• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최종 추정치

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Study of the Curing Reaction Rate of a Glass Fiber Reinforced Bisphenol-A (BPA) Epoxy Prepreg by Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DSC) (Differential Scanning Calorimetry (DSC)를 이용한 유리섬유 Bisphenol-A(BPA)계 에폭시 프리프레그의 경화 반응 속도 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyeon-Jin;Park, Hee-Jung;Lee, Eun-Ju;Ku, Sang-Min;Kim, Seon-Hong;Lee, Kee-Yoon
    • Composites Research
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2018
  • The curing behavior of glass fiber reinforced epoxy prepregs based on Bisphenol-A (BPA) was studied by differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). The total heat of reaction(${\Delta}H_{total}=280.3J/g$) was determined based on the results of the dynamic heating scanning experiments. Isothermal experiments were carried out at $110{\sim}130^{\circ}C$, and it was observed that the maximum conversion and the maximum reaction rate were increased as temperature increased. Also Kamal equation was applied to analyze autocatalytic reaction of epoxy prepregs. The higher temperatures, the greater reaction rate constants ($k_1$, $k_2$). Theoretical values were calculated by these reaction rate constants and compared with experimental values. And it was confirmed that they were in reasonable agreement. At the beginning of the reaction, the experimental data and theoretical prediction were shown the same tendency, but at the end of reaction, the experimental data were smaller than theoretical predicted values due to reaction rates controlled by diffusion.

On-line Finite Element Model Updating Using Operational Modal Analysis and Neural Networks (운용중 모드해석 방법과 신경망을 이용한 온라인 유한요소모델 업데이트)

  • Park, Wonsuk
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2021
  • This paper presents an on-line finite element model updating method for in-service structures using measured data. Conventional updating methods, which are based on numerical optimization, are not efficient for on-line updating because they generally require repeated eigenvalue analyses until convergence criteria are met. The proposed method enables fully automated on-line finite element model updating, almost simultaneously with vibration measurement, without any user intervention or off-line procedures. The automated covariance-driven stochastic subspace identification (Cov-SSI) method is utilized to identify modal frequencies and vectors, and the identified modal data is fed to the neural network of the inverse eigenvalue function to produce the updated finite element model parameters. Numerical examples for a wind excited 20-story building structure shows that the proposed method can update the series of finite element model parameters automatically. It is also shown that sudden changes in the structural parameters can be detected and traced successfully.

Battery Cell SOC Estimation Using Neural Network (뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 배터리 셀 SOC 추정)

  • Ryu, Kyung-Sang;Kim, Ho-Chan
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.333-338
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    • 2020
  • This paper proposes a method of estimating the SOC(State of Charge) of a battery cell using a neural network algorithm. To this, we implement a battery SOC estimation simulator and derive input and output data for neural network learning through charge and discharge experiments at various temperatures. Finally, the performance of the battery SOC estimation is analyzed by comparing with the experimental value by Ah-counting using Matlab/Simulink program and confirmed that the error rate can be reduced to less than 3%.

Estimation of the frequency coefficient for statistical probable maximum precipitation (PMP) using the weather data in Korea (우리나라 기상자료를 이용한 통계학적 가능최대강수량 빈도계수 산정)

  • Seo, Miru;Lee, Joohyung;Kim, Gyobeom;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.169-169
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    • 2021
  • 통계학적 가능최대강수량방법은 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP) 측정 방법 중 하나로 WMO에서 통계학적인 PMP 추정 방법으로 Hershfield가 제안한 공식을 제시했다. Hershfield는 95,000개의 자료를 분석하였으며, 기본적으로 통계학적 PMP 추정방법의 빈도계수는 km = 15로 제안하였다. 그러나 강우 지속기간 및 연최대 시계열의 평균에 따라 값이 변하게 되며, Hershfield(1965)는 지속시간과 연최대 시계열의 평균에 따른 빈도계수가 5 ~ 20 사이의 값을 갖는다고 제안한 바 있다. Hershfield의 빈도계수는 미국 지역의 2,645개의 관측소의 95,000개의 강우 자료 이용했기 때문에 우리나라의 적용하였을 때 신뢰성에 문제가 있을수 있으며, 우리나라에서는 통계학적 방법보다는 수문기상학적 PMP 추정 방법을 주로 사용하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 기상 자료중에서 가장 많은 양을 가지는 지점 10개를 선정하여 빈도계수를 산정하였다. 빈도계수를 산정하기 위해서는 시계열로 구성된 강우 자료를 사용해야하며, 본 연구에서는 기상 자료의 이상치 검정을 진행하였으며, 경향성의 경우 정상성을 가지는 것으로 가정하였다. 확률 분포형은 극치분포인 GEV분포, Gumbel분포, Log-Gumbel분포, Weibull분포를 비교하여 가장 적절한 분포형을 선정하여 진행하였다. 최종적으로 얻은 빈도계수를 이용하여 구한 PMP값과 기존 Hershfield가 제시한 빈도계수 값 km = 15를 이용한 PMP값을 비교하여 차이를 분석하였으며, 그 적용성을 평가하였다.

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Comparative Study of Confidence Interval Estimators for Coverage Analysis (Coverage 분석을 위한 신뢰구간 추정량에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Suk;Jeong, Hae-Duck J.
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.11D no.1
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2004
  • Confidence interval estimators for proportions using normal approximation have been commonly used for coverage analysis of simulation output even though alternative approximate estimators of confidence intervals for proportions were proposed. This is -because the normal approximation was easier to use in practice than the other approximate estimators. Computing technology has no problem with dealing these alternative estimators. Recently, one of the approximation methods for coverage analysis which is based on arcsin transformation has been used for estimating proportion and for controlling the required precision in [12]. In this paper, we compare three approximate interval estimators, based on a normal distribution approximation, an arcsin transformation and an F-distribution approximation, of a single proportion. Three estimators were applied to sequential coverage analysis of steady-state means, in simulations of the M/M/1/$\infty$ and W/D/l/$\infty$ queueing systems on a single processor and multiple processors.

Improvement of Relative Positioning Accuracy by Searching GPS Common Satellite between the Vehicles (차량 간 GPS 공통 가시위성 검색을 통한 상대위치 추정 정확도 향상에 대한 연구)

  • Han, Young-Min;Lee, Sung-Yong;Kim, Youn-Sil;Song, June-Sol;No, Hee-Kwon;Kee, Chang-Don
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.927-934
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we present relative positioning algorithm for moving land vehicle using GPS, MEMS IMU and B-CDMA module. This algorithm does not calculate precise absolute position but calculates relative position directly, so additional infrastructure and I2V communication device are not required. Proposed algorithm has several steps. Firstly, unbiased relative position is calculated using pseudorange difference between two vehicles. Simultaneously, the algorithm estimates position of each vehicle using GPS/INS integration. Secondly, proposed algorithm performs filtering and finally estimates relative position and relative velocity. Using proposed algorithm, we can obtain more precise relative position for moving land vehicles with short time interval as IMU sensor has. The simulation is performed to evaluate this algorithm and the several field tests are performed with real time program and miniature vehicles for verifying performance of proposed algorithm.

The Optimization of Hyperbolic Settlement Prediction Method with the Field Data for Preloading on the Soft Ground (쌍곡선법을 이용한 계측 기반 연약지반 침하 거동 예측의 최적화 방안)

  • Choo, Yoon-Sik;Kim, June-Hyoun;Hwang, Se-Hwan;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2010
  • The settlement prediction is very important in preloading method for a construction site on the soft ground. At the design stage, however, it is hard to predict the settlement exactly due to limitations of the site survey. Most of the settlement prediction is performed by a regression settlement curve based on the field data during construction. In Korea, hyperbolic method has been most commonly used to align the settlement curve with the field data, because of its simplicity and many application cases. The results from hyperbolic method, however, may differ by data selections or data fitting methods. In this study, the analyses using hyperbolic method were performed about the field data of $\bigcirc\bigcirc$ site in Pusan. Two data fitting methods, using an axis transformation or an alternative method which is a direct regression method, were applied with various data groups. If data was used only after the ground water level being stabilized, fitting results using both methods were in good agreement with the measured data. Regardless of the information about the ground water level, the alternative method gives better results with the field data than the method using an axis transformation.

Divide and conquer kernel quantile regression for massive dataset (대용량 자료의 분석을 위한 분할정복 커널 분위수 회귀모형)

  • Bang, Sungwan;Kim, Jaeoh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.569-578
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    • 2020
  • By estimating conditional quantile functions of the response, quantile regression (QR) can provide comprehensive information of the relationship between the response and the predictors. In addition, kernel quantile regression (KQR) estimates a nonlinear conditional quantile function in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces generated by a positive definite kernel function. However, it is infeasible to use the KQR in analysing a massive data due to the limitations of computer primary memory. We propose a divide and conquer based KQR (DC-KQR) method to overcome such a limitation. The proposed DC-KQR divides the entire data into a few subsets, then applies the KQR onto each subsets and derives a final estimator by aggregating all results from subsets. Simulation studies are presented to demonstrate the satisfactory performance of the proposed method.

A Study on the Estimation of the Available Water Resources in Korea (유역별 가용수자원의 추정 연구)

  • Choe, Jong-Geun;Yun, Se-Ui;Lee, Won-Hwan
    • Water for future
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 1983
  • A STUDY ON THE ESTIMATION OF THE AVAILABLE WATER RESOURCES IN KOREA The purpose of this study is to present the estimated the total amount of runoff in Korea. The annual mean runoff is estimated by cumulating daily discharges that obtaine from daily stages on the rating curve. The selected five major gaging stations(Indogyo, Gyuam, Jindong, Naju, and Songjeong) to take the daily discharges stand for the five major streams such as the Han River, the Geum River, the Nokdong River, the Yeongsan River and the Seomjin River. The results of this study are as follows; 1) The maximum quantity of the total available water resources is estimated at 26,900 million cubic meters, the minimum is 24,300 million, and the annual mean quantity is 25,600 million 2) The annual mean rate of runoff is evaluated about 58 percent in the five major basins. 3) The annual mean rate of runoff over inland is estimated about 57 percent as a result of assuming the runoff rate of 5 zone about 80 percent, the annual mean rate of runoff is estimated about 56 percent except for V-zone in analysis.

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A Study on the Construction of Weights for Combined Rolling Samples (순환표본의 결합을 위한 가중치 산출에 대한 연구)

  • Song, Jong-Ho;Park, Jin-Woo;Byun, Jong-Seok;Park, Min-Gue
    • Survey Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2010
  • Although it is possible to provide statistically reliable estimators of the entire population parameters based on each independent rolling sample, estimators of the small areas may not have the required statistical efficiency. Thus, in general, small area estimators are calculated based on the combined rolling sample after entire rolling sample survey is finished. In this study, we considered the construction of weights that is necessary in the analysis of the combined rolling sample. Unlike the past studies that provided the empirical results for the corresponding specific rolling sample survey, we considered linear models that depends only on design variables and rolling period and provided the corresponding Best Linear Unbiased Predictor(BLUP). Through a simulation study, we proposed the estimators for the population parameters that are robust to model failure and the BLUP under the assumed model. The results are applied to the 4th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

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