• Title/Summary/Keyword: 증감요인

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A Study on the Estimation of the Contingency by the Regression Analysis on the Apartment (회귀분석을 통한 공동주택 공사예비비 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Man-Hee;Lee Hak-ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.226-229
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    • 2003
  • Construction manager must consider the possibility on the failure of the project in advance and the contingency to provide against the situation, those of which is a dangerous condition not to predict. If they have a quick decision without understanding the contingency, the over-cost in the total cost would be continuously accumulated, and be a barrier at a project going in progress. A various risk could not be coped with at a time to decide either going or sloping the project until the contingency is applied from the first step to progress the project. But a case to apply the contingency to the construction for the investment or the analysis of the project is a little. The process to evaluate it is also absent. The propose of this paper is the followed ; To establish the total cost including the risk first of all, devide into plus or minus factor of the cost, and then the process to calculate the contingency must be suggested by the regression analysis.

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An analytic Study on Elementary School Students Number of increasing and decreasing Trends in first Satellite Cities (1기 신도시 초등학교별 학생수 증감 추세 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Yong-Gi
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2015
  • Despite the sharp decline of students in our country it has been a surge in new school needs. First, 88 elementary schools survey results, 80 percent plunge and students, and the school was very serious caused by an empty classroom. Second, Students period leading to utilization peaks were consuming on average 5.7 years. Third, Period average reception rate with more than 90% is 5.7 years, more than 80% is 9.1 years, more than 70% was 12.3 years, 60% or more was 14.6 years, 50% or more is 16.6 years, at least 40% is 18.4, 30 % to 18.9 years, 20% or more was found to take is 20.5 years. Therefore, separated by urban and rural areas, urban areas are re-city redevelopment, renovation areas, separated by the old downtown areas and large-scale land development district, Newtown areas such as the restructuring of the school establishment or enlargement of a building and renovation, before relocation, consolidation the overall review will be made.

Estimation of irrigation water need with climate change in Jeju Island (기후변화에 따른 제주도 농업용수 수요량 변화 추정)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Kim, Nam-Won;Cho, Jaepil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.459-459
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 순물소모량 개념의 농업용수 수요량 추정방법을 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 제주도의 미래 수요량 변화를 추정 분석하였다. 지하수를 주 수원으로 하고 관정에 의한 밭작물 위주의 작물재배와, 일정 규모 이상의 강우시에만 유출이 발생하며, 유출량의 대부분이 지하수로 침투되는 물순환 특성 등을 고려할 수 있는 제주도 지역에 적합한 순물소모량 산정방법을 적용하였다. 순물소모량 산정에 필요한 실제증발산량 및 잠재증발산량 등은 유역모형인 SWAT을 이용하여 산정하였다. SWAT 모형의 구동에 필요한 미래 기후자료는 10개의 대표적인 대순환모델(General Circulation Model, GCM) 결과로부터 상세화(Downscaling) 기법을 통해 적용하였으며, RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 시나리오를 중심으로 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향을 분석하였다. 미래(2010-2099)의 수문성분별 변화를 살펴본 결과, 연도별 증감과 GCM 모델별 차이는 있으나, 평균적으로 강수량, 잠재증발산량, 실제증발산량, 함양량 등이 점차 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며, RCP 4.5보다는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 증가현상이 좀 더 크게 나타났다. 순물소모량 또한 2010년에 비해 2099년을 기준으로 약 100~200mm 정도 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 증가폭이 크게 나타났다. 그러나 이는 자연적인 기후변화에 따른 단위면적당 순물소모량으로서, 인위적인 요인인 농업형태의 변화(관개면적의 증감, 작물품종의 변화, 인위적 용수절감 등)에 따라 실제 지역별 농업용수 수요량은 다른 경향을 나타낼 수도 있다. 특히 농업용수는 계절별, 지역별 편차가 크게 나타나므로, 자연적 조건에 의한 가용수자원량과 지역별 공급시설에 의한 용수공급량 및 수요예측량의 상호분석을 통해 안정적 물수급을 위한 대응책 마련이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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A Comparative Study on Elderly Suicide Rates in Korea and the United States and Its Implications (한·미 노인자살률의 비교 연구와 정책적 시사점)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 2016
  • Any comparative study has not been done between Korea and a certain country about the social economic factors of elderly suicide rates, even though there has been comparative studies among several nations. Therefore, this study is going to reveal how the macro-social economic factors are related to elderly suicide rates based on Korea and the United States, which show great gap of elderly suicide rate and have completely different aspect of increasing and decreasing rate of elderly suicide, as members of OECD. For this, trend analysis has been done between elderly suicide rates of both Korea and the United States for the past twenty years(1990-2009) and social economic factors, and correlation analysis also has been done at the same time. After all, this study is going to suggest policy implications for the prevention of elderly suicide in our society based on the results of the analysis.

Productivity Evaluation and Factor Analysis in Commercial Road Freight Transport Industry (영업용 도로화물운송업의 생산 효율성 평가 및 영향요인 분석)

  • Han, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this paper is to evaluate production efficiency of the commercial road freight transportation industry using quarterly actual data by individual truck drivers from January 2005 to September 2009. In addition, this study analyzes various impact factors that influence production efficiency, including regulatory factors (e.g., entrust management system and multi-level transactions). For this purpose, this study uses data envelopment analysis and a truncated Tobit model. As a result, production efficiency of the general freight sector is higher than those of the other two sectors. Also, production efficiency in the steel goods sector ranks the highest; meanwhile, production efficiency in the oil goods sector ranks the lowest. In particular, production efficiency indicators of the commercial road freight transportation industry fluctuate with time by a small margin, and have an upward tendency on the whole. Finally, some policy implications are given to promote production efficiency of the commercial road freight transportation industry.

System-optimal route choice model based on Environmental cost using 3D Road Information (3차원 도로정보를 이용한 환경비용측면에서의 최적 노선 선택모형연구)

  • Chang, Yo-Han;Han, Dong-Yeob;Kim, Dae-Hyon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.335-336
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    • 2008
  • 최근 ITS(Intelligent Transportation Systems)의 보급으로 개인의 기-종점 간 통행시간에 많은 비용절감을 가져왔다. 지금까지의 주요 최단경로알고리즘은 네트워크의 기-종점(Origin-Destination) 거리 간 최단 통행시간을 고려하여 연구되어 왔다. 하지만, 최근 대두되는 고유가 시대의 진입과 더불어 환경에 대한 인식이 높아짐에 따라 기-종점 간 통행시간만을 고려하던 기존의 방법들에서 벗어나 추가적인 요인들의 고려 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지리정보시스템을 이용한 환경오염을 최소화하는 친환경 최단경로 탐색방법 개발을 제안하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 3D 좌표정보 도로를 활용하여, 도로구배 조건에 따른 배출가스의 증감율을 환경오염편익으로 구분하고, 이를 사회적비용으로 환산하여, 경로탐색의 추가적인 요소로 반영하였다.

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A Study on the Mismatch of Sound Speed Profile in Source Localization Based on MFP (수직선배열센서를 이용한 정합장처리에서 음속분포 오정합에 의한 음원 위치추정에 관한 연구)

  • Byun Yang-Hun;Park Jae-Eun;Kim Jea-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • spring
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    • pp.210-213
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    • 1999
  • 수동소나체계에서 음원의 위치와 관련된 매개변수를 산출하기 위해 정합장처리(Matched Field Processing)가 이용된다 본 연구에서는 수직선배열센서를 이용한 정합장처리에서 음원 위치추정에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요인 중, 수직음속분포 오정합(mismatch)에 의한 영향을 MV 프로세서 (Minimum Variance Processor)를 이용하여 모의실험함으로써 그 결과를 분석하였다. 천해 모의환경에서 동일한 기울기로 증감하는 수직음속분포 오정합은 음원 위치추정에서 거리성분의 오차를 가지며, 상이한 기울기를 갖는 수직음속분포 오정합은 거리와 수심 성분의 오차가 유발됨을 확인할 수 있었다. 심해 모의 환경에서 수직음속분포 오정합은 거리와 수심 성분의 오차가 유발되고, 거리추정의 전반적인 경향은 천해의 동일한 기울기를 가지는 경우와 유사함을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Examination of Seawater Along the Coast from Pusan to Wulnae (부산, 월내간 해수의 수질조사(해수의 방사능을 중심으로))

  • CHANG Jeewon;BAE Samchnl
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.51-53
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    • 1968
  • The distribution of the radioactivity of seawater along the coast and the adjacent sea of Korea has not been reported. Therefore it is neccessary to investigate this to give the basic data for reference in the field of the project applying atomic energy. A power plant of atomic energy projected by the government of R. O. K., and the Atomic Energy Agency has commenced to make general survey in geographical, meteorological and oceanographical aspects of proposed sites for it. It is a part of that survey in the field of the oceanographical investigation. The results of examination of sea water near those sites together with the fresh water of the rivers in those area are reported in this paper.

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Wintering Population Change of the Cranes according to the Climatic Factors in Cheorwon, Korea: Effect of the Snow Cover Range and Period by Using MODIS Satellite Data (기후요인에 의한 철원지역 두루미류 월동개체수 변화 - MODIS 위성영상을 이용한 눈 덮임 범위와 지속기간의 영향 -)

  • Yoo, Seung-Hwa;Lee, Ki-Sup;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kim, Hwa-Jung;Hur, Wee-Haeng;Kim, Jin-Han;Park, Chong-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.176-187
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we hypothesized that the size of wintering crane population would change due to the climate factors. We assumed that wintering population size would differ by climate values in January, which is the coldest period in year. Especially, White-naped cranes were able to choose wintering site between Cheorwon and other alternative place where snow coverage had low influence, differing from Red crowned cranes. For this reason, we predicted the population size of White-naped cranes would fluctuate according to the extent of snow coverage in Cheorwon. Therefore we used snow coverage data based on MODIS and climate data from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) that are generally used. We analyzed the crane's population size in Cheorwon in January from 2002 to 2014. The temperature in the Cheorwon increased from 2002 to wintering period in 2007~ 2008 and went down, showing the lowest temperature in 2011~ 2012. With this phenomenon, warmth index showed the similar pattern with temperature. Amount of newly accumulated snow (the amount of snow that fallen from 0:01 am to 11:29 pm in a day) was low after 2002, but rapidly increased in 2010~ 2011 and 2011~ 2012. The area of snow coverage rapidly declined from 2002 to 2005~ 2006 but suddenly expanded in wintering period in 2009~ 2010 and 2010~ 2011. Wintering population size of the White-naped cranes decreased as snow coverage area increased in January and the highest correlation was found between them, compared to the other climatic factors. However, the number of individuals of Red crowned cranes had little relationship with general climate factors including snow cover range. Therefore it seems that population size of the Red crowned crane varied by factors related with habitat selection such as secure roosting site and area of foraging place, not by climatic factors. In multiple regression analysis, wintering population of White-naped cranes showed significant relationship with logarithmic value of snow cover range and its period. Therefore, it suggests that the population size of the White-naped crane was affected by snow cover range n wintering period and this was because it was hard for them to find out rice grains which are their main food items, buried in snow cover. The population size variation in White-naped cranes was caused by some individuals which left Cheorwon for Izumi where snow cover had little influence on them. The wintering population in Izumi and Cheorwon had negative correlation, implying they were mutually related.

A Study on Calculation Methods and Amounts Changes of Recommended Protein Intake in the Recommended Dietary Allowances for Koreans and Dietary Reference Intakes for Koreans (한국인의 단백질 섭취권장량 산출방법과 단백질 섭취권장량 변화 - 한국인 영양권장량과 한국인 영양섭취기준을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Young-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2012
  • This research examined the method and amount changes of recommended protein intakes(RPI) for male and female adult, and pregnant lactating women from 1962's Recommended Dietary Allowances for Korean(KRDA) to 2010's Dietary Reference Intakes for Koreans(KDRIs) revised. As male and female adult's RPI calculation, factorial method was applied until 1989 KRDA, after that nitrogen balance study was applied. Basal factor in factorial method was standard protein(egg or milk protein) requirement or obligatory nitrogen(protein) loss. On the other hand, basal factor in nitrogen balance study was minimum dietary protein requirement to maintain nitrogen equilibrium balance(nitrogen intake = nitrogen excretion). Adjusting factors of RPI were stress and/or protein requirement difference among people. The RPI of male adults were 50~80 g/day, that of female adults were 45~70 g/day. The additional RPI of pregnant women were 10~30 g/day, were calculate based upon the extra protein needs caused by unborn child development. The pregnant women's additional RPI of 2010's KDRIs revised in the periods of first, second, and third trimester were 0, 15, 30 g/day, respectively. The additional RPI of lactation women were 20~30 g/day, were calculated based upon the extra protein needs caused by maternal milk secretion.

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