• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역경기변동

Search Result 105, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Leading, Coincident, Lagging INdicators to Analyze the Predictability of the Composite Regional Index Based on TCS Data (지역 경기종합지수 예측 가능성 검토를 위한 TCS 데이터 선행·동행·후행성 분석 연구)

  • Kang, Youjeong;Hong, Jungyeol;Na, Jieun;Kim, Dongho;Cheon, Seunghun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.209-220
    • /
    • 2022
  • With the worldwide spread of African swine fever, interest in livestock epidemics has increased. Livestock transport vehicles are the main cause of the spread of livestock epidemics, but there are no empirical quarantine procedures and standards related to the mobility of livestock transport vehicles in South Korea. This study extracted the trajectory of livestock-related vehicles using the facility-visit history data from the Korea Animal Health Integrated System and the DTG (Digital Tachograph) data from the Korea Transportation Safety Authority. The results are presented as exposure indices aggregating the link-time occupancy of each vehicle. As a result, 274,519 livestock-related vehicle trajectories were extracted, and the exposure values by link and zone were derived quantitatively. This study highlights the need for prior monitoring of livestock transport vehicles and the establishment of post-disaster prevention policies.

Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations of Land Price in Daegu Metropolitan City (대구시 지가의 시공간적 변화 탐색)

  • Kim, Kamyoung
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.414-432
    • /
    • 2012
  • Land price is a kind of text to read urban spatial structure. The purpose of this paper is to inquire into the characteristics of Daegu's urban structure and its change in time through exploring spatio-temporal variations of land price with a detailed spatial and temporal resolution. To achieve this, land value surfaces were represented using the officially assessed land price every other year from 1995 to 2011. Through mapping and exploring spatio-temporal patterns and fluctuation rates of land price for this period, changes in urban structure, the effects of local decision makings such as Greenbelt adjustment, housing site development, and gentrification, and the effects of business fluctuations or policies at global or national scales could be caught. In addition, the trends for suburbanization and multi-centric urban form could be examined from the results of a negative exponential model explaining the effect of distance from an urban center on spatial variation of land price. These results demonstrate that urban analysis using land price mirroring spatial decision making at various scales could deepen understanding for internal structure and change of a city and provide useful information for establishing regional and urban development policies and evaluating their effects.

  • PDF

Factor Prices and Markup in the Korean Manufacturing Industry: An Empirical Analysis 1975-2007 (한국의 생산요소가격 변화가 마크업의 변동에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증분석: 1975-2007)

  • Kang, Joo Hoon;Park, Sehoon
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.77-100
    • /
    • 2011
  • The Korean economy have experienced the remarkable decreases in factor prices such as bond yields, real wage since the IMF foreign exchange crisis. This paper investigates the effects of the price changes in the factor markets on determining the level and cyclicality of industrial markups in the manufacturing industry. For this purpose, we construct a markup equation in the small open economy based on the production function including foreign intermediate goods and assuming constant returns to scale technology and AR(1) process of technological coefficient. Empirical results are summarized as the followings. The empirical results shows that the increased markups after the IMF crisis can be explained by the price decreases in the factor markets which result in lowering marginal costs. And we also observed counter cyclicality of markup, labor share and interest rates while real wages, technical coefficients, and production price index proved to be pro-cyclical. In conclusion, the price changes in factor market have contributed to the stickiness in markup fluctuation in the manufacturing industry.

Numerical simulation of the change in groundwater level due to construction of the Giheung Tunnel (기흥터널 건설에 따른 지하수 변화 수치모델링)

  • Lee, Jeong-Hwan;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Jeong, Jae-Hyeong;Kim, Ki-Seok;Kim, Nam-Hoon;Kim, Gyoo-Bum
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.449-459
    • /
    • 2010
  • We performed numerical simulations of the excavation of an underground structure (the Giheung Tunnel) in order to evaluate the rate of groundwater flow into the structure and to estimate the groundwater level around the structure. The tunnel was constructed in Precambrian bedrock in Gyeonggi Province, South Korea. Geological and electrical resistivity data, as well as hydraulic test data, were used for the numerical modeling. The modeling took into account the strike-slip faults that cross the southern part of Giheung Tunnel, as these structures influence the discharge of groundwater into the tunnel. The transient modeling estimated a groundwater flow rate into the tunnel of $306\;m^3$/day, with a grout efficiency of 40%, yielding good agreement between the calculated change in groundwater level (6.20 m) and that observed (6.30 m) due to tunnel excavation.

The Effects of Bail-in System on SME's Loans (채권자 손실분담제도(Bail-in 제도)가 중소기업대출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sung Woo;Lee, Ki Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-59
    • /
    • 2018
  • After global financial crisis, policy makers in major countries tried to find a new bank recovery and resolution policy. The new policy intends to normalize the market not by bail-out approach in which public funds should be provided bankrupt banks, but by market discipline approach in which unsecured creditors take part in liquidation process. Bail-in system is a new and dominant financial policy after crisis period in resolution regimes led by the government administration. This study tries to analyze the relationship between bail-in system and pro-cyclicality. Empirical analysis has been done by taking the basis of the 8 year data from 2008 to 2015, which is selected from financial statistics information system of Korea Financial Supervisory Service. Accounting and financial data are collected from the dataguide 5.0 between 2008 and 2015. Through the analysis, the effect of bail-out system and bail-in system on pro-cyclicality of total loans did not show the statistically significant relationship. However the effect of bail-out system on pro-cyclicality of SME loans showed the statistically significant relationship, meanwhile the effect of bail-in system on pro-cyclicality of SME loans did not show the statistically significant relationship. In conclusion, bail-in system can be useful policy which improves the support and promotion of SMEs.

Improving Forecast Accuracy of City Gas Demand in Korea by Aggregating the Forecasts from the Demand Models of Seoul Metropolitan and the Other Local Areas (수도권과 지방권 수요예측모형을 통한 전국 도시가스수요전망의 예측력 향상)

  • Lee, Sungro
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.519-547
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper explores whether it is better to forecast city gas demand in Korea using national level data directly or, alternatively, construct forecasts from regional demand models and then aggregate these regional forecasts. In the regional model, we consider gas demand for Seoul metropolitan and the other local areas. Our forecast evaluation exercise for 2013-2016 shows the regional forecast model generally outperforms the national forecasting model. This result comes from the fact that the dynamic properties of each region's gas demands can be better taken into account in the regional demand model. More specifically, the share of residential gas demand in the Seoul metropolitan area is above 50%, and subsequently this demand is heavily influenced by temperature fluctuations. Conversely, the dominant portion of regional gas demand is due to industrial gas consumption. Moreover, electricity is regarded as a substitute for city gas in the residential sector, and industrial gas competes with certain oil products. Our empirical results show that a regional demand forecast model can be an effective alternative to the demand model based on nation-wide gas consumption and that regional information about gas demand is also useful for analyzing sectoral gas consumption.

The Changes in the Quality of Life Measure of the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 삶의 질 지수 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hyung;Chang, Hoon;Rho, Jin-A
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-37
    • /
    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to measure Quality of Life indices using Factor Analysis and Principle Component Analysis and to analyze the spatial patterns of Quality of life distribution in the Seoul Metropolitan Area in terms of spatial association using spatial statistics and spatial exploratory technique. In order to check the degree of clustering, this study used spatial autocorrelation indices, global Moran's I index. In addition, local scale analysis was conducted using Moran Scatterplot and Local Moran's I to identify the spatial association pattern and the high Quality of life. The analysis based on global statics showed that, in the Seoul Metropolitan Area, QoL Indices had been distributed with positive spatial association. According to the local spatial statistics, the general tendency of clustering H-H clusters which were mainly concentrated on the Seoul, L-H clusters were concentrated on the Kyunggi-Do and L-L Clusters showed the regional extent of lagging behind. However, in case of H-H, L-H Clusters they had been spread out in the Newtown as population increase.

The Correlation Between the Moving Average of Precipitation and Groundwater Level in Korea (한국의 지하수위와 강우이동평균간의 상관관계)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Kim, Nam-Ki
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.3B
    • /
    • pp.265-276
    • /
    • 2011
  • Precipitation data and groundwater level data were collected for Korean peninsular and Jeju island. The relationship between precipitation and groundwater level and the correlation between the moving average of precipitation and goundwater level were analyzed. Critical infiltration, which is the spatially averaged maximum daily infiltration depth over interested region, is considered when the precipitation data was modified for moving average process and correlation between the moving average of modified precipitation and groundwater level. High correlation regions, which have greater than 0.6 correlation coefficients, were selected after the analysis with ciritical infiltration. Twenty-six regions were selected for high correlation regions. If we divide the regions by administrative district, there are nine regions for Gyungsang-Do, five regions for Chunchung-Do, four regions for Gyunggi-Do and Gangwon-Do, three regions for Jolla-Do, and one region for Jeju island. The groundwater level data for high correlation regions shows obvious response after precipitation event and there are few cases with abrupt change in groundwater level without precipitation-related event.

Tests for Imbalance between Variations in Metropolis Housing Prices by Regulatory Realty Policies (부동산 규제정책에 따른 광역 주택가격의 변동간 불균형 검정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Ann, Ji-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.457-469
    • /
    • 2010
  • The government real estate policy has repeatedly relaxed and reinforced controls under the mutually contradictory targets. Switching over the supporting policy after the IMF crisis to the regulating policy from 2003, the government housing policy began to generate ill effects due to various regulations. This stud carefully investigates and statistically tests the transmissions of variations in the housing prices between the metropolitan areas in the early stage of the preceding administration, under the effect of the supporting scheme, and those in the late stage, under the effect of the restricting scheme. The distinctive feature between the two periods is found to be much simplified interrelationships of the price variations in the latter period. Consolidated leading role of capital sphere, by concentrated economic strength, suggest the obvious imbalance between variations in the metropolis housing prices.

Analysis on the Characteristics of PM10 Variation over South Korea from 2010 to 2014 using WRF-CMAQ: Focusing on the Analysis of Meteorological Factors (기상-대기질 모델을 활용한 2010~2014년 우리나라 PM10 변동 특성 분석: 기상 요인을 중심으로)

  • Nam, Ki-Pyo;Lee, Dae-Gyun;Park, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.27 no.5
    • /
    • pp.509-520
    • /
    • 2018
  • The impact of meteorological condition on surface $PM_{10}$ concentrations in South Korea was quantitatively simulated from 2010 to 2014 using WRF (ver.3.8.1) and CMAQ (5.0.2) model. The result showed that seasonal standard deviations of PM10 induced by change of weather conditions were $4.8{\mu}g/m^3$, $1.7{\mu}g/m^3$, $1.7{\mu}g/m^3$, $4.2{\mu}g/m^3$ for spring, summer, autumn and winter compared to 2010, respectively, with the annual mean standard deviation of about $2.6{\mu}g/m^3$. The results of 18 regions in South Korea showed standard deviation of more than $1{\mu}g/m^3$ in all regions and more than $2{\mu}g/m^3$ in Seoul, Northern Gyeonggi, Southern Southern Gyeonggi, Western Gangwon and Northern Chungcheong in South Korea.