• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역경기변동

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Distribution Characteristics of the Incised Meander Cutoff in Gyeonggi and Gangwon Provinces, Central Korea (경기${\cdot}$강원 지역 감입곡류 하천의 곡류절단면 분포 특성)

  • Lee Gwang-Ryul;Yoon Soon-Ock
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.39 no.6 s.105
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    • pp.845-862
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to investigate distribution characteristics of incised meander cutoff in Gyeonggi and Gangwon Provinces of Central Korea. The density of meander cutoff is highest in the mountain rivers including Naerin and Dongdae flowing on Jeongseon-gun and Inje-gun of Gangwon Province. Most of meander cutoff process has been occurred repeatedly during the Quaternary period, especially concentrated in the period of climatic change between glacial and interglacial stages. In the aspect of the lithology, the density of cutoff is highest in sedimentary rock, but lowest in igneous rock. As for geological structure, its frequency is high at $11{\sim}20km$ westerly away from the Taebaek Mountains, at subsequent channel, lower part of resequent channel, and channels crossing the fault line. The relation between distance from the Taebaek Mountains and altitude is very obvious at the western side of the Taebaek Mountains. The values of altitude, height from riverbed, and stream order are highest at sedimentary rock and lowest at volcanic rock.

An Analysis on the Influence of the Financial Market Fluctuations on the Housing Market before and after the Global Financial Crisis (글로벌 금융위기 전후 금융시장 변동이 주택시장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.480-488
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    • 2016
  • As the subprime mortgage crisis spread globally, it depressed not only the financial market, but also the construction business in Korea. In fact, according to CERIK, the BSI of the construction businesses plunged from 80 points in December 2006 to 14.6 points in November 2008, and the extent of the depression in the housing sector was particularly serious. In this respect, this paper analyzes the influence of the financial market fluctuation on the housing market before and after the Global Financial Crisis using VECM. The periods from January 2000 to December 2007 and January 2008 to October 2015, before and after the financial crisis, were set as Models 1 and 2, respectively. The results are as follows. First, when the economy is good, the Gangnam housing market is an attractive one for investment. However, when it is depressed, the Gangnam housing market changes in response to the macroeconomic fluctuations. Second, the Gangbuk and Gangnam housing markets showed different responses to fluctuations in the financial market. Third, when the economy is bad, the effect of low interest rates is limited, due to the housing market risk.

Temporal and Spatial Variations of Precipitation in South Korea for Recent 30 Years (1976-2005) and Geographic Environments (최근 30년간(1976-2005) 우리나라 강수의 시.공간변동과 지리환경)

  • Hong, Ki-Ok;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Rha, Deuk-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.433-449
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    • 2006
  • Temporal and spatial variations of precipitation in South Korea are investigated using 60 observation data of the recent 30-years from 1976 to 2005. The area averaged annual precipitation amount is about 1310 mm and shows a strong spatial variation, maximum at the southern and Kyoungki province (>1300 mm) and minimum at the Kyungpook province(<1100 mm). The precipitation days show a strong spatial variation with maximum at the Sobaik mountain region(>100 days) and minimum at the Kyungpook province (<90 days). The interannual variations (IAV) of precipitation amount and days are more significant at the southern and eastern part of Sobaik and Taebaik mountain, and along the Sobaik mountain, respectively. So, the difference of annual precipitation amount reaches to about 800mm between wet and dry years at the southern part of Korean peninsula. Whereas, the IAV of precipitation intensity is strong at the southern and middle part of South Korea with a minimum between two maxima. Also, seasonal variations are closely linked with the geographic environments (elevation, distance from ocean, location relative to the Taebaik mountain). Therefore, maximum and minimum of seasonal variations of precipitation are occurred at the northern inland region (ratio of summer to the annual precipitation (RSAP) is greater than 60%), eastern and southern coastal regions (RSAP is less than 53%),respectively. And the RSAP is slightly increased from 50% to 55% comparing the Ho and Kang (1988). The consistent and strong positive relation between the heavy rainfalls, the ratio of heavy rainfalls to annual precipitation and the annual precipitation indicates that heavy rainfall is more frequent and strong at the maximum annual precipitation region.

Industrial Path Changes in Shipbuilding Cities: Focusing on the Decline of the Shipbuilding Industry Since 2010s (조선업 특화 도시의 산업 경로 변화: 2010년대 이후 조선업 불황을 중심으로)

  • Byeungok Ko;Yangmi Koo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.73-95
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the industrial structural changes and types of specialized in the shipbuilding cities, which are representative sectors of industrial city decline, and explore regional responses. Most cities designated as special areas for industrial crisis response in 2018 are specialized in shipbuilding. While the shift from prosperity to recession since the 2010s is the main factor, each city has responded differently to the industrial crisis. The analysis, targeting seven shipbuilding cities, shows that regions where large shipyards of major corporations with high industrial competitiveness are located have relatively less decline during business fluctuations, and there is a tendency for a decrease in industrial structural diversity during prosperous periods and an increase during recessionary periods. Based on the resistance and recoverability to industrial crises, the industrial paths of shipbuilding cities are classified into four types. Considering regional industrial structure and competitiveness, it is necessary to develop customized support strategies such as maintaining and declining shipbuilding industries and fostering new alternative industries.

Relationship between Real Estate Market and MBS Prepayment, and its Policy Implication (부동산 경기 변동과 MBS 조기상환의 관계, 그리고 그 정책적 함의)

  • Han, Sang-Hyun;Wang, Peng;Lee, Chang-Soo;Kang, Myoung-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2015
  • Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) was introduced in 1999 in order to stabilize housing market and prevent potential speculation. However, research on MBS is limited, so this paper try to narrow the gap by focusing on the factors relating the pre-payment risk of MBS. We used Granger Causality Validation, Vector Auto Regressive, and HP-filtering with time-series data from 2004 to 2014. This paper shows that the prepayment rate of MBS increases as Mortgage rate decreases because borrowers tend to refinance existing MBS with new lower-rate MBS. In addition, it reveals that the rate increases as housing price increases. This outcome support the hypothesis that introduction of low-rate MBS invites more investment or speculation, and hence the housing price rises. The relationship between the MBS pre-payment rate and housing price is yet a peculiar characteristic of the MBS in Korea.

남북공유하천의 문제점과 협력 방안_2주제: 임진강 유량감소와 대응 방안

  • Song, Mi-Yeong;Lee, Gi-Yeong;Baek, Gyeong-O
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.646-646
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    • 2015
  • 임진강은 북한지역이 유역면적의 60%에 달하고 2000년대 초부터 북한의 4월5일 댐과 황강댐과 남한의 군남과 한탄강 홍수조절지로 인해 물의 흐름과 강의 모습이 급격히 변화하고 있다. 기후변화 측면에서도 한반도 중부지역으로 기온 증가와 계절별 유출량, 특히 봄철의 유출량 감소가 전망되는 지역이다. 임진강 본류 유량 감소는 북한 측의 영향은 자료가 전무하고, 남측에서는 횡산, 군남 등 일부 수위표 자료만이 가용한 수준이다. 현재까지 자료로 보면, 2014년에 연강수량이 예년의 50% 수준이었던 점이 본류 유량 감소의 주 원인이었고, 다른 원인은 군남 홍수조절지의 저류 수준이 그 직하류 유량 변동에 영향을 미치고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 유량감소 영향은 2014년 장단반도 일대 파주지역에서 가장 극심하였고, 유량 감소와 연동된 염도 변동이 가중되면서 모내기철 농업용수 공급이 어려웠다. 유량 감소 피해는 농업보다 어업분야에서 그 체감 정도가 극심하였고 경제적 피해도 심각했다. 체감하는 주민들 대부분은 댐 건설 이후 하도와 수변의 침식과 퇴적 등 하천의 역동성이 변화함을 느끼고 있고, 그로 인해 어업과 수생태계가 지속가능성하지 않을 거라는 우려가 팽배해 지고 있다. 지금까지 파악된 임진강 유량 감소의 수준과 피해 정도가 앞으로 어떻게 변화될지, 그 수준, 심각성, 경제적 피해와 환경적 가치나 서비스 제약 등에 대해 면밀한 검토가 필요하다. 하천의 흐름이 단절, 변경되어 야기되는 직간접적 변화를 인정하고 이를 지속가능하게 보완할 방안이 논의되어야 할 시점이다. 무엇보다 수환경과 수생태계의 변화 정도를 파악하기 위한 장기모니터링이 절실하고 그 결과의 해석을 통해 새로운 대안을 모색해 나가야 할 것이다. 2014년 혹은 그보다 심각한 강우량 감소 재현을 대비하고, 기후변화와 남북한 문제까지를 고려한 임진강 관리가 필요하다. 단기적으로는 농업용수 공급을 위해 하천 본류는 물론 가용한 저수지, 지하수 등 대체 자원을 적극 활용하는 등 비상급수체계를 운영해야 한다. 그러나 기후변화 등 장래 여건이 수량 압박을 가중할 것을 고려, 유역의 용수수급과 변동성에 대한 재평가가 시급하다. 보다 면밀한 평가는 횡산, 군남 등을 포함한 남북유역의 상황을 장기모니터링하고 북한 지역의 기초 자료 확보를 위한 여건을 마련해야 한다. 보다 합리적 분석을 위해 임진강 수계와 유역을 국가하천에서 국제하천으로 격상하는 방안이나, DMZ와 연계한 남북공유 하천으로 관리하는 등의 새로운 대안이 절실하다. 국제수로협약 등을 통해 접경지역의 하천관리를 공동으로 하고 있는 외국 사례의 시사점도 접목해 볼 필요가 있다. 무엇보다 임진강 관리를 좀 더 제도적 틀안에서 확립해 가기 위해 지역정부로서의 경기도, 중앙정부 주체로 국토부와 통일부가 보다 협력적인 관계 정립과 역할 배분을 논의해야 한다.

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A study on the change of total fertility rate in regional level : An analysis using the panel data

  • Kim, Dokyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2021
  • This study aims at exploring the change of the total fertility rate(TFR) in regional level and analysing what different effects the local labor market and housing market have on the change of TFR. Previous studies have emphasized that the job and housing issues of the youth are structural factors on the decline of TFR. However, considering that youth problem is variant in local level, the relationship of job and housing issues with TFR could be different in local level. This study analyses what effects the situation of local labor market and housing market have on the TFR from 2012 to 2018 in regional level. The result is that the employment and housing factors have different effects on capital areas and non-capital areas. While the high cost of housing has negative effects on TFR in capital areas, it has rather positive effects in non-capital areas. However, labor market variables have statistically insignificant effects on TFR.

The Regional Economic Growth Strategy Based on the Characteristics of Local Public Finance of Gyeonggi-do (경기도 재정력 변동의 특성에 따른 경제성장 전략 연구 -다양한 지역구분에 따른 실증분석-)

  • Park, Wan Kyu;Ji, Ann Cho;Song, Il Hwan
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.84-104
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we divided Gyeonggi-do into Northern, Southern, Western, and Eastern Parts and found out fiscal variables which affected regional economic growth of each Part differentially. And we drew the strategy for economic growth of each Part. After we found out the variables which affected regional economic growth using fixed-effect model, we carried out causality test to determine whether a specific fiscal variable caused economic growth. In the Eastern Part, local tax revenues had a significant effect on the economic growth. Total expenditures, current expenditure in the Southern Part and social welfare expenditure, expenditure on industries, current expenditure in the Northern Part had noticeable effects on economic growth respectively. And we calculated multipliers of fiscal variables to compare the magnitudes of effects among these Parts.

Sea Level Change during the Middle Holocene at Bibong-ri, Changnyeong-gun, Gyeongsangnam-do, South Korea (창녕 비봉리 지역의 Holocene 중기 해수면변동)

  • Hwang, Sangill;Kim, Jeong-Yun;Yoon, Soon-Ock
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.837-855
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    • 2013
  • The remains and relics such as wood vessel, shell middens and acorn hollows related to marine environments were excavated at Bibong-ri, Changnyeong-gun, Gyeongsangnam-do, South Korea, approximately 70km apart from the Nakdong River mouth. The sea-level changes were reconstructed based on characteristics of shell middens and acorn hollows, sedimentary facies, AMS dating, and diatom analysis. The shell middens and acorn hollows were constructed during the early Neolithic Age and provide information on the paleo-sea level, because of influences of marine processes. The sedimentary facies are classified into a bedrock, base gravel and Holocene sediment (marine, terrestrial and back marsh sediments), upward. The sea level fluctuated during the middle Holocene is in harmony with those in Sejuk-ri, Ulsan and Pyeongtaek. In particular, the sea level at Bibong-ri of study area was higher than the mean high tidal level in Gimhae by approximately 1m during 5,000yr BP and maintained the stable condition during 4,000yr BP.

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Characteristics of Sea Surface Temperature Variation during the High Impact Weather over the Korean Peninsula (한반도에서 위험기상 발생 시 나타나는 해수면온도 변동의 특성)

  • Jung, Eunsil
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.240-258
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    • 2019
  • Typhoons, torrential rainfall, and heavy snowfall cause catastrophic losses each year in the Republic of Korea. Therefore, if we can know the possibility of this phenomenon in advance through regular observations, it will be greatly beneficial to Korean society. Korea is surrounded by sea on its three sides, and the sea surface temperature (SST) directly or indirectly affects the development of typhoons, heavy rainfall, and heavy snowfall. Therefore, the characteristics of SST variability related to the high impact weather are investigated in this paper. The heavy rainfall in Korea was distributed around Seoul, Gyeonggi, and west and southern coast. The heavy snowfall occurred mainly in the eastern coastal (hereafter Youngdong Heavy Snow) and the southwestern region (hereafter Honam-type heavy snow). The SST variability was slightly different depending on the type and major occurrence regions of the high impact weather. When the torrential rain occurred, the SST variability was significantly increased in the regions extending to Jindo-Jeju island-Ieodo-Shanghai in China. When the heavy snow occurred, the SST variability has reduced in the southern sea of Jeju island, regardless of the type of heavy snowfall, whereas the SST variability has increased in the East Sea near $130^{\circ}E$ and $39^{\circ}N$. Areas with high SST variability are anticipated to be used as a basis for studying the atmospheric-oceanic interaction mechanism as well as for determining the background atmospheric aerosol observation area.