• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.5-12
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• 2019

On November 15, 2017, a unpredictable liquefaction damage was occurred at the $M_L=5.4$ Pohang earthquake and after, many researches have been conducted in Korea. In Korea, where there were no cases of earthquake damage, it has been extremely neglectable in preparing earthquake risk maps and building earthquake systems that corresponded to prevention and preparation. Since it is almost impossible to observe signs and symptoms of drought, floods, and typhoons in advance, it is very effective to predict the impacts and magnitudes of seismic events. In this study, 14,040 borehole data were collected in the metropolitan area and liquefaction evaluation was performed using the amplification factor. Based on this data, liquefaction hazard maps were prepared for ground accelerations of 0.06 g, 0.14 g, 0.22 g, and 0.30 g, including 200years return period to 4,800years return period. Also, the correlation analysis between the earthquake acceleration and LPI was carried out to draw a real-time predictable liquefaction hazard map. As a result, 707 correlation equations in every cells in GIS map were proposed. Finally, the simulation for liquefaction risk mapping against artificial earthquake was performed in the metropolitan area using the proposed correlation equations.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.79-88
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• 2018

This study presents an evaluation method to estimate the damage scale of chemical storage tank of petrochemical plant due to the earthquake that is likely to occur among NaTech damage types. Based on this, the risk for damage reduction of chemical storage tanks was evaluated. As a result of the study, the risk of the storage tank increased greatly considering the earthquake, and the risk was greatly reduced as a result of evaluating the proposed measures to mitigate the damage impact on the earthquake. This study is expected to contribute to the research on the reduction of NaTech damages such as typhoons and thunderstorms as well as earthquakes, and to establish an emergency response plan. In the future, it is necessary to systematically study and institutionalize the risk reduction measures considering earthquakes.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.45-56
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• 2019

In this study, the seismic risk has been evaluated by setting the bedrock acceleration to 0.154g which, was taking into consideration that the earthquake return period for the buried electric power tunnels in the metropolitan area to be 1,000 years. In this case, the risk assessment during the earthquake was carried out in three stages. In the first stage, the site classification was performed based on the site investigation data of the target area. Then, the LPI(Liquefaction Potential Index) was applied using the site amplification factor. After, candidates were selected using a hazard map. In the second stage, risk assessment analysis of seismic response are evaluated thoroughly after the recalculation of the LPI based on the site characteristics from the boring logs around the electric power area that are highly probable to be liquefied in the first stage. The third Stage visited the electric power tunnels that are highly probable of liquefaction in the second stage to compensate for the limitations based on the borehole data. At this time, the risk of liquefaction was finally evaluated based off of the reinforcement method used at the time of construction, the application of seismic design, and the condition of the site.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.272-272
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• 2022

지진해일에 대한 분석은 주로 물리적인 계산에 의하여 이루어지고 있으나, 다수의 매개변수가 복잡하게 얽혀있어 계산이 오래 걸리고 해당 지진해일에 대한 분석은 지진해일이 발생한 후에 단층을 조사하여 매개변수를 산정하므로 준실시간에 해당하는 예측이 어렵다. 또한, 지진해일을 예측하는 모형을 구축하기 위해서는 충분한 지진해일에 대한 자료가 필수적이나, 국내의 지진해일은 지난 100년간 4건의 지진해일이 발생하여 자료 역시 불충분하다. 그러나, 일반적으로 지진해일은 주기적이지 않고 빈도가 많지 않으나, 지진해일로 인한 피해는 주요한 사회 기반 시설 및 막대한 인명피해를 야기하므로 지진해일 피해를 저감하기 위한 방안이 필요하다. 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 평가(Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment; PTHA)시에 주로 지역적인 범위에서 수행되어 자료의 특성을 고려하여 수행해야하나, 현재 지진해일고에 대한 분포를 대수정규분포로 하여 지역적인 특성이 고려되지 않고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 국내의 지역적 특성을 고려하기 위하여 단층매개변수와 지진해일고와의 Vine Copula 기법을 활용하여 관계성을 파악하고 국내에서 발생가능한 지진해일에 대한 위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 본 연구에서 선정된 지진해일고 클러스터링 결과를 활용하여 향후 지진해일에 대한 방재대책 시에 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.13 no.2 s.54
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• pp.145-152
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• 2009

In performing a risk analysis on structure for earthquake, it is imperative to identify the vulnerability of structures associated with various stages of damage. And the earthquake resisting capability is needed for structures like bridge. So the damage analysis of bridges with or without isolator for earthquake effects is necessary. In this paper, the risk analysis of seismic isolated LRB bridges considering earthquake effects such as PGA, PGV, SA, SV, and SI is performed using fragility curves to assure the earthquake resisting capability of the structures. And, the stability of fragility curve is investigated with respect to input earthquake.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.53-64
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• 2018

In this study, the evaluation to probability of failure for risk assessment of port structures on DCM reinforced soils, where stability and risk assessment are increasing in importance, was performed. As a random variables affecting the risk of DCM improved ground, the design strength, superposition (overlap) of construction, strength of the natural ground, internal friction angle and unit weight of the modified ground were selected and applied to the risk assessment. In addition, the failure probability for the entire system under ordinary conditions and under earthquake conditions were analyzed. As a result, it was found that the highest coefficient of variation in the random variable for the risk assessment of the DCM improved ground is the design strength, but this does not have a great influence on the safety factor, ie, the risk of the system. The main risk factor for the failure probability of the system for the DCM reinforced soils was evaluated as horizontal sliding in case of external stability and compression failure in case of internal stability both at ordinary condition and earthquake condition. In addition, the failure probability for ordinary horizontal sliding is higher than that for earthquake failure, and the failure probability for ordinary compression failure is lower than that for earthquake failure. The ordinary failure probability of the entire system is similar to the failure probability on earthquake condition, but in this case, the risk of earthquake is somewhat higher.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.899-906
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• 2018

In the entire process of disaster management, it is very significant to construct related information as well as perform quantitative assessment of damage losses with respect to minimizing the effect of disasters. Many countries have paid much attention not only to studying risk assessment methodologies including constructing inventories, hazard mapping, vulnerability assessment and direct/indirect damage loss estimation, but also to developing risk analysis tools investigated in this paper. We conducted comparison studies of representative earthquake damage risk analysis tools, and the result of this study is able to provide useful information to decision makers and researchers who can contribute to development of effective disaster management.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.226-235
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• 2021

Purpose: The risk assessment for earthquakes was conducted in accordance with the current design standard (KBC2016) for the Coalescer facility, which is a major facility of energy storage facilities. Method: The risk assessment for earthquakes was conducted in accordance with the current design standard (KBC2016) for the Coalescer facility, which is a major facility of energy storage facilities. Result: In this study, by statically loading earthquake loads and evaluating the level of collapse prevention of special-class structures, facility managers can easily recognize and evaluate the risk level, and this analysis result can be applied to future facility risk management. Earthquake analysis was performed so that. Conclusion: As a result of analyzing the Coalescer facility according to the current design standard KBC2016, the stress ratio of the main supporting members was found to be up to 4.7%. Therefore, the members supporting Coalescer were interpreted as being safe against earthquakes with a reproducibility period of 2400 years that may occur in Korea.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.759-774
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• 2017

Earthquake concerns have grown after a remarkable earthquake incident on September 12th, 2016 in Gyeongju, Korea. Earthquake forecasting is gaining in importance in order to guarantee infrastructure safety and develop protection policies. In this paper, we adopt a power-law distribution model to fit past earthquake occurrences in Korea with various historical and modern seismological records. We estimated power-law distribution parameters using empirical distributions and calculated the future probabilities for large earthquake events based on our model. We provide the probability that a future event has a larger magnitude than given levels, and the probability that a future event over certain levels will occur in a given period of time. This model contributes to the assessment of latent seismological risk in Korea by estimating future earthquake probabilities.

• Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.7 no.3
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• pp.24-30
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• 1995