• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주식

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수익률 측정기간단위 변화에 따른 주식간 상관관계의 영향 연구

  • Eom, Cheol-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.231-248
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 주식간 상관관계 속성을 검증하고자 하는 연구의 일환으로, 한국주식시장에서 1980년 1월부터 2003년 5월까지 기간동안에 수익률 측정기간단위 변화에 따라 주식수익률간 상관관계에 어떤 영향이 관찰되는지를 검증하고자 하였다. 즉, 주식수익률간 상관관계가 시간의 함수(시간종속성)인지를 관찰하고자 하였다. 또한, 수익률의 측정기간단위에 따라 영향을 받는 주식수익률간 상관관계가 주식수익률에 영향을 미치는 요인의 어떤 변화에 기인하는 것인지를 시장모형을 이용하여 개별주식수익률 변동성의 구성요소로 분해 및 분석함으로써 그 원인을 찾고자 하였다. 검증결과에 의하면, 수익률의 측정기간단위가 증가함에 따라 주식수익률간 상관관계는 증가하는 경향을 나타냄에 따라 시간의 함수임을 부정할 수 없었고, 또한 측정기간단위가 단기에서 장기로 변화함에 따라 개별주식수익률의 변동성 구성요소에서 개별기업요인에 기인하는 부분은 감소되고 시장요인에 기인하는 부분은 증가하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 즉, 수익률 측정기간단위는 주식수익률간 상관관계에 유의적인 영향을 미치고, 이러한 영향은 주식수익률에 영향을 미치는 요인 중, 시장요인의 변화를 야기하는 것에서 원인을 찾을 수 있었다.

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International Linkages in Equity Markets: Evidence from Emerging European Countries (주식시장의 국제적 연계: 유럽 신흥국가들에서의 증거)

  • Kang, Sang Hoon;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.77-94
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the returns and volatility linkages in equity markets between the regional/global developed markets (Germany, UK, and US) and four emerging European stock markets (Hungary, Czech Republic, Russia, and Poland) using the VAR-bivariate GARCH model. Our empirical results are summarized as follows. First, we found unidirectional return spillover from the regional/global developed markets to the emerging European markets. This finding indicates that the prices of regional/global markets lead those of emerging European stock markets. Second, we also found relatively stronger volatility linkage between the regional developed markets (especially Germany) and the emerging European markets. This implies that the volatility of emerging European markets is strongly affected by the regional developed markets than the global developed markets.

Asymmetric Effect of News on Stock Return Volatility in Asian Stock Markets (최근 아시아 주식시장에서의 주식수익률 변동성의 비대칭적 반응)

  • Ohk, Ki Yool
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.3015-3024
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    • 2018
  • This study investigates the recent asymmetric effect of news on stock return volatility in Asian five stock markets - Japan, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and Malaysia - since 2000. This study uses the GJR-M model which shows a different effect of a good and bad news on volatility. Empirical results show that the unexpected negative return has a more crucial effect on stock return volatility than the unexpected positive one does in all five stock markets. This implies that the bad news of the stock markets gives a more remarkable effect on volatility than good news does. This study finds that it is very important for market participants and regulation practitioners to distinguish between positive and negative return shocks in the stock markets since bad news might have a larger impacts on volatility than good news.

A Study for Formation Principles of Dynamic Connection Structure between Stocks in Korean Stock Market (주식간 동적 연결구조의 형성원칙에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Un-Cheol;Um, Cheol-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.183-204
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    • 2004
  • This paper introduces an observable connection structure between stocks in Korean stock market and investigates the formation principles of the observed connection structure between stocks in economic views. Several recent studies have been attempting to explain that the connection structure between stocks is organized by Power-Law distribution, this implies that most stocks have a few links, but only a few stocks have very large number of links. Therefore, we want to investigate the reason about why the connection structure between stocks exhibited by Mantegna's approach is Power-Law distribution. As a result we found that the number of connection between stocks is determined by market factors and specific firm factors among many other factors. In addition, if a stock is more affected by common factors(market) than specific firm factors, the stock has large number of links with other stocks, otherwise more affected by specific firm factors, the stock has a few links.

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The Impact of Information on Stock Message Boards on Stock Trading Behaviors of Individual Investors based on Order Imbalance Analysis (온라인 주식게시판 정보가 주식투자자의 거래행태에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyun Mo;Park, Jae Hong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2016
  • Previous studies on information systems (IS) and finance suggest that information on stock message boards influence the investment decisions of individual investors. However, how information on online stock message boards influences an individual investor's buy or sell decisions is unclear. To address this research question, we investigate the relationship between a number of posts on stock message boards and order imbalance in stock markets. Order imbalance is defined as the difference between the daily sum of buy-side shares traded and the daily sum of sell-side shares traded. Therefore, order imbalance can suggest the direction of trades and the strength of the direction with trading volumes. In this regard, this study examines how the number of posts (information on stock message boards) influences order imbalance (stock trading behavior). We collected about 46,077 messages of 40 companies on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index from Paxnet, the most popular Korean online stock message board. The messages we collected were divided based on in-trading and after-trading hours to examine the relationship between the numbers of posts and trading volumes. We also collected order imbalance data on individual investors. We then integrated the balanced panel data sets and analyzed them through vector regression. We found that the number of posts on online stock message boards is positively related to prior order imbalance. We believe that our findings contribute to knowledge in IS and finance. Furthermore, this study suggests that investors should carefully monitor information on stock message boards to understand stock market sentiments.

System Development of the Stock Price Prediction (주가 예측을 위한 Web Site 개발)

  • Cho, Kyu Cheol;Lee, Sung Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.01a
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    • pp.161-162
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    • 2021
  • 주식을 매매할 때, 주식의 차트와 가치를 분석한 다음 언제 주식이 상한가 또는 하한가가 될지 예측한 후 매매하게 된다. 하지만 일반적으로 주식을 예측하기 어려워 주식의 수익을 내기 힘들다. 따라서 본 논문은 지난날의 주식 가격 데이터를 분석해 주식의 가격을 예측하는 주식 차트 분석을 할 수 있게 '주가 예측을 위한 웹 사이트'를 개발하였다. 이 사이트는 주식의 차트 분석을 지원하고 주식을 언제 매매할지에 대한 의사결정을 도와줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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