• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정책 변동

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A Big Data Analysis on the Enactment Process of Min-Sik's Law (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 민식이법 제정과정에 대한 연구)

  • Kang, Aera;Nam, Taewoo
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.89-112
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    • 2023
  • Traffic safety policies have been established and carried out every five years according to the Traffic Safety Act. In addition to policies that are planned and carried out in the long run, there are also policies established to prevent the recurrence of various social issues and accidents. Citizens' participation in administrative affairs has recently seized the spotlight, and has become an efficient means of realizing administrative democracy. Based on big data analysis, this study aims to present how the "Kim Min-sik Case," which recently brought to the fore a social issue of strengthening laws on child school zones, has realized administrative democracy and contributed to legislation due to the emergence of the online platform called "national petition." Policy changes according to the cycle of issues are divided according to time series classification and what contents are devised in each section through text mining analysis. In this regard, the results of this study are expected to provide useful theoretical and practical implications for researchers and policymakers by presenting policy implications that it is important to prepare practical and realistic alternatives in solving policy problems.

Decomposition of CO2 Emissions in the Manufacturing Sector : An International Comparative Study for Korea, UK, and USA (제조업 부문의 이산화탄소 배출 요인분해: 한국·영국·미국의 국제비교 연구)

  • Han, Taek Whan;Shin, Wonzoe
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.723-738
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    • 2007
  • This paper draws some implications from Logarithmic Mean Weight Divisia Method (LMWDM) on the sources of $CO_2$ emission changes in the manufacturing sectors of Korea, UK, and USA. The sources of change in industrial $CO_2$ emission of a country, as manifested by production scale factor, structural factor, and technical factor, summarizes the forces behind the change in $CO_2$ emissions in each country's manufacturing sector. There are three observations. First one is that Korea's emission is increasing while USA and UK are experiencing reduction or stabilization of $CO_2$ emission in the manufacturing sector. Second implication is that the technical factor affecting $CO_2$ emission in Korea does not help much, or even hinder, the reduction of $CO_2$ emissions, comparing to USA and UK. Third one, which is the combined result of the first and the second one, is that Korea's increasing trend in aggregate $CO_2$ emission throughout the periods in consideration is mainly due to the failure in technical progress, or the deterioration in the structure of within subcategories, or both. The policy implications is clear. The obvious prescription is to launch a nation-wide policy drive which can revert these adverse trends.

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Political Dynamics of Introducing Quasi Mixed-Member Proportional Representation Electoral System: Veto Player and Partisanship (준연동형 비례대표제 도입의 정치 동학: 거부권행사자와 당파성)

  • Ju, Jin-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the political dynamics of the election law reform in December 2019, from a perspective of the veto player theory combined with the partisan theory. Three features are revealed in the reform process of the electoral system. First, the number of cooperative veto players was higher than that of competitive veto players, that provided a favorable condition for policy changes. Second, concerning the ideological distance between veto-players (congruence) the possibility of policy change was evaluated as quite small. Especially in the fourth to fifth periods, the congruence between the cooperative veto players and competitive veto players was extremely weak. Third, the internal coherence of cooperative veto players was relatively weak, while the internal coherence of competitive veto players was relatively strong. That acted as a limiting factor in policy changes. In other words, there was a high possibility of policy changes in the number of cooperative veto players, but the possibility of policy change was relatively restricted in the congruence between veto players and the cohesion of veto players. That explains the limited nature of the election law reform.

Study on Variability of WTP Estimates by the Estimation Methods using Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Data (양분선택형 조건부가치측정(CV) 자료의 추정방법에 따른 지불의사금액의 변동성 연구)

  • Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2016
  • This study investigated the variability of WTP estimates(i.e. mean or median) with ad hoc assumptions of specific parametric probability distributions(i.e. normal, logistic, lognormal, and exponential distribution) to estimate WTP function using dichotomous choice CV data on mortality risk reduction. From the perspective of policy decision, the variability of these WTP estimates are intolerable in comparison with those of Turnbull nonparametric estimation method which is free from ad hoc distribution assumptions. The Turnbull nonparametric estimation can avoid a kind of misspecification bias due to ad hoc assumption of specific parametric distributions. Furthermore, the WTP estimates by Turnbull nonparametric estimation are robust because the similar estimates are elicited from a dichotomous choice or double dichotomous choice CV data, and the statistically significant WTP estimates can be obtained even though it is not possible by parametric estimation methods. If there are considerable variability among those WTP estimates by parametric estimation methods in condition with no criteria of model adequacy, the mean WTPs from Turnbull nonparametric estimation can be the robust estimates without ad hoc assumptions, which can avoid controversial issues in the perspective of policy decisions.

Convergence analysis about volatility of the stock markets before and after the currency crisis - With a focus on Normal distribution, kurtosis, skewness (외환위기 전후 주식시장의 변동성에 관한 융복합 분석 - 정규분포, 첨도, 왜도를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 2015
  • The domestic stock market has been subjected to a major change since the September 1997 financial crisis. Foreign capital came repeat themselves in the stock market and bond market, foreign exchange market opening up domestic financial markets after the financial crisis. The domestic stock market has been most affected by domestic capital before the financial crisis. But it has been receiving an absolute influenced by foreign capital after the financial crisis. The purpose of this study is to analyze the trends in the two sections that look at any changes in the volatility of the KOSPI appears after the crisis. To this, obtained a daily weekly monthly normal distribution and kurtosis, skewness degree it should be analyze the tilt phenomenon and variability of the two intervals. This study also predict the future movement of the domestic stock market Based on this, look at the difference between the two sections. Analysis result, after the financial crisis change width has a reduction but direction of the KOSPI has appeared relatively distinct in the medium to long term. Based on this future market seems desirable the mid- to long-term investment looking for direction.

Adjusting Patterns of Production Fluctuation and Trade Transmission Effect of Major Soybean Production Countries on World Market (주요 콩 생산국의 생산변동 조정유형과 무역전이효과 분석)

  • Im, Jeong-bin;An, Dong-hwan;Jang, Suk-Jin
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.85-96
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we tried to investigate the adjusting patterns of production fluctuation of major soybean production countries. In particular, we focus our attention on the trade transmission effect of major soybean production countries on world market. We found that the instability of world market for soybean is likely to be increased mainly due to the production fluctuation and trade transmission effect of major production countries, e.g. Brazil, Paraguay, and Canada. Most of the major production countries have adjusted the production fluctuation through consumption and trade rather than inventory management, and hence the instability of world market for soybean tends to be more instable. Therefore we need to develop the effective policy measures for making domestic soybean market more stable such as a plan for keeping domestic production, a valid inventory management strategy, a use of futures market, and a strategy to diversify import market as a large importing country.

Analyzing the Residential Mobility Factors of Low-Income Households (저소득가구의 주거이동 요인 분석)

  • Kang, Mi;Lee, Jae Woo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.79-94
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the factors associated with residential mobility based on the data from the 11th to the 19th wave of the Korean Labor & Income Panel Study (KLIPS). After grouping low-income households within the first to the fourth income bracket into households that exhibited no income bracket change and those with income bracket changes during the research period, this study examined the effects of the income situation of each group on residential mobility. According to the results of the analysis, in the group of households that showed no low-income bracket change, significant effects were found only in the age of the head of the household, housing cost, and rental deposit (Jeonse) and monthly rental of the household. In the group of households that showed low-income bracket changes, findings were generally in line with those of the whole household, where total income and the number of full-time employees in the household were the same as those of the whole household, indicating that it would be necessary to improve the employment stability of low-income households. Based on the findings of this study, housing inequality is intensifying within low-income households, and, thus, housing policies, based on continuing surveys, must be implemented to enhance income opportunities and stabilize the housing needs of low-income households.

Development of the evaluation method for hydrological cycle soundness: application to Gyeongan stream watershed (수문 순환 건전성 평가 기법 개발 : 경안천 유역 적용)

  • Kim, Geon;Lee, Jae-Beom;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.891-901
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a hydrological cycle soundness evaluation method was developed using monthly meteorological observation data. The Gyeongan stream watershed was divided into five sub-basins and eight criteria were established for hydrological cycle evaluation: the number of non-rainfall day, the number of non-rainfall day fluctuation, over 30 mm per day, over 30 mm per day fluctuation, average river level, average river level fluctuation, average groundwater level and average groundwater level fluctuation. Observation data were normalized and weights for evaluation by each sub-basin were calculated using the entropy method. The hydrological cycle soundness evaluation indices were calculated using TOPSIS applying the calculated weight value. As a result of the study, it was found that the hydrological cycle soundness was unstable in the Gyeongan-upstream from November to January, the Gyeongan-suwipyo from February to April, Gonjiam stream from April to May, and the Gyeongan-downstream from November to February. In this study, the developed technique is expected to serve as a quantitative basis for policy decision to recover hydrological cycle soundness.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Bilateral Trade Flow: Evidence from China (환율 변동성과 양자 무역 흐름: 중국을 중심으로)

  • Li Qing;Sang-Whi Lee
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2023
  • Our study aims to explore the impact of China's foreign trade policy measures on the real exchange rate movement. We seek to provide specific references for the formulation of exchange rate and trade-related strategies. Our results indicate that China's bilateral trade is significantly influenced by movements in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (RER). When analyzing the relationship between aggregated trade flow and exchange rate movements, this paper finds that the depreciation of the real exchange rate leads to an increase in China's export volume and a slight decrease in its import volume. Moreover, China's export volume exhibits higher sensitivity to exchange rate volatility compared to the exchange rate level. Furthermore, the empirical findings regarding disaggregated trade flow suggest that different goods are affected differently by exchange rate movements. Capital goods and consumer goods, being in different stages of processing, show no negative impact on their import and export due to exchange rate depreciation. Consequently, we recommend deepening the industry's reform by improving production efficiency and transitioning the industrial structure to a higher processing stage. This approach can effectively reduce the negative impact of exchange rate depreciation.

A Study on the Theory of Power-law and Science Technology Policy System under Convergence Technology Environment (융합기술환경에서 멱법칙과 과학기술정책체계분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.28-46
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes the science and technology policy implications of power law in econophysics methodology under the recent convergence technology environment. Empirical results are summarized as follow: first, similar empirical results are showed up using Hill estimates and Rank-1/2 estimates in patent data set during 1990 through 2008. Second, the estimates of power law exponents for technology capability distribution are decreased during the periods. The policy implications for science and technology development draw from the empirical results. First, the fact that the exponents of power law are decreased show the convergence of technology capability among countries. The our country policy directs focus on the innovation strategy rather than imitation strategy. Second, the volatility of technology change results from a few capable technology developers so that policy direct may need to control the technology power in the large technology developer or company. The methodology and analytical results used in the paper may also be useful for consider for the science and technology phenomena such as convergence and divergence of technologies among countries in the world.

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