• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.3B
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• pp.269-276
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• 2010

Climatic disasters are globally soaring due to recent acceleration of global warming. Especially the occurrence frequency of heavy rainfalls is increasing since the rainfall intensity is increasing due to the change of rainfall pattern, This study proposed the non-stationary frequency analysis for estimating design rainfalls in a design target year, considering the change of rainfall pattern through the climatic change scenario. The annual rainfalls, which are regionally downscaled from the BCM2 (A2 scenario) and NCEP data using a K-NN method, were used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution in a design target year, based on the relationship between annual mean rainfalls and distribution parameters. A Gumbel distribution with a probability weighted method was used in this study. Seoul rainfall data, which are the longest observations in Korea, were used to verified the proposed method. Then, rainfall data at 7 stations, which have statistical trends in observations in 2006, were used to estimate the design rainfalls in 2020. The results indicated that the regional annual rainfalls, which were estimated through the climate change scenario, significantly affect on the design rainfalls in future.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.5
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• pp.339-350
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• 2011

This study developed a climate informed Bayesian nonstationary frequency model which allows us to forecast seasonal summer rainfall at Nakdong River. We constructed a 37-year summer rainfall data set from 10 weather stations within Nakdong river basin, and two climate indices from sea surface temperature (SST) and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) were derived through correlation analysis. The selected SST and OLR have been widely acknowledged as a climate driver for summer rainfall. The developed model was applied first to the 2010-year summer rainfall (888.1 mm) in order to assure ourself. We demonstrated model performance by comparing posterior distributions. It was confirmed that the proposed model is able to produce a reasonable forecast. The forecasted value is about 858.2 mm, and the difference between forecast and observation is about 30 mm. As the second case study, 2011-year summer rainfall forecast was made using an observed winter SSTs and an assumed 50% value of OLRs. The forecasted value is 967.7 mm and associated exceedance probability over average summer rainfall 680 mm is 92.9%. In addition, 50-year return period for summer rainfall was projected through the nonstationary frequency model. An exceedance probability over 1,400 mm corresponding to the 50-year return level is about 73.7%.

• Journal of rehabilitation welfare engineering & assistive technology
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.145-150
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• 2014

In this paper, we propose a novel scheme to improve the performance of a voice activity detection(VAD) which is based on the deep belief networks(DBN) with the likelihood ratio(LR). The proposed algorithm applies the DBN learning method which is trained in order to minimize the probability of detection error instead of the conventional decision rule using geometric mean. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm yields better results compared to the conventional VAD algorithm in various noise environments.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.813-820
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• 2010

The spread mooring system for FPSO is developed to explore deep sea area, in which swell is dominant. It is known that the tension response of mooring lines in this sea area shows bimodal spectrum. Assuming normal distribution of tension profile and Rayleigh distribution of tension amplitude, the power spectral density function (PSD) of the mooring tension under the bimodal stationary random process is applied for the calculation of spectrum fatigue. Three popular methods, which are simple summation method, combined spectrum method and Jioa-Moan method, are used to combine fatigue damages from bimodal spectrum characteristics. Each damage value is compared with damage using Rainflow Cycle Counting (RCC) method which is believed to be close to exact solution. Vanmarcke' parameter and RMS(Root Mean Square) ratio are employed to assess relative damage variations between from RCC method and from three combination methods. Finally the most reliable fatigue damage combining method for spread mooring system is suggested.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.39-49
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• 1993

Intrinsic random function of order k(IRF-k) was used to estimate groundwater levels of nonstationaav random functions. The accuracy of IRF-k was compared to that of ordraarv krigrng assuming that the data of groundwater levels compose a stafionarv random function. Cross validation and statistical errors show that IRF-k is superior to orcinarv '(riging for the estimation of water levels. IRF-k and ordinary kriging made different contour and 3-D surface maps. The maps of IRF-k are more accurate than those of ordinary kriging.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.272-272
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• 2023

기후변화로 인해 많은 경우 강수량은 증가할 것으로 전망되지만 시공간적 편차 또한 커짐으로써 가뭄 위험은 증가할 것으로 예상된다. 가뭄 위험도 평가는 강수량, 유출량 등 수문자료로부터 추출한 가뭄변량의 빈도해석을 통해 이루어질 수 있다. 빈도해석의 대상이 되는 수문변량의 통계적 속성이 일정하게 유지되는 정상성의 가정은 기존 빈도해석 방법의 핵심이 되지만, 최근 기후변화로 인한 수문변량의 통계적 특성 변화가 발생할 것으로 예상되기 때문에 이러한 비정상성의 특성을 빈도해석 시 고려할 필요가 있다. 자료의 비정상성을 평가하는데 짧은 기록을 갖는 자료로부터 변화 추세를 신뢰성 있게 평가하는 것은 어려움이 크다. 이러한 점에서 지점자료를 통합적으로 활용할 수 있는 지역빈도해석 절차 도입을 통해 해석 결과에 신뢰성을 확보하는 것이 합리적이다. 본 연구에서는 유역단위에서 가뭄의 지속기간과 심도 사이의 상호의존성을 고려하기 위해 이변량 Copula 함수 기반 가뭄 지역빈도해석을 도입했으며, 두 가뭄변량의 주변확률분포의 매개변수는 시간에 따른 함수로 가정하였다. 모형의 모든 매개변수는 계층적 Bayesian 모형을 통해 동시에 추정하였다. 최종적으로 주어진 가뭄빈도에 해당하는 시간에 따라 변화하는 가뭄 위험을 평가하였다.

• Radiation Oncology Journal
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.399-408
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• 1998

Purpose : This study was designed to demonstrate the potential therapeutic advantage of 3-dimensional (3-D) treatment planning over the conventional 2-dimensional (2-D) approach in patients with carcinoma of the nasopharynx. Materials and Methods : The two techniques were compared both qualitatively and quantitatively for the boost portion of the treatment (19.8 Gy of a total 70.2 Gy treatment schedule) in patient with T4. The comparisons between 2-D and 3-D plans were made using dose statistics, dose-volume histogram, tumor control probabilities, and normal tissue complication probabilities. Results : The 3-D treatment planning improved the dose homogeneity in the planning target volume. In addition, it caused the mean dose of the planning target volume to increase by 15.2$\%$ over 2-D planning. The mean dose to normal structures such as the temporal lobe, brain stem, parotid gland, and temporomandibular joint was reduced with the 3-D plan. The probability of tumor control was increased by 6$\%$ with 3-D treatment planning compared to the 2-D planning, while the probability of normal tissue complication was reduced. Conclusion : This study demonstrated the potential advantage of increasing the tumor control by using 3-D planning. but prospective studies are required to define the true clinical benefit.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.223-233
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• 2017

The railway turnout system is one of the most important systems that set train routes. Turnout system integrity should be guaranteed for robust train operation. To diagnose the turnout system status, LVDT and accelerometers are installed on a turnout system in a high speed line. The LVDT and accelerometers produce signals containing physical meaning of the turnout systems. The LVDT produces the displacement of the rail gauge and vibration when point moving or a train passes on turnout systems and the accelerometer produces impact forces induced by wheel sets. We performed data extraction from the measured signals and parameterized the extracted signals into meaningful quantities. The parameters are used for classifying whether the turnout status is normal. We proposed two methods for the classification, one uses probabilistic distribution and the other artificial neuron networks. The probabilistic distribution is used for the parameter being classified by the quantities and the artificial neuron networks for the form classification. Finally, we show how to learn the normal status of a turnout system.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.121-130
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• 2016

An ansemble of N players arranged in a circle play a spatially dependent Parrondo game B. One player is randomly selected to play game B, which is based on the toss of a biased coin, with the amount of the bias depending on states of the selected player's two nearest neighbors. The player wins one unit with heads and loses one unit with tails. In game A' the randomly chosen player transfers one unit of capital to another player who is randomly chosen among N - 1 players. Game A' is fair with respect to the ensemble's total profit. The games are said to exhibit the Parrondo effect if game B is losing and the random mixture game C is winning and the reverse-Parrondo effect if game B is winning and the random mixture game C is losing. We compute the exact mean profits for games B and C by applying a state space reduction method with lumped Markov chains and we sketch the Parrondo and reverse-Parrondo regions for $3{\leq}N{\leq}6$.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.351-356
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• 2022

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the cancer incidence rate and provide basic data by measuring the photoneutron dose generated during intensity-modulated radiation therapy and volumetric modulated arc therapy used in radiation therapy for prostate cancer. The optically stimulated luminescence albedo neutron dosimeter for neutron measurement was placed on the Rando phantom in the abdomen and thyroid and photoneutron dose generated was measured. As a result of the study, intensity-modulated radiation therapy (7 portal) was measured to be higher than volumetric rotational radiation therapy in both abdominal and thyroid locations. When the cancer incidence rate was evaluated using the nominal risk coefficient of ICRP 103, the cancer incidence rate due to exposure to the colon and thyroid during intensity-modulated radiation therapy was 9.9 per 1,000 people, and volumetric rotational radiation therapy for 1,000 people. It was 3.5 per person. Based on the principle of ALARA (As low as reasonably archievable), it is considered to be a guideline for minimizing the exposure dose to normal organs in the establishment of a radiation treatment plan.