• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지하철 통행 변화

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Parameter Estimation and Validation of a Multinomial Logit Model for the Prediction of Mode Shift as a Result of TDM Schemes in Seoul (교통수요관리정책의 효과분석을 위한 다항로짓모형의 적용 - 서울시 사례 -)

  • 황기연;김익기;이우철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구의 목적은 '96년말 서울시에서 실시한 가구통행조사를 이용하여 서울시 수단선택모형을 구축하고 그 예측결과를 남산 혼잡통행료 전후저사자료와 비교하여 보다 구체적으로 그 정확성을 검증한 뒤 향후 서울시 교통수요관리 방안의 시행에 따른 수단선택변화 예측의 기본 모형으로 활용하는데 있다. 5가지의 대안모형의 분석결과 통행비용변수(승용차의 경유 주차요금포함)와 총통행시간변수(OVTT와 IVTT의 합), 승용차, 지하철, 택시상수로 구성된 모형이 최적모형으로 분석되었다. 이모형에 의한 시간가치는 9,395원, 승용차의 비용탄력성은-0.6767로서 기존 연구결과의 범위 내에 속한 것으로 나타났다. 최적모형을 이용하여 승용차통행비용이 증가한 경우를 모사분석결과 남산1,3호 터널 혼잡통행료 징수효과와 유사하게 승용차 분담율이 13% 가까이 감소한 것으로 나타나서 모형의 현실적합성도 비교적 높은 것으로 판명되었다. 향후 본 연구에서 선정된 최적수단선택모형을 통행배정모형과 결합하여 다양한 교통수요관리 방안에 따른 효과를 예측하는데 활용하면 서울과 같은 대도시의 단기적 교통관리의 수준을 한 단계 높이는데 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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A Study on the Relation between the Single-track Subway and Housing Price - Focused on Row and Multi-family House around Eungam Loop Line of Seoul Subway Line 6 - (단선 일방통행 방식의 지하철과 주택가격의 관계 분석 - 서울 지하철 6호선 응암순환선 구간 주변 연립다세대를 중심으로 -)

  • So, Soung-Kue;Oh, Sae-Joon;Lee, Kyu-Tai
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.39-56
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we analyzed the effect of the Eungam Loop Line of Seoul Subway Line 6 on the sale price of adjacent row and multi-family houses on the accessibility and structural characteristics of subway stations. This study empirically analyzed a total of 17,938 cases from 2006 to 2017 based on data on the sale price of row and multi-family houses. In summary, the results of this study using the Hedonic Price Model are as follows. First, this study confirms that the Eungam Loop Line characteristics have a positive effect on the sale price as it is adjacent to the subway station. It is noteworthy that the sale price of 100-200m segment has a positive effect, and the sale price of Bulgwang station, which has excellent mobility and connectivity with CBD, YBD and GBD, has a positive effect. Second, this study shows the locational characteristics such as distance to bus stop, distance to mart, and distance to school have influence on the sale price. Third, this study finds the land characteristics such as land area, land shape, land facing, and road width, have significant effects on the sale price. Fourth, this study discovers the sale price is also is also affected by building and floor characteristics such as the type of housing, building area, the number of households, building age, elevator, and floor level.

A Comparative Study of the Flexible Moving Block System and the Fixed Block System in Urban Railway (도시철도에 있어 이동폐색방식과 고정폐색방식의 상호비교 연구)

  • Jeong, Gwangseop;Park, Jeongsoo;Won, Jaimu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.723-730
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    • 2006
  • Recently, The flexible moving block system in train operation has been introduced to the worldwide rail transportation markets. This paper is a comparative study of the conventional fixed block systems effects and the flexible moving block system on train operating time saving. Based on the literature review, the new algorithm is developed. It is to calculate the optimum headway time of the train. The proposed algorithm can overcome some of the existing algorithm problems, such as the limits of the data and unaware of the rail characteristic. The total travel time saving effect has been analyzed by applying the skip stop scheduling system to the each block system. The results of this study indicated that the total travel time is approximately 40% decreased and the schedule velocity is approximately 24% improved when the moving block system is applied. The results of this study could be used as a theoretical basis for the selection of rail signal system in Seoul's subway number 2 line.

An Analysis of Subway Ridership Variations in Seoul metropolitan area (수도권 2기 지하철 개통에 따른 지하철 통행패턴 변화 - 1995-2004년 변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Chan-Sung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.1073-1083
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    • 2005
  • Since the operation of subway line 1 between Seoul and Cheongryangri stations in 1974, the rail length and riderships have been increased during the three decades. Furthermore, it was a remarkable increase of line length between 1995 and 2004 by the operation of Lines 5, 6, 7, and 8 within Seoul metropolitan area. This study reports the variations of riderships by the changing urban spatial structure. According to analysis results by station-to-station origin-destination trip tables, there were increasing ridership changes in new stations within new subcenters, while there were little ridership changes in old stations within Seoul and existing subcenters. The levels of competition between the existing and new lines brought about the difference of ridership changes.

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A Stochastic Transit Assignment Model based on Mixed Transit Modes (복합수단을 고려한 확률적 대중교통 통행배정모형 개발)

  • Park, Gyeong-Cheol;Mun, Jeong-Jun;Lee, Seong-Mo;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2007
  • A transit assignment model can forecast the behaviors of transit users. thereby playing an important role In the evaluation of transit policies. Most existing transit assignment models are based on the models for passenger cars; therefore they cannot reflect the specific characteristics of transit modes. In addition most of the existing models are based on a single transit mode (bus or rail), and they cannot forecast the behaviors of transit users in a changing mass transportation system. The goal of this study is to overcome these problems with the exiting models and to develop a more realistic model. The newly developed model is based on mixed transit modes and is a stochastic model that can reflect the different preferences of each transit user for travel time and transfering. Data gathered from the Seoul metropolitan area's smart card are used to calibrate this model. This study is expected to be used for the evaluation of transportation policies and to attribute the development of transit revitalization strategies.

Revenue Change by Peak Hour Fare Imposition for Senior Free Ride : Using Seoul Metropolitan Subway Smart Card Data (노인무임승차 첨두시 요금부과에 따른 수입금 변화 : 수도권 스마트카드자료를 이용하여)

  • Seongil Shin;Jinhak Lee;Hasik Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2023
  • This study derives quantitative data on how much the fiscal deficit of subway operation agencies can be reduced in the process of charging free rides for the elderly in metropolitan subways during peak periods. In smart card data, every trip of elderly is recorded except fares. Therefore, it is required to establish a methodology for estimating the fares of elderly passengers and distributing them to subway opertation agencies as income. This study builds a simultaneous dynamic traffic allocation model that reflects the assumption that elderly selects a minimum time route based on the departure time. The travel route of the elderly is estimated, and the distance-proportional fare charged to the elderly is calculated based on this, and the fare is distributed by reflecting the connected railway revenue allocation principle of the metropolitan subway operating agencies. As a result of conducting a case study for before and after COVID-19 in 2019 and 2020, it is analyzed that Seoul Metro's annual free loss of 360 billion won could be reduced 6~8% at the morning peak (07:00-08:59), and 13~16% at the morning and afternoon peak (18:00-19:59).

Changes of Time-Distance Accessibility by Year and Day in the Integrated Seoul Metropolitan Public Transportation Network (서울 대도시권 통합 대중 교통망에서 연도별 및 요일별 시간거리 접근도 변화)

  • Park, Jong Soo;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.335-349
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the effect of the changes in traffic environments such as transportation speeds on the time-distance accessibility for the public transportation passengers. To do this, we use passenger transaction databases of the Seoul metropolitan public transportation system: one week for each of the three years (2011, 2013, and 2015). These big data contain the information about time and space on the traffic trajectories of every passenger. In this study, the time-distances of links between subway stations and bus stops of the public transportation system at each time are calculated based on the actual travel time extracted from the traffic-card transaction database. The changes in the time-distance accessibility of the integrated transportation network from the experimental results can be summarized in two aspects. First, the accessibility tends to decline as the year goes by. This is because the transportation network becomes more complicated and then the average moving speed of the vehicles is lowered. Second, the accessibility tends to increase on the weekend in the analysis of accessibility changes by day. This tendency is because the bus speeds on bus routes on the weekend are faster than other days. In order to analyze the accessibility changes, we illustrate graphs of the vehicle speeds and the numbers of passengers by year and day.

Development and Application of the Mode Choice Models According to Zone Sizes (분석대상 규모에 따른 수단분담모형의 추정과 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeong;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Do-Gyeong;Jeon, Jang-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2011
  • Mode choice model is an essential element for estimating- the demand of new means of transportation in the planning stage as well as in the establishment phase. In general, current demand analysis model developed for the mode choice analysis applies common parameters of utility function in each region which causes inaccuracy in forecasting mode choice behavior. Several critical problems from using common parameters are: a common parameter set can not reflect different distribution of coefficient for travel time and travel cost by different population. Consequently, the resulting model fails to accurately explain policy variables such as travel time and travel cost. In particular, the nonlinear logit model applied to aggregation data is vulnerable to the aggregation error. The purpose of this paper is to consider the regional characteristics by adopting the parameters fitted to each area, so as to reduce prediction errors and enhance accuracy of the resulting mode choice model. In order to estimate parameter of each area, this study used Household Travel Survey Data of Metropolitan Transportation Authority. For the verification of the model, the value of time by marginal rate of substitution is evaluated and statistical test for resulting coefficients is also carried out. In order to crosscheck the applicability and reliability of the model, changes in mode choice are analyzed when Seoul subway line 9 is newly opened and the results are compared with those from the existing model developed without considering the regional characteristics.

Examining Access Mode Choice Behavior of Local Metropolitan High-Speed Rail Station - A Case Study of Dong-Daegu Station - (고속철도 지방대도시 정차역의 연계교통수단 선택모형 구축에 관한 연구 - 동대구역을 사례로 -)

  • Kim, Sang Hwang;Kim, Kap Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.565-571
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    • 2006
  • This study aimed to analyze access mode choice behavior for KTX Passengers. To fulfill the aims of this study, Dong-Daegu Station was selected as a station for a case study. This study takes place in two stages. These are (i) descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, (ii) empirical model estimation for analyzing access mode choice behavior. This study makes use of the data from travel survey from Daegu metropolitan area. The main part of the survey was carried out in the KTX Dong-Daegu station. The data was collected from a sample of 1,800 individuals. The survey data includes the information on travel from Dong-Daegu station to Seoul. From descriptive statistical analysis of transportation status before and after introduction of the KTX, it is found that revealed demand of the KTX is lower than that expected. Moreover, it is found that the low demand of the KTX stems from high cost for the KTX itself and inconvenience( including travel time and cost) of access mode. In order to analyze mode choice behavior for accessing Dong-Daegu station, multinomial logit model structure is used. For the model specification, a variety of behavioral assumptions about the factors which affect the access mode choice, were considered. From the empirical model estimation, it si found that access travel time and access travel cost are significant in choosing access mode. Given the empirical evidence, we see that improvement of access transportation system for Dong-Daegu station is very important for enhancing the use of KTX.

High Speed Rail Station Distric Using Entropy Model Study to Estimate the Trip Distribution (엔트로피 모형을 활용한 고속철도 역세권 통행분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hangung;Kim, Sigon;Kim, Jinhowan;Jeon, Sangmin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.679-686
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    • 2012
  • KTX step 1 April 2004, after the opening, the second phase of the project was opened in November 2010. High-speed rail after the opening and continue to increase the demand of high-speed rail, Have the speed of competitive advantage compared too the means of transportation. The opening of these high-speed rail has led to changes of the move, the company's position, and the spatial structure of the population of reorganization, such as the social, economic, transportation. In this study, survey data using the High Speed Rail Station EMME/2 of the program to take advantage of the 2-Dimentional Blancing trip distribution to investigate the passage through the trip distribution by the estimation of the parameters of the model to estimate the distribution of the means of access and high-speed rail station to reproduce and Analysis of the results by means of access parameters (${\theta}$) autos 0.0395, buses 0.0390, subway 0.0650, taxi 0.0415, the frequency distribution (Trip Length Frequency Distribution: TLFD) were analyzed survey data value model with the results of comparing $R^2$ cars analysis and model values similar survey data 0.909 bus 0.923, subway 0.745 to 0.922, taxi, F test P value analysis is smaller than 0.05 at the 95% confidence level as a note that was judged to have been. Trip frequency distribution analysis, but in the future, set the unit to 5km-trip frequency distribution middle zone Units from small zone units (administrative district) segmentation research is needed, and can reflect the trip distance 0~5 km interval combined function to take advantage of the gravity model and the 3-Dimentional Blancing applied research is needed to be considered.