• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조기 경보

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Economic Feasibility Analysis of Nationwide Expansion of Agro-meteorological Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Korea (농업기상재해 조기경보서비스의 전국 확대에 따른 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Sangtaek Seo;Yun Hee Jeong;Soo Jin Kim;Kyo-Moon Shim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.236-244
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the economic feasibility of providing services according to the nationwide expansion of early warning services. The net present value method, one of the cost-benefit analysis methods, was applied to the analysis. As a benefit item that constituted the net present value, the damage reduction amount using crop insurance data and the willingness to pay for the use of early warning services were used. The cost items included system construction and maintenance costs, and text transmission costs. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the nationwide expansion of early warning services had economic feasibility, and its economic effect varied depending on the level of text message use (10 % to 40 %, 10 %p interval) of participating farmers. In the future, the economic effect of early warning services is expected to increase further due to the increase in the number of farmers participating in early warning services and the increase in crop damage caused by climate change. It is necessary to further enhance the economic effect of early warning services by actively utilizing information delivery means through apps or the web as well as text messages.

An intelligent early warning system for forecasting abnormal investment trends of foreign investors (외국인 투자자의 비정상적 중·장기매도성향패턴예측을 위한 지능형 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Oh, Kyong Joo;Kim, Young Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2013
  • At local emerging stock markets such as Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan, foreign investors (FI) are recognized as important investment community due to the globalization and deregulation of financial markets. Therefore, it is required to monitor the behavior of FI against a sudden enormous selling stocks for the concerned local governments or private and institutional investors. The main aim of this study is to propose an early warning system (EWS) which purposes issuing a warning signal against the possible massive selling stocks of FI at the market. For this, we suggest machine learning algorithm which predicts the behavior of FI by forecasting future conditions. This study is empirically done for the Korean stock market.

Predicting Forest Fire in Indonesia Using APCC's MME Seasonal Forecast (MME 기반 APCC 계절예측 자료를 활용한 인도네시아 산불 예측)

  • Cho, Jaepil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.7-7
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    • 2016
  • 인도네시아 산불에 의한 연무는 동남아시아 인접한 국가들에 있어서 심각한 환경문제 중 하나이다. 국제적으로 심각한 문제를 야기하는 인도네시아의 산불은 건조기에 강수량이 적게 내리는 극심한 가뭄 조건에서 발생한다. 건조기 강수량을 모니터링 하는 것은 산불 발생 가능성을 예측하기 위해 중요하지만 산불을 사전에 예방하고 영향을 최소화하기에는 부족하다. 따라서 산불에 대한 선제적 사전예방을 위해서는 수개월의 선행예측 기간을 갖는 조기경보 시스템이 절실하다. 따라서 본 연구는 인도네시아 산불에 대한 선제적 대응을 위한 강수량 예측시스템을 개발하고 예측성을 평가하여 동남아시아 지역의 화재 연무 조기경보 시스템의 시제품(Prototype)을 개발하는데 있다. 강수량 예측을 위해서 APEC 기후센터의 계절예측정보의 활용 정도에 따라서 4가지 서로 다른 방법을 통합하여 사용하였다. 예측정보 기반의 방법들로는 대상지역의 강수량 예측을 위해서 대상 지역 상공의 계절예측 강수자료를 보정을 통해 직접적으로 사용하는 SBC (Simple Bias Correction) 방법과 대상 지역 상공의 강수 예측자료를 사용하는 대신에 지역 강수량과 높은 상관 관계를 보이는 다른 지역의 대리변수를 예측인자로 사용하는 MWR (Moving Window Regression) 방법이 있다. 또한 예측자료의 사용 없이 과거자료 기반의 기후지수(Climate Index) 중에서 지체시간을 고려하여 지역 강수량과 높은 상관관계를 갖는 경우 예측에 활용하는 관측자료 기반의 CIR (Climate Index Regression) 방법과 예측기반 MWR과 관측기반의 CIR 방법에서 선정된 예측인자를 동시에 활용하는 ITR (Integrated Time Regression) 방법이 사용되었다. 장기 강수량 예측은 보르네오 섬의 4개 지역에서 3개월 이하의 선행예측기간에 대하여 0.5 이상의 TCC (Temporal Correlation Coefficient)의 값을 보여 양호한 예측성능을 보였다. 예측된 강수량 자료는 위성기반 관측 강수량 및 관측 탄소 배출량 관계에서 결정된 강수량의 임계값과의 비교를 통해 산불발생 가능성으로 환산하였다. 개발된 조기경보 시스템은 산불 발생에 가장 취약한 해당지역의 건조기(8월~10월) 강수량을 4월부터 예측해 산불 연무에 대한 조기경보를 수행한다. 개발된 화재 연무조기경보 시스템은 지속적인 개선을 통해 현장 실효성을 높여 동남아국가 정부의 화재 및 산림관리자들에게 보급함으로써 동남아의 화재 연무로 인한 환경문제 해결에 기여할 수 있으리라 판단된다.

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On-Site Earthquake Early Warning System Design and Performance Evaluation Method (현장 지진조기경보시스템의 설계 및 성능평가 방법)

  • Choi, Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2020
  • Recently, in order to improve the performance of the Earthquake Early Warning System (EEWS) and to supplement the effects of earthquake disaster prevention in epicenters or near epicenters, development of on-site EEWS has been attempted. Unlike the national EEWS, which is used for earthquake disaster prevention by using seismic observation networks for earthquake research and observation, on-site EEWS aims at earthquake disaster prevention and therefore requires efficient design and evaluation in terms of performance and cost. At present, Korea lacks the necessary core technologies and operational know-how, including the use of existing EEWS design criteria and evaluation methods for the development of On-Site EEWS as well as EEWS. This study proposes hardware and software design directions and performance evaluation items and methods for seismic data collection, data processing, and analysis for localization of On-Site EEWS based on the seismic accelerometer requirements of the Seismic and Volcanic Disaster Response Act.

Bio-AdHoc Sensor Networks for Disaster Emergency Management Systems (재난 관리용 시스템을 위한 센서 탑재 바이오 애드 혹 네트워크)

  • Lee, Dong-Eun;Lee, Goo-Yeon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2007
  • Ad hoc network does not need any preexisting network infrastructure, and it has been developed as temporal networks in the various fields. Infostation is an efficient system to transfer information which does not have delay sensitive characteristics. In this paper, we propose a disaster emergency management system using sensor attached animals' mobility combined with infostation system. We also analyze the performance of the proposed system by simulation. From the performance analysis results, we expect that the proposed system will be very useful to early detect big forest fires which occurs frequently in Korea mountain areas.

A Study of the Application of Earthquake Early Warning System for the Enhancements in Protective Action by Korea National Park (국립공원의 지진 대응 체계 개선을 위한 지진 조기경보 시스템의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Eomzi;Ha, Seong Jun;Kim, Won Kyung;Yun, Tae Sup
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2018
  • Conventional Earthquake Early Warning System (EEWS) detects the propagated P-wave from epicenter which should be achieved within 5 seconds to provide seconds to minutes of warning, allowing people to prepare for protective actions. EEWS in Korea is currently capable of providing a warning within 50 seconds after the primary P-wave detection, however, it is well-known that earthquake warning systems operating around Korean National Parks (KNP) have limited capability to fully monitor earthquake events. This study, therefore, presents a strategy to quantify the potential vulnerability to earthquake hazards by superimposing the distribution of Korea Integrated Seismic System (KISS) and the discretized map of KNP. Total 22 national parks are evaluated, and the results suggest that the improvement of the on-site systems should be necessitated for Gyoengju, Gyeryongsan, Songnisan, Gayasan, and Deogyusan national parks, whereas enhancement of regional systems is required for Bukhansan national park.

A Study on the Monitoring Criteria of Disaster Signs for Early-warning System based on Multiple Hazardous Gas Sensor (복합 유해 가스 센서 기반의 조기 경보 시스템을 위한 재난 전조 감시 기준에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyusang;Park, Sosoon;Yoon, En Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2013
  • The number of large and complex buildings is growing and they are usually concentrated in metropolitan cities. There is a possibility in such buildings that a small accident can expand to a massive disaster since their scale and complexity. To deal with this issue, a research on gas sensors which can detect multiple gases and early-warning systems has been conducted. Proper criteria or standards are necessary for effective application and operation of such sensor-based disaster monitoring system. In this study, we have proposed the alarm criteria of concentration of hazardous gases for the detection and the alarm release. For each alarm level, systematic disaster response plans consist of responsive actions and information delivery have been prepared. These disaster monitoring criteria can help the detection of hazardous gas-related disaster in the early stage of accident and the provision of appropriate emergency responses.

Development of Truck Shipment Incident Emergency Response System for Transporting Hazardous Materials Using GPS (GPS를 이용한 수송사고 조기경보시스템 개발(1단계 : 국내외 사례조사와 개발방법제시))

  • Oh Se-Chang;Cho Yong-Sung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2002
  • As a part of NERI:;, Truck Shipment Safety Information is divided into Optimal Route Guidance system and Emergency Response system. This study which is for developing of Truck Shipment Incident Emergency Response System intends to prevent or early response damage caused by incidents through realtime monitoring about the position and the state of Hazard material transport truck. For this, we divide it into three scenarios; realtime monitoring, management of incidents, information provision to related organizations and present functional requirements and architecture coming with each scenario. As a result of the first step among total three steps, it would able to not only realtime management of trucks but also guide for auto-enforcement or management about illegal act like dumping scrapped material. It is now under examination about position of detection and technology of communication to application. From now on, it is expect to test in the range of Metropolitan after selecting appropriate technology.

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Establishing a Early Warning System using Multivariate Control Charts in Melting Process (용해공정에서 다변량 관리도를 이용한 조기경보시스템 구축)

  • Lee, Hoe-Sik;Lee, Myung-Joo;Han, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2007
  • In some manufacturing industries, there are many situation in which the simultaneous monitoring or control of two or more related quality characteristics is necessary. However, monitoring these two or more related quality characteristics independently can be very misleading. When several characteristics of manufactured component are to be monitored simultaneously, multivariate $x^2$ or $T^2$ control chart can be used. In this paper, establishing a early warning system(EWS) using multivariate control charts to analyze early out-of-control signals in melting process with many quality characteristics was presented. This module which we developed to control several characteristics improved efficiency and effectiveness of process control in the melting process.

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Design and Evaluation of an Early Intelligent Alert Broadcasting Algorithm for VANETs (차량 네트워크를 위한 조기 지능형 경보 방송 알고리즘의 설계 및 평가)

  • Lee, Young-Ha;Kim, Sung-Tae;Kim, Guk-Boh
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2012
  • The development of applications for vehicular ad hoc networks (VANETs) has very specific and clear goals such as providing intellectual safe transport systems. An emergency warning technic for public safety is one of the applications which requires an intelligent broadcast mechanism to transmit warning messages quickly and efficiently against the time restriction. The broadcast storm problem causing several packet collisions and extra delay has to be considered to design a broadcast protocol for VANETs, when multiple nodes attempt transmission simultaneously at the access control layer. In this paper, we propose an early intelligent alert broadcasting (EI-CAST) algorithm to resolve effectively the broadcast storm problem and meet time-critical requirement. The proposed algorithm uses not only the early alert technic on the basis of time to collision (TTC) but also the intelligent broadcasting technic on the basis of fuzzy logic, and the performance of the proposed algorithm was compared and evaluated through simulation with the existing broadcasting algorithms. It was demonstrated that the proposed algorithm shows a vehicle can receive the alert message before a collision and have no packet collision when the distance of alert region is less than 4 km.