• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역경제파급효과

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An Empirical Study on the Causalities and Effects between International Trade and Economic Growth in China (중국의 국제무역과 경제성장간의 인과관계 및 파급효과)

  • Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.55-79
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    • 2009
  • This papers studies the causalities and effects on the relationship between international trade and economic growth in China for the period of 1950-2007, using the unit root test, the Granger causality test, the cointegration test, VAR model, and VECM. The results of this study are as follows: Firstly, in the unit root test, I found that each time series was unstable one that has unit root. Secondly, in the Granger Causality test, this papers shows that variable dlexp and dlinp influence on dlgdp and dlgdd, while bilateral causality relation between dlexp and dlgdp, dlexp and dlgdd for the whole period, for the whole period, pre-reform period and post-reform period. Thirdly, there is no cointegraion relation between lgdp(or dlgdp, lgdd, dlgdd) and lexp, linp for lgdd-limp in the whole period, and pre-reform period, while no cointegration relation for the post-reform period. Finally, in the impulse-response test, it was proved that lgdp represents (-) correlation with lexp for the whole period. Thorough the variance decomposition test, it was proved that linp(or dlinp) is the most affected variable of the each data and relation between linp(or dlinp) and lexp(or dlexp) has become bigger recently.

The Impacts of Korea-China FTA on the Major Industries in Daegu-Gyeongbuk Region (한·중 FTA가 대구·경북 지역 주요 산업에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Yeo, Taek-Dong;Jeong, Gun Woo
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.309-337
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    • 2015
  • Recently, Korea had virtually reached an FTA deal with China on November 10, 2014 after the 14 rounds of negotiation during past two and half years. The two countries agreed to the FTA's 22 chapters, including products, services, investment, e-commerce, finance, communication, and other trade issues, but rice and several sensitive agricultural and fisheries products were excluded from the deal. Korea and China will remove their import tariffs on more than 90 percent of all products and more than 85 percent of imports by value within 20 years once the FTA is implemented. This paper intends to analyze the impacts of Korea-China FTA on the major industries in Daegu-Gyeongbuk region. Considering the statistics on the bilateral trade between China and Daegu-Gyeongbuk region, import tariff rates of the two countries, trade specialization indices of the major industries, and the package of Korea-China FTA deal, this study investigated the sectoral effects of Korea-China FTA on the four main industries, textiles, electrical-electronics, machinery and auto parts, and steel and iron industries in that region.

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Economic Effects of Agreement on Trade in Services under the Korea-ASEAN FTA - A CGE Approach - (CGE모형을 이용한 한-아세안 FTA 서비스무역협정의 경제적 효과분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.419-448
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to conduct a quantitative assessment of potential impacts on the Korean economy of Agreement on Trade in Services Under the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Among the Governments of the Republic of Korea and the Member Countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations which was signed on 21 November 2007 using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Tariff equivalents of services were calculated on the basis of concessions made in the Agreement between Korea and ASEAN member countries. The empirical analysis shows that Korea is to get an additional gain in real GDP of 0.04 percent and in welfare of US$106 million, with an increase in per capita utility of 0.03 percent. Total exports and imports of Korea are to rise by US$179 million and $191 million, respectively, causing a trade deficit of $12 million. Korea's exports to ASEAN member countries will increase by $108 million and Korea's imports from them will rise by $278 million, giving rise to a trade deficit of $170 million.

이동코드에 관련한 보안문제 및 방안기법 연구

  • 김준회;조충호
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Information Technology Applications Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.79-82
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    • 2001
  • 이동코드는 자바 애플릿(applet)이나 스크립트와 같이 원격지에서 실행가능한 코드로서 현재 웹브라우저를 통하여 쉽게 수행 가능하다. 이러한 프로그램은 누구나 작성할 수 있고 브라우저를 수행할 수 있는 어떤 컴퓨터에서도 수행 가능하다. 즉, 자바 애플릿과 같이 운영체제나 하드웨어에 관계없이 어떤 플랫폼에도 동일 코드가 수행될 수 있다. (일반적으로 에이전트도 이동 코드라고 부르지만 여기서는 포함시키지 않는다.) 인터넷에서 어떤 컴퓨터에서도 공통적인 스크립트를 수행할 수 있다는 것은 편리함, 가능성에서 많은 장점을 가지고 있지만 보안 관점에서 보면 이러한 공통의 스크립트를 수행할 수 있는 인터프리터는 매우 위험하다. 또한 이러한 인터프리터가 브라우저의 한 부분이기 때문에 위험은 더욱 증가한다. 이동 코드 인터프리터에서 어떤 버그가 존재할 경우 이것을 이용한 악성 사용자가 프로그램을 특정 컴퓨터에서 수행시켜 접근 권한을 쉽게 얻거나 시스템을 파괴할 수 있다. 일반 사용자들이 주로 사용하는 윈도95 같은 운영체제에서는 이러한 공격을 막을 보호대책이 없고 심지어 UNIX에서도 사용자의 권한을 가지고 이동 코드가 수행되기 때문에 사용자의 파일을 조작하거나 정보가 유출될 수 있다. 또한, 이동코드가 서로 다른 수행환경을 이동할 경우, 악성 이동코드로부터 영향을 받을 수 있는 수행환경의 보호와 악성 호스트 및 수행환경에 의해 이동코드가 파괴되는 경우도 있다. 위와 같은 이동 코드의 위험으로부터 발생할 수 있는 보안문제점들의 실제 피해 사례 및 시스템을 보호하기 위해 사용되어온 몇 가지 기법을 제시하였다.사업을 통하여 경남지역 산업단지에 입주한 기업체의 정보 활용을 극대화하여 지역경제 발전에 기여함과 동시에 국내 지역정보화 시범모델로서 위상을 확립하고자 한다.을 기업의 타인자본비용과 자기자본비용의 조합인 기회자본비용으로 할인함으로써 현재의 기업가치를 구할 수 있기 때문이다. 이처럼 기업이 영업활동이나 투자활동을 통해 현금을 창출하고 소비하는 경향은 해당 비즈니스 모델의 성격을 규정하는 자료도로 이용될 수 있다. 또한 최근 인터넷기업들의 부도가 발생하고 있는데, 기업의 부실원인이 어떤 것이든 사회전체의 생산력의 감소, 실업의 증가, 채권자 및 주주의 부의 감소, 심리적 불안으로 인한 경제활동의 위축, 기업 노하우의 소멸, 대외적 신용도의 하락 등과 같은 사회적·경제적 파급효과는 대단히 크다. 이상과 같은 기업부실의 효과를 고려할 때 부실기업을 미리 예측하는 일종의 조기경보장치를 갖는다는 것은 중요한 일이다. 현금흐름정보를 이용하여 기업의 부실을 예측하면 기업의 부실징후를 파악하는데 그치지 않고 부실의 원인을 파악하고 이에 대한 대응 전략을 수립하며 그 결과를 측정하는데 활용될 수도 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기업의 부도예측 정보 중 현금흐름정보를 통하여 '인터넷기업의 미래 현금흐름측정, 부도예측신호효과, 부실원인파악, 비즈니스 모델의 성격규정 등을 할 수 있는가'를 검증하려고 한다. 협력체계 확립, ${\circled}3$ 전문인력 확보 및 인력구성 조정, 그리고 ${\circled}4$ 방문보건사업의 강화 등이다., 대사(代謝)와 관계(關係)있음을 시사(示唆)해 주

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Study on the Direction of Specialized Development for Andong City Cultural Industry Promotion District (안동시 문화산업진흥지구 특화발전 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Su-Bin;Kwon, Gi-Chang
    • 지역과문화
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2017
  • The 21st century recognizes culture as a high value-added strategic industry as it is called the culture era, and the cultural industry plays a role in driving regional economic development by raising the value added of other industries due to various ripple effects. As the institutional apparatus for developing such cultural industry, the Culture Industry Promotion Basic Law was enacted. Based on this, the Central Government designated the Jung-gu Dong and Seo-gu Dong as the Cultural Industry Promotion District of Andong City in 2010 but it has not been activated until 2017. The purpose of this study is understanding the situation and problems of the Cultural Industry Promotion District of Andong city and to discuss the direction of development. The research methods were analyzed by using questionnaires using AHP analysis technique for experts and practitioners related to culture industry. SPSS 23 was used for the validity and reliability of the questionnaire, and VBA was used for weighting and consistency index calculation in AHP analysis. As a result in the upper layer, Economy efficiency was found to be the most important factor of the three upper layer factors (Economy, Publicity, and Sociality) in order to activate the Cultural Industry Promotion District of Andong city. In the case of the Lieutenant layer, it is analyzed that the Job Creation is an important factor in the Economy category, the Settlement and Environment for Cultural Industry in the Publicity category, and the Activation of Urban Culture Activity in the Sociality category. As a result of analyzing the direction of promotion of the Cultural Industry Promotion District of Andong City centered on these factors, it concluded that the industry related to performance should be focused.

Determinants of Tourist Expenditure on 2013 Gangneung Dano Festival (2013 강릉단오제 관광객의 소비지출 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Ug-Yeong;Han, Jin-Young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2013
  • This paper analyzes determinants of tourist consumption in the case of 2013 Gangneung Dano Festival, based on the multiple regression model. We set 12 determinants of consumption such as income as explanatory variables and consumption expenditure as a dependent variable. Also Five kinds of categorical consumptions are estimated. Main results are the followings. First, income is the most important factor and shows positive effect in tourist consumption. Second, age and metropolitan area influence consumption positively. Third number of participating day and length of stay also influence consumption positively. Fourth, number of accompanying person shows negative effect on consumption. Fifth, male, married person, and lodge with own expense influence consumption positively. Finally, categorical consumption has its specific determinants distinct from common factors This paper can be applied to invent and implement efficient strategies for development in regional economies and tour industries.

Economic Impacts of Sea-level Rise and Optimal Protection on Jeju Island (해수면 상승에 따른 경제적 피해 비용 및 최적 해안 방어 비율 추정 -제주도를 대상으로-)

  • Min, Dongki;Cho, Kwangwoo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.127-145
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    • 2013
  • This study estimates the economic impact of sea-level rise on Jeju island and suggests the optimal protection level based on the FUND model. There exist a number of studies that estimate the impacts of sea-level rise on global scale, but their results are of limited use for local scale such as Korea. Therefore, this study applies some specific indicators and data of Korea into to FUND model for deriving site specific estimates. The results show that 2.01%~2.25% of land could be inundated by sea-level rise until 2100. The value of affected land is about 6.4%~7.2% of total land value. The discrepancy between the figures indicates that the area affected by sea-level rise is much more valuable than the rest of Jeju island. The optimal protection level in Jeju city is higher than that in Seguipo city, even though the coastal length of Jeju city is longer than that of Seguipo. This is due to the fact that the economic value of Jeju city is much higher than that of Seoguipo city.

A Case Study on Economic and Social Impact of K-University (ESI(사회경제적 영향)에 관한 K대학의 사례연구)

  • Park, Tae-Young;Shin, Hyo-Kyun
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2019
  • Universities need to contribute to the sustainable development of their communities, with a primary purpose of education and research. Recently, the Economic and Social Impact(ESI), a measure of sustainability of universities, has been emphasized, but there is a lack of research on this. Therefore, this study examined the ESI indicators of existing universities and introduced cases of ESI development applied to K-university. In this study, we reviewed the ESI literature, analyzed domestic and international cases, and conduct an analysis of economic effect. As a result, we developed ESI indicators that includes both supply and demand side effects, and proposed an ESI assessment method that distinguishes the influence of universities and their impact on the community. Therefore, it is meaningful that this is a case of how universities measured ESI and how to use it. Future research will require advancement of the university's ESI assessment methodology, development of multipliers appropriate for the university, and comprehensive ESI indexing.

The Economic Impacts of Water Supply Constraints During a Drought Using input-output Analysis (가뭄시 용수공급지장으로 인한 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Choe, Jang-Hwan;Heo, Eun-Nyeong;Sim, Myeong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.647-658
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the forward impact of water supply bottleneck using a supply-side input-output model. The failure cost analysed in this study can be used to estimate the values of the water supply reliability and can provide the bases of policy decision for the effective reallocation when water supply constraint will occur. So the position of water supply in the national economy is identified, and direct and indirect impacts are estimated by means of the interindustry analysis. Also the failure cost index is suggested to determine the prior order of water supply important in drought. By the way, the occurrence of drought having regional properties, the failure cost of the regional level using a national input-output table may be overestimated or underestimated. For the preceding reason, the failure cost estimated by a national input-output table is compared with and analysed to a regional input-output table for Kyung- Nam.g- Nam.

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Analyzing The Economic Impact of The Fire Risk Reduction at Regional Level in Goyang City (지역단위 화재 위험도 저감의 고양시 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Son, Minsu;Cho, Dongin;Park, Chang Keun;Ko, Hyun A;Jung, Seunghyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.685-693
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    • 2021
  • This study examined the fire risk of the region in Goyang City using the spatial information data of buildings. The economic damage by industry was assessed according to the probability of fire risk. The study area was confined to Goyang-si, Gyeonggi-do, and the same fire risk reduction rate was applied to each region for the convenience of analysis. The possibility of fire was derived based on the buildings' density and usage in the area by National GIS building-integrated information standard data. The calculation of economic damage by industry in Goyang City due to the fire risk was calculated by combining the Goyang-si industry-related model produced by matching with 30 industrial categories in Input-Output Statistics of Korea Bank and 20 industrial categories in the Goyang-si business survey and the possibility of fire. The basic scenario of production impossibility during six months and business loss due to fire was established and analyzed based on the supply model. The analysis showed that Ilsan-dong-gu, Ilsan-seo-gu, and Deokyang-gu suffered the most economic damage. The "electricity, gas, steam, and water business" showed the greatest loss by industry.