• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역통계센터

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Development of a Model for Analylzing and Evaluating the Suitability of Locations for Cooling Center Considering Local Characteristics (지역 특성을 고려한 무더위쉼터의 입지특성 분석 및 평가 모델 개발)

  • Jieun Ryu;Chanjong Bu;Kyungil Lee;Kyeong Doo Cho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2024
  • Heat waves caused by climate change are rapidly increasing health damage to vulnerable groups, and to prevent this, the national, regional, and local governments are establishing climate crisis adaptation policy. A representative climate crisis adaptation policy to reduce heat wave damage is to expand the number of cooling centers. Because it is highly effective in a short period of time, most metropolitan local governments, except Jeonbuk, include the project as an adaptation policy. However, the criteria for selecting a cooling centers are different depending on the budget and non-budget, so the utilization rate and effectiveness of the cooling centers are all different. Therefore, in this study, we developed logistic regression models that can predict and evaluate areas with a high probability of expanding cooling centers in order to implement adaptation policy in local governments. In Incheon Metropolitan City, which consists of various heat wave-vulnerable environments due to the coexistence of the old city and the new city, a logistic model was developed to predict areas where heat waves can be cooling centered by dividing it into Ganghwa·Ongjin-gun and other regions, taking into account socioeconomic and environmental differences. As a result of the study, the statistical model for the Ganghwa·Ogjin-gun region showed that the higher the ground surface temperature and the more and more the number of elderly people over 65 years old, the higher the possibility of location of cooling centers, and the prediction accuracy was about 80.93%. The developed logistic regression model can predict and evaluate areas with a high potential as cooling centers by considering regional environmental and social characteristics, and is expected to be used for priority selection and management when designating additional cooling centers in the future.

Factors Influencing Health Risk Behaviors of the Chronic Mental Illness in the Community (지역사회 만성정신질환자의 건강위험행위 영향요인)

  • Gang, Moonhee
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.381-388
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    • 2013
  • The study was done to identify factors influencing the health risk behavior of the chronic mental illness in the community. A cross-sectional study design was used in this study. The sample was 255 chronic mentally ill persons from D city and C province and who agreed to participate in the study. Data were collected on August-september, 2011 and analyzed using the SPSS/WIN 20. Stress event, insight and depression had significant correlations with health risk behavior. Hierarchial regression analysis showed gender (men), diagnosis (schizophrenia), stress event, insight and depression together explained 24% of variance in health risk behavior. Findings of this study allow a comprehensive understanding of health risk behavior of the chronic mentally ill persons in community. It is necessary to integrated health promotion programs designed for this population should focus on these factors for effective behavioral modification.

The Effect of Community-Based Learning on Career Decision-Making Self-Efficiency of Junior College Students (지역사회경험학습(CBL)이 전문대학생의 진로결정 자기효능감에 미치는 영향)

  • Jo, Chae Young;Kim, Kyoung Mee
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the effectiveness of community-based learning(CBL) on career decision-making self-efficiency of junior college students and explore the meaning. This study was conducted on 68 students and 10 departments participating in the CBL, which was supported by the D University Faculty Learning Development Center in Busan. First of all, does CBL affect the career decision-making self-efficiency for junior college students? Second, what is the meaning of CBL for career decisions for junior college students? The effectiveness of the CBL's before and after application surveys has shown statistically significant changes in the career decision-making self-efficiency. The meaning of CBL for learners' career decisions was derived from "improving understanding through on-site application of theory and creating confidence and commitment in their career paths by providing an opportunity to study." Through this, it can be seen that CBL is worth applying as a teaching method suitable for career guidance of junior college students.

Comparisons of the prevalence of gallbladder polyps and clinical variables among residents between the urban and rural area on Jeju Island

  • Kwon, Oh-Sung;Kim, Young-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2022
  • There was a report that the prevalence of gallbladder polyps (GBPs) and some clinical variables were different between the urban and rural area, which was performed in a mainland. Thus the previous report could have some confounding factors. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to compare the prevalence of GBPs and clinical variables on the isolated island to exclude extrinsic confounding factors. We compared the prevalence of GBPs and clinical variables among 21,734 residents who visited a single medical check-up center in Jeju National University Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 according to their residences on Jeju Island. The prevalence of GBPs were 10.1% in the urban area 8.7%, respectively (P = 0.006). Among clinical variables, the rate of central obesity, the mean levels of fasting blood glucose, low density lipoprotein-cholesterol, alkaline phosphate and gamma-glutamyltransferase and the mean age among residents in the rural area was statically higher in the urban area; however, the mean total cholesterol level among residents in the urban area significantly higher than in the rural area. This study showed that the prevalence of GBPs and some clinical variables among residents were statistically different between the urban area on Jeju Island.

Assessment of climate disaster vulnerability of Gangwon-do based on RCP 8.5 climate change scenario (RCP 8.5 기후변화시나리오 기반 강원도 기후 재난취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Hyeon Ji;Jeung, Se Jin;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.335-335
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    • 2022
  • 남한상세 기후변화 전망보고서(2021)는 2100년대 강원도 강수량이 현재보다 19% 증가하고, 평균기온이 현재보다 6.5℃ 상승할 것으로 공표했다. 강원도는 영동지역과 영서지역으로 분리돼 기후 차이가 분명하다. 기상청 ASOS 데이터(1986~2020)를 이용해 기후 특성을 확인한 결과 영동지역 강수량은 1,463mm, 평균기온은 10.5℃, 상대습도는 66%로 분석됐고, 영서지역 강수량은 1,307mm, 평균기온은 11℃, 상대습도는 68%로 분석됐다. 영동지역 강수량이 영서지역 강수량보다 약 156mm 더 많으며, 이는 영동지역에서 큰 규모의 우심 피해가 발생할 가능성이 존재함을 의미한다. 강원도 평년 우심 피해 현황을 살펴본 결과 영동지역은 5회(피해액: 62억 원), 영서지역은 24회(피해액: 62억원)가 발생했다. 이는 미래로 갈수록 더 심해질 것으로 판단되며, 이런 기상 재난을 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 기준이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 강원도 기후 재난취약성을 평가했다. 이를 위해 기후변화 위험성, 기후변화 민감도, 기후변화 적응능력 지표를 활용해 기후변화 취약성 지표를 선정했다. 기후변화 위험성 지표는 홍수(CWD, Rx5day, R30mm), 가뭄(CDD, SU, TX90p), 폭염(SU, TR, TN90p), 한파(ID, TX10p, FD)로 RCP 8.5 기후변화시나리오를 ETCCDI 지수에 적용했다. 기후변화 민감도와 기후변화 적응능력 지표는 국가통계포털, 강원통계정보, WAMIS에서 자료를 수집해 선정했다. 또한 재난취약성 지표를 4단계(Very Low, Low, High, Very High)로 구분했다. 홍수 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 원주시, 춘천시, 횡성군이 Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 가뭄 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 양양군, 영월군, 정선군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 폭염 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 한파 취약성 평가 결과 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 High에서 Very Low로 단계가 격하됐다. 고로 강원도는 기후 재난취약성 평가 결과에 따른 미래 기후변화를 대비하고, 각 지역 특성에 맞는 복원력 관점 기후 재난 관리가 필요하다고 사료된다.

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Time-series Analysis of Precision the Domestic Boring Investigation Data (국내 시추조사 자료 정밀도 시계열 분석)

  • Jang, Yonggu;Kim, Youngsun;Chae, Deokho;Cho, Wanjei
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2015
  • Since the introduction of 'the rule for computerizing subsoil investigation results and its application' in 2007, the DB construction of the national geotechnical information by Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs (MOLTMA) has been performed. According to the Integrated DB Center of National Geotechnical Information, there have been 180 thousands borehole information stored in the system. In this study, the time-series analyses of precision on the most used information, the depth of stratum and ground water level, were performed to evaluate the effect of the initiation of the rule established in 2007. The precisions were evaluated based on the statistical analyses using kurtosis and normal distribution. Based on the results, the increase of precision after 2007 and the affirmative effects of the rule established in 2007 are confirmed. Furthermore, the precision of the regional information can be achieved with the precision analyses on the information from various areas.

Estimation of future probabilistic precipitation in urban watersheds and river flooding simulation considering IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) (IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)를 고려한 도시 유역 확률 강우량 산정과 하천 침수 모의)

  • Jun Seo Yoon;Im Gook Jung;Da Hong Kim;Jae Pil Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2023
  • 지난 100년 동안 전 지구의 기상 이변이 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 기후 변화는 도시 홍수 피해에 큰 영향을 끼치는데 급속한 도시화와 이상 기후로 인한 돌발 강우 패턴의 증가는 도시 침수의 취약성을 가중시킨다. 또한 급격한 도시 발전으로 인한 도심지의 불투수율 또한 꾸준히 증가하였다. 특히 2022년 8월 8일에 강남역과 도림천 일대에 내린 기록적인 강우는 기후 변화를 실감하게 하는 사회적 이슈가 되었으며 도심지 미래 수방 대책 변화를 상기시키는 계기가 되었다. 이로 인한 재해 피해에 최소화하기 위해 미래 기후 변화를 고려한 도심지의 새로운 방재 목표강우량 설정이 필요하다. 하지만 전 지구 모형(GCM)의 기후 변화 시나리오는 일 단위(Daily) 상세화 자료를 보편적으로 사용하고 있다. 하지만 이는 단기 강우 자료를 필요로 하는 도시 홍수 모의에서 제대로 활용할 수 없는 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 2019년에 발간된 IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)가 제안하는 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회경제경로) 시나리오를 기반하여 상세화된 일 단위(Daily) 강우 데이터를 비모수적 통계 기법을 사용하여 시간 단위(Hourly)로 상세화하였다. 또한 지속 시간별 연 최대치 강우를 추출하여 빈도 해석을 통해 도시 유역의 미래 확률 강우량을 제시하였으며, 서울시 상습적인 침수 취약 지역인 도림천 유역에 강우-유출 모형(XP-SWMM)을 사용하여 미래전망 기후 자료인 SSP2-4.5와 SSP5-8.5에 따른 미래 확률 강우 침수 모의를 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 최신 기후 변화 시나리오를 고려한 서울시 방재 성능 목표 강우량 산정에 활용 가능할 것으로 사료되며 미래 강우량 침수 모의를 통해 침수 취약 구역인 도림천 일대 홍수피해의 근거 자료가 되는 것에 의의를 둔다. 또한 치수 분야에서 기후 변화를 고려하기 위해서는 기후 변화 시나리오에 따른 시간 단위 자료의 상세화가 필요함을 시사한다.

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Analysis of Domestic Aggregate Production of Korea in 2019 (II) - by Local Governments (2019년도 국내 골재 수급 분석 (II) - 시군구단위 분석 -)

  • Hong, Sei Sun;Lee, Jin Young
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.427-439
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    • 2021
  • On the base of the aggregate extraction statistics, this study tried to analyse the demand and supply of aggregate resources of each local government and provide directions for the stable and sustainable supply and demand of aggregate resources in the future. In 2019, aggregates were produced in 148 cities, about 65% of the 229 cities of Korea, but in 7 metropolitan cities with 74 local governments, only 19 cities developed the aggregate. It means that aggregate extraction is taking place in almost all regions in Korea. Sand and gravel were produced in 110 districts and 132 districts, respectively. By aggregate source, river aggregates were extracted in 4 local governments, land aggregates in 42 local governments, forest aggregates in 75 local governments, crushed aggregates in 105 local governments, and washing aggregates in 15 local governments. In other words, 81 district in Korea have not extracted land-based aggregate at all. 71 local governments produced only one type of aggregate, and 55 local governments developed two types of aggregate, and 22 local governments developed more that three types of aggregate. In 2019, the leading producing local government were, in descending order of volume, Ulju-gun, followed by Hwaseong-si, Cheongju-si, Pocheon-si, Paju-si, Yongin-si, Gimhae-si, Gwangju-si in Gyeonggi-do. 41 local governments have developed aggregates of more than 1 million m3, and the combined production of the 41 cities accounted for about 70% of national total. This shows that the aggregate extraction trend of local governments is becoming larger and more concentrated.

Ventilation Corridor Characteristics Analysis and Management Strategy to Improve Urban Thermal Environment - A Case Study of the Busan, South Korea - (도시 열환경 개선을 위한 바람길 특성 분석 및 관리 전략 - 부산광역시를 사례로 -)

  • Moon, Ho-Yeong;Kim, Dong-Pil;Gweon, Young-Dal;Park, Hyun-Bin
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.659-668
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a ventilation corridor management plan to improve the thermal environment for Busan Metropolitan City. To this end, the characteristics of hot and cool spots in Busan were identified by conducting spatial statistical analysis, and thermal image data from Landsat-7 satellites and major ventilation corridors were analyzed through WRF meteorological simulation. The results showed the areas requiring thermal environment improvement among hot spot areas were Busanjin-gu, Dongnae-gu, industrial areas in Yeonje-gu and Sasang-gu, and Busan Port piers in large-scale facilities. The main ventilation corridor was identified as Geumjeongsan Mountain-Baekyangsan Mountain-Gudeoksan Mountain Valley. Based on the results, the ventilation corridor management strategy is suggested as follows. Industrial facilities and the Busan Port area are factors that increase the air temperature and worsen the thermal environment of the surrounding area. Therefore, urban and architectural plans are required to reduce the facility's temperature and consider the ventilation corridor. Areas requiring ventilation corridor management were Mandeok-dong and Sajik-dong, and they should be managed to prevent further damage to the forests. Since large-scale, high-rise apartment complexes in areas adjacent to forests interfere with the flow of cold and fresh air generated by forests, the construction of high-rise apartment complexes near Geumjeongsan Mountain with the new redevelopment of Type 3 general residential area should be avoided. It is expected that the results of this study can be used as basic data for urban planning and environmental planning in response to climate change in Busan Metropolitan City.

Recent Changes in Bloom Dates of Robinia pseudoacacia and Bloom Date Predictions Using a Process-Based Model in South Korea (최근 12년간 아까시나무 만개일의 변화와 과정기반모형을 활용한 지역별 만개일 예측)

  • Kim, Sukyung;Kim, Tae Kyung;Yoon, Sukhee;Jang, Keunchang;Lim, Hyemin;Lee, Wi Young;Won, Myoungsoo;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kim, Hyun Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.3
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    • pp.322-340
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    • 2021
  • Due to climate change and its consequential spring temperature rise, flowering time of Robinia pseudoacacia has advanced and a simultaneous blooming phenomenon occurred in different regions in South Korea. These changes in flowering time became a major crisis in the domestic beekeeping industry and the demand for accurate prediction of flowering time for R. pseudoacacia is increasing. In this study, we developed and compared performance of four different models predicting flowering time of R. pseudoacacia for the entire country: a Single Model for the country (SM), Modified Single Model (MSM) using correction factors derived from SM, Group Model (GM) estimating parameters for each region, and Local Model (LM) estimating parameters for each site. To achieve this goal, the bloom date data observed at 26 points across the country for the past 12 years (2006-2017) and daily temperature data were used. As a result, bloom dates for the north central region, where spring temperature increase was more than two-fold higher than southern regions, have advanced and the differences compared with the southwest region decreased by 0.7098 days per year (p-value=0.0417). Model comparisons showed MSM and LM performed better than the other models, as shown by 24% and 15% lower RMSE than SM, respectively. Furthermore, validation with 16 additional sites for 4 years revealed co-krigging of LM showed better performance than expansion of MSM for the entire nation (RMSE: p-value=0.0118, Bias: p-value=0.0471). This study improved predictions of bloom dates for R. pseudoacacia and proposed methods for reliable expansion to the entire nation.