• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최적보수주기

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Time Series Analysis of Agricultural Reservoir Water Level Data for Abnormal Behavior Detection (농업용 저수지 이상거동 탐지를 위한 시계열 수위자료 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Sung Hack;Lee, Sang Hyun;Hong, Min Ki;Cho, Jin Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.275-275
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    • 2015
  • 최근 기후변화에 따른 극한 강우사상의 증가로 인하여 농업용 저수지의 재해 위험도가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 사고가 발생할 때 마다 파손/붕괴된 시설물을 보수하는 대응형 유지관리체계에서 벗어나 기반시설의 성능과 생애주기 등을 고려하여 재해 발생을 사전에 예보 및 경보를 알릴 수 있는 예방적 관리체계로의 전환이 필요하다. 한국농어촌공사는 전국 1,500개 저수지에서 10분 단위 수위자료를 측정하고 있으며, 이를 분석하여 재해예방에 활용할 수 있는 기반이 조성되어 있으나 이에 대한 관리가 이루어지지 않고 있고 수집된 자료를 활용하여 재해 징후를 분석할 수 있는 재해 예방적 분석기술이 마련되어 있지 않은 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 농업용 저수지 수위자료를 이용한 저수지 이상거동을 판별하기 위하여 전국 34개 한국농어촌공사 관할 저수의 시계열 수위자료의 특성(Feature)을 분석하고자 한다. 시계열 자료의 시계열 특성을 분석하기 위하여 한국농어촌공사 관할의 전국 34개 저수지를 선정하여 분석을 실시하였다. 대상저수지는 지역별, 저수용량, 안정등급, 붕괴발생, 1개 지사관할 저수지로 각각 구분하여 선정하였으며, 각 저수지의 수위 측정기간(최소 5개년)에 대한 자료를 수집하였다. 농업용 저수지의 시계열 수위 자료의 특성을 분석하기 위하여 자료의 전처리를 수행하였다. 자료의 전처리는 시계열 수위자료의 잡음 특성, 기상자료 관련 변동특성 등 분류(Classification)에 영향을 미치는 노이즈 요소를 제거하는 과정이다. 전처리과정을 거친 자료는 특징(Feature) 추출 과정을 거치게 되고, 추출된 특징의 적합성에 따라 분류 알고리듬 성능에 많은 영향을 미친다. 따라서 시계열 자료의 특성을 파악하고 특징을 추출하는 것은 이상치 탐지에 있어 매우 중요한 과정이다. 본 연구에서는 시계열 자료 특징 추출 방법으로 물리적인 한계치, 확률적인 문턱값(Threshold), 시계열 패턴, 주변 저수지와의 시계열 상관분석 등을 적용하였으며, 이를 데이터베이스로 구축하여 이후 분류알고리듬 학습에 적용하여 정상치와 이상치를 판별하는데 이용될 수 있도록 하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시되는 농업용 저수지의 시계열 특성은 다양한 분류알고리듬에 적용할 수 있으며, 이를 통하여 저수지 이상거동 판별을 위한 최적을 분류알고리듬의 선택에 도움이 될 것이다.

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Optimum Management Plan for Soil Contamination Facilities (특정토양오염관리대상시설의 최적 관리방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Soo;Kim, Ki-Ho;Kim, Hae-Keum;Choi, Sang-Il
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2012
  • This study was to investigate the unsuitable rate of the storage facilities, the changes in corrosion process over time after installation according to the status, the time to install the facilities, years elapsed after facilities installation, inspection of methods and motivation, and so on, based on the results of the inspection at the petroleum storage facilities conducted by domestic soil-relate specialized agency to derive optimal management plans which meet the status of soil contamination facilities. The results showed that the facilities more than 5 years after the initial leak test at the time of the installation need to be inspected periodically by considering costs of leak test and remediation of polluted soil. The inspection period can be decided by cost and leak test methods showing discrepancies for the results obtained from individual test whether it was direct or indirect. To compensate these matters, we suggested that the direct inspection method on regular schedule is recommended. On the other hand, the inspection can be voluntarily completed to ease burden of the results by inspection or equivalent level to this inspection method. Also, it may need improved construction supervision and performance test system to minimize the occurrence of the nature defects in installing the facilities as well as the upgrade program for the facilities during intervals of inspection period.

A Condition Rating Method of Bridges using an Artificial Neural Network Model (인공신경망모델을 이용한 교량의 상태평가)

  • Oh, Soon-Taek;Lee, Dong-Jun;Lee, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2010
  • It is increasing annually that the cost for bridge Maintenance Repair & Rehabilitation (MR&R) in developed countries. Based on Intelligent Technology, Bridge Management System (BMS) is developed for optimization of Life Cycle Cost (LCC) and reliability to predict long-term bridge deteriorations. However, such data are very limited amongst all the known bridge agencies, making it difficult to reliably predict future structural performances. To alleviate this problem, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based Backward Prediction Model (BPM) for generating missing historical condition ratings has been developed. Its reliability has been verified using existing condition ratings from the Maryland Department of Transportation, USA. The function of the BPM is to establish the correlations between the known condition ratings and such non-bridge factors as climate and traffic volumes, which can then be used to obtain the bridge condition ratings of the missing years. Since the non-bridge factors used in the BPM can influence the variation of the bridge condition ratings, well-selected non-bridge factors are critical for the BPM to function effectively based on the minimized discrepancy rate between the BPM prediction result and existing data (deck; 6.68%, superstructure; 6.61%, substructure; 7.52%). This research is on the generation of usable historical data using Artificial Intelligence techniques to reliably predict future bridge deterioration. The outcomes (Long-term Bridge deterioration Prediction) will help bridge authorities to effectively plan maintenance strategies for obtaining the maximum benefit with limited funds.

A Study of Driver's Response to Variable Message Sign Using Evolutionary Game Theory (진화 게임을 이용한 VMS 정보에 따른 운전자의 행태 연구)

  • Kim, Joo Young;Na, Sung Yong;Lee, Seungjae;Kim, Youngho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.554-566
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    • 2014
  • An objective of VMS(Variable Message Signs) is to make transportation system effective specifically for driver's path selection. The traffic solutions including a VMS problem can be modeled through Game Theory, however, the majority of the studies can not model various driver's response according to VMS information in game theory. So, this paper tries to analyze a driver's response according to VMS traffic informations through evolutionary game theory. We apply a behavior characteristics of driver to evolutionary game theory, then finds drivers are only accepting in case of the biggest pay-off, and if a traffic flow finds a balance over time, ratio of accepting information is converged as an evolutionary stable state gradually. Consequently, the strategy of the other drivers such as traffic problems can not be predicted accurately. In case, drivers repeat between groups and reasonable judgment by the experience, we expect that VMS can provide strategic information through evolutionary game theory.

Development of Long-Life Asphalt Pavements Method Using High Modulus Asphalt Mixes (고강성 기층재를 적용한 장수명 아스팔트포장 공법 개발)

  • Lee Jung-Hun;Lee Hyun-Jong
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3 s.29
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    • pp.49-61
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    • 2006
  • This study suggests long-life asphalt pavement method which can save maintenance cost by increasing the design and performance period of pavements. The high modulus asphalt binder developed and then various physical tests are performed. Laboratory performance tests and accelerated pavement test are conducted for the high modulus and conventional mixtures. The test results show that dynamic modulus values of high modulus mixtures are higher than those of the conventional mixtures, The high modulus mixtures yield better fatigue, rutting and moisture damage performance than conventional mixtures. Structural analysis is performed and a database is built up for long life asphalt pavement design. Pavement response model is developed through a multiple regression analysis program, SPSS using the database. A design software for the long life pavements is developed based on the pavement response model and laboratory and field performance tests results. In addition, optimum pavement sections and materials are suggested. The suggested AC thickness of long life asphalt pavement is 29cm. A Life cycle cost analysis(LCCA) is conducted to check the economical efficiency of the long life pavement section. The LCCA result shows that initial construction costs of long life and conventional pavements are almost equal, but long life pavement is more profitable in terms of the LCCA.

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Numerical Simulation on Control of Tsunami by Resonator (I) (for Imwon and Mukho ports) (공진장치에 의한 지진해일파의 제어에 관한 수치시뮬레이션(I) (임원항과 묵호항에 대해))

  • Lee, Kwang-Ho;Jeon, Jong-Hyeok;Kim, Do-Sam;Lee, Yun-Du
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.481-495
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    • 2020
  • After the resonator on the basis of the wave-filter theory was designed to control the waves with a specific frequency range surging into the harbor, the several case with the use of resonator have been reported in some part of sea, including the port of Long Beach, USA, and yacht harbor at Rome, Italy in order to control the long-period wave motion from the vessels. Recently, the utility and applicability of the resonator has been sufficiently verified in respect of the control of tsunami approximated as the solitary wave and/or the super long-period waves. However, the case with the application of tsunami in the real sea have not been reported yet. In this research, the respective case with the use of existing resonator at the port of Mukho and Imwon located in the eastern coast of South Korea were studied by using the numerical analysis through the COMCOT model adapting the reduction rate of 1983 Central East Sea tsunami and 1993 Hokkaido Southwest off tsunami. Consequently, the effectiveness of resonator against tsunami in the real sea was confirmed through the reduction rate of maximum 40~50% at the port of Mukho, and maximum 21% at the port of Imwom, respectively. In addition, it was concluded that it is necessary to study about the various case with application of different shape, arrangement, and size of resonator in order to design the optimal resonator considering the site condition.

Experimental Study on the Diagnosis and Failure Prediction for Long-term Performance of ESP to Optimize Operation in Oil and Gas Wells (유·가스정 최적 운영을 위한 ESP의 장기 성능 진단 및 고장 예측 실험 연구)

  • Sung-Jea Lee;Jun-Ho Choi;Jeong-Hwan Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2023
  • In general, electric submersible pumps (ESPs), which have an average life of 1.0 to 1.5 years, experience a decrease in performance and a reduction in life of the pump depending on oil and gas reservoir characteristics and operating conditions in wells. As the result, the failure of ESP causes high well workover costs due to retrieval and installation, and additional costs due to shut down. In this study, a flow loop system was designed and established to predict the life of ESP in long­term operation of oil and gas wells, and the life cycle data of ESP from the time of installation to the time of failure was acquired and analyzed. Among the data acquired from the system, flow rate, inlet and outlet temperature and pressure, and the data of the vibrator installed on the outside of ESP were analyzed, and then the performance status according to long-term operation was classified into five stages: normal, advice I, advice II, maintenance, and failed. Through the experiments, it was found that there was a difference in the data trend by stage during the long­term operation of the ESP, and then the condition of the ESP was diagnosed and the failure of the pump was predicted according to the operating time. The results derived from this study can be used to develop a failure prediction program and data analysis algorithm for monitoring the condition of ESPs operated in oil and gas wells.

Measurement and Quality Control of MIROS Wave Radar Data at Dokdo (독도 MIROS Wave Radar를 이용한 파랑관측 및 품질관리)

  • Jun, Hyunjung;Min, Yongchim;Jeong, Jin-Yong;Do, Kideok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2020
  • Wave observation is widely used to direct observation method for observing the water surface elevation using wave buoy or pressure gauge and remote-sensing wave observation method. The wave buoy and pressure gauge can produce high-quality wave data but have disadvantages of the high risk of damage and loss of the instrument, and high maintenance cost in the offshore area. On the other hand, remote observation method such as radar is easy to maintain by installing the equipment on the land, but the accuracy is somewhat lower than the direct observation method. This study investigates the data quality of MIROS Wave and Current Radar (MWR) installed at Dokdo and improve the data quality of remote wave observation data using the wave buoy (CWB) observation data operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration. We applied and developed the three types of wave data quality control; 1) the combined use (Optimal Filter) of the filter designed by MIROS (Reduce Noise Frequency, Phillips Check, Energy Level Check), 2) Spike Test Algorithm (Spike Test) developed by OOI (Ocean Observatories Initiative) and 3) a new filter (H-Ts QC) using the significant wave height-period relationship. As a result, the wave observation data of MWR using three quality control have some reliability about the significant wave height. On the other hand, there are still some errors in the significant wave period, so improvements are required. Also, since the wave observation data of MWR is different somewhat from the CWB data in high waves of over 3 m, further research such as collection and analysis of long-term remote wave observation data and filter development is necessary.