• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역산업연관모형

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The Economic Impacts of Water Supply Constraints During a Drought Using Intra-Regional Input Output Analysis (가뭄의 경제적 파급효과: 지역산업연관표을 이용하여)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Choi, Han-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.481-486
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    • 2007
  • 물 공급 지장의 경제적 파급 효과를 분석하기 위해 한국은행이 2007년 발간한 2003년 지역산업연관모형을 이용하였다. 특히 가뭄의 발생은 지역적인 특성을 가지고 있어서 지역에 따라 피해도 다르게 나타날 것이다. 우선적으로 배분해야할 각 산업의 순위도 지역별로 달라지게 될 것이다. 따라서 전국산업연관표를 이용하여 물 공급의 지장비용을 분석하였을 때보다 구체적으로 효율적인 물 배분에 대한 정보를 제공할 수 것이다. 특히 기존에는 지역별 물 공급 지장 비용을 계측하기 위하여 주로 전국산업연관표 이용하여 각 지역별 산업연관표를 간접 추계하여 사용하였다. 이 방식은 방법론에 따른 오차 존재 가능성이 크기 때문에 신뢰도가 결여된다. 그러나 본 연구는 한국은행의 2003년 실측(survey-based method) 지역산업연관표를 이용하였기 때문에 기존 연구보다 신뢰성있는 연구가 될 것이다. 추정결과, 우리나라 수도산업의 특징은 지역내 파급 효과가 지역간 파급 효과보다 큰 자급자족형 산업인 것으로 나타났다. 전후방연쇄효과도 거의 모든 지역에서 1이상으로 나타났고 후방연쇄효과가 가장 큰 지역은 경남지역으로 나타났다. 서울권과 경남권에서 만 원어치만큼 물 공급되지 않을 경우 해당 지역의 산업에 각각 130만 원과 57만 원의 피해 비용이 발생한다.

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Economic Impact of Gwangyang Bay Area Shipping and Port Logistic Industry on the Regional Economy: A Regional Input-Output Analysis (광양만권 해운항만산업의 지역경제 파급효과 분석: 지역산업연관분석 중심)

  • Kim, Sangchoon;Jang, Heunghoon;Kim, Seungchul
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the economic impact of the shipping and port logistics industry in Gwangyang Bay Area on the regional economy. For this purpose, the study constructs an input-output table of 29 sectors for 2010 in the area. The main findings are as follows. In terms of production, value added, and share of employment, the regional shipping and port logistics industry accounts for approximately 10.8 percent, 6.0 percent, and 2.9 percent of the national shipping and port logistics industry, respectively. Moreover, the economic impact of the industry on the regional economy is estimated to be an increase in terms of production of about 6 trillion Korean won), to be an increase in value added of about 2.5 million Korean won, and an increase of about 16,000 in employment. Furthermore, the industry is found to have strong inter-industry linkages with the main manufacturing as well as the main producer service industries.

Assessing the Impact of Typhoon 'CHAB' on the National Economy (태풍 '차바'가 국가 경제에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Choi, Chang Hyun;Kim, Jong Sung;Kim, Dong Hyun;Kim, Soo Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.121-121
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화와 급격한 도시화로 재난 피해의 규모는 계속 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 전 세계적으로 대형 재난으로 인해 심각한 경제적 손실과 수많은 인명피해가 발생하고 있다. 재난 발생으로 인한 피해는 발생지역의 피해액과 복구비뿐만 아니라 산업 및 국가 경제 전반에 심각한 영향을 미친다. 최근 태풍 '차바'와 극심한 가뭄 등의 재난 발생으로 인해 국가 경제가 전반적으로 위축되는 것으로 평가되었다. 그러나 우리는 특정 지역에서 발생한 재난이 타지역으로 파급되어 국가 경제에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지에 대한 대략적인 현황조차 파악하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 산업연관모형과 한국은행에서 발간하는 지역별 산업연관표를 이용하여 태풍 '차바'의 발생으로 인한 울산지역의 피해가 타지역으로 전파되는 영향을 평가하였고, 울산 지역에서 발생한 태풍 '차바'의 피해가 국가 경제에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 본 연구결과는 대규모 재난발생이 주변지역으로 파급되는 특성을 파악하고, 국가 경제에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하여 재난관리를 위한 의사결정시의 기초자료로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Estimating Interregional Trade Coefficient of Service Industry using the Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 서비스업의 지역간 교역계수 추정)

  • Yun, Kap-Sik;Kim, Jae-Koo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2010
  • The study aims to estimate interregional trade coefficient of service industry using the gravity model. The gravity model has been widely used for prediction of the level of human interaction between two regions which is positively related to attraction of them and negatively related to the distance between them. To apply the gravity model for explaining the interregional trade flow of service industry, the choice of proper proxy variables which represent a dependent variable and independent variables is most important. However, the literature shows that there are few studies on this issue. Four models concerned to the choice of proxy variables are considered. Finally, this paper employs the least-squares regression analysis to test the model's goodness-of-fit, and suggests the most appropriate model based on the result from the analysis. The result shows that the interregional trade of service industry in regional input-output table developed by The Bank of Korea is desirable as a dependent variable, the service industry output of export region, the population of import region, and the spatial distance between regions are desirable as independent variables.

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Development and Use of Interregional Input-Output Table under the Limited Information: A case of Korea (정보가 제약된 조건하에서 지역관 산업연관표의 작성과 그 응용 - 한국의 경우 -)

  • Ko, Suk-Nam;Kwack, Chul-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.480-491
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to construct interregional input-output table for multi-regions using non-survey methods. Despite of wide use of interregional input-output table, there have been continuing debates with respect to it's accuracy mostly when it is constructed by non-survey method. The best ideal one is to construct through real survey, while we must pay much time and cost. With regard to this concern, Hulu and Hewings developed a step by step method for the estimation of interregional input coefficients for the Indonesian economy which might be a challenge for the limitation of location quotient method, for which Round pointed out earlier. A five regions interregional input-output table for Korea is developed in this study by expanding Location Quotient method. Some development was made, however, according to the degree of collection of data and the assumption in treating the interregional flows. Finally, a comparison was made for the accuracy of input coefficients between the real surveyed and derived ones.

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Analysis of Regional Economic Ripple Effects of Port Logistics Industry in Gwangyang City - Focusing on Exogenous Specified Input-Output Model - (광양시 항만물류산업의 지역경제 파급효과 분석 - 외생화 산업연관모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Min-Seong;Na, Ju-Mong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.77-95
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    • 2023
  • The regional infrastructure industries of Gwangyang City, the subject of this study, are Gwangyang Port and Gwangyang Steel Mill. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the regional economic ripple effects of the port logistics industry in Gwangyang City. In this study, a multi-stage approach using the RW and the LQ methodology using the national input-output tables in 2015 and 2019 is used to prepare the regional interindustry analysis chart in Gwangyang City, and an exogenous demand induction model that reclassified the port logistics industry was applied. Through this, the purpose of this study was to provide policy implications by figuring out the regional economic ripple effects of the port logistics industry quantitatively in Gwangyang City. As a result of the analysis, the industries with high production inducement effect and forward/backward linkage effect of the port logistics industry in Gwangyang City were analyzed as manufacturing, transportation, land and air logistics sectors. And the industries in which the added value inducement effect and the employment inducement effect were analyzed as an industry related to the service industry. Therefore, it is necessary to prepare support measures to foster the port logistics industry as a way to promote these industries and revitalize the local economy of Gwangyang City. To this end, it is desirable to improve policies and systems for the vitalization of the Gwangyang port maritime cluster and provide various policy support for the port logistics industry in Gwangyang City. This study is meaningful in suggesting policy implications for the regional economy of Gwangyang City based on the results of exogenous analysis of the port logistics industry in small and medium-sized cities. However, It seems that further studies related to this will be needed in the future.

The Propagation Effects on the Regional Economy Induced by U-City Construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City (U-City 구축에 따른 지역경제 파급효과 - 화성.동탄지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Pang-Ryong;Cho, Byung-Sun;Jeong, Woo-Soo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.12B
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    • pp.1087-1098
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    • 2006
  • This study is unlike common Input-Output Analysis in the point that both RAS and methods are applied to the dynamic Input-Output Model simultaneously. We have analyzed the propagation effects on the regional economy from the investment generated by u-City construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City. The main results of the study are as follows. The total induced effect on production according to u-City construction in Wha-sung and Dong-tan City is estimated about 2.9 times. On the other hand, u-City industry is appreciated as a industry which a forward linkage effect is very high while a backward linkage effect is not that high.

Influence on National Economy caused by Typhoon 'CHABA' damage in Ulsan (울산 지역의 태풍 '차바' 피해가 국가 경제에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Chang Hyun;Kim, Jong Sung;Han, Dae Gun;Kim, Soo Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.88-88
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    • 2018
  • 기후변화와 기후변동으로 인해 태풍과 홍수 등의 자연재난 발생빈도가 증가하고 있으며, 이로 인해 심각한 인적 경제적 피해가 발생하고 있다. 피해 정도와 규모는 각 지역의 사회 경제적 요소에 따라 큰 차이를 보이고 있지만, 일반적으로 특정 지역에서 발생한 피해는 연속적으로 타 지역에 영향을 미치고 궁극적으로 국가 경제에 심각한 타격을 주는 경향이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 산업연관모형을 이용하여 태풍 '차바'로 인해 울산지역에 발생한 피해가 국가 경제에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 본 연구결과는 특정 지역에서 발생한 피해가 타지역 및 국가 경제에 어떤 영향을 미치는지 정량적으로 평가하였고, 효율적인 재난관리의 기초자료로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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The Effect of smart specialisation on the Regional Economy (스마트 특성화가 지역경제성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Minchul Kim;Byung-Keun Kim
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2022
  • Arguably many studies point out that regional innovation capabilities are accepted as a major source of growth for the sustainable regional economy. Recently, a smart specialisation strategy that should reflect regional characteristics in the policy implementation process of the regional innovation system has been proposed, but empirical studies have only presented limited results. This study attempts to overcome limitations by approaching smart specialisation as a supplementary strategy for existing regional innovation research. To this end, smart specialisation was not an alternative strategy for the regional innovation system, but rather the institutional elements of regional innovation capabilities, and the relationship between regional innovation capabilities and the local economy was analyzed to identify the impact of smart specialisation on the local economy. A study was conducted through a panel model consisting of 16 cities and provinces in Korea and 10 years from 2009-2018, and the FGLS model was finally used through the process of searching for an appropriate panel model. As a result of the study, smart specialisation consisting of industry related variety and non-related variety had a positive effect on the local economy. In addition, other regional innovation capabilities measured by dividing them into base and facilitating factors also had a positive effect on the local economy, reaffirming the results of positive research between existing regional innovation and the local economy. This study is meaningful in that smart specialisation lacking in domestic research was viewed as an institutional element of regional innovation capabilities, and it was measured through regional industry-related variety and non-related variety.

Industrial Effects of Tariff Removal between Korea and Japan (한·일 양국간 산업별 관세철폐 효과)

  • Lee, Hong Bae;OH, Dong Yoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.41-65
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    • 2009
  • This study based on international input-output model shows various static analyses of the effects by estimating the intermediary goods' trade volume that affects the industrial production. When concluding tariff removal between Korea and Japan, as intermediary goods import increases, Korea's trade balance deficit with Japan is expected to grow more than before. However, Korea's increase in export to the world is the largest benefit Korea can earn from tariff removal between the two countries.