• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지진 전조

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A Least Square Fit Analysis on the Earth's Polar Motion Time Series: Implication against Smylie's Conjecture (지구의 극운동에 대한 최소제곱법 분석: 스마일리의 추측에 상반됨)

  • Chung, Tae-Woong;Na, Sung-Ho
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2016
  • From the Earth's polar motion time series (IERS 08 C04, since 1981), after removal of seasonal variation by band-pass filtering, we acquired Earth's free Eulerian motion (Chandler wobble) time series. By successive least square error fittings on it, we analyzed amplitude and phase variation of Chandler wobble. We attempted to identify any precursory behavior of the pole before large earthquakes but only to fail. Unlike Smylie's conjecture there was no appreciable motion of the Earth's pole detected at around the each times of recent six largest earthquakes of magnitude over 8.5.

Changes of Ionospheric Total Electron Content Caused by Large-scale Earthquakes and Recent Earthquakes Occurred Around the Korean Peninsula (국외 대규모 지진과 최근 발생한 국내지진에 의한 이온층 총 전자수 변화)

  • Kim, Byeong-Hoon;Seo, Ki-Weon
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.228-235
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    • 2016
  • We investigated pre- and post- seismic total electron content (TEC) anomalies in ionosphere caused by recent large-scale earthquakes around the globe and additionally examined whether the similar phenomena are detected in connection with the earthquakes around the Korean Penisula. TEC anomalies associated with the large-scale earthquakes showed the similar results to previous studies. In addition, we newly found the similar TEC changes from the recent 2016 Ecuador earthquake (M7.8). However, the post-seismic TEC changes would be falsely interpreted as the pre-seismic TEC changes dependent on the post-processing of TEC observation. We also investigated the possibility of TEC responses from the recent domestic earthquakes including 2016 Gyeongju earthquake but could not find any anomalous TEC changes. This is probably because the domestic earthquakes release significantly smaller acoustic wave energy than that of large-scale earthquakes occurring in plate boundaries.

Experiment on the Anomalous Animal Behaviors by Electric Field Effects for detecting Earthquake Precursors (지진전조현상 파악을 위한 전기장 효과에 의한 동물 이상 행동 실험)

  • 경재복;윤장근
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2001
  • There are some previous reports that some animals such as rats and birds move in a large group and act abnormally to avoid the large earthquake. This study is to experimentally testify what relations exist between the anomalous animal behavior and electric field effect, which is reported due to the piezoelectric effects in a basement rock before earthquake occurrences. When electric field is applied to the whole bottom of the cage, they show nervous behaviors such as grooming, washing their faces, standing on legs or running around in panic to avoid the electric field. When more strong electric field is applied, they jump with shrieking and mount on the electric line. The rat shows more sensitive anomalous behavior than the bird. Even though the current to the experimental birds and rats is just a few $\mu$A, they react in various ways. The anomalous animal behaviors under the small ground electric field may have some relations to the actual phenomena before great earthquake. This kind of study is quite worthy for the understanding of earthquake precursors.

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Review of Earthquake Studies Associated with Groundwater by Korean Researchers (국내 연구진의 지하수를 이용한 지진 연구 동향 분석)

  • Yun, Sul-Min;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Lee, Hyun A
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2022
  • Earthquakes have occurred owing to movements on a fault since several billion years ago. Research on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater began in the 1960s in the United States, but related works, including hydrogeochemistry research, only began in the 2010s in South Korea. In this study, domestic studies on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater until 2021 were collected from the Web of Science and characterized by subject area (groundwater level, hydrogeochemistry, combination of the two, and others). The results showed that the number of published articles per year was positively correlated with the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, 2016 Gyeongju earthquake, and 2017 Pohang earthquake, with the maximum numbers observed in 2011, 2018, 2019, and 2020. Most studies on the relationship between earthquakes and groundwater level addressed groundwater level fluctuations in the duration of the subject earthquake, with little consideration of the precursors. Groundwater level monitoring data, as well as hydrogeochemical information and microbial communities, may contribute to a more detailed understanding of groundwater flow and chemical reactions in bedrock caused by earthquakes. Therefore, the establishment of a national groundwater monitoring network for seismic monitoring and prediction is required.

Monitoring Technique using Acoustic Emission and Microseismic Event (AE와 MS 이벤트를 이용한 계측기술)

  • Cheon, Dae-Sung;Jung, Yong-Bok;Park, Chul-Whan;Synn, Joong-Ho;Park, Eui-Seob
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • Acoustic emission (AE) and Microseimsic (MS) activities are law-energy seismic events associated with a sudden inelastic deformation such as the sudden movement of existing fractures, the generation of new fractures or the propagation of fractures. These events rapidly increase before major failure and happen within a given rock volume and radiate detectable seismic waves. The main difference between AE and MS signals is that the seismic motion frequencies of AE signals are higher than those of MS signals. As the failure of geotechnical structures usually happens as a high velocity and small displacement, it is nat easy ta determine the precursor and initiation stress level of failure in displacement detection method. To overcame this problem, AE/MS techniques far detection of structure failure and damage have recently adapt in civil engineering. This study deal with the basic theory of AE/MS and state of arts in monitoring technique using AE/MS.

Groundwater Monitoring Network for Earthquake Surveillance and Prediction (국내 지진 감시·예측을 위한 지하수관측망의 활용 방안)

  • Lee, Hyun A;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Woo, Nam C.
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.401-414
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    • 2017
  • To prevent the damages from earthquakes, various researches have been conducted around the world focusing on earthquake prediction and forecasting for several decades. Among various precursory phenomena, changes in groundwater level and quality are considered to be reliable for estimating the time of earthquake occurrence and its magnitude. In effects, some countries impacted by frequent earthquakes have established and operated the groundwater monitoring network for earthquake surveillance and prediction. In Korea, recently researches have begun for using groundwater monitoring techniques for earthquake prediction. In this paper, the groundwater monitoring networks of China, Japan, and the United States were reviewed focusing on the facilities and results of researches to deduce the tasks for earthquake prediction researches using groundwater monitoring techniques in Korea. In results, research needs are suggested in the implementation of groundwater monitoring networks for specifically earthquake surveillance with the real-time monitoring and the measures to quantify the degrees of abnormal changes in the relationship of distance from the earthquake epicenter.

Trend Analysis of Earthquake Researches in the World (전세계의 지진 연구의 추세 분석)

  • Yun, Sul-Min;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Jeon, Hang-Tak;Cheong, Jae-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 2021
  • In this study, temporal trend of researches in earthquake with groundwater level, water quality, radon, remote sensing, electrical resistivity, gravity, and geomagnetism was searched from 2001 to 2020, using the journals indexed in Web of Science, and the number of articles published in international journals was counted in relation to the occurrences of earthquakes (≥Mw 5.0, ≥Mw 6.0, ≥Mw 7.0, ≥Mw 8.0, and ≥Mw 9.0). The number of articles shows an increasing trend over the studied period. This is explained by that studies on earthquake precursor and seismic monitoring becomes active in various fields with integrated data analysis through the development of remote sensing technology, progress of measurement equipment, and big data. According to Mann-Kendall and Sen's tests, gravity-related articles exhibit an increasing trend of 1.30 articles/yr, radon-related articles (0.60 articles/yr), groundwater-related articles (0.70 articles/yr), electrical resistivity-related articles (0.25 articles/yr), and remote-sensing-related articles (0.67 articles/yr). By cross-correlation analysis of the number of articles in each field with removing trend effect and the number of earthquakes of ≥Mw 5.0, ≥Mw 6.0, ≥Mw 7.0, ≥Mw 8.0, and ≥Mw 9.0, radon and remote sensing fields exhibit a high cross-correlation with a delay time of one year. In addition, large-scale earthquakes such as the 2004 and 2005 Sumatra earthquake, the 2008 Sichuan earthquake, the 2010 Haiti earthquake, and the 2010 Chile earthquake are estimated to be related with the increase in the number of articles in the corresponding periods.

A Study on the Change of Magma Activity from 2002 to 2009 at Mt. Baekdusan using Surface Displacement (지표변위를 활용한 백두산의 2002-2009년 마그마 활동 양상 변화 연구)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Chang, Cheolwoo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.470-478
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    • 2013
  • There have been a number of observed precursors of volcanic activities- such as volcanic earthquake, surface inflation, specific volcanic gas emission, temperature of hot spring- at Mt. Baekdusan since 2002. We identified the increase of the volume of magma chamber beneath Mt. Baekdusan as we observed an inflation trend of vertical and horizontal surface displacement around Cheonji caldera lake by using precise leveling data from 2002 to 2009. The surface displacement trend changed to deflation in 2010, and the trend changed to inflation again after a while. Utilizing the data of inflated surface (46.33 mm) on the northern slope of Mt. Baekdusan from 2002 to 2003, we calculated the volume change of magma chamber beneath the Mt. Baekdusan. The volume change was about 0.008 $km^3$ ($7.7-8.0{\times}10^6m^3$) from 2002 to 2003. It indicated that a new magma (0.008 $km^3$) injected to the magma chamber 5 km below Mt. Baekdusan.

Analysis of Quantitative Damage Characteristics Using Drought Damage (가뭄피해를 이용한 정량적 피해특성 분석)

  • Song, Young Seok;Lee, Hyeong Jun;Park, Moo Jong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.342-342
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    • 2021
  • 전세계적의 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화 영향으로 기온상승, 강우증가, 해수면 상승 등에 자연재난의 발생이 증가하고 있다. 그 중 가뭄의 경우 전조증상, 발생원인, 발생기간 뿐만 아니라 대상범위나 피해범위도 불명확하다. 가뭄은 근본적으로 강우량의 부족으로 시작되며 농업, 생활, 공업 등의 전반적인 피해를 발생시킨다. 최근에는 기후변화의 영향으로 기온증가, 해수면상승, 극한호우, 메가가뭄 등 전세계적으로 다양한 자연재난이 빈번히 발생하고 있다. 가뭄은 태풍, 홍수, 지진 등의 자연재난 중에서도 가장 광범위한 피해를 유발시키는 재난이라고 할 수 있다. 미국의 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration에서는 20세기의 관측된 가장 심각한 자연재난 중 하나로 가뭄이 선정되었으며 최근 기후변화에 따른 기온 및 강수의 증가는 가뭄피해의 직간접적인 영향으로 피해가 급증할 것이라고 하였다. 본 연구에서는 농업·생활·공업 가뭄에 대하여 피해액과 복구액에 대한 정량적 피해특성을 산정할 수 있는 추정식을 제안하고자 한다. 농업·생활·공업 가뭄에 대한 피해액은 다양한 인자들을 고려하며 매년 변화하는 물가를 반영하여 피해액의 추정식을 제안하였다. 또한, 복구액은 가뭄피해발생으로 발생될 수 있는 농업·생활·공업의 특성에 맞는 복구인자를 구성하였으며 피해에 대한 복구뿐만 아니라 인적, 물적 자원에 대한 인자도 포함하였다. 본 연구에서 산정된 농업·생활·공업 가뭄의 피해액 추정식의 경우 정량적 검증을 위해 1965년부터 2018년까지 국내에서 발생된 가뭄피해와를 대상으로 비교 분석하였다.

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An Analysis of Anomalous Radon Variation Caused by M5.8 Gyeong-ju Earthquake (규모 5.8 경주 지진에 의한 토양 내 라돈농도의 이상변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-seop;Kim, Minjun;Kim, Sunwoong;Lee, Hyomin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • The radon concentration in soil varies with environmental factors such as atmospheric temperature and pressure, rainfall and soil temperature. The effects of these factors, therefore, should be differentiate in order to analyzed the anomalous radon variation caused by earthquake events. For these reasons, a comparative analysis between the radon variations with environmental factors and the anomalous variations caused by Gyeong-ju earthquake occurred in September 12, 2016 has been conducted. Radon concentration in soil and environmental factors were continuously measured at a monitoring ste located in 58Km away from earthquake epicenter from January 01, 2014 to May 31, 2017. The co-relationships between radon concentration and environmental factors were analyzed. The seasonal average radon concentration(n) and the standard variation(${\rho}$) was calculated, and the regions of ${\pm}1{\rho}$ and ${\pm}2{\rho}$ deviations from seasonal average concentration were investigated to find the anomalous radon variation related to Gyeong-ju earthquake. Earthquake effectiveness and q-factor were also calculated. The radon concentration indicated the seasonal variation pattern, showing high in summer and low in winter. It increases with increasing air temperature and soil temperature, and has the positive co-relationships of $R^2=0.9136$ and $R^2=0.8496$, respectively. The radon concentration decreases with increasing atmospheric pressure, and has the negative co-relationships of $R^2=0.7825$. Four regions of ${\pm}2{\rho}$ deviation from average seasonal concentration (A1: 7/3~7/5, A2: 7/18, A3: 8/4~8/5, A4: 10/17~10/20) were detected before and after Gyeong-ju earthquake. A1, A2, A3 were determined as the anomalous radon variation caused by the earthquake from co-relationship analyses with environmental factors, earthquake effectiveness and q-factor. During the period of anomalous radon variation, correlation coefficients between radon concentration and environmental factors were significantly lowered compared to other periods such as air temperature ($R^2=0.2314$), soil temperature ($R^2=0.1138$) and atmospheric pressure ($R^2=0.0475$). Annual average radon concentration was also highest at 2016, the year of Gyeong-ju earthquake.