• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.34 no.6
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• pp.781-787
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• 2010

Forecasting possible failure characteristics is very important in maintenance planning because it helps in predicting any future failures and determining the optimum replacement interval. This paper examines the time.to-failure distribution of the transfer gearbox of a J79 engine by using a probability plotting technique which is one of the most convenient techniques for reliability analysis. Various probability distributions are evaluated for determining the suitable probability distribution of the failure data of the transfer gearbox, and the resulting correlation coefficient indicates that failure data have a lognormal distribution. The expected number of unscheduled maintenance actions and the optimum replacement interval for various values of cost ratios are determined.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.40 no.1 s.174
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• pp.39-50
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• 2007

This paper presents applications of the log-linear ROCOF(rate-of-occurrence-of-failure) and the Weibull ROCOF to model the failure rate of individual cast iron pipes in a water distribution system and provides a method of estimating the economically optimal replacement time of the pipes using the 'modified time-scale'. The performance of the two ROCOFs is examined using the maximized log-likelihood estimates of the ROCOFs for the two types of failure data: 'failure-time data' and 'failure-number data'. The optimal replacement time equations for the two models are developed by applying the 'modified time-scale' to ensure the numerical convergence of the estimated values of the model parameters. The methodology is applied to the case study water distribution cast iron pipes and it is found that the log-linear ROCOF has better modeling capability than the Weibull ROCOF when the 'failure-time data' is used. Furthermore, the 'failure-time data' is determined to be more appropriate for both ROCOFs compared to the 'failure-number data' in terms of the ROCOF modeling performances for the water mains under study, implying that recording each failure time results in better modeling of the failure rate than recording failure numbers in some time intervals.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.79-84
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• 2003

종래의 연구들은 주로 시간이 경과함에 따라 수리비용과 고장시간 간격이 고정된 상태에서 최적교환시각(T)을 구하는 조건을 발견하는데 중점을 두었으나, 대부분의 시스템은 시간이 경과할수록 고장시간간격이 좁아지고 수리비용은 증가하는 것이 일반적이다. 본 논문에서는 위의 두 조건을 만족하는 보다 현실적인 모델을 구축하였으며, 또 일정시간 내에 2개의 시스템이 존재할 때 어느 조건 하에서 시스템이 확률적으로 우월한가를 분석하는 연구를 수행하였다. 즉, 시스템은 시간이 경과함에 따라 확률 P［N=k］로서 완전수리를, 1-P［N=k］로서 소수리를 행하는 모델을 고려하였다. 여기서 N은 연속된 완전수리 사이의 소수리의 수를 나타낸다. 또한 초기고장에 있어서 수리에 의해 새로운 시스템이 되는 확률이 높고, 고장횟수가 증가함에 따라 완전수리가 행해지는 확률이 낮아지는, 보다 현실에 가까운 모델을 구축하였다. 모델을 일반화하기 위해 수리비용은 확률변수로 가정하였다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.54-63
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• 2010

Domestic construction companies suffer from the difficulty in financing in the wake of economic slump at home and abroad. In the periods of this economic slump, which hit the nation REITs, the facilitator of fluid financing and the stimulating of construction economic, has increasingly been expanded since its introduction in 2001. But, REITs relatively falls behinds any other nations, in terms of its growth speed and marketing volume. The purpose of this research thesis is to suggest the method for composing a portfolio using Markowitz portfolio selection models for stimulating REITs. Main contents are as follows. First, the thesis made the comparative analysis on profit increase in REITs investment in application of models by Markowitz and REITs derivatives from 2007/07/03 to 2008/07/21 during investment analysis periods. The result showed that total profits by Markowitz model amounted to about 10 percent higher than average profits of REITs derivatives. Second, this thesis made the analysis on sensitivity of data-gathering and portfolio change periods of the existing profits, in order to measure the both periods and yield optimum profits. The six month data-collecting periods of profits accounted for some 16% higher profits than profits of REITs derivatives. In case when the two week periods of portfolio change accounted for some 11% higher profits than profits of REITs derivatives.

• KSBB Journal
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.231-237
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• 1998

An attenuated Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) clone SA-14-14-2(Vero) was obtained through successive adaptation of a primary cell adapted strain, SA-14-14-2(PDK) to Vero cell, a continuous line of monkey kidney cells. The virus titer reached above the 107 plaque forming unit (pfu) per mL of culture supernatant with 3 passages in Vero cells and was maintained close to this level in the further passages. The optimum temperature for the virus growth was $35^{\circ}C$. Growth pattern of the virus indicated that optimum time for the virus harvest is 4 days post infection and the virus accomplished rapid initial propagation even in medium containing no serum supplement. The roller bottle (RB) system and the spinner flask (SF) system using micro-carrier (Cytodex-1) for the JEV cultivation were explored. When RB, SF, and T-flask culture system were compared, there was no significant difference in virus yield. Furthermore, the results indicated that virus could be harvested multiple times from 3 days to 9 days post infection; neither severe cytopathic effect (CPE) in the infected cells nor the decrease in the titer was observed on duration of 9 days.