences in land and ocean radiation, wind-induced changes in sea surface roughness, and absorption of water vapor into the microwave atmosphere. These results suggest that the characteristics of the GMI SST differences should be clarified for more extensive use of microwave satellite SST calculations in the seas around the Korean Peninsula, including a part of the Northwest Pacific.

에너지 소비효율 개선과 리바운드 효과: 수송부문을 중심으로

  • Kim, Dae-Uk;Kim, Jong-Ho
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.321-340
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    • 2012
  • Korean government recently announced that new passenger cars sold within South Korea in 2009 ran an average of 12.27 kilometers per liter of fuel, which is an 7% point increase of the fuel efficiency. The government interpreted these improvements in the fuel economy as energy savings of 60,000 toe and as a reduction of 160,000 ton $CO_2$ emissions. However, improvements in energy efficiency make energy services cheaper, which is known as rebound effect. If this rebound effect exists, and the size of the effect is not negligible, ignoring this could result in overestimating the energy savings achieved by the fuel efficiency increase. Using detailed data on household and vehicle characteristics, our results suggest that there exist a short-run rebound effect of 0.299(29.9%) for the Korean automobile industry. This is notably smaller than the estimates of West (2004), which finds an estimate of 87% using cross-section data for the US. Furthermore our results highlight the importance of rebound effect on energy savings and the $CO_2$ emissions reduction. Our estimates suggest that the report from Korean government overestimates the energy savings and related $CO_2$ emissions by 29.9% point.

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Formant-broadened CMS Using the Log-spectrum Transformed from the Cepstrum (켑스트럼으로부터 변환된 로그 스펙트럼을 이용한 포먼트 평활화 켑스트럴 평균 차감법)

  • 김유진;정혜경;정재호
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.361-373
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose a channel normalization method to improve the performance of CMS (cepstral mean subtraction) which is widely adopted to normalize a channel variation for speech and speaker recognition. CMS which estimates the channel effects by averaging long-term cepstrum has a weak point that the estimated channel is biased by the formants of voiced speech which include a useful speech information. The proposed Formant-broadened Cepstral Mean Subtraction (FBCMS) is based on the facts that the formants can be found easily in log spectrum which is transformed from the cepstrum by fourier transform and the formants correspond to the dominant poles of all-pole model which is usually modeled vocal tract. The FBCMS evaluates only poles to be broadened from the log spectrum without polynomial factorization and makes a formant-broadened cepstrum by broadening the bandwidths of formant poles. We can estimate the channel cepstrum effectively by averaging formant-broadened cepstral coefficients. We performed the experiments to compare FBCMS with CMS, PFCMS using 4 simulated telephone channels. In the experiment of channel estimation, we evaluated the distance cepstrum of real channel from the cepstrum of estimated channel and found that we were able to get the mean cepstrum closer to the channel cepstrum due to an softening the bias of mean cepstrum to speech. In the experiment of text-independent speaker identification, we showed the result that the proposed method was superior than the conventional CMS and comparable to the pole-filtered CMS. Consequently, we showed the proposed method was efficiently able to normalize the channel variation based on the conventional CMS.

Groundwater level behavior analysis using kernel density estimation (비모수 핵밀도 함수를 이용한 지하수위 거동분석)

  • Jeong, Ji Hye;Kim, Jong Wook;Lee, Jeong Ju;Chun, Gun Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2017
  • 수자원 분야에 대한 기후변화의 영향은 홍수, 가뭄 등 극치 수문사상의 증가와 변동성 확대를 초래하는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 이에 따라 예년에 비해 발생빈도 및 심도가 증가한 가뭄에 대한 모니터링 및 피해경감을 위해 정부에서는 국민안전처를 비롯한 관계기관 합동으로 생활 공업 농업용수 등 분야별 가뭄정보를 제공하고 있다. 국토교통부와 환경부는 생활 및 공업용수 분야의 가뭄정보 제공을 위해 광역 지방 상수도를 이용하는 급수 지역과 마을상수도, 소규모급수시설 등 미급수지역의 용수수급 정보를 분석하여 가뭄 분석정보를 제공 중에 있다. 하지만, 미급수지역에 대한 가뭄 예?경보는 기준이 되는 수원정보의 부재로 기상 가뭄지수인 SPI6를 이용하여 정보를 생산하고 있다. 기상학적 가뭄 상황과 물부족에 의한 체감 가뭄은 차이가 있으며, 미급수 지역의 경우 지하수를 주 수원으로 사용하는 지역이 대부분으로 기상학적 가뭄지수인 SPI6를 이용한 가뭄정보로 실제 물수급 상황을 반영하기는 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 미급수지역의 주요 수원인 지하수의 수위 상황을 반영한 가뭄모니터링 기법을 개발하고자 하였으며, 가용량 분석이 현실적으로 어려운 지하수의 특성을 고려하여 수위 거동의 통계적 분석을 통해 가뭄을 모니터링 할 수 있는 방법으로 접근하였다. 국가지하수관측소 중 관측기간이 10년 이상이고 강우와의 상관성이 높은 관측소들을 선정한 후, 일수위 관측자료를 월별로 분리하여 1월~12월 각 월에 대해 핵밀도 함수 추정기법(kernel densitiy estimation)을 적용하여 월별 지하수위 분포 특성을 도출하였다. 각 관측소별 관측수위 분포에 대해 백분위수(percentile)를 이용하여, 25%~100% 사이는 정상, 10%~25% 사이는 주의단계, 5%~10% 사이는 심한가뭄, 5% 이하는 매우심함으로 가뭄의 단계를 구분하였다. 각 백분위수에 해당하는 수위 값은 추정된 Kernel Density와 Quantile Function을 이용하여 산정하였고, 최근 10일 평균수위를 현재의 수위로 설정하여 가뭄의 정도를 분류하였다. 분석된 결과는 관측소를 기점으로 역거리가중법(inverse distance weighting)을 통해 공간 분포를 시켰으며, 수문학적, 지질학적 동질성을 반영하기 위하여 유역도 및 수문지질도를 중첩한 공간연산을 통해 전국 지하수 가뭄상태를 나타내는 지하수위 등급분포도를 작성하였다. 실제 가뭄상황과의 상관성을 분석하기 위해 언론기사를 통해 확인된 가뭄시기와 백문위수 25%이하로 분석된 지하수 가뭄시기를 ROC(receiver operation characteristics) 분석을 통해 비교 검증하였다.

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Groundwater-Stream Water Interaction Induced by Water Curtain Cultivation Activity in Sangdae-ri Area of Cheongju, Korea (청주 상대리지역에서 수막재배가 지하수-하천수 상호작용에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Sang-Ho;Kim, Yongcheol;Jeong, Youn-Young;Hwang, Jeong
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.105-120
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    • 2016
  • Most of riverside in Korea, in case of application of water curtain cultivation (WCC) technique, has been inveterately suffering from the gradual drawdown of groundwater level and related shortage of water resources during the WCC peak time. We believe that the water resources issue in these riverside areas can be effectively solved when the interaction between groundwater and nearby surface water is well understood. To investigate the connection between stream and ground water, and the influence of stream water on the nearby aquifer, this study examined the water temperature and oxygen and hydrogen stable isotopic compositions. The study area is well-known strawberry field applying the WCC technique in Sangdae-ri, Gadeok-myon, Cheongju City, and the sampling was done from February 2012 through June 2014 for stream and ground water. Some groundwater wells near stream showed big temporal variations in water temperature, and their oxygen and hydrogen stable isotopes showed similar compositions to those of adjacent stream water. This indicates that the influence of stream water is highly reflected in the stable isotopic composition of groundwater. Four cross-sectional lines from stream to hillside were established in the study area to determine the spatial differences in water quality of wells. At the late stage of WCC in February to March, groundwater of wells in line with short cross-sectional length showed the narrow range of isotopic compositions; however, those in the long cross-sectional line showed a wide compositional range. It was shown that the influence of the stream water at the late WCC stage have reached to the distance of 160 to 165 m from stream line, which is equivalent to the whole length and one-third point in each short and long cross-sectional line, respectively. Therefore, the wide compositional range in the long cross-sectional lines was not only due to the influence of stream water, but apparently resulted from the change of relative impact of each groundwater supplying from two or more aquifers. In view of stable isotopic compositions, there seems to be three different aquifers in this study area, which is competing for dominance of water quality in wells at each period of WCC.

Calculation of the Peak-hour Ratio for Road Traffic Volumes using a Hybrid Clustering Technique (혼합군집분석 기법을 이용한 도로 교통량의 첨두율 산정)

  • Kim, Hyung-Joo;Chang, Justin S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2012
  • The majority of daily travel demands concentrate at particular time-periods, which causes the difficulties in the travel demand analysis and the corresponding benefit estimation. Thus, it is necessary to consider time-specific traffic characteristics to yield more reliable results. Traditionally, na$\ddot{i}$ve, heuristic, and statistical approaches have been applied to address the peak-hour ratio. In this study, a hybrid clustering model which is one of the statistical methods is applied to calculate the peak-hour ratio and its duration. The 2009 national 24-hour traffic data provided by the Korea institute of Construction Technology are used. The analysis is conducted dividing vehicle types into passenger cars and trucks. For the verification for the usefulness of the methodology, the toll collection system data by the Korea Express Corporation are collected. The result of the research shows lower errors during the off-peak hours and night times and increasing error ratios as the travel distance increases. Since the method proposed can reduce the arbitrariness of analysts and can accommodate the statistical significance test, the model could be considered as a more robust and stable methodology. It is hoped that the result of this paper could contribute to the enhancement of the reliability for the travel demand analysis.

Variable Selection for Multi-Purpose Multivariate Data Analysis (다목적 다변량 자료분석을 위한 변수선택)

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Lim, Yong-Bin;Lee, Yong-Goo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2008
  • Recently we frequently analyze multivariate data with quite large number of variables. In such data sets, virtually duplicated variables may exist simultaneously even though they are conceptually distinguishable. Duplicate variables may cause problems such as the distortion of principal axes in principal component analysis and factor analysis and the distortion of the distances between observations, i.e. the input for cluster analysis. Also in supervised learning or regression analysis, duplicated explanatory variables often cause the instability of fitted models. Since real data analyses are aimed often at multiple purposes, it is necessary to reduce the number of variables to a parsimonious level. The aim of this paper is to propose a practical algorithm for selection of a subset of variables from a given set of p input variables, by the criterion of minimum trace of partial variances of unselected variables unexplained by selected variables. The usefulness of proposed method is demonstrated in visualizing the relationship between selected and unselected variables, in building a predictive model with very large number of independent variables, and in reducing the number of variables and purging/merging categories in categorical data.