• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.15-22
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• 2019

In this study, the hazard areas are identified by using the Newmark displacement model, which is a predictive model for identifying the areas at risk of landslide triggered by earthquakes, based on the results of field survey and laboratory test, and literature data. The Newmark displacement model mainly utilizes earthquake and slope related data, and the safety of slope stability derived from LSMAP, which is a landslide prediction program. Backyang Mt. in Busan where the landslide has already occurred, was chosen as the study area of this research. As a result of this study, the area of landslide prone zone identified by using the Newmark displacement model without earthquake factor is about 1.15 times larger than that identified by using LSMAP.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.8 no.6 s.40
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• pp.31-43
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• 2004

Seismic risk assessment of bridge is presented using fragility curves which represent the probability of damage of a structure virsus the peak ground acceleration. In theseismic fragility analysis, the structural damage is defined using the rotational ductility at the base of the bridge pier, which is obtained through nonlinear dynamic analysis for various input earthquakes. For the assessment of seismic risk of bridge, peak ground accelerations are obatined for various return periods from the seismic hazard map of Korea, which enables to calculate the probability density function of peak ground acceleration. Combining the probability density function of peak ground acceleration and the seismic fragility analysis, seismic risk assessment is performed. In this study, seismic fragility analysis is developed as a function of not the surface motion which the bridge actually suffers, but the rock outcrop motion which the aseismic design code is defined on, so that further analysis for the seismic hazard assessment may become available. Besides, the effects of the friction pot bearings and the friction pendulum bearings on the seismic fragility and risk analysis are examined. Lastly, three regions in Korea are considered and compared in the seismic risk assessment.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.29-42
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• 1992

Presented is a study on the development of seismic hazard analysis techniques to determine a reasonable design earthquake. To this end, the methods of seismic hazard analysis are first derived and the earthquake occurrence models are established. The present method yields the appropriate level of seismic hazard for any specific site. The characteristics of each hazard model are compared. The seismic hazards for several important sites where some nuclear power plants were installed are evaluated on the basis of the present models. The present study allows more realistic determination of design earthquakes at any specific sites for the design of major structures.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.45-53
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• 2009

More than 40% of railway bridges on the conventional lines in Korea consist of track-on-steel plate girder (TOSPG) bridges. This type of bridge is typically designed without considering seismic loadings, as most of them were built before 1970. The seismic performance of this particular type of bridge could be upgraded through various seismic retrofit schemes, and seismic risk assessment could play a key role in decision-making on the level of the seismic retrofit. This study performed a seismic risk assessment of TOSPG bridges in Korea. The seismic damage of several crucial components of TOSPG bridges--fixed bearings, free bearings, and piers--were probabilistically estimated, and their seismic fragility curves were developed. The probability that the components would exceed their predefined limit states was also calculated by combining the fragility curves and the seismic hazard function. The analysis showed that the piers of TOSPG bridges, which are made of plain concrete without rebars, have relatively low risk against seismic loadings in Korea. This is because the mass of the superstructures of TOSPG bridges is relatively small, and hence, the seismic loading being transferred to the piers is minimal. The line-type bearings typically used for TOSPG bridges, however, are exposed to a degree of seismic risk. Among the bearings, the probability of the free-end bearings and the fixed-end bearings exceeding the slight damage state in 50 years was found to be 12.78% and 4.23%, respectively. The gap between these probability values lessened towards more serious damage states. This study could effectively provide an engineering background for decision-making activities on the seismic retrofit of railway bridges.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.5 no.1 s.16
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• pp.27-33
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• 2005

12월 20일, 성탄절 이튿날 지구촌은 최악의 대재앙을 실감했다. 인도네시아 수마트라 앞바다에서 발생한 M9.0의 강진과 함께 지진해일이 인근 연안에 내습하여 근 30만 명의 목숨을 앗아갔다. TV를 통해 비추어지는 참담한 모습만으로도 그 공포를 실감할 수 있었다. 온 세계가 지진해일의 공포를 느끼고, 그 위험에 대해 인식하기 시작했으며, 국제적 차원에서의 대책마련에 관심이 집중되고 있다. 지진해일 경보 미비, 피해자들 대부분이 지진해일에 대한 지식과 대처요령을 터득하지 못했으며, 저빈도 재해로서 피해국이 투자우선순위를 뒤로하였던 공통점이 이번 대규모 인명피해에 대한 직접 원인이라는 지적이 제시되고 있는 한편으로, 그동안 선진국을 중심으로 발전해 오던 지진해일 대책에 대한 취약점이 지적되면서 대책의 수정이 필요하게 되었다 경보체제의 정비를 뒤로하더라도, 주민의 방재의식과 재해에 대한 지식 함양을 지진해일재해에 대한 직접적 해결책으로 선진국들은 주장하고 있다. 본 고에서는 그 위력과 예측불허의 특성 때문에 지구상의 대재앙으로 여기는 지진해일에 대하여 우리가 처해 있는 위험환경과 대책마련에 있어서의 문제점에 대해 짚어 보고자 한다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.451-461
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• 2016

The objective of this study is to illustrate the methods and procedures for estimating the failure probability of small fill dams subjected to earthquake events and to estimate the seismic failure probability of the Korean disaster risk fill dams where geotechnical information is not available. In this study, first of all, seismic failure probabilities of 7 disaster risk small fill dams, where geotechnical information is available, were evaluated using event tree analysis. Also, the methods and procedures for evaluating probabilities are illustrated. The relationship between dam height and freeboard for 84 disaster risk small dams, for which the safety diagnosis reports are available, was examined. This relationship was associated with the failure computation equation contained in the toolbox of US Army corps of engineers. From this association, the dam height-freeborard critical curve, which represents 'zero' failure probability, was derived. The seismic failure probability of the Korean disaster risk fill dams was estimated using the critical curve and the failure probabilities computed for 7 small dams.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2021.07a
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• pp.61-64
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• 2021

2016, 2017년 경주와 포항에서 발생한 규모 5.4 이상의 지진 당시 건물에 많은 피해가 속출함에 따라 지진 발생 시 건물 안전에 관한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 이러한 이유로 지진 등의 재난 상황 시 건물의 위험도를 신속하게 판단할 수 있는 방법론이 필요한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 지진 등의 재난 상황 시 건물 안전에 위협이 될 수 있는 건물 기울기에 대한 위험도를 자이로 센서 데이터에 기반해 산출하는 시스템을 제안한다. 본 논문에서는건물 기울어짐 데이터를 확보함에 어려움이 있어 모의 거동 환경을 구축하여 데이터를 수집 및 분석하였다. 제안된 시스템은 자이로 센서로부터 수집된 실시간 기울기 데이터를 Mean Filter를 통해 데이터 평탄화 및 선형화를 수행 후 머신러닝 기법중 하나인 선형 회귀 알고리즘을 적용해 건물 기울기를 추정한다. 이후 국토교통부에서 고시한 건물 기울기 위험도 산출표를 바탕으로 측정된 기울기의 위험도를 산출한다. 해당 시스템은 실제 지진 등의 재난 발생 시 실시간 건물 기울기 위험 판단을 통해 신속한 재난 의사 결정에 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.06a
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• pp.247-252
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• 2006

This study analysed the sensitivity of the attenuation functions for the seismic hazard estimation. For the seismic hazard estimation, this study used HAZUS software, which is developed originally by FEMA(USA). The scenario earthquake ($M_w=6.0$) is located the Hongsung area, where one of the recent macro earthquakes occurred in 1978. The area for seismic hazard estimation is assumed to be Boryung city in Choongnam-do. Three attenuation functions were applied for the sensitivity analysis. The results show that the attenuation functions have much influences on the seismic hazard on the various types of buildings. Therefore the attenuation function is very important factor for the seismic hazard estimation.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.1 no.4
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• pp.29-35
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• 1997

The probabilistic seismic risk in Seoul Metropolitan Area $(atitude도 37.0^{circ}~37.8^{circ} N, longitude 126.5^{circ}~127.5^{circ} E)$ based on all Korean earthquake data of MM Intensity equal to or greater than V is evaluated by point source method. The seismic risk estimated from all data turned out to be lower than that from the data since the Choseon Dynasty during which seismic data appear to be rather complete. The damaging earthquake of peak horizontal ground acceleration greater than 0.1g turns out to occur with 90% probability of being exceeded in 200 years and 500 years when the data since Choseon Dynasty and all data are used, respectively.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.19 no.10
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• pp.13-19
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• 2018

Following the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake, the Pohang Earthquake occurred in 2017, and the south-east region in Korea is under the threat of an earthquake. Especially, in the Pohang Earthquake, the liquefaction phenomenon occurred in the sedimentation area of the coast, and preparation of countermeasures is very important. The soil liquefaction can affect the underground facilities directly as well as various structures on the ground. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the liquefaction risk of facilities and the structures against the possible earthquakes and to prepare countermeasures to minimize them. In this study, we investigated the seismic liquefaction risk about the electric power utility tunnels in the southeast area where the earthquake occurred in Korea recently. In the analysis of seismic liquefaction risk, the earthquake with return period 1000 years and liquefaction potential index are used. The liquefaction risk analysis was conducted in two stages. In the first stage, the liquefaction risk was analyzed by calculating the liquefaction potential index using the ground survey data of the location of electric power utility tunnels in the southeast region. At that time, the seismic amplification in soil layer was considered by soil amplification factor according to the soil classification. In the second stage, the liquefaction risk analysis based on the site response analyses inputted 3 earthquake records were performed for the locations determined to be dangerous from the first step analysis, and the final liquefaction potential index was recalculated. In the analysis, the site investigation data were used from the National Geotechnical Information DB Center. Finally, it can be found that the proposed two stage assessments for liquefaction risk that the macro assessment of liquefaction risk for the underground facilities including the electric power utility tunnel in Korea is carried out at the first stage, and the second risk assessment is performed again with site response analysis for the dangerous regions of the first stage assessment is reasonable and effective.