• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주택가격추정

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A Critical Assessment of the Economical Value of Road on Housing Prices Using Contingent Valuation Method - focus on the road construction plan of 47th of Suwon si - (조건부가치추정법을 이용한 도로의 경제가치 추정에 관한 실증적 연구 - 수원시 47번 도로건설계획을 중심으로)

  • Park, Ki-Hak
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.999-1024
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    • 2012
  • The Purpose of this study was to assess the willingness to pay(WTP) for the new road construction plan(slip road of urban highway which was advertising extensively to reduce the time to the core of metropolitan area) on housing prices using contingent valuation method(CVM). And this study was an empirical study which was based on the consciousness of residents whose apartment was within the Suwon Si's new plan of 47th road construction zone. In this study, it was revealed that the resident's WTP for the plan of new road construction which was built on the neighborhood of apartment was within the 10 percent of housing prices that was similar to the standard declared price of MLTM(Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs). And also revealed that the difference of sale prices of real estate company was 24 percent. The statistical assessment results show that both the resident's characteristic variables such as gender, incomes, size of apartment and the accessability variables such as distance to parks, schools, department stores, living facilities were positive effects on the prices of apartments significantly. Finally, the house has depreciated than that of MLTM and WTO since torpedoed the road construction plan. These results imply that, we have to take capital appreciation of the property into account due to road construction since the accessibility was very significantly positive internal effects on the apartment housing prices.

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하반기에 달라지는 것들 - 전자입찰 대상공사 확대

  • 대한설비건설협회
    • 월간 기계설비
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    • s.132
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    • pp.26-43
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    • 2001
  • 하반기부터 국가가 시행하는 추정가격 78억원 미만(지자체 235억원미만)의 국내입찰대상 모든 공사는 인터넷을 통한 전자입찰로 낙찰자가 선정된다. 또 건설업 등록시 법정자본금에 해당하는 보증능력 확인서를 제출해야하고 일정기준 이상의 사무실을 갖춰야하는 등 건설업등록요건이 강화된다. 이와 함께 고급주택을 제외한 신축주택에 대한 양도소득세가 2003년 6월말까지 면제되며 부동산투자 회사가 설립돼 본격적으로 부동산에 대한 간접투자시대가 열린다. 정부는 2001년 7월 1일 부터 달라지는 부처별 경제$\cdot$행정제도를 종합 정리해 발표했다.

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Estimating Land Assets in North Korea: Framework Development & Exploratory Application (북한지역 토지자산 추정에 관한 연구: 프레임워크 개발 및 탐색적 적용)

  • Lim, Song
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.71-123
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we present a methodology and model to estimate land prices and the value of land assets in North Korea in the absence of any data about land characteristics from North Korean authorities. Using this framework, we experimentally make market price-based estimates for land assets across the entire urban area of North Korea. First, we estimate the determinants of land prices in South Korea using data on market prices of land from the late 1970s, when it was estimated that the income level gap between South Korea and North Korea wasn't relatively large, and from the early 1980s, when urbanization levels in both of them were similar. Second, we calculate land prices and their relative ratios for each city and urban area in North Korea around 2015 by substituting proxy variables of determinants of land prices derived through a geographic information analysis of North Korea into the function of land prices that we have already estimated. Finally, we estimate the value of land assets in urban areas across North Korea by combining the ratio of housing transaction prices surveyed in several cities in North Korea with the relative prices estimated in this research. As a result, land prices in urban areas in North Korea, looking at the relative ratio of price by city, are estimated to be the highest, at 100.00, in Tongdaewon district of Pyongyang, and to be the lowest, at 1.70, in Phungso county, Ryanggang Province. Meanwhile, the value of land assets in urbanized areas was estimated at $21.6 billion in 2015, which was 1.2 to 1.3 times the GDP of North Korea that year. This ratio is similar to South Korea's in the 1978-1980 period, when the South Korean economy grew at an average rate of 6%. Considering North Korea's growth rate of about 1% in the 2013-2014 period, its ratio of land assets to GDP appears very high.

The Effects of Locational Point Representation of Apartment Complexes on Hedonic Valuation of Air Quality (공동주택 위치표현 방법이 대기질의 한계잠재가격 측정에 미치는 영향)

  • Chul Sohn
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.949-960
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    • 2003
  • The marginal implicit price of air quality can be measured by taking a partial derivative of hedonic price function (HPF) with respect to the level of air quality. It has been pointed out that the size of the marginal implicit price varies with the use of different function forms, different estimation methods, and the different ways of measuring air quality level in estimating HPF. In addition to these factors, this study shows theoretically and empirically the way housing properties are represented on a digital map could differentiate the size of marginal implicit price of air quality when GIS is used to measure location attributes of the housing properties in the Korean apartment market. Furthermore, this study shows that the degree of difference in the marginal implicit price due to the manner in which housing properties are represented on a digital map can be larger than the degree of difference in the marginal implicit price due to using different function forms and estimation methods. The major implication from the results of this study is that one should carefully try diverse ways of representing housing properties in the Korean apartment market on a digital map in the process of estimating HPF, as he or she usually tries diverse function forms and estimation methods, to see if the value of the marginal implicit price of air quality varies substantially.

Spatial analysis for a real transaction price of land (공간회귀모형을 이용한 토지시세가격 추정)

  • Choi, Jihye;Jin, Hyang Gon;Kim, Yongku
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.217-228
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    • 2018
  • Since the real estate reporting system was first introduced, about 2 million real estate transaction per year have been reported over the last 10 years with an increasing demand for real estate price estimates. This study looks at the applicability and superiority of the regression-kriging method to derive effective real transaction prices estimation on the location where information about real transaction is unavailable. Several issues on predicting the real estate price are discussed and illustrated using the real transaction reports of Jinju, Gyeongsangnam-do. Results have been compared with a simple regression model in terms of the mean absolute error and root square error. It turns out that the regression-kriging model provides a more effective estimation of land price compared to the simple regression model. The regression-kriging method adequately reflects the spatial structure of the term that is not explained by other characteristic variables.

Forecasting of Farmland Value Increasing Rate and Estimation of Monthly Payment of Farmland Pension Considering the Regional Differences (지역적인 차이를 고려한 농지가격상승률예측 및 월평균 농지연금 지급액 추정)

  • Cho, Deokho;Yeo, Changwhan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2015
  • 한국은 2050년까지 주요 선진국 중에서 고령화가 가장 심각한 사회로 전환되게 될 것으로 예상된다. 기대여명의 증가와 저 출산은 고령화를 더욱 악화시키며, 이는 심각한 사회문제로 발전하게 될 것이다. 이와 같은 문제를 해결하기 위해 한국정부는 2008년에 도시지역에는 주택연금제도를 도입하였으며, 2011년에는 세계 최초로 농촌지역을 대상으로 농지연금제도를 도입하였다. 그렇지만 이와 같은 제도는 설계 당시부터 복지상품이라기 보다는 장기적으로 손실과 수익의 균형에 초점을 둔 금융상품으로 개발되어 실질적으로 노인들에게 크게 인기를 얻지 못하였다. 따라서 본 연구는 농지연금제도를 활성화시켜, 농촌노인들에게 보다 더 많은 혜택을 주기 위해 지역 토지시장을 감안하여 지역별 농지가격상승률을 예측하고 연금액을 산출하였다. 또, 지금까지 사용한 년 혹은 분기별 감정가 대신에 월별, 지역별 실거래 가격을 모형에 적용하여 지역토지시장, 고령화 수준 등 지역 여건에 부합하는 연금액을 산출하였다. 할인율자료도 가장 안정적인 3년 만기 국고채 수익률을 활용하여 미래농지가격을 예측하고, 이를 유동화하여 월 생활자금으로 지급되도록 하였다. 특히 농지규모가 가장 많고, 고령화 정도가 심각하여 농지연금의 잠재적 수요가 가장 높을 것으로 예상되는 경상북도와 전라남도를 사례지역으로 선정하고, 이를 전국평균과 비교하여 지역적인 차이도 함께 분석하였다. 이를 위해 농지가격 및 이자율 시계열 자료의 안정성을 검정하고, 장기농지가격을 예측하였다. 이를 활용하여 경북, 전남, 전국의 노인들의 월평균 지급액을 추정하였다. 분석결과 정책의 잠재적 수요가 가장 높은 두 지역이 가장 낮은 금액이 지급되는 것으로 추정되어 이는 또 다른 지역불균형을 초래할 수 있는 것으로 평가되었다.

A Comparative Study on the Goodness of Fit in Spatial Econometric Models Using Housing Transaction Prices of Busan, Korea (부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격을 이용한 공간계량모형의 적합도 비교연구)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Kim, Sung-Woo;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2012
  • The OLS(ordinary least squares) method is widely used in hedonic housing models. One of the assumptions of the OLS is an independent and uniform distribution of the disturbance term. This assumption can be violated when the spatial autocorrelation exists, which in turn leads to undesirable estimate results. An alterative to this, spatial econometric models have been introduced in housing price studies. This paper describes the comparisons between OLS and spatial econometric models using housing transaction prices of Busan, Korea. Owing to the approaches reflecting spatial autocorrelation, the spatial econometric models showed some superiority to the traditional OLS in terms of log likelihood and sigma square(${\sigma}^2$). Among the spatial models, the SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models) seemed more appropriate than the SAC(General Spatial Models) and the SEM(Spatial Errors Models) for Busan housing markets. We can make sure the spatial effects on housing prices, and the reconstruction plans have strong impacts on the transaction prices. Selecting a suitable spatial model will play an important role in the housing policy of the government.

Demolition Cost Estimation of Small-size Rental Housing based on the Quantity per Unit Method (원가계산방식에 의한 다가구임대주택 해체공사비 예측)

  • Park, Seong-Sik;Lee, Sung-Bok;Shin, Sang-Hoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.415-427
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    • 2011
  • This study is aiming at estimating the demolition cost of deterioration housing by the rational method in order to provide for the demolition and new build project of the rental multi-family housing of LH. We investigated the actual state of demolition construction and work process of small size housing, and analysed an actual condition of estimation for the demolition cost through an advice by the expert of construction cost estimate. Furthermore, the 'estimation standard for the predetermined amount', 'estimation standard for the disposal cost of construction wastes' and precedent studies in public construction work were considered. As one of results in this study, cost accounting system, breakdown system and construction cost for the demolition work based on the standard of estimate were proposed and the predetermined amount of demolition construction for the multi-family housing with 2 or 3 floors could be produced by them. Eventually, It is estimated that the demolition cost per a multi-family housing is about 18,331,000(won) and 104,000(won) per floorage($m^2$). To the details, the result indicated that the direct demolition cost needs about 14,339,000(won) per a multi-family housing and the consignment disposal cost of wastes needs 3,992,000(won) per one. The results of the study will be used as the fundamental data to estimate the project cost in the phase of budget establishment for demolition and new build project of the deteriorated rental multi-family housings, and also cost accounting system of demolition construction and breakdown system are expect to be used effectively at the ordering of public construction work.

The Dynamic Effects of Subway Network Expansion on Housing Rental Prices Using a Modified Repeat Sales Model (수도권 지하철 네트워크 확장이 아파트 월세 가격에 미치는 영향 분석 - 수정반복매매모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyojeong;Lee, Changmoo;Lee, Jisu;Kim, Minyoung;Ryu, Taeheyeon;Shin, Hyeyoung;Kim, Jiyeon
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2021
  • Continuous subway line expansion over the years in Seoul metropolitan area has contributed to improved accessibility to public transport. Since public transport accessibility has a significant impact on housing decisions, quantitative analysis of correlation between housing prices and public transport accessibility is regarded as one of the most important factors for planning better housing policies. This study defines the reduction of traveling time resulted from the construction of new metro stations despite them not being the closest stations as 'Network Expansion Effect', and seeks to understand how the Network Expansion Effect impacts on housing prices. The study analyzes monthly rent data converted from upfront lump sum deposit, so called Jeonse in Korea, from 2012 to 2018, through 'A Modified Repeat Sales Model.' As a result, the effect of 'Network Expansion' on rental prices in Seoul has stronger during the period of 2017 to 2018 than the base period of 2012 to 2014, which suggests the 'Network Expansion' has a meaningful effect on rent. In addition, in comparison between the most and the least affected group of apartments by 'Network Expansion Effect', the most affected group has more price increase than the least affected group. These findings also indicate that different levels of 'Network Expansion Effect' have various influences on the value of residential real estate properties.

Housing Need and Demand Assessment: Focused on Public Housing Development Projects (공공주택 사업지구의 수요평가모델 구축 연구)

  • Ji, Kyu-Hyun;Lee, So-Young;Kim, Yong-Soon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2014
  • This study proposes a new housing need and demand assessment model centering on small-scale housing development projects and happy house development projects that reflected the recent changes in rental and small sized apartment centered public housing policies and development paradigms. The housing need and demand assessment model of public housing development projects consists of quantitative evaluation factors such as potential need indicator and demand pressure indicator and qualitative evaluation factors such as local condition indicator. The potential need indicators of small sized housing development projects are calculated by subtracting the stock of already-supplied constructed rental and purchased rental housings from the potential quantity of need drawn from the small regions such as -eup, -myeon, and -dong. In the potential need indicators of happy house development projects, the potential need is calculated from those who are expected to receive a happy house in the unit of -si, -gun, and -gu. In small-sized housing development projects, demand pressure indictors are the number and the proportion of those who opened a subscription deposit, the number of those who received basic livelihood security and the number of those who were patriots and veterans. The demand pressure indicators of the happy house development projects are stock ratio of small-sized houses, rate of rise in housing rent price, level of housing rent price, and rate of monthly rent house.