• Title/Summary/Keyword: 총선

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A Plan of Improving the Reliability of the Election Forecasting Survey - A Case of the 16th General Election (선거예측조사의 신뢰성 증진방안 - 16대 총선을 중심으로)

  • 류제복
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.15-34
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    • 2000
  • Since the results of the election forecasting survey that was executed jointly by T.V. stations and survey research companies in the 16th Korea General Election(April 13, 2000) had many errors, the reliability of the election forecasting survey was greatly damaged. Therefore, in order to recover the reliability and to increase the accuracy of the election forecasting survey I the future, we figure out the sources of the survey\\`s errors and suggest methods of reducing them through deeply analyzing the forecasting data from many angles. In addition, we discuss some problems and an improvable direction on exit poll executed for the first time.

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A study on the approval rating of 19th general election affected by LBSNS application S/W based on object identification (객체식별아이디 기반의 개인 맞춤형 LBSNS 앱의 19대 총선 후보 지지율 효과 분석)

  • Lee, sang-zee;Jang, dong-heyok;Park, sung-woon;Yi, gi-chul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.111-112
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    • 2013
  • 19대 총선에서 특정 후보를 홍보하기 위한 목적으로 개인 맞춤형 위치기반소셜네트워크서비스(LBSNS, Location Based Social Network Service) 앱(App)을 기획하여 개발하고 선거기간 동안 활용함으로써 선거 전후 해당 후보의 지지율 변화에 어느 정도 기여했는지 그 영향을 분석하였다. 대전광역시 6개 지역구 24명의 후보를 대상으로 개인 맞춤형 LBSNS 앱을 활용한 후보와 그렇지 않은 후보를 구분하여 선거운동 기간 동안 언론에 공개적으로 발표된 지지율과 개표 결과를 바탕으로 개인별 지지율 변화를 비교하였다. 해당 앱을 활용한 3명의 후보는 각각 12.6%, 11.4% 및 11.2%씩 두 자리 수의 지지율 상승이 있었지만 나머지 21명의 후보들은 지지율 변화는 모두 3% 이내로 머물러 개인맞춤형 스마트폰 앱을 활용함으로써 후보 지지율 상승에 상당한 효과가 있었음이 밝혀졌다.

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A Plan of Improving the Reliability of the Election Forecasting Survey - A Case of the 16th General Election (선거예측조사의 신뢰성 증진방안 - 16대 총선을 중심으로)

  • Ryu, Jea-Bok
    • Survey Research
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.15-34
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    • 2000
  • Since the results of the election forcasting survey that was executed jointly by T.V. stations and survey research companies in the 16th Korea General Election(April 13, 2000) had many errors, the reliability of the election forecating survey was greatly damaged. Therefore, in order to recover the reliability and to increase the accuracy of the election forecasting survey in the future, we figure out the sources of the survey's errors and suggest methods of reducing them through deeply analyzing the forecasting data from many angles. In addition, we discuss some problems and an improvable direction on exit poll executed for the first time.

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Political Regionalism in Korean Congressional Elections 1988$\sim$2004: A case study with provincial border regions Yeongdong, Muju and Kimcheon (총선으로 본 지역주의 -영동.무주.김천 지역을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jai-Han
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.381-395
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    • 2007
  • After the democratization process since 1988, the national scale voting behavior in congressional elections has changed from a rural-government party and urban-opposite party connection to a political regionalism oriented pattern. In this context, the case study with provincial border regions aims to investigate possible party identification change of the region, and to find a relationship between polling score ratio and socio-political characteristics of the candidates. As a result, Yeongdong shows a strong negation to the presumed Chungcheong local party and shows a continuous party identification with the Kyungsang local party. Muju reveals a more or less weakened identification with the Jeolla local party, on the contrary, Kimcheon shows a unchanged strong identification with the Kyungsang local party. The regional neighborhood effect was verified quite partly between the subdivision districts of the border regions. With a application of linear fitting method, it is certified that voters have attached great importance to the belonging party, native place, as well as political career of the candidates as a voting criterion.

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Change of Approval Rating of Candidates for 19th General Election affected by LBSNS Application based on Object Identification, ePosition (객체식별아이디 이포지션 기반의 LBSNS 앱이 19대 총선 후보 지지율의 변화에 미친 영향)

  • Lee, Sang-Zee;Jang, Dong-Heyok;Park, Sung-Woon;Cho, Won-Hee;Yi, Gi-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.171-179
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    • 2013
  • During 19th general election the customized LBSNS(Location Based SNS) application for some candidates of the National Assembly planned and developed based on the object identification, ePosition, comprising the candidate's name have been applied for an election campaign. The approval rating change before and after 19th election campaign period for each candidate was quantitatively studied how it would be affected by the candidate custom LBSNS application. Only 3 out of 24 candidates in 6 local electorates in the Daejon Metropolitan City have adopted the customized LBSNS application and the rest 21 candidates have not, whose approval rating change before and after an election campaign has been analyzed comparatively candidate by candidate. The approval rating for 3 candidates adopting LBSNS application went up by 12.6%, 11.4%, 11.2% respectively, but those for the rest 21 candidates all changed within 3%.

The Main Issues, Election Promises and Distribution of Votes in the 2021 German Federal Election and the Political Perspective after the Election (2021년 독일 연방의회 선거의 주요 이슈와 공약 및 지지표 분포와 향후 정치 전망)

  • Jung, Byungkee
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.35-68
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    • 2021
  • In the German federal election in 2021, the Social Democrats returned to power by a narrow margin and the Green Party emerged as the biggest winner. The two political parties took the lead by proposing policies that met the expectations of the people in the policies of climate and environment, pandemic response and health, and labor and social security. The Merkel effect did not play a significant role in the election, and it is highly likely that it will lead to government policy after the formation of a coalition. While the class cleavage in voting behavior has weakened, the generational cleavage has grown relatively large. Older people showed more support for the two major parties, while younger people showed higher support for the Green Party and the FDP. If the generational cleavage continues, it can be linked to the growth of the Green Party and the FDP, the continued weakening of the two major parties and the emergence of other new parties. In addition, the regional cleavage between the former East and West Germany still remain, which will affect the direction of the AfD and the Left and combine with other political cleavages. The 2021 German federal election can be said to be an election that heralds the realignment of the political party system.

Survey and Analysis of Major Newspapers and Broadcastings about Public Health Policy: through 17th Presidential Election in 2007 and 18th Election in 2008 (보건의료정책에 관한 주요 언론의 선거보도 조사 분석 -17대 대선과 18대 총선을 중심으로-)

  • Choi, Jin-Ah;Yang, Min-Joo;Chung, Won-Gyun;Kim, Cheoul-Sin
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the actual attitude of the major newspapers and broadcastings about public health policy during last $17^{th}$ presidential election and $18^{th}$ election for a member of the National Assembly and apply it to the study of procedure of making decision of policy as a fundamental data. Two researchers surveyed and analyzed all articles from three broadcasting stations, KBS, MBC, and SBS, and from four newspaper companies, Donga, Jungang, Chosun, and Hangyoreh. Among the major articles, the articles related to policies are ranked in last (10.8%). And among the reported 284 articles related to the policies, the social section (75 articles, 26.4%) and the economic section (73 articles, 25.7%) took part of over 50% of all. However, the articles related to public health policy took part of only 9.9% (28 articles). Among the articles of public health policy, the articles related to the cost of the medical service were ranked in the first (39.3%). Therefore, to solve the problems of the major public health policy, it needs effort to develop the public health policy and use the media to realize the developed policies.

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