• The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.101-115
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• 2024

The ocean heatwave is emerging as a major issue due to global warming, posing a direct threat to marine ecosystems and humanity through decreased food resources and reduced carbon absorption capacity of the oceans. Consequently, the prediction of ocean heatwaves in the vicinity of the Korean Peninsula is becoming increasingly important for marine environmental monitoring and management. In this study, an LSTM model was developed to improve the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system of the Korean Peninsula Ocean Prediction System. Based on the results of ocean heatwave predictions for the Korean Peninsula conducted in 2023, as well as those generated by the LSTM model, the performance of heatwave predictions in the East Sea, Yellow Sea, and South Sea areas surrounding the Korean Peninsula was evaluated. The LSTM model developed in this study significantly improved the prediction performance of sea surface temperatures during periods of temperature increase in all three regions. However, its effectiveness in improving prediction performance during periods of temperature decrease or before temperature rise initiation was limited. This demonstrates the potential of the LSTM model to address the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system during periods of enhanced stratification. It is anticipated that the utility of data-driven artificial intelligence models will expand in the future to improve the prediction performance of dynamical models or even replace them.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.192-202
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• 2014

The purpose of this study was to investigate high school students' conception of conservation of mass through the scenario of carbon emission in terms of carbon cycle. Seventy six high school students of 11th grade were participated in this study. Participants were provided with two scenarios that showed a gradual increase and decrease of atmospheric $CO_2$ amount from the level recorded in 2013 up to 450 ppm and to 340 ppm by 2110, which is the changes of around 15%. We asked participants to explain the reason after having them draw the emissions trajectory of $CO_2$ according to scenario. Most participants thought that carbon emission would continue to increase despite the two scenarios of carbon emission making sense in terms of conservation of mass between emissions and the natural removal of carbon dioxide. This implies that participants came to think of pattern matching that carbon emission would continue to increase as they used correlation graphs of carbon emission: that is, the graphs of the evolution of anthropogenic emissions, of atmospheric $CO_2$, and of global mean temperature, from the beginning of the Industrial Revolution up to date, all of which are shown in high school earth science textbooks.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.347-356
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• 2001

Even though the increase of greenhouse gases such as $CO_2$ is thought to be the main cause for global warming, its impact on global climate has not been revealed clearly in rather quantitative manners. However, researches using Genral Circulation Model(GCM) has shown that the accumulation of greenhouse gases increases the global mean temperature, which in turn impacts on the global water circulation pattern. A climate predictive capability is limited by lack of understanding of the different process governing the climate and hydrologic systems. The prediction of the complex responses of the fully coupled climate and hydrologic systems can be achieved only through development of models that adequately describe the relevant process at a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. These models must ultimately couple the atmospheres, oceans, and lad and will involve many submodels that properly represent the individual processes at work within the coupled components of systems. So far, there are no climate and related hydrologic models except local rainfall-runoff models in Korea. The purpose of this research is to predict the change of temperature in Korean Peninsula using regional scale model(IRSHAM96 model) and GCM data obtained from the increasing scenarios of $CO_2$ Korean Peninsula increased by $2.5^{\circ}C$ and the duration of Winter in $lxCO_2$ condition would be shorter the $2xCo_2$ condition due to global warming.

• Resources Recycling
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.3-17
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• 2021

Currently, there is a drain of natural resources, environmental contamination, generation of waste, and problems of the earth's climate by CO₂ emissions according to mass production and overconsumption of mankind. It is effectuated by a linear economy that involves manufacturing products, use, and waste repeatedly; there is no guarantee in the lives of humans and the future of the globe if we do not find alternative proposals. For a sustainable developing society and to overcome the present global problems, we must successively change to a circular economy from a linear economy. The circular economy has the concept of an extended value chain in recovery, reuse, remanufacturing, and recycling, instead of discarding after the use of manufactured goods. New business models of circular economy have been realized to save the earth ecology and sustainable developing society in serious recognition of the linear economy system. New business models are established by creating a vision and developing a program, and by renovating technology, law, and financial support through a worldwide government policy.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.320-320
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• 2012

수문학적 의미의 일반적인 물순환은 증발, 응결, 강수 등 태양에너지와 중력에 의해 전지구적으로 반복되는 물의 재생산과정을 의미한다. 최근 들어 토목분야에서 언급되기 시작한 물순환시스템은 수문학적인 물수지(water balance)에 저류, 공급, 처리, 재이용 등 인공적인 요소를 감안하여 대상지역의 적절한 수요, 공급을 유지하는 시스템을 의미한다. 생활에서 물이 차지하는 중요성을 감안할 때, 지역의 수문학적 특성과 문화, 경제적 여건을 고려한 효율적인 물순환시스템의 구축은 지역발전의 정도를 가늠할 수 있는 지표라 할 수 있다. 본 연구는 물산업 선진국인 영국과 미국의 지역 물순환시스템 설계사례를 조사하고 초기단계인 국내사례와 비교하여 향후 설계지침 개발의 기초자료로 활용하기 위하여 수행되었다. 선진사례 조사는 2009년 이후 미국과 영국에서 수행된 세 건의 물순환 현황조사(water cycle study)와 미국에서 개발된 설계최적화 프로그램을 분석하였고, 국내사례로는 파주운정지구와 광교신도시 개발 시 수행된 물순환시스템 구축사례를 조사하였다. 해외 선진국 사례조사 결과, 물순환시스템 구축은 공통적으로 물순환망 현황조사, 물순환 계획수립, 지역현황 조사, 적용가능 기술조사, 설계 등 5단계를 거쳐 수행되었다. 이 중 가장 중요한 단계는 지역의 물수지와 가용 물 수요 및 공급 시스템을 조사하는 물순환망 현황조사로, 지역의 needs를 정확히 파악하고 양적, 질적 공급목표를 적절하게 선정하여 가장 효율적인 물순환망 계획을 수립하는 바탕이 되었다. 지역현황은 지역 법규 및 투자계획, 사회변화 예측 등 사회적 요소를 고려하는 단계로, 물순환 설계 선진사의 설계 최적화 프로그램의 경우 이러한 지역현황과 사회적 변화 예측의 반영에서 차별성을 갖고 있었다. 적용가능 기술조사의 경우 친환경, 저에너지 기술이 부각되던 추세에서 최근에는 지속가능성이 주요 고려사항 이었다. 국내사업 사례의 경우 규모가 작아 직접적인 비교가 불가하였으나, 5단계의 복잡한 최적화단계가 아닌 물순환망 분석결과와 이해당사자(stakeholders)의 needs를 바탕으로 치수안정성, 친수환경 보장 등의 목표를 수립하였다. 국내에서도 향 후 유역규모(watershed scale)의 대형 물순환기반 복합개발사업이나 대규모 해외사업 참여 시 필요한 기술력 축적의 차원에서 단계별 check list를 포함한 한차원 높은 물순환 설계지침 마련이 필요한 시점이라 하겠다.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.653-658
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• 2006

The seasonal predictability of typhoon activity over the western North Pacific is investigated using an atmospheric general circulation model GCPS. A ten-member ensemble with different initial conditions is integrated for five months using observed sea surface temperature data for each year from 1979 to 2003. It is shown that the monthly variation of occurrence frequency of simulated tropical storms and the distribution of tropical storm genesis location are similar to those of observed tropical storms, but the model is unable to reliably predict the interannual variation of the occurrence frequency of tropical storms. This is largely because the observed relationship between tropical storm occurrence frequency and ENSO is different from the simulated one. Unlike the observation, in which the tropical storm occurrence frequency has no relation to ENSO, the model has a tendency to generate more (less) tropical storms than normal during El Nino (La Nina). On the other hand, the interannual variation of the mean longitude of tropical storms that shows a close connection with ENSO in both observations and simulations is simulated similar to the observation.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.282-293
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• 2009

This study examines the effects of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) or the Intraseasonal Oscillation (ISO) on precipitation, temperature and circulation anomalies over East Asia according to the eight different MJO phases during the winter and summer seasons. A nonlinear response appears the wintertime precipitation pattern during the phase of 3 (where the MJO center is located over the Eastern Indian Ocean) and 8 (where the MJO center is located over the Western Hemisphere) over the Korean Peninsula. That is, for these phases, the positive precipitation anomalies appear for the MJO intensity less than 2 standard deviations while the negative precipitation anomalies appear in the case of the MJO intensity greater than 2 standard deviations. The negative precipitation anomaly in the latter case is duandard d stronger anomalous anticyclone formed over the Korean Peninsula and cold and dry advection by northerly winds. The response of precipitation and circulation to the boreal summer ISO is also investigated.

• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.1-8
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• 2003

The periodic safety review of operational nuclear power plants requires that the plants should keep a well organized environmental monitoring program. The past records of environment monitoring data were analyzed. and the tritium concentrations of the samples in the surface and ground water around Kori site were measured. It was shown that the tritium concentrations around the Kori site were slightly higher than that of natural background. The change of background tritium concentration was estimated through a numerical modeling. Two different versions of 7 compartments model - the world and the northern hemisphere - defined in NCRP-62 were modeled for the global tritium cycling. The numerical solution of the model was obtained using a computer program, AMBER. The four cases of tritium source-terms into the atmosphere were considered. The results showed that the tritium concentration in the surface soil water was higher than that in sea water or surface stream water. Also, it was shown that the tritium produced by the interaction between cosmic rays and the gases were the major source of tritium, and the tritium produced by nuclear weapon test decreased considerably.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.104-104
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• 2020

강수량은 수문 순환의 결정적인 연결 고리이며 공간적, 시간적 변화는 매우 크며, 또한 전 세계적인 범위의 강수량 자료는 지구상의 수문 순환에 대한 이해와 날씨 및 기후 예측을 위해 필요하다. 그리고 지역적 강수량에 대한 지식은 사회 복지에 필수적이다. 지상에 있는 강우관소에서 관측된 강우는 본질적으로 강우의 공간적 불균일성을 반영하기 어려우며, 관측 주기가 하루 이상으로 긴 경우에는 홍수와 연계한 생태-수문학 연구에 적용하는데 한계가 있다. 또한, 지상계측 방법은 해양, 극지방 및 산악지역의 강수량을 관찰하는데 어려움이 있다. 이에 반하여 원격탐사 기술은 지구 강수를 관찰하는데 많은 도움을 주는 기술로 인식되고 있다. 위성자료를 이용한 강우 추정은 지상 강우관측소 및 기상레이더와 비교하여 광역적 공간범위를 대상으로 하며, 지속적이고 균일한 강우를 생산한다는 장점을 갖고 있다(Hong et al. 2016). 위성강우 자료는 일반적으로 전 세계 강수량에 대한 지식과 글로벌 수문순환에 대한 연구를 촉진하고 있으며, 특히, 동아시아, 동남아시아, 아프리카 등지에는 수문학적 미계측 지역이 많기 때문에 위성강우 자료를 이용한 강수량 평가에 대한 연구가 다수 진행되고 있다(Hoscilo et al., 2015; Dembélé et al., 2016; Dandridge et al., 2019; Kim et al., 2019; Yuan et al., 2019). 본 연구는 위성으로부터 유도된 강수자료 중 NASA의 IMERG, NOAA의 CMORPH, 그리고 일본 JAXA의 GSMaP의 위성강우자료와 국내의 ASOS 시간강우자료의 비교를 통해 위성강우의 정확도를 평가하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 분석 결과 총강우에 대한 편이는 그림 1에서 보는바와 같이 CMORPH가 가장 작고 가장 최근에 제공되기 시작한 IMERG 강수자료가 가장 큰 것으로 분석되었다. 지상계측강우와의 상관계수는 1시간 및 3시간의 시간해상도에서 2019년 18호 태풍 미탁(Mitak)의 경우 IMERG 및 GSMaP 각각 0.63 및 0.60와 0.73 및 0.70으로 분석되었다.

• The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.239-243
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• 2007

Presence of bottom water nitrite in the Ulleung Basin was remarkable because it is totally unexpected phenomenon at such an oxygen-rich environment. Yet no scientific explanation was set forward. Of several plausible explanations, following the Ockham's suggestion, a leaching of nitrite as an intermediate product of denitrification in the top sediment at the slope is most agreeable to given environmental settings. There seems no complementary process to make up the loss of N in the Ulleung Basin, which seems contribute to the characteristically low N:P ratio in the deep waters. If warming proceeds that weakens the thermohaline circulation, a current biological pump may stall and the phytoplankton assemblage might replaced drastically. If so this will pause an utmost challenge to the ecosystem of the East/Japan Sea. Still there remains a contradictory sedimentary signature that requests further explanation regarding the N (or organic C)-cycle such as extraordinarily high organic carbon content despite abundant oxidants in the overlying waters.