• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2022.05a
• /
• pp.268-268
• /
• 2022

지진해일은 발생빈도는 높지 않지만, 한 번 발생하게 되면 막대한 피해를 일으킬 수 있다. 우리나라에서는 1,900년대 4건의 지진해일이 기록되었으며, 이로 인해 동해안 및 남해안 등에 인명피해 및 재산피해가 발생하였다. 또한 2011년 동일본 지진해일로 인해 후쿠시마 원자력 발전소 변전설비가 침수됨에 따라 냉각수 공급이 중단되고 방화벽이 파괴되어 방사능이 누출되어 큰 피해로 연결되었다. 이러한 피해를 저감하기 위해 지진해일 수치해석과 확률론적 분석방법 등 다양한 방법을 활용한 연구가 국내외 적으로 활발히 수행되고 있다. 본 연구는 확률분포기반 지진해일고 예측모델 개발을 위해 수치해석을 수행하여 지진해일고(tsunami heights)를 산출하고 결과값에 대한 적절한 확률분포 분석을 실시하는 것이다. 지진해일고는 원자력발전소에서 취수구를 통한 냉각수 공급가능 여부를 판단하기 위해 최대 지진해일고(maximum tsunami height)와 최저 지진해일고(minimum tsunami height)로 구분하였다. 지진해일 수치해석은 지진원(단층매개변수) 조사, 조사된 지진원 중 지진해일 수치해석 case 선정을 위한 파향선추적기법(wave ray tracing) 수행, 선정된 지진원에 대해 로직트리(logic tree) 기법 적용, 로직트리를 적용한 지진원 case에 대한 수치해석 순서로 수행하였다. 수치해석을 통해 산출된 최대 및 최저 지진해일고 자료를 기반으로 확률분포형을 선정하기 위하여 확률분포별 적합성 평가를 실시하였다. 선정된 분포를 기준으로 처오름 및 처내림높이와 관련된 다양한 변수간의 의존관계를 파악하였다. 향후, 파악된 의존관계를 기반으로 예측모델을 개발하여 수치해석 결과와 연계함으로써 국내에 적용할 수 있는 확률론적 지진해일재해도를 제시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
• /
• v.22 no.5
• /
• pp.287-294
• /
• 2010

In this study, a method to construct tsunami inundation map corresponding to the earthquake location and magnitude was proposed for tsunami real-time quantitative response. This proposed procedure can be introduced as in the followings: Potential tsunami source locations expected to cause damage in an interested area was identified. And numerical simulations were performed for various earthquake magnitudes. Based on numerical simulation results, inundation maps were constructed according to each source location and magnitude of tsunami generating earthquake. In this study, inundation maps for Imwon harbor were constructed for the 11 source locations and 7 earthquake magnitudes on a trial basis.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
• /
• v.4 no.3
• /
• pp.99-105
• /
• 2000

한반도 동남부 지역에서 발생하고 관찰된 약진 또는 중진의 자료를 이영하여 이 지역의 Q값과 지진원의 특성인 모서리 주파수 (fc), 응력강하량(Δ$\delta$) 및 모멘크규모 (Mw)를 산정하였다. 가속도 스펙트럼의 경사와 관련된 x의 통계학적 분포로부터 추정한 Q의 95% 신뢰범위는 1656~2454 이다. 1998년 1월 18일 울산 앞바다 지진과 1997년 6월 26일 경주지진의 지진원 요소를 구한 결과 fc 는 각각 4.22Hz , 2.94Hz, Δ$\delta$는 각각 106.8 bar, 106.2 bar, Mw는 각각 3.9, 4.0으로 추정되었다. 제한된 자료수로 인하여 이들의 통계학적 성질을 충분히 규명하지는 못하였지만 다른 연구자들의 기존결과와 유사한 값을 보인다. 본 연구의 결과는 강진동 모사에 직접 이용이 가능하며, 이 지역에 위치한 원자력 발전소 내진 안전성 검토에도 이용될 수 있다.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2006.06a
• /
• pp.181-186
• /
• 2006

An imaging method of seismic sources using time-reversal wave propagation is presented. The method is based on the time-reversal invariance and the spatial reciprocity of the wave equation. Time-reversal wave propagation has been used to image anomalous features of a midium in medical imaging, non destructive testing and waveform tomography. Seismogram is the record whose energy is propagated from the seismic source. If time-reversed seismogram propagates back into the medium, seismic energy is concentrated at the origin time of the event and at the source location. In this work, a staggered-grid finite-difference method of the elastic wave equation is parallelized for 3-D wave propagation simulation. With numerical experiments, we show that the time-reversal imaging will enable us to explore the spatio-temporal history of complex earthquake.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2006.06a
• /
• pp.169-174
• /
• 2006

The Korean peninsula has been considered as seismically intermediate region, since seismic activities have been not severe for long time and the active tectonic boundary is also located far away. However, the activities of earthquakes have been increased for last decade. significantly. Since currently important structures and facilities are increasing rapidly in the Korean Peninsula, the importance of seismic design are increasing exponentially too. This study used observed ground motion of Fukuoka event including 11 afterschocks and then estimated seismic parameters representing seismic source, propagation effect, and site effects. The results were comparable to those of other studies. The results could be used seismic design of the important structures and facilities in Korean peninsula.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
• /
• v.2 no.1 s.4
• /
• pp.135-141
• /
• 2002

Both non-linear damping values of the deep and shallow crustal materials and seismic source parameters are found from the observed near-field seismic ground motions at the South-eastern Korean Peninsula. The non-linear numerical algorithm applied in this study is Levenberg-Marquadet method. All the 25 sets of horizontal ground motions (east-west and north-south components at each seismic station) from 3 events (micro to macro scale) were used for the analysis of damping values and source parameters. The non-linear damping values of the deep and shallow crustal materials were found to be more similar to those of the region of the Western United States. The seismic source parameters found from this study also showed that the resultant stress drop values are relatively low compared to those of the Western United Sates. Consequently, comparisons of the various seismic parameters from this study and those of the United States Seismo-tectonic data suggest that the seismo-tectonic characteristics of the South eastern Korean Peninsula is more similar to those of the Western U.S.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
• /
• v.10 no.1 s.47
• /
• pp.33-39
• /
• 2006

Parameters including the seismic sources and the elastic wave propagation characteristics were analysed using the observed ground motions from 3 Kyoungju region earthquakes. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm was applied to invert all the variables non-linearly and simultaneously with S wave energy In frequency domain. Average stress drop of 3 events and local attenuation parameter ${\kappa}$ were estimated to about 48-bar and 0.0312 respectively. Regional attenuation parameter, Qo and ${\eta}$, were also estimated to be about 417 and 0.83. ${\kappa}$ values are much higher than that of EUS, even though smaller than that of WUS. All these values resultant from this study show that there are differences in some parameters of other studios due to differences in the governing equation. of acceleration motions

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
• /
• v.14 no.1
• /
• pp.35-42
• /
• 2010

The best estimate Gutenberg-Richter b-value of the Korean Peninsula was estimated through an expert panel assigned to evaluate the currently available study results. The panel's assessment yielded that the Gutenberg-Richter b-value was relatively constant over the Korean Peninsula and was independent of seismic zones with an average value of 0.96. Also, the currently most reliable four seismotechtonic structural maps were produced. The effects on the seismic hazard were analyzed by applying the results to the Shinwuljin Units 1&2 NPP site. As a result, the mean hazard level at 0.2g was decreased by about 70-80% (on the order of 0.6-0.7), and the uncertainty band at 0.2g for the reliability band of 15%-85% was significantly reduced. It was proposed, for conservatism, to use b=0.95 over all seismic zones for seismic hazard analysis in the future.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.43-51
• /
• 2011

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), which can effectively apply inevitable uncertainties in seismic data, considers a number of seismotectonic models and attenuation equations. The calculated hazard by PSHA is generally a value dependent on peak ground acceleration (PGA) and expresses the value as an annual exceedance probability. To represent the uncertainty range of a hazard which has occurred using various seismic data, a hazard curve figure shows both a mean curve and percentile curves (15, 50, and 85). The percentile performs an important role in that it indicates the uncertainty range of the calculated hazard, could be calculated using various methods by the relation of the weight and hazard. This study using the weight accumulation method, the weighted hazard method, the maximum likelihood method, and the moment method, has calculated the percentile of the computed hazard by PSHA on the Shinuljin 1, 2 site. The calculated percentile using the weight accumulation method, the weighted hazard method, and the maximum likelihood method, have similar trends and represent the range of all computed hazards by PSHA. The calculated percentile using the moment method effectively showed the range of hazards at the source which includes a site. This study suggests the moment method as effective percentile calculation method considering the almost same mean hazard for the seismotectonic model and a source which includes a site.

• 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2002.09a
• /
• pp.35-35
• /
• 2002