• Title/Summary/Keyword: 중도절단

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Optimal Sampling Method of Censored Data for Optimizing Preventive Maintenance (예방정비 최적화를 위한 중도절단 자료의 최적 샘플링 방안)

  • Lee, In-Hyun;Oh, Sea-Hwa;Li, Chang-Long;Yang, Dong-In;Lee, Key-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.196-201
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    • 2013
  • As there is no failure data for the entire lifecycle of a product, when analyzing reliability measures based on early failure data only, there may be a significant error between the estimated mean life and the real one, because it can be underestimated, or on the other hand, it can be overestimated when analyzing reliability measures based on a large amount of censored data with the failure data. To resolve the issue, this study proposes an optimal sampling estimation procedure that selects the proportion of censored data to estimate the optimal distribution with the idea that the estimated distribution could be approximated as closely as the real life distribution. This would work if we sampled the optimal proportion on the censored data, because failure data has real intrinsic distribution in any situation. We validate the proposed procedure using an actual example. If the proposed method is applied to the maintenance policy of TWC (Train to Wayside Communication) system, then we can establish the optimal maintenance policy. Thus, we expect that it will be effective for improvement of reliability and cost savings.

Developing statistical models and constructing clinical systems for analyzing semi-competing risks data produced from medicine, public heath, and epidemiology (의료, 보건, 역학 분야에서 생산되는 준경쟁적 위험자료를 분석하기 위한 통계적 모형의 개발과 임상분석시스템 구축을 위한 연구)

  • Kim, Jinheum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.379-393
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    • 2020
  • A terminal event such as death may censor an intermediate event such as relapse, but not vice versa in semi-competing risks data, which is often seen in medicine, public health, and epidemiology. We propose a Weibull regression model with a normal frailty to analyze semi-competing risks data when all three transition times of the illness-death model are possibly interval-censored. We construct the conditional likelihood separately depending on the types of subjects: still alive with or without the intermediate event, dead with or without the intermediate event, and dead with the intermediate event missing. Optimal parameter estimates are obtained from the iterative quasi-Newton algorithm after the marginalization of the full likelihood using the adaptive importance sampling. We illustrate the proposed method with extensive simulation studies and PAQUID (Personnes Agées Quid) data.

A study on estimating rifle ammunition RSR based on truncated Weibull model (우측중도절단된 와이블 분포를 이용한 소총 탄약 소요보급률 추정 연구)

  • Park, Jaeshin;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2019
  • Ammunition is an integral element of a weapon systems and in calculating fighting strength. The Korea Army utilizes the basic load (B/L) concept to supply ammunition smoothly. The required supply rate (RSR) is the basis of a B/L that is estimated from real combat data that includes a troop's mission and operation terrain. The current RSR is based on Korean War data and the sample mean has some problems in applications to modern combat. Therefore, this study used Korea Combat Training Center (KCTC) data that is similar to real combat to estimate rifle ammunition RSR. We used a quantile of truncated Weibull distribution to estimate rifle ammunition RSR considering that rifle ammunition consumption data in KCTC is truncated. As a result, we obtained a rifle ammunition RSR which covers most ammunition consumption by reflecting the individual consumption of rifle ammunition.

A two-sample test with interval censored competing risk data using multiple imputation (다중대체방법을 이용한 구간 중도 경쟁 위험 모형에서의 이표본 검정)

  • Kim, Yuwon;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2017
  • Interval censored data frequently occur in observation studies where the subject is followed periodically. In this paper, our interest is to suggest a test statistic to compare the CIF of two groups with interval censored failure time data in the presence of competing risks. Gray (1988) suggested a test statistic for right censored data that motivated a well-known Fine and Gray's subdistribution hazard model. A multiple imputation technique is adopted to adopt Gray's test statistic to interval censored data. The powers and sizes of the suggested method are investigated through diverse simulation schemes. The main merit of the suggested method is its simplicity to implement with existing software for right censored data. The method is illustrated by analyzing Bangkok's HIV cohort dataset.

Analysis of 5-year Survival Rate of Gastric Cancer Patients Using Pseudo Random Variable (회귀보완법을 이용한 위암 환자의 수술 후 5년 생존율에 관한 분석)

  • 송재기;이원기;송명언;유완식;정호영
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.325-333
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    • 1999
  • 경북대학교병원에서 1985년에서 1994년까지 위암 때문에 위 절제수술을 받은 1,192명의 환자에 대한 자료를 이용하여 5년 생존율에 관해 분석하고자 한다. 일반적으로 위암 진단을 받은 환자가 수술을 받으려고 할 때 또는 수술을 직후에, 환자의 임상적 특성들을 이용하여 수술후 생존시간과 수술후 5년 생존 여부는 큰 의미가 있다. 그러나 많은 경우에 있어서 실제 임상자료는 연구가 진행 중에 있으므로 생존시간이 우측 중도절단된 형태로 관측되어 기존의 판별분석과 로짓분석을 적용할 수 없다. 본 논문에서는 Buckley와 James가 제안한 의사확률변수를 이용하여 수술전과 수술직후, 두 시점에서 중도절단된 자료를 보완하고, 판별분석과 로짓분석을 통하여 수술전과 수술직후에 환자들의 각 특성이 5년 생존여부에 미치는 영향을 분석을 한다.

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A comparison of the statistical methods for testing the equality of two survival distributions (두 생존분포의 동일성 검정에 관한 비교연구)

  • 정미남;이재원
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 1998
  • There have been a great deal of interests in comparing two survival distributins in clinical trials. This paper compares some well-known statistical methods for testing the equality of two survival distributions. Simulation studies also provide some insights into the properties of these test statistics across several types of survival distributions and degrees of censorship.

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A Comparison Study of Survival Regression Models Based on Data Depths (뎁스를 이용한 생존회귀모형들의 비교연구)

  • Kim, Jee-Yun;Hwang, Jin-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.313-322
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    • 2007
  • Several robust censored depth regression methods are compared under contamination. Park and Hwang(2003) suggested a way to circumvent the censoring issue by incorporating Kaplan-Meier type weight in halfspace regression depth and Park(2003) used a similar technique to simplicial regression depth. Hubert et al. (2001) suggested a high breakdown point regression depth based on projection called rcent. A new method to implement censoring in rcent is suggested and compared with two precedents under various contamination and censoring schemes.

Evaluation for usefulness of Chukwookee Data in Rainfall Frequency Analysis (강우빈도해석에서의 측우기자료의 유용성 평가)

  • Kim, Kee-Wook;Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Min-Kyu;Kim, Hyeon-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.851-859
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the chukwookee data were evaluated by applying that for the historical rainfall frequency analysis. To derive a two parameter log-normal distribution by using historical data and modem data, censored data MLE and binomial censored data MLE were applied. As a result, we found that both average and standard deviation were all estimated smaller with chukwookee data then those with only modern data. This indicates that rather big events rarely happens during the period of chukwookee data then during the modern period. The frequency analysis results using the parameters estimated were also similar to those expected. The point to be noticed is that the rainfall quantiles estimated by both methods were similar. This result indicates that the historical document records like the annals of Chosun dynasty could be valuable and effective for the frequency analysis. This also means the extension of data available for frequency analysis.

Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators (모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교)

  • Kim, Jaehee;Lee, Sieun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1253-1262
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    • 2016
  • When there exists a change-point in hazard function, it should be estimated for exact parameter or hazard estimation. In this research, we compare the hazard change-point estimators. Matthews and Farewell (1982) parametric change-point estimator is based on the likelihood and Zhang et al. (2014) nonparametric estimator is based on the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard estimator. Simulation study is done for the data from exponential distribution with one hazard change-point. The simulated data generated without censoring and the data with right censoring are considered. As real data applications, the change-point estimates are computed for leukemia data and primary biliary cirrhosis data.

On the calibration problem with censored data (중도 절단 자료에서의 역추정 문제)

  • 박래현;이석훈;이낙영;박영옥;이상호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 1994
  • This article basically considers the calibration problem with censored data from the Bayesian point of view. The Gibbs sampling method is discussed to solve the difficulty encountered in computing the posterior distribution. Also presented is an approach for impementing the Gibbs sampling in actual data situation with the estimation procedures.

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