• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정치분석모형

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Assessment Models of Political Risk and the Sensitivity Analysis (정치적 위험의 평가모형과 민감도분석)

  • Moon, Chang-Kuen;Yim, Chun-Ho
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2007
  • This paper identifies the dimensions of political risk on the basis of the classification between risk and uncertainties to implement the precise identification and assessment of the various types of political risk and develop the sound assessment model to accomplish their practical applications. This paper shows the concrete and detailed processes of deriving the assessment models and applying them with the microsoft excel spreadsheet, confirms the result of Butler and Joaquin(1998), and presents the methods of identifying the various combination effects of the political risk impact and the covariance relationship with the market portfolio return through the sensitivity analysis.

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The Economic Analysis of Notional and Global Interest Politics for International Environmental Standards

  • Hwang, Uk
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.103-127
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    • 2007
  • This study presents the political economics models to explore the political landscape of special interest groups influencing the government's decision making process for implementing international environmental standard. Starting with the popular menu-auction types of lobbying frameworks in the literature, the study extends its scope of research to multi-principal and multi-agency based international interest group politics and its hybrid case in order to bring the interaction of the relevant interest politics to the fore. Within a specific factor model of international trade between 2 small open economies, we compare the political equilibrium environmental standards in different institutional frameworks which can be feasible in the sense of recently growing role of environmental interest group. Although the conventional finding suggests that cooperative bargaining between the two countries can attain the globally optimal level of the standard, the paper rather explains that the cooperation between the national interest groups and the hybrid case also generate the stricter standard then national interest politics usually do.

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The Research and Development for the Desirable Political Contents Model in the Korean Web-Site (정치사이트의 비교분석을 통한 바람직한 정치콘텐츠 모형개발에 관한 연구)

  • 심연수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.485-496
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    • 2004
  • Various contents in Korean political web have three aspects: knowledge, intellectual skill, affective contents. For the advanced democracy and information technology in Korean political life, it further needs to develope the desirable web contents in political area.

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The Role of Political Ideology in the 2012 Korean Presidential Election: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis (제18대 대통령 선거에서 이념의 영향: 패널 데이터 분석 결과)

  • Kim, Sung-Youn
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.147-177
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    • 2017
  • Although a number of empirical studies found that political ideology plays a significant role in Korean elections, they entirely rely on cross-sectional data analysis. In contrast to previous research, this study investigates the effects of ideology in the 2012 Korean presidential election through standard panel data analysis. Specifically, using "EAI Panel Study, 2012", the effects of ideology on both candidate evaluation and vote choice were examined via fixed effects, random effects, and pooled regression analysis. And the results from applying the two most popular models of ideological voting, the proximity model and the directional change model were also compared. The results show that candidate evaluations and vote choice during the election (April, 2012- December, 2012) were significantly influenced by the ideological difference between voters and candidates, independent from partisanship and other standard socio-demographic factors. And this ideological voting during the election seems better captured by the directional change model than by the proximity model.

A Study on the Meta Analysis of Korean Digital Politics (디지털정치 실증연구에 관한 메타분석)

  • Park, Young-Min
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2011
  • This study is to carry out meta-analysis on doctoral dissertations which had been written after 2004 when the empirical analysis about digital politics had begun. This study aims to identify tendency of recent analysis. For this purpose, it classifies the research trends of digital politics as political participation, political process, political advertising and election campaigns, and examines the researcher's definition, framework of empirical analysis, and all the results. Moreover, the study systematically summarizes the research model, analysis unit, concept and its components in order to ensure availablity so that the information could be available for the further research.

Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Segregation Parameter under Multiple Ascertainment$(0 with Known$\pi$ (Multiple Ascertainment $\pi$가 존재할 때 분리확률모수 $\theta$치의 우도추정치로서 통계모형의 구성과 유전병에 감염된 출생아의 예측)

  • Shin, Han Poong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 1977
  • 유전적 질환이 있는 가계에서 출생하는 자녀중에서 유전적인 질환을 보유할 수 있는 확률을 예측하는 방법의 하나로서 우도추정치(likelihood estimator)를 사용하는 것은 분리분석(segregation analysis)에서 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. Elston과 Stewart(1971)는 이러한 분석방법의 일반적인 통계모형을 정립하였으며 필자(1974)와 Morton 등 (1974)은 complex segregation이 될 때에 분석되는 4가지의 통계모형을 주장하였다. 본 연구의 목적은 multiple ascertainment $\pi$가 존재하는 경우 분리확률모수(segregation parameter) $\theta$의 우도추정치를 구하고 둘째로 oligogenic case에 대한 이론적인 배경을 구명하고자 한다.

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A Study of the Effects of Trade between North Korea and China on the Conflict between South Korea and North Korea (북한·중국 간 교역이 남한·북한 간 분쟁관계에 미친 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ju, Sung Whan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.361-383
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    • 2009
  • This study extends theoretically the expected utility model of trade-conflict developed by Polacheck if a third country is involved, and analyses empirically how trade between North Korea and China affects to the political conflict between South and North Korea. The results of empirical analysis show that North Korea's exports to South Korea and China do not affect the conflict or cooperative relations between South and North Korea. But North Korea's imports from South Korea and China affect to the conflict between South and North Korea: increasing of North Korea's imports to South Korea reduce conflict between South and North Korea, but increasing of North Korea's imports to China increase conflict between South and North Korea.

A Convergence Study on Political Efficacy, Political Interest, and Global Citizenship as influencing on Political Participation of Nursing Students (간호대학생의 정치효능감, 정치관심도, 세계시민의식이 정치참여에 미치는 영향 파악을 위한 융합연구)

  • Lee, Jeongim
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.391-400
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    • 2020
  • This study is a convergence study to understand the impact of political efficacy, political interest, and global citizenship on political participation. Participants were 3rd and 4th grade 155 nursing students. The data were analyzed t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's Correlation and multiple regression. The result is that factors influencing the political participation were political efficacy(r=.27, p=.001), political interest(r=.42, p<.001), and attitude in global citizenship(r=-.24, p=.003). The higher political interest(β=.37) and political efficacy(β=.21), the lower the Global citizenship_Attitude, the higher political participation. A total of 25.7% of political participation was explained. In order to increase political participation, the results suggest it is necessary to political education for enhancing political interest and efficacy.

An Analysis on Student Burden Double Reduction Policy in China - Based on Kingdon's Policy Stream Model (중국 의무교육단계 학생 부담경감 정책의 흐름 분석 - Kingdon의 정책흐름모형을 중심으로)

  • Xiaohui Li
    • Journal of the International Relations & Interdisciplinary Education
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.35-56
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    • 2024
  • Based on Kingdon's policy stream model, the logical mechanism of student burden double reduction policy agenda setting process in China was analyzed from three aspects: problem stream, policy stream, political stream. It was found that the direct reflection of data, the feedback and improvement of current policies constitute the problem stream.The high attention of government departments, the suggestions of CPPCC members and experts and scholars, the strong voice of schools, and the continuous voice of stakeholders constitute the policy stream. The ruling party's governing idea and educational policy, national mood and interest game during the transition period constitute the political policy stream. The three streams, coupling interaction, open the policy window, promoting the introduction of the 'double reduction' policy.

The Effect of Selective Exposure of Political Orientation on Online Political Participation: Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Attitude Polarization (유튜브 정치성향에 따른 선택적 노출이 온라인 정치참여에 미치는 영향: 태도극화의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Min Kyu;Kim, Jung Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated the relationship between selective exposure, attitude polarization, and online political participation among 420 YouTube political video users. Additionally, the mediating effect of attitude polarization on the relationship between selective exposure and online political participation was examined. The main results were derived by conducting exploratory factor analysis, correlation analysis, and structural model analysis using the SPSS 21.0 program and AMOS 21.0 program. The results were presented as follows. First, selective exposure had a positive effect on attitude polarization. Second, selective exposure had a positive effect on online political participation. Third, attitude polarization had a positive effect on online political participation. Fourth, attitude polarization was found to mediate the relationship between selective exposure and online political participation. In summary, it was confirmed that selective exposure to YouTube political videos increased attitude polarization and online political participation, and the more the attitude polarization was strengthened by selective exposure, the more it led to online political participation.